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Sembmarine

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Jackpot2010
    05-Jun-2012 21:30  
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Will history repeat itself this October 2012? So scary, another 4 mths time will know....

Oct 28 2008 = $1.01

Oct 4 2011 = $2.82 
 
 
blueberry
    05-Jun-2012 06:30  
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Btw, Sembmar is now trading below 50/100/200D MA support. Be careful, friend.

blueberry      ( Date: 05-Jun-2012 06:24) Posted:

Dear Yiming, I am not vested in SembMar at the moment. I am just concern about you. I realise your previous investment in some counters were with losses. Yes, you may have 金 山 银 山 , your money is none of my concern. But, I dunno why I feel painful. Good luck.

yiming2000      ( Date: 04-Jun-2012 23:54) Posted:



Friend blueberry, $3.60 is Kim Eng's entry point recommendation. Actually, my own entry point is Oct 2011 low at $3.00. So, at $3.60, I will be watching closely to see if euro crisis can get worse than last Oct. If so, price can drop below $3.00.

Are you vested? How many lots and what was your entry price? I bought 10 lots at $5.27 to get $2000 dividend and when it dropped after ex-date, I chucked it at $5.08 and suffered net loss of only $200. Good experience. I will never try for dividend again. 


 
 
blueberry
    05-Jun-2012 06:24  
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Dear Yiming, I am not vested in SembMar at the moment. I am just concern about you. I realise your previous investment in some counters were with losses. Yes, you may have 金 山 银 山 , your money is none of my concern. But, I dunno why I feel painful. Good luck.

yiming2000      ( Date: 04-Jun-2012 23:54) Posted:



Friend blueberry, $3.60 is Kim Eng's entry point recommendation. Actually, my own entry point is Oct 2011 low at $3.00. So, at $3.60, I will be watching closely to see if euro crisis can get worse than last Oct. If so, price can drop below $3.00.

Are you vested? How many lots and what was your entry price? I bought 10 lots at $5.27 to get $2000 dividend and when it dropped after ex-date, I chucked it at $5.08 and suffered net loss of only $200. Good experience. I will never try for dividend again. 

 

 
yiming2000
    04-Jun-2012 23:54  
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Friend blueberry, $3.60 is Kim Eng's entry point recommendation. Actually, my own entry point is Oct 2011 low at $3.00. So, at $3.60, I will be watching closely to see if euro crisis can get worse than last Oct. If so, price can drop below $3.00.

Are you vested? How many lots and what was your entry price? I bought 10 lots at $5.27 to get $2000 dividend and when it dropped after ex-date, I chucked it at $5.08 and suffered net loss of only $200. Good experience. I will never try for dividend again. 
 
 
blueberry
    04-Jun-2012 10:11  
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yiming, why $3.60? Last oct2011 hit   $3.05. You think will rebound from $3.60?

yiming2000      ( Date: 04-Jun-2012 10:02) Posted:



Good call. It's down 41 points. I am sitting on the sideline waiting for Sembmarine to go down to $3.60. Smiley 140

What about you?

New123      ( Date: 02-Jun-2012 23:57) Posted:

Mon sti may be down 50 pts. I think Sembmarine can easily down at least 15 cents...


 
 
yiming2000
    04-Jun-2012 10:02  
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Good call. It's down 41 points. I am sitting on the sideline waiting for Sembmarine to go down to $3.60. Smiley 140

What about you?

New123      ( Date: 02-Jun-2012 23:57) Posted:

Mon sti may be down 50 pts. I think Sembmarine can easily down at least 15 cents...

 

 
sgnewbie
    04-Jun-2012 09:32  
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krisluke
    04-Jun-2012 09:11  
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SMM / Swiber: SMM’s Indonesian subsidiary, PT SMOE Indonesia, in consortium with Swiber’s JV PT Rajawali, has secured a contract worth US$175m from Premier Oil Natuna Sea, for the engineering and construction of 2 Wellhead Platforms, 2 infield sub-sea pipelines and modification works on an existing facility for the Naga and Pelikan Project, offshore Indonesia.

Construction is expected to commence Jul ’12 with offshore completion by Sep ’13. SMM’s scope of work, worth US$63m, entails engineering design and construction of the 2 platforms and modification work on the existing Central Processing Platform. This is the second contract award that SMM has secured from Premier. PT

Rajawali is responsible for the laying of the 2 sub-sea pipelines and transportation of the 2 platforms. While positive, the contract is small vs SMM’s current net orderbook of $7.4b, and Swiber’s orderbook of ~US$1.2b. SMM trades at 12.8x P/E. Swiber trades at 6.9x P/E.
 
 
jamesng
    03-Jun-2012 01:10  
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15 cents...then Kepcorp might drop 30 cents....but seems they likely drop further.....oil price not too good for them now
 
 
New123
    02-Jun-2012 23:57  
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Mon sti may be down 50 pts. I think Sembmarine can easily down at least 15 cents...
 

 
jamesng
    01-Jun-2012 19:53  
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Going strong but for how long.....court case not looking good.....

If the stake went to other company, it will be bad....
 
 
harley22ez
    01-Jun-2012 19:21  
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eye can only agree ...maybe wil go lower than 3.8

 
 
 
tiancai007
    01-Jun-2012 18:34  
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Going down to 3.8 b4 finding support. Crude oil below 90. Brude oil below 100.
 
 
paul1688
    01-Jun-2012 17:35  
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From OCBC

Strong outstanding order book provides defensiveness

Stock has eased quite a bit upgrade to BUY

SMM’s share price has fallen by 15.1% since we downgraded it to Hold a few months ago in our report “Looking beyond FY11”, 24 Feb 2012.  This compares with the STI’s 6.9% drop over the same period. At current price levels, we see value emerging in SMM’s stock. With an expected upside potential of 14.8% (excl dividends) now, we upgrade our rating to BUY with an unchanged fair value estimate of S$5.12.Sembcorp Marine has a net order book of S$7.4b with deliveries stretching till 2Q15, and this provides good earnings visibility at a time when uncertainties are still prevalent in the global economy and there is a general lack of clarity in terms of corporate earnings outlook. The group has secured orders worth about S$3b YTD, accounting for 34% of our full year estimate which includes orders from Petrobras.

 
 
ozone2002
    01-Jun-2012 15:58  
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i saw a lot of brokerage houses recommending to accumulate on weakness  the O& G sector plays

namely SEMBMAR & KEPCORP..

hope there will be more upside to this in time to come..

gd luck dyodd
 

 
paul1688
    01-Jun-2012 15:20  
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The high court ruling is more an " ego thing" no real impact on material earnings, etc.  For investors, I think it is more important to focus on Semb Marine's earnings outlook which continues to be robust and with Oil price staying high, I anticipate Semb Marine to be in a favourable position in the coming years.  Recently price dropped more than other O& G play which I think represents accumulation opportunity. Just my view. Not inducing anyone to buy.

ozone2002      ( Date: 01-Jun-2012 14:33) Posted:



the high court order didn't dampen the share price..in fact it boosted the share price from the intro day

low..

rock steady!

gd luck.. dyodd

 
 
krisluke
    01-Jun-2012 14:41  
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SembMarine

SembMarine: OCBC upgrades to Buy from Hold, keeping a $5.12 fair value. Note that at current price levels, see value emerging. House says the outlook remains positive, with current WTI oil prices around US$88/bbl still above the US$70-US$75/bbl threshold level for a safe cushion for viable sector investments, with recent comments from offshore drillers reflecting their belief in strong industry fundamentals and interest in more newbuilds. Expect continued capital expenditure in the sector which takes a long-term view due to strong industry fundamentals and the long lead time required for offshore projects. OCBC says SembMarine's strong outstanding orderbook, at a net $7.4b, with deliveries stretching until 2Q15, offers defensiveness and good earnings visibility amid global economic uncertainty and a lack of clarity on the general corporate earnings outlook. It notes year-to-date orders of $3b are 34% of the house's full-year estimate.
 
 
ozone2002
    01-Jun-2012 14:33  
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the high court order didn't dampen the share price..in fact it boosted the share price from the intro day

low..

rock steady!

gd luck.. dyodd
 
 
GuavaXF30
    01-Jun-2012 09:25  
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Sharing a report I happen to have.

Sembcorp Marine: Value is emerging

upgrade to BUY

Outlook remains positive

bookDefensiveness from strong order

Easing oil prices, but still above

thresholdUpgrade to BUY

Though oil prices have corrected, we opine

that at current levels (WTI: US$88/bbl,

Brent: US$105/bbl), oil prices are still

elevated. As deepwater offshore projects

typically need a threshold level of US$70-

75/bbl for a safe cushion to be viable

investments, we expect continued capital

expenditure in the sector which takes a longterm

view due to strong industry

fundamentals and the long lead time required

for offshore projects.

Offshore drillers remain upbeat

The difference between new and older assets

has also been accentuating over the years,

evidenced by a divergence in utilisation and

day rates. Recent comments by offshore

drillers in the latest quarterly results also

reflected their belief in the strong

fundamentals of the industry and companies

such as Seadrill are keen on more newbuilds.

Strong outstanding order book provides

defensiveness

Sembcorp Marine has a net order book of

S$7.4b with deliveries stretching till 2Q15,

and this provides good earnings visibility at a

time when uncertainties are still prevalent in

the global economy and there is a general

lack of clarity in terms of corporate earnings

outlook. The group has secured orders worth

about S$3b YTD, accounting for 34% of our

full year estimate which includes orders from

Petrobras.

Stock has eased quite a bit upgrade to

BUY

SMM’s share price has fallen by 15.1% since

we downgraded it to Hold a few months ago

in our report “Looking beyond FY11”, 24 Feb

2012. This compares with the STI’s 6.9%

drop over the same period. At current price

levels, we see value emerging in SMM’s

stock. With an expected upside potential of

14.8% (excl dividends) now, we upgrade our

rating to

estimate of S$5.12
BUY with an unchanged fair value. (Low Pei Han)


GuavaXF30      ( Date: 01-Jun-2012 08:57) Posted:



Not likely. With 8 bil worth of orders, their profit will be steady for the next 3 years still.

Baker Tech/PPL thing is small drop in a very vast ocean. And they still control 85% of PPL. How the new consortium hope  to go against them with just 15% ownership  ? Don't get conned.

New123      ( Date: 31-May-2012 23:14) Posted:



it may goes down to $4.00


 
 
GuavaXF30
    01-Jun-2012 08:57  
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Not likely. With 8 bil worth of orders, their profit will be steady for the next 3 years still.

Baker Tech/PPL thing is small drop in a very vast ocean. And they still control 85% of PPL. How the new consortium hope  to go against them with just 15% ownership  ? Don't get conned.

New123      ( Date: 31-May-2012 23:14) Posted:



it may goes down to $4.00 .

catalyst      ( Date: 31-May-2012 22:57) Posted:

Not sure how strong is 4.41 support.
Very tempted to enter..


 
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