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Centurion    Last:1.43    -0.02

Centurion Corp

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SeaOfRed
    31-Aug-2014 19:47  
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Nice. Short it down please.

BlueDogMeow      ( Date: 31-Aug-2014 00:31) Posted:



Have anyone read the blog post by chemic capital on centurion? quite interesting. 

He valued centurion at 42c at best.

 
 
bishan22
    31-Aug-2014 19:36  
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Read fr edge mag that 2 directors recently added stake to the company.
 
 
lifeisgood
    27-Aug-2014 10:40  
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Different investors, different styles. I have always preferred to go in early, I  was one of those who bought in at 19.5 cents, cheaper than Han and Loh' s entry price. Some may find current levels good price to enter, to each his own, but this thing about " margin of safety" always bugs me when I dont find it. 

SeaOfRed      ( Date: 27-Aug-2014 10:31) Posted:



No matter... It' s a profit making company, looking to long term and not very concerned about the near term price fluctuations. Most of those vested at 20 cts are long term investors, if they wanted to book profits all the better. This way there will be more upside to the share price.

lifeisgood      ( Date: 27-Aug-2014 10:08) Posted:



This stock was almost a 4 bagger coming up from 20 cents level. Wont be surprised more people will take profit as it is still up 300% at current level. As the workers dormitory business is slowing down dramatically, with massive oversupply and lots of new entrants,  the prospects are not encouraging. Sellers may continue to sell based on  its near term outlook.


 

 
SeaOfRed
    27-Aug-2014 10:31  
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No matter... It' s a profit making company, looking to long term and not very concerned about the near term price fluctuations. Most of those vested at 20 cts are long term investors, if they wanted to book profits all the better. This way there will be more upside to the share price.

lifeisgood      ( Date: 27-Aug-2014 10:08) Posted:



This stock was almost a 4 bagger coming up from 20 cents level. Wont be surprised more people will take profit as it is still up 300% at current level. As the workers dormitory business is slowing down dramatically, with massive oversupply and lots of new entrants,  the prospects are not encouraging. Sellers may continue to sell based on  its near term outlook.

 
 
lifeisgood
    27-Aug-2014 10:08  
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This stock was almost a 4 bagger coming up from 20 cents level. Wont be surprised more people will take profit as it is still up 300% at current level. As the workers dormitory business is slowing down dramatically, with massive oversupply and lots of new entrants,  the prospects are not encouraging. Sellers may continue to sell based on  its near term outlook.
 
 
SeaOfRed
    27-Aug-2014 07:41  
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Vested in this.. Hopefully see more selling today to add more. Hope shortists come to this counter.
 

 
HVRRVH
    26-Aug-2014 21:51  
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Getting ready to dump the remaining holding liao, if drop some more small profit become even smaller profit liao. 62 cents is the limit. Maybe tomorrow can divest and look for pasture green.

SeaOfRed      ( Date: 26-Aug-2014 20:39) Posted:



U-turning very soon. Reaching the entry price for previous calls.

Not that analysts' buy calls seem to have any effect.

The more they call, the more it falls.

 
 
SeaOfRed
    26-Aug-2014 20:39  
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U-turning very soon. Reaching the entry price for previous calls.

Not that analysts' buy calls seem to have any effect.

The more they call, the more it falls.
 
 
Raptor50
    22-Aug-2014 22:44  
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Centurion Corp 1H14 Core Net Profit Up 52% yoy
(CENT SP/BUY/S$0.675/Target: S$1.00)

Excluding fair value gains and development profits (S$17.3m recognized in 1Q14), underlying 1H14 net profit would be S$13.1m (+52% yoy), or 44% of our full-year forecast, but only 40% of consensus estimate. Net profit growth was attributed to a rise in occupancy from the newly completed blocks (3,800 beds) at Toh Guan dormitories (from 60% in Jan 14 to near full occupancy in Jun 14), maiden contribution from student dormitories at RMIT Village and an increase in rentals and occupancy at the Malaysia dormitories.

By UOB KH (22/08/14)

Raptor50      ( Date: 22-Aug-2014 14:37) Posted:

Stock Date Research house Recent price Target  Call Valuation (of target price)
price
Centurion 21-Aug DBS Vickers 64 c 91 c Buy  
Centurion 15-Aug AmFraser 67.5 c 89 c Buy  
Centurion 15-Aug UOB KH 67.5 c $1.00 Buy  

 
 
HVRRVH
    22-Aug-2014 18:32  
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2 directors bought from open market at 635 and 640. Keeping my remaining half for now.
 

 
bishan22
    22-Aug-2014 15:12  
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Creeping up slowly after house call. Good luck.  smiley

Raptor50      ( Date: 22-Aug-2014 14:37) Posted:

Stock Date Research house Recent price Target  Call Valuation (of target price)
price
Centurion 21-Aug DBS Vickers 64 c 91 c Buy  
Centurion 15-Aug AmFraser 67.5 c 89 c Buy  
Centurion 15-Aug UOB KH 67.5 c $1.00 Buy  

 
 
RoundRound
    22-Aug-2014 15:11  
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Accumulation going on at 64.5 for much of today... buying supported
 
 
Raptor50
    22-Aug-2014 14:37  
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Stock Date Research house Recent price Target  Call Valuation (of target price)
price
Centurion 21-Aug DBS Vickers 64 c 91 c Buy  
Centurion 15-Aug AmFraser 67.5 c 89 c Buy  
Centurion 15-Aug UOB KH 67.5 c $1.00 Buy  
 
 
lifeisgood
    21-Aug-2014 12:01  
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In the past,  the A team  used to chew the s-chips until dry, then spit out. Dont know what they intend to do with Centurion.
 
 
ozone2002
    21-Aug-2014 11:39  
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improving their biz returns.. looking good for this year!

Better positioned for near term (DBS)

challenge

  Centurion&rsquo s low cost base and location-specific

advantages will allow the Group to weather near

term pressures from new supply in the Singapore

workers&rsquo dormitory segment.

  Overseas ventures are good diversification and

student accommodation business is a solid longterm

bet

  Overall, Centurion still offers strong earnings

growth, particularly from overseas contribution.

Maintain BUY, for 50% upside to TP of S$0.91

é

Centurion&rsquo s Singapore dormitories business is well placed to

cope with 100k new supply. Centurion&rsquo s Singapore dormitories

were stable in 2Q14, with Mandai and Toh Guan seeing near-full

occupancy rates and strong pre-commitment levels, due to their

attractive locations and flexibility in housing workers from all

industries. Tuas saw a slight dip in occupancy due to an islandwide

slowdown in construction activity. As such, we expect near term

weakness in occupancy rates for Tuas, and bed rate growth in the

next 3-5 years could be flattish. However, the Group&rsquo s low cost base

should enable the dormitory to remain profitable despite supply

pressures.

Student accommodation business is a hidden gem with vast

upside potential. A$60m acquisition of the 456-bed RMIT Village

in Melbourne was followed by the £ 77m proposed acquisition of

four dormitory assets in Manchester and Liverpool with a total bed

count of 1,906. Despite relatively lower yields vis-a-vis workers&rsquo

dormitories, they represent a timely pivot into a highly defensive

asset class with stable returns and upside from potential AEIs. We

believe with Centurion&rsquo s solid track record in unlocking asset

potential, its student accommodation business could be a trump

card in the group&rsquo s long term business strategy.

Maintain Buy, TP: S$0.91. We have trimmed FY14F/15F to

account for non-operating expenses and lowered TP as we clipped

rental growth assumptions to 0-1% from 3-4% in our DCF

valuation. Notwithstanding these changes, Centurion still offers

strong earnings growth in excess of 40% over these two years and

the stock currently offers 50% upside to our TP of S$0.91.

Forecasts and Valuation

FY Dec (S$ m) 2012A 2013A 2014F 2015F

Revenue 65 66 82 102

EBITDA 34 33 65 80

Pre-tax Profit 19 18 60 53

Net Profit 15 15 48 42

Net Pft (Pre Ex.) 15 19 30 42

EPS (S cts) 2.0 1.8 5.7 5.1

EPS Pre Ex. (S cts) 2.0 2.3 3.6 5.1

EPS Gth (%) nm (11) 219 (11)

EPS Gth Pre Ex (%) nm 13 60 40

Diluted EPS (S cts) 2.0 1.8 5.7 5.1

Net DPS (S cts) 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7

BV Per Share (S cts) 27.4 35.2 41.3 46.8

PE (X) 30.8 34.6 10.8 12.2

PE Pre Ex. (X) 30.8 27.4 17.1 12.2

P/Cash Flow (X) 14.7 18.5 9.6 10.0

EV/EBITDA (X) 14.8 20.0 13.2 10.7

Net Div Yield (%) 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.1

P/Book Value (X) 2.3 1.8 1.5 1.3

Net Debt/Equity (X) 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.9

ROAE (%) 7.5 6.0 14.9 11.6
 

 
bishan22
    21-Aug-2014 09:22  
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Took a bite this morning. Hehe.  smiley

bishan22      ( Date: 21-Aug-2014 09:08) Posted:



Making u turn. Watching.  smiley

 
 
lifeisgood
    21-Aug-2014 09:10  
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Agree, looks ridiculously high, and very low barrier to entry.

edwinjup      ( Date: 21-Aug-2014 08:13) Posted:

St reported workers at punggol site told to vacate make shift dorm may support centurion share price a bit......lol...but per bed valued at $20k still high....fyi

lifeisgood      ( Date: 20-Aug-2014 18:05) Posted:

Maybe the BBs are cooking it down now. Cook until cheap cheap then fry again


 
 
bishan22
    21-Aug-2014 09:08  
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Making u turn. Watching.  smiley
 
 
edwinjup
    21-Aug-2014 08:13  
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St reported workers at punggol site told to vacate make shift dorm may support centurion share price a bit......lol...but per bed valued at $20k still high....fyi

lifeisgood      ( Date: 20-Aug-2014 18:05) Posted:

Maybe the BBs are cooking it down now. Cook until cheap cheap then fry again.

edwinjup      ( Date: 20-Aug-2014 17:51) Posted:

One good thing about centurion is that share in public quite.low..easily.cook by bbs..just like oxle


 
 
lifeisgood
    20-Aug-2014 18:05  
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Maybe the BBs are cooking it down now. Cook until cheap cheap then fry again.

edwinjup      ( Date: 20-Aug-2014 17:51) Posted:

One good thing about centurion is that share in public quite.low..easily.cook by bbs..just like oxley

HVRRVH      ( Date: 20-Aug-2014 17:42) Posted:

Haha I don't see it happen. Well if it doesn't touch 60 I can keep and see how, otherwise divest all


 
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