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The next journey

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Longtermer
    08-Sep-2021 12:05  
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Something seem not correct.. half price is way too much.
Looking to load .. DYODD and no contra.
 

ETLee8      ( Date: 08-Sep-2021 11:17) Posted:

This is normal lah.  It has always been the case.  Last year when SG price was $1.20, TW side $3. 
Everyday up 10%, trading suspended once the 10% is reach. SG stagnant and sometimes goes negative too.

newbieliu      ( Date: 08-Sep-2021 11:06) Posted:

yea shocking i find it tooo.... dunno why TW side is abt $1 sgd then here is half of the price there


 
 
Tkong214
    08-Sep-2021 12:05  
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好 汉 不 提 当 年 勇 、 梅 花 不 提 前 世 绣 。 请 问 专 家 , 现 在 是 做 空 还 是 做 多 呢 ? 谢 谢 🙏

Luzern      ( Date: 08-Sep-2021 11:26) Posted:

I remember TW side dream was having coffee at level " 101" ............warned them and told them to run at 60+..........also got  " warm replies" from the Bulls then.

 
 
Tkong214
    08-Sep-2021 11:50  
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Roger, $1 is coming, so say the crystal ball 🔮 (errr... within 3 years, not 3 days). Not sure if that' s helpful for Day traders like you.. kekeke

jackjack      ( Date: 08-Sep-2021 09:30) Posted:

Paging for Tkong for strong buy up, so we can reopen short position 🙏 🙏

jackjack      ( Date: 30-Aug-2021 15:03) Posted:

This stock dead now. Unlike nano and union gas at least they have some rebound after sharp fall. Even UG healthcare share price going to overtake soon. Nonetheless there are not much activity so we have reduce much of the position for other opportunities. Leave other meat for other short sellers. That said im still not bullish on this stock as they might fall further in the future so good luck all the die hard fans


 

 
Luzern
    08-Sep-2021 11:26  
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I remember TW side dream was having coffee at level " 101" ............warned them and told them to run at 60+..........also got  " warm replies" from the Bulls then.
 
 
ETLee8
    08-Sep-2021 11:17  
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This is normal lah.  It has always been the case.  Last year when SG price was $1.20, TW side $3. 
Everyday up 10%, trading suspended once the 10% is reach. SG stagnant and sometimes goes negative too.

newbieliu      ( Date: 08-Sep-2021 11:06) Posted:

yea shocking i find it tooo.... dunno why TW side is abt $1 sgd then here is half of the price there!

Longtermer      ( Date: 08-Sep-2021 10:52) Posted:


Interesting time coming..
 


 
 
newbieliu
    08-Sep-2021 11:06  
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yea shocking i find it tooo.... dunno why TW side is abt $1 sgd then here is half of the price there!

Longtermer      ( Date: 08-Sep-2021 10:52) Posted:


Interesting time coming..
 

jackjack      ( Date: 08-Sep-2021 09:22) Posted:

Taiwan side open 20 which is almost 1 dollar sgd lerrr. Can you buy up to 80c let me short again back? 80c is still 20% discount from 1 dollar le. KAO NI LE! I dont want waste so good opportunities 🤣 🤣


 

 
Longtermer
    08-Sep-2021 10:52  
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Interesting time coming..
 

jackjack      ( Date: 08-Sep-2021 09:22) Posted:

Taiwan side open 20 which is almost 1 dollar sgd lerrr. Can you buy up to 80c let me short again back? 80c is still 20% discount from 1 dollar le. KAO NI LE! I dont want waste so good opportunities 🤣 🤣

Tkong214      ( Date: 07-Sep-2021 16:22) Posted:

I maintain my earlier revised Average-Down and Double Average-Down Targets:

Average Down Target: up by an jaw-dropping   53.33%  from $0.30 to $0.46 (at scrap value)

Double Average Down Target: up by an equally eye-watering  35%  from $0.20 to $0.27 (at cash & receivables value)


 
 
easywin
    08-Sep-2021 09:31  
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Here can get cheap just grab it later no more offer.
 
 
jackjack
    08-Sep-2021 09:30  
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Paging for Tkong for strong buy up, so we can reopen short position 🙏 🙏

jackjack      ( Date: 30-Aug-2021 15:03) Posted:

This stock dead now. Unlike nano and union gas at least they have some rebound after sharp fall. Even UG healthcare share price going to overtake soon. Nonetheless there are not much activity so we have reduce much of the position for other opportunities. Leave other meat for other short sellers. That said im still not bullish on this stock as they might fall further in the future so good luck all the die hard fans

 
 
Longtermer
    08-Sep-2021 09:29  
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Medtecs TDR up a lot over past few days.. Trading about 97c now. Something is brewing? Why the disconnect?? Dyodd.
 

 
jackjack
    08-Sep-2021 09:22  
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Taiwan side open 20 which is almost 1 dollar sgd lerrr. Can you buy up to 80c let me short again back? 80c is still 20% discount from 1 dollar le. KAO NI LE! I dont want waste so good opportunities 🤣 🤣

Tkong214      ( Date: 07-Sep-2021 16:22) Posted:

I maintain my earlier revised Average-Down and Double Average-Down Targets:

Average Down Target: up by an jaw-dropping   53.33%  from $0.30 to $0.46 (at scrap value)

Double Average Down Target: up by an equally eye-watering  35%  from $0.20 to $0.27 (at cash & receivables value)


Tkong214      ( Date: 20-Aug-2021 15:18) Posted:

Here' s just a summary of my recent sharings before I go on hibernation mode. Please do your own homework.  This shall not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or subscribe for any investment product or the giving of advice thereof. Please seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment product, taking into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any person in receipt of the recommendation, before making a commitment to purchase any financial product. Whilst all care is taken in the preparation of this material, no warranty is given in respect to the information provided and accordingly no responsibility for errors or omissions.  Good luck, everyone!!!

Dear all MT retail sufferers, 
I can feel your pain and despair in this brutal selldown as I am also stuck with 10 lots at above $1. But this doesn' t affect me too much as I think I can stomach the loss although I still kick myself for not selling on Monday opening at $0.70. The key is not overstretching yourself in any investment, especially penny stocks. I  feel that MT has reached a near term capitulation this morning at $0.535. Even dead cat bounds after the point of max pessimism. I hope not many here were flushed out this morning. This would be a very sad ending for those who did and I can understand your situation and feel your pain. That' s not to say I believe it will be smooth sailing for the stock from now on. On the contrary, I hope the stock manipulators will continue to whack this down to the cash level of $0.20 or lower so I can double averaging down. I also do so in support of a company that has had protected the world from the ongoing pandemic and any new pandemic to come for the past 30 odd years. I hope it does not  go bankrupt will do. Take care, everyone!

Just my 2 cts worth on fundamentals:

On financial numbers (1H 2021)

NAV: US$0.3426 or    S$0.46
Cash: US$61.1m or    S$0.15
Receivable: US$47.6m or    S$0.12
EPS (1H2021): US$0.0349 or    S$0.046


On revenue composition in 2020

Isolation gowns and coveralls and others:    50%
Shoe covers, face shields, bouffant caps, non-disposable uniforms:    30%
Face masks:    20%


On expenses

1H 2021 Distribution & selling expenses + Admin expenses over Revenue was high compared to 1H 2020. Management said it' s due to higher promotional and marketing expenses. Okay fine. I do not think these two expenses in 2H 2021 will be as high as 2H 2020 as lower projected revenue means lower freight-out and commission expenses. Finance expenses will be negligible with the redemption of loan. One thing the management has to do is to rein in wages and salaries, which jumped by over 10m in 2020. It' s okay to pay yourself good bonus when sales and profit are good, but when results is down everyone should suffer together.   

On outlook

For 2H outlook, North America which is a huge market has been a bright spot in 1H and I hope the trend continues. Asia Pacific will depend much on the government stockpiling cycle. If it doesn' t come in 2H, it will come in 2022 or 2023 as eventually the stocks need to be replenished or expired. Unless MT is no longer the partner.   

The main revenue contributor of isolation gowns and overalls has a very good margin. The usage is not confined to just healthcare sector electronic and semiconductor sectors can also use its range of products. I am not particularly concerned about its capex or excess capacity. Medtecs can adjust the production of masks rather flexibly. The utilisation rate prior to Covid-19 was less than 10%. It can ramp up production quickly to meet demand. At max capacity, it can now produce 2m masks daily. Production can go up to 3m pieces/day in 2022 if the US plant commissions production and if demand is there.
 
Alas, looking at the numbers alone, I don' t think my double average down target of $0.20 will be reached. As long as the company generates positive cash flow on operating activities, I am not that concerned at the current price level. The management can buy back a bit of shares as confidence booster. I hope it does not pay a generous dividend as some heartless people would sell immediately after the cheque is in. Cash should be conserved for M& A and other opportunities. Or leave it to boost the book value until S$1!!!
 
Imagine if Medtecs is appointed as a PPE stockpiling provider by the US government in addition to S' pore, Taiwan, Philippines, and Cambodia..,. Huat liao. US likes and supports Taiwanese companies.

Chairman Yang has worked on the ground for the past 30 odd years, and has built up good relationships with the local governments in the Philippines and Cambodia. He' s even elected as the chairman of Chinese-Philippines Business Council and founding chairman of Confederation of Philippines Manufacturers of PPE.

PM of Cambodia Hun Sen even visited Medtecs' plants in Cambodia and credited the elder Yang for developing the area, the PM' s hometown. Relationship takes decades to build. It has survived in the past 30 years. With the new pot of cash, I don' t think it cannot survive in the next 3-5 years.    For traders who cannot even look beyond today, you are always the lunch of the stock manipulators!!!

If you have a huge position in this or if you borrow to buy or if you are doing day trading, you should be very concerned. The stock manipulators can depressed the prices for longer than you can remain solvent. But if your time frame is 3-5 years, I am hopeful that it will revisit $1...


 
 
3jhuat
    08-Sep-2021 09:18  
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All the fun for Medtecs is happening at Taiwan side.
Really need strong heart to hold Medtecs TDR there.
 
 
jackjack
    08-Sep-2021 09:16  
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Im winning money while you're holding this stock with paper loss and you feel sad for me?? Haha. The one not discipline always the one dont know how to cut loss ya, and wasting time holding onto stock and losing opportunity cost seeing other stock growing. Judging on your reply, im prerty sure you are the one. We buy/sell based on dilligent information and trend we have, not by stubborn judgement and using pray and hope. Lol. let me write something back to you to show what is your style is.. "aiyo taiwan side go up again worrr, can you buy up to 80c let me short ya? Kao ni le 🙏 🙏 " 🤣 🤣 if i really pray and hope you do that for me, no need win in stock lor

Tkong214      ( Date: 07-Sep-2021 17:07) Posted:

Jack, no need to feel sad for me. That' s called discipline. I feel sad for you as a day trader. Lead so stressful and meaningless life for what? ... watching the time and life got wasted away.... Should do something more meaningful ma. Heard 11/10 traders losing money net net, true or not? Sob sob. I shall not throw stones down into your well. Take care..

jackjack      ( Date: 07-Sep-2021 16:29) Posted:

Feel so sad for you. You so like this company but don't even dare to buy at current price. That has show even you this supporter also feel that current price is TOO EXPENSIVE valuation to buy. Can see how desperate you are holding this stock. Turn the other way around, why not you buy up for me to short? Will you if i ask you to??? Be a grown up man and stop whining. Then you will only learn how to make money from stock market. As i said im not only one in the market but thanks so looking me up that im the one controlling the price


 
 
Tkong214
    07-Sep-2021 17:07  
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Jack, no need to feel sad for me. That' s called discipline. I feel sad for you as a day trader. Lead so stressful and meaningless life for what? ... watching the time and life got wasted away.... Should do something more meaningful ma. Heard 11/10 traders losing money net net, true or not? Sob sob. I shall not throw stones down into your well. Take care..

jackjack      ( Date: 07-Sep-2021 16:29) Posted:

Feel so sad for you. You so like this company but don't even dare to buy at current price. That has show even you this supporter also feel that current price is TOO EXPENSIVE valuation to buy. Can see how desperate you are holding this stock. Turn the other way around, why not you buy up for me to short? Will you if i ask you to??? Be a grown up man and stop whining. Then you will only learn how to make money from stock market. As i said im not only one in the market but thanks so looking me up that im the one controlling the prices

Tkong214      ( Date: 07-Sep-2021 13:39) Posted:

Jack & ET, why like that?!! So near yet so far. When it hit $0.53, I thought lai liao lai liao, within range of my single average-down target of $0.46 at scrap value. And now this! Can let me average down first or not? Thanks for your help!! 谢 谢 你 们 ! 🙏 🙏 🙏


 
 
jackjack
    07-Sep-2021 16:32  
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Obviously a bear trap. Not the first time already. If any case sg side decide to go for big surge, we will go back reopen our short position. Easy win. But seems here people are smarter now. Nobody dare to buy as many are waiting opportunities to dump this stock

3jhuat      ( Date: 06-Sep-2021 16:47) Posted:

Maybe Taiwan side bear trap again!! Actually Medtecs is a very fun stock.

lailai      ( Date: 06-Sep-2021 16:15) Posted:

What a joke. In TW, up by 10%, in sgx struggling at 1% up, who knows could be flat by end of day in this Asia' s #1 worxx stock mkt. So how to be surprised?sadfrown


 

 
jackjack
    07-Sep-2021 16:29  
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Feel so sad for you. You so like this company but don't even dare to buy at current price. That has show even you this supporter also feel that current price is TOO EXPENSIVE valuation to buy. Can see how desperate you are holding this stock. Turn the other way around, why not you buy up for me to short? Will you if i ask you to??? Be a grown up man and stop whining. Then you will only learn how to make money from stock market. As i said im not only one in the market but thanks so looking me up that im the one controlling the prices

Tkong214      ( Date: 07-Sep-2021 13:39) Posted:

Jack & ET, why like that?!! So near yet so far. When it hit $0.53, I thought lai liao lai liao, within range of my single average-down target of $0.46 at scrap value. And now this! Can let me average down first or not? Thanks for your help!! 谢 谢 你 们 ! 🙏 🙏 🙏

Tkong214      ( Date: 25-Aug-2021 15:55) Posted:

After today' s slight uptick (in months) and the long wait and Jack and gang' s inaction, it' s with a heavy heart (and much unwillingness) that I announce the sharp increases in my average down and double average down targets with immediate effect:


Average Down Target: up by an eye-watering 53.33% from $0.30 to $0.46 (at scrap value)

Double Average Down Target: up by an equally eye-watering 35% from $0.20 to $0.27 (at cash & receivables value)


 
 
Tkong214
    07-Sep-2021 16:22  
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I maintain my earlier revised Average-Down and Double Average-Down Targets:

Average Down Target: up by an jaw-dropping   53.33%  from $0.30 to $0.46 (at scrap value)

Double Average Down Target: up by an equally eye-watering  35%  from $0.20 to $0.27 (at cash & receivables value)


Tkong214      ( Date: 20-Aug-2021 15:18) Posted:

Here' s just a summary of my recent sharings before I go on hibernation mode. Please do your own homework.  This shall not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or subscribe for any investment product or the giving of advice thereof. Please seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment product, taking into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any person in receipt of the recommendation, before making a commitment to purchase any financial product. Whilst all care is taken in the preparation of this material, no warranty is given in respect to the information provided and accordingly no responsibility for errors or omissions.  Good luck, everyone!!!

Dear all MT retail sufferers, 
I can feel your pain and despair in this brutal selldown as I am also stuck with 10 lots at above $1. But this doesn' t affect me too much as I think I can stomach the loss although I still kick myself for not selling on Monday opening at $0.70. The key is not overstretching yourself in any investment, especially penny stocks. I  feel that MT has reached a near term capitulation this morning at $0.535. Even dead cat bounds after the point of max pessimism. I hope not many here were flushed out this morning. This would be a very sad ending for those who did and I can understand your situation and feel your pain. That' s not to say I believe it will be smooth sailing for the stock from now on. On the contrary, I hope the stock manipulators will continue to whack this down to the cash level of $0.20 or lower so I can double averaging down. I also do so in support of a company that has had protected the world from the ongoing pandemic and any new pandemic to come for the past 30 odd years. I hope it does not  go bankrupt will do. Take care, everyone!

Just my 2 cts worth on fundamentals:

On financial numbers (1H 2021)

NAV: US$0.3426 or    S$0.46
Cash: US$61.1m or    S$0.15
Receivable: US$47.6m or    S$0.12
EPS (1H2021): US$0.0349 or    S$0.046


On revenue composition in 2020

Isolation gowns and coveralls and others:    50%
Shoe covers, face shields, bouffant caps, non-disposable uniforms:    30%
Face masks:    20%


On expenses

1H 2021 Distribution & selling expenses + Admin expenses over Revenue was high compared to 1H 2020. Management said it' s due to higher promotional and marketing expenses. Okay fine. I do not think these two expenses in 2H 2021 will be as high as 2H 2020 as lower projected revenue means lower freight-out and commission expenses. Finance expenses will be negligible with the redemption of loan. One thing the management has to do is to rein in wages and salaries, which jumped by over 10m in 2020. It' s okay to pay yourself good bonus when sales and profit are good, but when results is down everyone should suffer together.   

On outlook

For 2H outlook, North America which is a huge market has been a bright spot in 1H and I hope the trend continues. Asia Pacific will depend much on the government stockpiling cycle. If it doesn' t come in 2H, it will come in 2022 or 2023 as eventually the stocks need to be replenished or expired. Unless MT is no longer the partner.   

The main revenue contributor of isolation gowns and overalls has a very good margin. The usage is not confined to just healthcare sector electronic and semiconductor sectors can also use its range of products. I am not particularly concerned about its capex or excess capacity. Medtecs can adjust the production of masks rather flexibly. The utilisation rate prior to Covid-19 was less than 10%. It can ramp up production quickly to meet demand. At max capacity, it can now produce 2m masks daily. Production can go up to 3m pieces/day in 2022 if the US plant commissions production and if demand is there.
 
Alas, looking at the numbers alone, I don' t think my double average down target of $0.20 will be reached. As long as the company generates positive cash flow on operating activities, I am not that concerned at the current price level. The management can buy back a bit of shares as confidence booster. I hope it does not pay a generous dividend as some heartless people would sell immediately after the cheque is in. Cash should be conserved for M& A and other opportunities. Or leave it to boost the book value until S$1!!!
 
Imagine if Medtecs is appointed as a PPE stockpiling provider by the US government in addition to S' pore, Taiwan, Philippines, and Cambodia..,. Huat liao. US likes and supports Taiwanese companies.

Chairman Yang has worked on the ground for the past 30 odd years, and has built up good relationships with the local governments in the Philippines and Cambodia. He' s even elected as the chairman of Chinese-Philippines Business Council and founding chairman of Confederation of Philippines Manufacturers of PPE.

PM of Cambodia Hun Sen even visited Medtecs' plants in Cambodia and credited the elder Yang for developing the area, the PM' s hometown. Relationship takes decades to build. It has survived in the past 30 years. With the new pot of cash, I don' t think it cannot survive in the next 3-5 years.    For traders who cannot even look beyond today, you are always the lunch of the stock manipulators!!!

If you have a huge position in this or if you borrow to buy or if you are doing day trading, you should be very concerned. The stock manipulators can depressed the prices for longer than you can remain solvent. But if your time frame is 3-5 years, I am hopeful that it will revisit $1...

 
 
Tkong214
    07-Sep-2021 13:39  
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Jack & ET, why like that?!! So near yet so far. When it hit $0.53, I thought lai liao lai liao, within range of my single average-down target of $0.46 at scrap value. And now this! Can let me average down first or not? Thanks for your help!! 谢 谢 你 们 ! 🙏 🙏 🙏

Tkong214      ( Date: 25-Aug-2021 15:55) Posted:

After today' s slight uptick (in months) and the long wait and Jack and gang' s inaction, it' s with a heavy heart (and much unwillingness) that I announce the sharp increases in my average down and double average down targets with immediate effect:


Average Down Target: up by an eye-watering 53.33% from $0.30 to $0.46 (at scrap value)

Double Average Down Target: up by an equally eye-watering 35% from $0.20 to $0.27 (at cash & receivables value)


Tkong214      ( Date: 23-Aug-2021 15:54) Posted:

Medtecs has had plunged by exactly half or 55.5 cents since $1.11 in mid-May.

I believe those who are still holding it will not be affected too much emotionally if there' s another 20 or 30 cents drawdown from here. I' ll not do anything at this level which is near the book value. I' ll only average down at $0.30 and double average down at $0.20, if the stock manipulators are capable of pushing it down to that company liquidation levels. I' ll only sell when I am at least even. Best of luck, everyone! 


 
 
tofudidi
    07-Sep-2021 13:00  
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i second that.

Midtermer      ( Date: 07-Sep-2021 12:50) Posted:

Chart is pointing to technical rebound so we may see 6 series this week. But reversal unlikely unless there are fundamental changes. Dyodd.

easywin      ( Date: 07-Sep-2021 12:46) Posted:

Taiwan side up this one no follow, only follow when Taiwan down. very funny..


 
 
Midtermer
    07-Sep-2021 12:50  
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Chart is pointing to technical rebound so we may see 6 series this week. But reversal unlikely unless there are fundamental changes. Dyodd.

easywin      ( Date: 07-Sep-2021 12:46) Posted:

Taiwan side up this one no follow, only follow when Taiwan down. very funny..

 
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