When the express TRAINs start to move soon   from E to W.
What will happen ???? 
 
Companies:
* Tough competition from Emirates, others on long-haul routes
* Budget carriers taking 50 percent of seats in SE Asia
* SIA " lacking confidence" to price appropriately-analyst
By Anshuman Daga
SINGAPORE, Nov 13 (Reuters) - Struggling Singapore Airlines Ltd is showing little sign of a recovery with passenger yields falling to near four-year lows, highlighting SIA's eroding pricing power in a weak market for premium airlines.
SIA's yields fell for the third consecutive quarter as it faced stiff competition on its medium and long-haul routes from Gulf carriers such as Emirates Airline and others including Malaysian Airline System Bhd and Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd.
Premium-class travel, which makes up about 40 percent of SIA's revenue, has been hit as businesses cut travel spending and budget carriers including AirAsia Bhd and privately held Lion Air are also attracting more passengers and now operate more than 50 percent of seat capacity in Southeast Asia.
" We are going through a period in the world where demand is sluggish, but there's been a lot of capacity growth by many airlines, some more than others," Mak Swee Wah, head of commercial activities at SIA, told Reuters on Wednesday after a presentation to analysts.
On Tuesday, SIA reported a 24 percent rise in operating profit to S$86.9 million ($69.5 million)in the quarter ended September from a year earlier, matching an average estimate of S$87.2 million in a Reuters poll of four analysts.
Passenger yield, or the average price a passenger pays to fly one kilometre, fell to 11 Singapore cents from 11.4 Singapore cents at SIA's flagship airline unit. Passenger numbers rose about 6 percent to 4.8 million.
Promotional activities and a rising Singapore dollar against major revenue-generating currencies pushed yields lower.
" This is one business where there's no one single factor. You have to push all accelerators and at the same time making sure that your cost is under control," Mak said.
Though advance bookings are picking up, SIA expects yields to remain under pressure. Analysts said this was surprising, given that Cathay Pacific was keeping its prices firm.
" Singapore Airlines is obviously just lacking confidence in its ability to price its products appropriately," said Timothy Ross, analyst at Credit Suisse, who cut SIA's net profit estimate for this year by 20 percent and downgraded the stock to " neutral."
" On every basis, Cathay is a much better-run airline," said Ross, adding that Cathay was more nimble, more responsive on products and more aggressive on pricing products appropriately.
To win customers, SIA and its regional arm, SilkAir, said checked-in baggage allowances would increase by 10 kilograms for all classes of travel from Nov. 15. Economy-class passengers will be able to carry 30 kilograms of free baggage.
Under CEO Goh Choon Phong, SIA has been diversifying its revenue streams and aims to create new ones, such as an Indian joint venture for a full-service airline it expects to start operating from next year.
SIA, 56-percent owned by Singapore sovereign investor Temasek Holdings Pte Ltd, started Scoot, a medium and long-haul budget airline last year and it has raised its one-third stake in short-haul budget airline Tiger Airways Holdings Ltd.
" It certainly seems to be running faster just to stand
still. There is a lot of capital being expanded, but it's not
clear that there's going to be a return on that capital," Ross
said of SIA.
($1 = 1.2504 Singapore dollars)
Singapore Airlines: Competitive pressures remain
Singapore Airlines' (SIA) 2QFY14 results exceeded our expectations following a lower fuel bill and much better-than-forecasted associate performance and one-off gains. (Management also declared an interim dividend of 10 S cents vs. 6 S cents for 1H13). However, despite the improved performance, passenger yields remained depressed as sustained competitive pressures necessitated a prolonged extension of promotional fares. Although management has indicated advance bookings for 3QFY14 to be higher YoY, we feel that the increase is seasonal rather than structural and yields are still likely to stay depressed as a result. Maintain SELL on SIA with an unchanged fair value estimate of S$9.50. (Lim Siyi)
Singapore Airlines' (SIA) 2QFY14 results exceeded our expectations following a lower fuel bill and much better-than-forecasted associate performance and one-off gains. (Management also declared an interim dividend of 10 S cents vs. 6 S cents for 1H13). However, despite the improved performance, passenger yields remained depressed as sustained competitive pressures necessitated a prolonged extension of promotional fares. Although management has indicated advance bookings for 3QFY14 to be higher YoY, we feel that the increase is seasonal rather than structural and yields are still likely to stay depressed as a result. Maintain SELL on SIA with an unchanged fair value estimate of S$9.50. (Lim Siyi)
SINGAPORE Airlines (SIA) reported a net profit of S$160.6 million for the second quarter ended Sept 30, up from S$90.1 million in 2QFY12/13.
The group's net profit improved nearly 78 per cent year-on-year due to higher operating profit, share of profits from associated companies as well as gains from the sale of aircraft.
Revenue for the quarter registered at S$3.9 billion, up from S$3.79 billion previously, while earnings per share came in at 13.6 Singapore cents, compared to 7.7 Singapore cents in 2QFY12/13.
For the six months ended Sept 30, net profit climbed from S$168.1 million to S$282.4 million revenue rose to S$7.74 billion from S$7.57 billion.
You scare what? Every industry got companies making losses one what. But what matter is you can make profit or not. The fact that India Airline is making losses is a good news instead. Your competitor who has long been protected by its GOV has no competitive advantage.
hlfoo2010 ( Date: 25-Oct-2013 14:56) Posted:
|
Sinking india airline ???
thanks gavini
12
Nov after trading hours.
sun233 ( Date: 24-Oct-2013 10:20) Posted:
|
 
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/transportation/airlines-/-aviation/tata-sia-airline-venture-likely-to-get-fipb-nod-on-thursday/articleshow/24619920.cms
 
Enough said. At this point anything can happen. Knee jerk reaction at most. Only dividend will save the day. Rosesyrup.....agree with you.....will reap rewards later next year but for now hopefully they increase dividend. Can't understand wh they have not considering they bought back shares. Earnings announcement awaited. Is it on 1Nov or 12 Nov? anyone knows.
Maybank-KE has results preview. The house expect SIA?s Cargo unit to drag group further into the red. Expect SIA to report core operating loss of $41m for 2QFY3/14F (2QFY3/13: +SGD70m 1QFY3/14:+SGD82m) when it releases its results on 12 Nov 2013. Across the core business units, expect breakeven load factors to head north sequentially on higher jet fuel prices and downward pressure on yields. Overall, group earnings would have to be supported by its associates and the joint ventures of SIAEC. Overall, the house reiterates its HOLD call on SIA with target price trimmed to $10.20. Prefer exposure to SIAEC (BUY, TP: $6.19), its profitable engineering arm.
Buy. Don't be afraid!
SIA suffered a slower month across its three major business units with SQ passenger traffic slowing, partially due to festive season dates, but also highlighting the need to maintain high promotional activity to prop up the load factors. At Silkair the growth exhibited over the past 2 years has slowed materially and demand now needs to grow into the additional capacity with no passenger growth in September. CLSA believe cargo has removed substantial costs along with freighter capacity, but demand is still falling faster. While capacity growth is slowing not all competitors are doing so and thus competition is brisk and ROE low. With passenger demand being driven by greater discounting, this creates risk to yield assumptions even as SQ looks to introduce higher fees for peak day services. The continuing low PBx valuation reflects both short term ROE, but also concern over the structural rather than just cyclicality SIA faces. CLSA maintains UNDERPERFORM with TP $10.28.
http://sg.news.yahoo.com/tony-fernandes-admits-airasia-screw-ups-japan-europe-072031055.html
Tony Fernandes admits AirAsia screw-ups in Japan, Europe, says London still a target
AirAsia founder Tony Fernandes (pic) admits that the low-cost carrier failed in its ventures in Japan and Europe.
?Japan was a disaster. Our partner didn?t understand what we wanted,? said Fernandes at the Global Entrepreneurship Summit 2013 in Kuala Lumpur today.
AirAsia parted ways with Japan?s All Nippon Airways (ANA) when it sold its 49% stake in AirAsia Japan to ANA in June this year.
Both airlines had clashed over management and operational differences followed by losses amounting to ¥3.5 billion (RM113 million).
Fernandes, 49, has publicly said that he wants AirAsia to re-enter the Japanese market and is on the lookout for financial partners.
?We?ve just got to look for the right one this time because we screwed up the last time,? he added.
He also spoke on the airline?s failed routes in Europe, citing multiple factors for the axing of the carrier?s European routes in March 2012.
?We pulled out of London because we had the wrong aircraft, the A340. The price of oil was US$80 (RM254) at the time. Then it went up to US$130 (RM413). With a four-engine aircraft, it was just not feasible,? Fernandes said, adding that the UK government's green tax is " discriminatory against ultra-long-haul airlines" .
But Fernandes is keen to revive AirAsia?s previously axed routes, specifically to London.
?We've got to be in Europe. There?s a huge demand for London,? he said.
He said in June this year that the company was looking into commencing its flights to Europe once it receives its Airbus A350 aircraft, which are expected to be delivered beyond 2017 ? a timeline that Fernandes says may be too late for the carrier to re-enter the European market.
?We may change the seating configuration and have business class, but we do have to fly to London,? he added.
He also rubbished rumours that low-cost carrier Malindo Air poses a threat to AirAsia, saying: ?I have zero interest in Malindo? our competition is ourselves.?
Malindo is a new joint-venture between Lion Air, Indonesia?s low-cost carrier, and Malaysia?s National Aerospace and Defence Industries (NADI). The airline started operating in March this year. - October 12, 2013.
 
 
 
?Japan was a disaster. Our partner didn?t understand what we wanted,? said Fernandes at the Global Entrepreneurship Summit 2013 in Kuala Lumpur today.
AirAsia parted ways with Japan?s All Nippon Airways (ANA) when it sold its 49% stake in AirAsia Japan to ANA in June this year.
Both airlines had clashed over management and operational differences followed by losses amounting to ¥3.5 billion (RM113 million).
Fernandes, 49, has publicly said that he wants AirAsia to re-enter the Japanese market and is on the lookout for financial partners.
?We?ve just got to look for the right one this time because we screwed up the last time,? he added.
He also spoke on the airline?s failed routes in Europe, citing multiple factors for the axing of the carrier?s European routes in March 2012.
?We pulled out of London because we had the wrong aircraft, the A340. The price of oil was US$80 (RM254) at the time. Then it went up to US$130 (RM413). With a four-engine aircraft, it was just not feasible,? Fernandes said, adding that the UK government's green tax is " discriminatory against ultra-long-haul airlines" .
But Fernandes is keen to revive AirAsia?s previously axed routes, specifically to London.
?We've got to be in Europe. There?s a huge demand for London,? he said.
He said in June this year that the company was looking into commencing its flights to Europe once it receives its Airbus A350 aircraft, which are expected to be delivered beyond 2017 ? a timeline that Fernandes says may be too late for the carrier to re-enter the European market.
?We may change the seating configuration and have business class, but we do have to fly to London,? he added.
He also rubbished rumours that low-cost carrier Malindo Air poses a threat to AirAsia, saying: ?I have zero interest in Malindo? our competition is ourselves.?
Malindo is a new joint-venture between Lion Air, Indonesia?s low-cost carrier, and Malaysia?s National Aerospace and Defence Industries (NADI). The airline started operating in March this year. - October 12, 2013.
 
 
 
MY previous TP of $9.60 was breached just 1 month after I posted it here. (you can verify by scrolling through the posting history on SIA forum.)
Reiterate current TP: $11.20. Pay less attention to the negative news in the industry. India present a big opportunity plus TATA the white knight. SIA is SAVED for sure. Nevertheless, it still take some times for SIA to reap the intangible benefit by working with TATA. 
CLSA's channel checks suggests that the air transport market should remain tough, after confirmation on a lack of rebound in corporate demand. Further, the corporate travel budgets and policies which tightened in 4Q 2011 have not loosened whilst class downgrades are still occurring. SIA's forward capacity growth of 3% y/y matches the forward booking numbers. Asian Air cargo volume continues to lag global trade, failing to bounce off the bottom, despite more positive numbers from IATA globally, where the M.E, Latam and Europe grew at faster rates. Global trade has grown at 3.5% 3-year CAGR in volume terms whilst Asian Airfreight has shrunk by 3.9%. However with the US Government shutdown, there is some risk of customs clearance of goods at ports being delayed. This could be the catalyst required to disrupt supply chains and stimulate air cargo demand whilst inventory levels are low. SIA?s issues are factored into its valuations, at a forward 0.89 P/B valuation compared to the 2-year average of 0.95x and a trough 0.86x. However, given there has been no demand shock, there seems to be bigger structural issues at play.
Deutsche updates that the recently proposed Indian JV with Tata Sons to set up a full service airline based in New Delhi is promising, but short term earnings challenges remain. Downward passenger yield pressures remain and SIA has not seen any significant pickup in the cargo business. Deutsche thinks it makes sense for SIA to try to expand into that market given longer term growth potential of the main SIA carrier is only 4 ? 6% p.a. However, the house cautions on regulatory approval which may take months, and fuel taxes and airport bottlenecks which is the norm for the Indian market. Maintains Sell with TP: $8.80
DONT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF TATA! 
  I would like to up my TP for SIA to $11.20. TATA is a   firm governed by one of world best management team! By working with TATA, SIA has alot of learning opportunity and learning can be transferred and applied to parent company.
Don't blink your eyes, you will be awed by how much intangible benefits TATA gives to   SIA. 
CIMB maintains Neutral with $10.50 TP, following SIA?s latest JV with Tata Sons. House believe that this is a positive step for SIA, although any benefits are unlikely to accrue until the new airline has been established. No timeline has been set for this yet. While SIA has sufficient cash to invest in its latest venture, this development reinforces view that gains on the sale of its Virgin Atlantic stake will not be fully distributed to investors.
Singapore Air and Tata plan full-service Indian airline
  " It is Tata Sons' evaluation that civil aviation in India offers sustainable growth potential," the Tata Group's Prasad Menon, who will be the chairman of the planned carrier with Singapore Airlines, said in a statement.
SIA MGT wake up?????  Another bad dreams???????

