Post Reply
521-540 of 2940
Haha Sis MX,
I am just kidding about thesis on Bond Market.
Firstly my England not so good, secondly SJ if take to long to type and
if dont save message it will not be posted when send.
Butter, what I do know is that the fixed-income market is looking at
3.25%/3.50% Fed Funds rate by Nov/Dec 2022,
3.75% by Feb 2023
Therefore if one already is aware of the above expectation the Fed hike
announcement in July and following Fomc meeting is quite non event,
having said that, market will still react to the announcement evident from
the volatile movement for those who stay up to watch, butter end of the
day they are just whipsawing, even the next day stock sold off again whether
the Fed actually do 50 or 75bps, so all these news we hear or read about
how much rate hike this and that and how market might react are just noises
and maye not be accurate, i.e. some say 50bs market goes down, some say
75bps relief rally, still market goes down the next day.
The known fact is that Fed is on a mission to contain inflation in their effort to bring
it down to their long term goal of 2% inflation. And they are going to hike till
its achieve and which is why the fixed income market has priced in say a 3.50%
Fed Funds by end of the year. What market will react to will be news
concercening inflations data, crude oil prices is of some guage etc etc....and
of course economics data blah blah....as I write Leading economic indicators is
down -0.4 and this is a second consecutive months.
to be continue....if members here can share your views and we have further
discussion.....
Cheers.
I am just kidding about thesis on Bond Market.
Firstly my England not so good, secondly SJ if take to long to type and
if dont save message it will not be posted when send.
Butter, what I do know is that the fixed-income market is looking at
3.25%/3.50% Fed Funds rate by Nov/Dec 2022,
3.75% by Feb 2023
Therefore if one already is aware of the above expectation the Fed hike
announcement in July and following Fomc meeting is quite non event,
having said that, market will still react to the announcement evident from
the volatile movement for those who stay up to watch, butter end of the
day they are just whipsawing, even the next day stock sold off again whether
the Fed actually do 50 or 75bps, so all these news we hear or read about
how much rate hike this and that and how market might react are just noises
and maye not be accurate, i.e. some say 50bs market goes down, some say
75bps relief rally, still market goes down the next day.
The known fact is that Fed is on a mission to contain inflation in their effort to bring
it down to their long term goal of 2% inflation. And they are going to hike till
its achieve and which is why the fixed income market has priced in say a 3.50%
Fed Funds by end of the year. What market will react to will be news
concercening inflations data, crude oil prices is of some guage etc etc....and
of course economics data blah blah....as I write Leading economic indicators is
down -0.4 and this is a second consecutive months.
to be continue....if members here can share your views and we have further
discussion.....
Cheers.
MeiXin ( Date: 17-Jun-2022 09:44) Posted:
|
Brought to you by Nabeh & Heng Sexurities.
By Chartits : TikTalk
In my previous post I cautioned about support line B and if broken will have negative impact on prices.
It has done that and felled to 65c today. This chart is for reference where ever level ii goes down to, 62c,
56c or 50c, worse still if over a longer time it goes to 30c. Always have a stop lost which ever level you buy.
I often post on Riverstone because I believe this is a better glove stock than the others, maybe one day in
the future I will buy. Covid-19 wont be the last, experts has said so. Besides, River is ahead in clean room gloves
and their margin is higher. I think they will survive and if some other gloves company do not make it to the next
pandemic, it will benefit those who are still in business.
I had in the past posted numerous chart comparing River to the others and found its share prices has outperformed
the others, it held up better during down time.
All the bre@st
By Chartits : TikTalk
In my previous post I cautioned about support line B and if broken will have negative impact on prices.
It has done that and felled to 65c today. This chart is for reference where ever level ii goes down to, 62c,
56c or 50c, worse still if over a longer time it goes to 30c. Always have a stop lost which ever level you buy.
I often post on Riverstone because I believe this is a better glove stock than the others, maybe one day in
the future I will buy. Covid-19 wont be the last, experts has said so. Besides, River is ahead in clean room gloves
and their margin is higher. I think they will survive and if some other gloves company do not make it to the next
pandemic, it will benefit those who are still in business.
I had in the past posted numerous chart comparing River to the others and found its share prices has outperformed
the others, it held up better during down time.
All the bre@st
TikTalk ( Date: 24-May-2022 10:59) Posted:
|
Hello zillion,
The yield curve is still steep atm other than those few occasions of inversion intraday.
Yes, as further rate hike take place in the coming months the curve will flatten and may
possibly invert at some point in time. Currently the 2yr is 3.16% vs 10yr at 3.24%, is
still 8 bps away from flattening.
Agree that some funds will shift toward fixed-income securities during this period of uncertainties.
The yield curve is still steep atm other than those few occasions of inversion intraday.
Yes, as further rate hike take place in the coming months the curve will flatten and may
possibly invert at some point in time. Currently the 2yr is 3.16% vs 10yr at 3.24%, is
still 8 bps away from flattening.
Agree that some funds will shift toward fixed-income securities during this period of uncertainties.
zillion ( Date: 17-Jun-2022 09:55) Posted:
|
Bros TT, the yield inversion will continue with long bond staying above 3%. A good predictor of recession in 16-18 months' time. Short end will continue to have higher interest rate bec Fed will want to being down high inflation 8.6%. QT means lesser liquidity in the banking system in order to get demand destruction. Good to sell equities to park into some fixed income securities until calmer times.
TikTalk ( Date: 17-Jun-2022 09:25) Posted:
|
Bro TT.
Screenshot your post Liao.
Will save all valuable sharing from you n others to learn n improve myself.
Haha waiting for your insightful thesis .:))))
Recently weather is good for outdoor exercise.
Enjoy your weekend.
Thank you!
:)))))
TikTalk ( Date: 17-Jun-2022 09:25) Posted:
|
Good morning Sis MX,
I was planing on writing a long thesis this weekend on the Bond Market.
Since you ask in short, the fixed-income market is saying that as short-term rate increases, long-term
rates are expected to fall.
Stock market participants tend to only focus on short-term interest rate(Fed Funds or bank deposit rates).
Fixed-income participants looks at the entire yield curve 3months T-bills to 30 years bond yields.
Nothing about Covid or Ukraine war, its not flight to quality that we used to hear in the past.
Cheers
I was planing on writing a long thesis this weekend on the Bond Market.
Since you ask in short, the fixed-income market is saying that as short-term rate increases, long-term
rates are expected to fall.
Stock market participants tend to only focus on short-term interest rate(Fed Funds or bank deposit rates).
Fixed-income participants looks at the entire yield curve 3months T-bills to 30 years bond yields.
Nothing about Covid or Ukraine war, its not flight to quality that we used to hear in the past.
Cheers
MeiXin ( Date: 17-Jun-2022 09:04) Posted:
|
Good morning Bro TT,
In your opinion this yield declined caused by policy makers or nature disaster ( covid) or Ukraine War?
Hee hee I not testing your hi IQ. Genuine question hope to hear all views so we can trade safe.
Cheers!
:)))
TikTalk ( Date: 17-Jun-2022 08:40) Posted:
|
Here you see is a hourly 10yr US treasury future price chart(inverse relation to yield).
Meaning yield has declined from a high of around 3.45% to currently 3.24%.
It appear that a Inverse Head & Shoulder was formed with a break above the Neckline.
Price may have bottomed or yield may have peaked in the short term(or temporary).
So why has 10 year yield decline since the Fed raise rate by 75bps? Food for thought.
Meaning yield has declined from a high of around 3.45% to currently 3.24%.
It appear that a Inverse Head & Shoulder was formed with a break above the Neckline.
Price may have bottomed or yield may have peaked in the short term(or temporary).
So why has 10 year yield decline since the Fed raise rate by 75bps? Food for thought.
Market down also got problem what to buy...
SPY 338
SPY 338Kendolah99 ( Date: 16-Jun-2022 23:05) Posted:
|
Right. Some hawker food sell atas food at atas prices! Just a tad below restaurant prices...
Hawker food nowadays not like days of old liao...they are upmarket...haha!
Hawker food nowadays not like days of old liao...they are upmarket...haha!
Kendolah99 ( Date: 16-Jun-2022 23:16) Posted:
|
Bro Max, don' t need to ask how much, just go eat. It' s hawker food, we can afford. Go spend some money, help the hawkers....
A few stalls away from this Wantan Noodle is one selling Indian Vadai. Suggest eating it fresh there with the barista kopi.
A few stalls away from this Wantan Noodle is one selling Indian Vadai. Suggest eating it fresh there with the barista kopi.
Maxgrow68 ( Date: 16-Jun-2022 17:59) Posted:
|
Thanks Sis, but I seldom trade at night, too fast and furious for me.
seeseelooklook ( Date: 16-Jun-2022 22:18) Posted:
|
With your blessing Bro TT
Trade safe tonight.
Trade safe tonight.
TikTalk ( Date: 16-Jun-2022 21:44) Posted:
|
Congrats again Sis SSLL...
seeseelooklook ( Date: 16-Jun-2022 20:44) Posted:
|
Congrats Bro TT
Managed to catch at 30058 and closed for 162 points profit.
Congrats to Bro Max too!
Huat huat ar
Managed to catch at 30058 and closed for 162 points profit.
Congrats to Bro Max too!
Huat huat ar
TikTalk ( Date: 16-Jun-2022 18:33) Posted:
|
The last few hours market ding dong like confused, now probably some short covering
before economic datas at 8.30pm
before economic datas at 8.30pm
MeiXin ( Date: 16-Jun-2022 20:10) Posted:
|