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Seatrium - Sea of Hopes & Atrium of Surprises (II)

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geographic
    20-Jan-2026 10:40  
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It seems like many prefer the price of the share to fall in order to accumulate. Great foresight. 
 
 
MrBear12
    20-Jan-2026 09:59  
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Short sellers! Beware... ... Bear hunters are about Don't overstay your welcome Trade nimbly

eugesun      ( Date: 20-Jan-2026 09:41) Posted:

yes wait long long.....fundamental is good...waiting fir a big squeeze...

Joyoftheworld      ( Date: 20-Jan-2026 09:27) Posted:

Waiting to add some at below 190


 
 
eugesun
    20-Jan-2026 09:41  
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yes wait long long.....fundamental is good...waiting fir a big squeeze...

Joyoftheworld      ( Date: 20-Jan-2026 09:27) Posted:

Waiting to add some at below 190.

dexterderc      ( Date: 20-Jan-2026 09:16) Posted:

I think more likely it will be $2... $1.8... $$1.5...


 

 
Joyoftheworld
    20-Jan-2026 09:27  
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Waiting to add some at below 190.

dexterderc      ( Date: 20-Jan-2026 09:16) Posted:

I think more likely it will be $2... $1.8... $$1.5...

eugesun      ( Date: 19-Jan-2026 10:17) Posted:

huat ahh if hit 2 dollar , just load all. must thankful to shortist, they trade left pocket to right pocket to help lower price down


 
 
dexterderc
    20-Jan-2026 09:16  
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I think more likely it will be $2... $1.8... $$1.5...

eugesun      ( Date: 19-Jan-2026 10:17) Posted:

huat ahh if hit 2 dollar , just load all. must thankful to shortist, they trade left pocket to right pocket to help lower price down.

dexterderc      ( Date: 19-Jan-2026 09:37) Posted:

Think can hit $2 first. This stock is one step forward two steps back. 😂


 
 
MrBear12
    19-Jan-2026 21:17  
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VERY

Top short sell value stock is SEATRIUM.

48 percent shortsell volume %

Ave. short sell price 2.18 today.

What more can bear say?

Shenzhun01      ( Date: 19-Jan-2026 20:16) Posted:

Bearish for now?

 

 
Shenzhun01
    19-Jan-2026 20:16  
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Bearish for now?
 
 
MrBear12
    19-Jan-2026 19:46  
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Results shld be after CNY

We will get a red packet

Buy

Weak now

Strong later

ahbui8      ( Date: 19-Jan-2026 14:22) Posted:

If 2H result profit margin exclude asset sale below 4%, this counter can go fly kite Liao. High chance the result will not be good as till now management still unable to announce results announcement date.

 
 
gosharej
    19-Jan-2026 15:02  
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i noticed TMS and most counters nowadays, like to weck low and then hit high, let' s see
 
 
ahbui8
    19-Jan-2026 14:22  
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If 2H result profit margin exclude asset sale below 4%, this counter can go fly kite Liao. High chance the result will not be good as till now management still unable to announce results announcement date.
 

 
gosharej
    19-Jan-2026 14:08  
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STARTED TO ACCUMULATE ALREADY.    ANY ONE KNOWS THE RESULTS RELEASE DATE
 
 
eugesun
    19-Jan-2026 10:17  
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huat ahh if hit 2 dollar , just load all. must thankful to shortist, they trade left pocket to right pocket to help lower price down.

dexterderc      ( Date: 19-Jan-2026 09:37) Posted:

Think can hit $2 first. This stock is one step forward two steps back. 😂

eugesun      ( Date: 17-Jan-2026 12:21) Posted:

3 dollar, then 5 dollar, then 10 dollar 💰 💰 💰 💰 💰 huat ahh


 
 
kt3152
    19-Jan-2026 10:09  
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Poor market sentiment. Sold 223 at open to philip. Bought back 218 from cimb and house 24...
 
 
dexterderc
    19-Jan-2026 09:37  
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Think can hit $2 first. This stock is one step forward two steps back. 😂

eugesun      ( Date: 17-Jan-2026 12:21) Posted:

3 dollar, then 5 dollar, then 10 dollar 💰 💰 💰 💰 💰 huat ahhh

sfw2124      ( Date: 17-Jan-2026 12:17) Posted:

Seatrium (5E2): Empire Wind Court Victory - What It Means For Your Investment

The 60-Second Version



Good news: A U.S. court just ruled that the Empire Wind offshore wind project can resume work despite Trump' s freeze order. This is the project that Seatrium' s US$475 million vessel is being built for.

Better news: Seatrium gets paid when the vessel is delivered in late February 2026&mdash regardless of whether the project actually proceeds. The court ruling just removed a huge risk.

Current stock price: SGD $2.24
Analyst target: SGD $2.67 (19% upside)
Should you buy?  Yes, if you' re comfortable with short-term volatility over the next 6 weeks.

What Actually Happened (In Plain English)



Seatrium is building a specialized ship (WTIV&mdash Wind Turbine Installation Vessel) for a Danish company (Maersk), which will use it to install giant offshore wind turbines for Equinor off New York' s coast.

The Timeline:


  • October 2025: Maersk tries to cancel the contract (problems with delays)


  • December 21: Seatrium and Maersk settle the dispute.  Seatrium will get US$360 million when the ship is delivered. Payment is guaranteed, not dependent on the project working.


  • December 22: Trump orders a freeze on all offshore wind projects, including this one


  • January 12-16: Three U.S. judges rule that the wind projects can proceed (they found Trump' s " national security" reason was bogus)


  • February 28: Seatrium' s ship gets delivered, Seatrium gets paid ✅

Why The Stock Dropped 2.18% On Good News?



You might be confused&mdash the court ruled in favor of the wind project, so why did Seatrium' s stock go DOWN on January 16?

Answer: The market is still nervous. Here' s why:


  1. Trump might appeal  &ndash The court rulings are temporary (" preliminary injunctions" ), not final. The administration could try again.


  2. Uncertainty is expensive  &ndash Investors hate uncertainty. Even though Seatrium' s payment is mostly protected, they' re worried about future orders and the broader U.S. wind market.


  3. People took profits  &ndash The stock had already rallied 2.9% the day before. Some traders sold to lock in gains.


But here' s the thing: The court ruling is actually  very positive  for Seatrium. The market just hasn' t fully priced it in yet.

What Happens Next Week?



Next 1-2 weeks: Expect the stock to bounce around (up and down 2-3% at a time). Watch for:


  • Any news about Trump appealing the court decision


  • Rulings on the other two wind projects still halted (Sunrise Wind, Vineyard Wind)


  • Any official Seatrium announcements


Late February: Ship delivery. This is the KEY date. When Seatrium receives the US$360 million payment, the stock should rally toward SGD $2.45-2.55.

March-April onwards: If the ship is successfully utilized and future offshore wind projects get greenlit, Seatrium could hit SGD $2.80-3.00 as the company returns to profitability.

Should You Buy Now?

Entry Level Reason Risk Level
SGD $2.15-2.20 Good buy&mdash prices in worst-case scenario Low
SGD $2.24 (current) Fair value&mdash reasonable risk/reward Medium
SGD $2.30-2.35 Still okay&mdash you get the rally upside Medium
Above SGD $2.40 Wait for pullback&mdash too much upside already priced in Higher


Stop-loss: If the stock falls below SGD $2.10, something has materially changed (e.g., Trump' s appeal succeeded). Exit.

The Three Key Risks (What Could Go Wrong?)



  1. Trump appeals and wins  &rarr Stock drops to SGD $1.85-1.90 (but Seatrium still gets paid in Feb, so company fundamentals unchanged)


  2. Ship doesn' t deliver on time  &rarr Delay of 1-3 months (unlikely but possible in shipbuilding)


  3. Broader offshore wind market collapses  &rarr If U.S. offshore wind becomes politically impossible, future Seatrium orders disappear (but Feb delivery still happens)


Bottom line on risks: The February payment is protected. Risks are mostly about future business and market sentiment, not this immediate contract.

Why Seatrium Gets Paid Regardless



This is critical to understand:

Seatrium doesn' t get paid by Equinor or Maersk for using the ship. Instead:


  • Maersk owes Seatrium US$360 million for building the ship


  • Seatrium holds a legal lien (mortgage) on the ship worth " well above US$250 million"


  • Seatrium finances US$250 million to Maersk with the ship as collateral


Translation: Even if the Empire Wind project completely falls apart, Seatrium can sell the ship to another company for ~US$250M+ and cover its costs. The cash is protected.

Analyst Views (From Major Banks)



  • DBS Bank: BUY | Target SGD $3.00


  • UOB Kay Hian: BUY | Target SGD $2.96


  • OCBC Investment: BUY | Target SGD $2.82


  • CIMB: ADD | Target SGD $2.80


Translation: All the major Singapore banks think this stock is undervalued right now. The court ruling validates their bullishness.

Bottom Line For ShareJunction Members



✅   Buy now?  Yes, if you can hold for 6+ weeks without panic-selling
✅   Size: Consider 50-75% of intended position add more if stock drops to SGD $2.15
✅   Target: SGD $2.45-2.55 in late Feb (small win), SGD $2.80-3.00 in 6 months (bigger win)
✅   Timeframe: Don' t expect immediate gains Feb 28 delivery is the catalyst
✅   Watch out for: Any Trump appeal news (bearish) or new offshore wind court victories (bullish)

Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Do your own due diligence. Past performance &ne future results.


.


 
 
Joyoftheworld
    19-Jan-2026 09:22  
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Lao sai again today. Need charcoal pills.
 

 
sfw2124
    17-Jan-2026 20:10  
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Seatrium (5E2): Empire Wind Court Victory Explained Simply

What Happened? (The 30-Second Version)



A U.S. judge said:  " Trump, you can' t freeze this wind project without following the law."

Seatrium' s $475 million ship is being built for this project.

Good news: Judge ruled the project can proceed.

Better news: Seatrium gets paid on  February 28  when the ship is delivered&mdash regardless of whether the project actually works.

Stock prediction: Should go from SGD 2.24 &rarr SGD 2.45-2.55 by end Feb (10-15% gain).

Why You Should Care (In 3 Points)

1️ ⃣   Seatrium' s Payment Is Secure



  • Company gets US$360 million when the ship is delivered


  • This is guaranteed by a mortgage on the ship (Seatrium holds the security)


  • Even if the wind project completely fails, Seatrium can sell the ship and cover costs


  • Translation: Your money is protected ✅

2️ ⃣   Judge Rejected Trump' s Excuse



  • Trump said: " National security concerns" (but wouldn' t say what they were)


  • Judge said: " Government provided NO proof. You didn' t even tell the company why you' re freezing them."


  • Translation: This was political, not a real security issue ✅

3️ ⃣   Stock Will Rally by End February



  • Court victory removes uncertainty


  • Delivery on Feb 28 = immediate cash payment


  • All analyst firms rate this BUY with 19% upside


  • Translation: This stock is going up ✅

Why Did Stock Drop 2.18% on Good News? 🤔



Question: Judge said YES, so why did stock go DOWN on Jan 16?

Answer: Profit-taking.


  • Stock already rallied 2.9% on Jan 14 (when market expected the ruling)


  • Traders sold to lock in gains


  • It' s like: " Good news already expected? Time to take profits."


This is GOOD for you: If you wanted to buy, the pullback to SGD 2.24 is a better entry than SGD 2.28.

The Money Story: Why This Matters



Equinor (the wind company) said they' d lose > $1 billion if project stayed frozen:
What Costs Money How Much Why
Power delivery penalties $200-300M/year They promised to deliver electricity freezing means breach of contract
Ship rental (Seatrium' s ship) $150-250k/day Ship costs ~$200k/day to run sitting idle wastes money
Workers & equipment $50-100M Already hired machines leased can' t just pause
Bank penalties $30-50M+ Borrowed billions banks get angry if milestones missed
Total per month $80-120M This adds up FAST


Simple math: Even 1 month of freeze = $80-120 million in losses.

That' s why Equinor and Maersk fought so hard in court. They HAD to win or go bankrupt.

Joelton      ( Date: 17-Jan-2026 13:28) Posted:

Seatrium end-customer gets reprieve after judge rejects Trump&rsquo s wind farm ban
Empire Wind developer Equinor says it would lose over US$1 billion in contracts if the project does not restart soon
 
[WASHINGTON] US President Donald Trump&rsquo s attempts to torpedo offshore wind farms suffered a second blow this week, when a federal judge ruled on Friday (Jan 16) that construction for the US$5 billion Empire Wind project off Long Island in New York could resume.
 
In December, a US federal agency issued stop-work orders to five major wind projects, including the Empire Wind 1 project, on the grounds of &ldquo national security concerns&rdquo .
 
Singapore&rsquo s Seatrium is expected to deliver to Maersk a US$475 million wind vessel, which is ultimately headed for the Empire Wind project.
 
When news broke of the ban, Seatrium told The Business Times in December that it was monitoring the situation. The vessel contract was in the centre of an earlier dispute between Seatrium and Maersk, which has since been resolved. The company added that the settlement is on track.
 
In response to BT, Seatrium on Friday said there are no changes to the terms of the resolution as announced on Dec 22 last year.
 
&ldquo The group remains focused on delivering the vessel to the customer by Feb 28,&rdquo added a spokesperson.
 
In the latest development, Judge Carl Nichols of the US District Court in Washington, DC said that the Interior Department&rsquo s order to stop work on Empire Wind would likely cause irreparable harm. The government last month halted construction on that project and four others along the East Coast, citing unspecified national security concerns.
 
Attorneys for Empire Wind told the court that the project, which is about 60 per cent complete, would face &ldquo existential risk&rdquo if it was further delayed. 
 
Equinor, the Norwegian energy giant developing the wind farm, said that if construction did not restart in the coming days, it would lose more than US$1 billion in contracts and that a specialised ship needed for construction would set sail for another project.
 
&ldquo Empire Wind has demonstrated that it will suffer irreparable harm,&rdquo said Nichols, who was nominated to the bench by Trump.
 
He said that the company was likely to succeed in some of its arguments, including the assertion that the Trump administration did not follow the law when it halted work on the wind farm. 
 
The Justice Department offered &ldquo no substantive proof&rdquo that it gave Empire Wind any notice or opportunity to be heard before it stopped work on the project, as the law requires, Nichols said.
 
It was the second time this week that a judge has thwarted the Trump administration&rsquo s effort to stop the five projects being built by different companies along the East Coast. On Monday, Judge Royce Lamberth ruled in the same court that Revolution Wind, a 65-turbine project off Rhode Island and Connecticut, could continue construction while legal proceedings move forward.
 
The Interior Department did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
 
Equinor said the company would &ldquo now focus on safely restarting construction activities&rdquo on Empire Wind. It also said it would try to work with the Trump administration &ldquo to ensure the safe, secure and responsible execution&rdquo of its operations.
 
Groups opposed to offshore wind urged the Interior Department to appeal the decision.
 
Days before Christmas, the Trump administration ordered companies to halt work on Empire Wind and Revolution Wind, as well as Sunrise Wind off the coast of New York, Vineyard Wind 1 off Massachusetts and Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind off Virginia.
 
The Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, part of the Interior Department, said at the time that construction must stop for at least 90 days while the administration reviewed classified security issues.
 
The wind farms are collectively worth US$25 billion and are expected to power more than 2.5 million buildings and create thousands of jobs, said Turn Forward, an offshore wind advocacy group. 
 
In addition to the developers of the projects, several states have sued to block the administration order and restart construction.
 
Trump has repeatedly said that he would block new wind projects, saying without evidence that &ldquo they ruin the environment they kill the birds, they kill the whales&rdquo .
 
During his first month in office, Trump issued an executive order temporarily halting all leases and permits for wind energy on federal land and in US waters, which he said &ldquo may lead to grave harm&rdquo . In December, a federal judge struck down that order, calling it &ldquo arbitrary and capricious&rdquo .
 
In April, the Trump administration broadened its focus beyond new offshore wind projects and turned its attention to wind farms that had already been granted permits by the Biden administration and were in various stages of construction. 
 
The Interior Department issued a stop-work order for Empire Wind, but it was reversed after weeks of negotiations with Governor Kathy Hochul of New York, a Democrat. Then in August, the agency ordered Revolution Wind to halt construction. In September, Judge Lamberth reversed that decision.
 
&ldquo I am sick and tired of having to go to court time and time again to stop these decisions,&rdquo Hochul said on Thursday. &ldquo They are designed to do nothing other than hurt workers, hurt our economy and hurt our energy future.&rdquo
 
All five wind projects had gone through years of environmental reviews before getting permits, which allowed the developers to secure financing, sign contracts to sell electricity to states and utilities, hire workers, lease equipment and begin construction. 
 
The five wind farms were pioneers in what president Joe Biden had hoped would be a new era of offshore wind power in the United States to phase out fossil fuels and tackle climate change.
 
Supporters of wind power said that they believed the Trump administration&rsquo s current claims of national security concerns were a pretext for stopping an energy source that Trump dislikes.
 
Hochul on Monday said that her response to the Trump administration&rsquo s order was: &ldquo I am the governor of New York. If there is a national security threat off the coast of New York, you need to tell me what it is, and I need a briefing right now.&rdquo She added: &ldquo Lo and behold, they had no answer.&rdquo
 
On Wednesday, Ann Navaro, an attorney for Empire Wind, told Nichols that the Trump administration had not shared any details about why it now considers offshore wind a security threat. 
 
Equinor and two other developers, Orsted and Dominion, have asked the Trump administration to give classified briefings to representatives who hold national security clearances. But to date, the Pentagon has not granted these requests, the companies said in legal filings.
 
Vineyard Wind announced on Thursday that it, too, is seeking a temporary restraining order and a preliminary injunction challenging the Trump administration. A hearing date has not yet been set by the US District Court for the District of Massachusetts.
 
Sunrise Wind and the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project also have similar cases pending against the Trump administration. The US District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia will hear the Virginia case on Friday.

 
 
ysh2006
    17-Jan-2026 14:38  
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Trump use Delta forces quietly force all green energy farms to sink bottom of sea than case accident lah...
 
 
Joelton
    17-Jan-2026 13:28  
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Seatrium end-customer gets reprieve after judge rejects Trump&rsquo s wind farm ban
Empire Wind developer Equinor says it would lose over US$1 billion in contracts if the project does not restart soon
 
[WASHINGTON] US President Donald Trump&rsquo s attempts to torpedo offshore wind farms suffered a second blow this week, when a federal judge ruled on Friday (Jan 16) that construction for the US$5 billion Empire Wind project off Long Island in New York could resume.
 
In December, a US federal agency issued stop-work orders to five major wind projects, including the Empire Wind 1 project, on the grounds of &ldquo national security concerns&rdquo .
 
Singapore&rsquo s Seatrium is expected to deliver to Maersk a US$475 million wind vessel, which is ultimately headed for the Empire Wind project.
 
When news broke of the ban, Seatrium told The Business Times in December that it was monitoring the situation. The vessel contract was in the centre of an earlier dispute between Seatrium and Maersk, which has since been resolved. The company added that the settlement is on track.
 
In response to BT, Seatrium on Friday said there are no changes to the terms of the resolution as announced on Dec 22 last year.
 
&ldquo The group remains focused on delivering the vessel to the customer by Feb 28,&rdquo added a spokesperson.
 
In the latest development, Judge Carl Nichols of the US District Court in Washington, DC said that the Interior Department&rsquo s order to stop work on Empire Wind would likely cause irreparable harm. The government last month halted construction on that project and four others along the East Coast, citing unspecified national security concerns.
 
Attorneys for Empire Wind told the court that the project, which is about 60 per cent complete, would face &ldquo existential risk&rdquo if it was further delayed. 
 
Equinor, the Norwegian energy giant developing the wind farm, said that if construction did not restart in the coming days, it would lose more than US$1 billion in contracts and that a specialised ship needed for construction would set sail for another project.
 
&ldquo Empire Wind has demonstrated that it will suffer irreparable harm,&rdquo said Nichols, who was nominated to the bench by Trump.
 
He said that the company was likely to succeed in some of its arguments, including the assertion that the Trump administration did not follow the law when it halted work on the wind farm. 
 
The Justice Department offered &ldquo no substantive proof&rdquo that it gave Empire Wind any notice or opportunity to be heard before it stopped work on the project, as the law requires, Nichols said.
 
It was the second time this week that a judge has thwarted the Trump administration&rsquo s effort to stop the five projects being built by different companies along the East Coast. On Monday, Judge Royce Lamberth ruled in the same court that Revolution Wind, a 65-turbine project off Rhode Island and Connecticut, could continue construction while legal proceedings move forward.
 
The Interior Department did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
 
Equinor said the company would &ldquo now focus on safely restarting construction activities&rdquo on Empire Wind. It also said it would try to work with the Trump administration &ldquo to ensure the safe, secure and responsible execution&rdquo of its operations.
 
Groups opposed to offshore wind urged the Interior Department to appeal the decision.
 
Days before Christmas, the Trump administration ordered companies to halt work on Empire Wind and Revolution Wind, as well as Sunrise Wind off the coast of New York, Vineyard Wind 1 off Massachusetts and Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind off Virginia.
 
The Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, part of the Interior Department, said at the time that construction must stop for at least 90 days while the administration reviewed classified security issues.
 
The wind farms are collectively worth US$25 billion and are expected to power more than 2.5 million buildings and create thousands of jobs, said Turn Forward, an offshore wind advocacy group. 
 
In addition to the developers of the projects, several states have sued to block the administration order and restart construction.
 
Trump has repeatedly said that he would block new wind projects, saying without evidence that &ldquo they ruin the environment they kill the birds, they kill the whales&rdquo .
 
During his first month in office, Trump issued an executive order temporarily halting all leases and permits for wind energy on federal land and in US waters, which he said &ldquo may lead to grave harm&rdquo . In December, a federal judge struck down that order, calling it &ldquo arbitrary and capricious&rdquo .
 
In April, the Trump administration broadened its focus beyond new offshore wind projects and turned its attention to wind farms that had already been granted permits by the Biden administration and were in various stages of construction. 
 
The Interior Department issued a stop-work order for Empire Wind, but it was reversed after weeks of negotiations with Governor Kathy Hochul of New York, a Democrat. Then in August, the agency ordered Revolution Wind to halt construction. In September, Judge Lamberth reversed that decision.
 
&ldquo I am sick and tired of having to go to court time and time again to stop these decisions,&rdquo Hochul said on Thursday. &ldquo They are designed to do nothing other than hurt workers, hurt our economy and hurt our energy future.&rdquo
 
All five wind projects had gone through years of environmental reviews before getting permits, which allowed the developers to secure financing, sign contracts to sell electricity to states and utilities, hire workers, lease equipment and begin construction. 
 
The five wind farms were pioneers in what president Joe Biden had hoped would be a new era of offshore wind power in the United States to phase out fossil fuels and tackle climate change.
 
Supporters of wind power said that they believed the Trump administration&rsquo s current claims of national security concerns were a pretext for stopping an energy source that Trump dislikes.
 
Hochul on Monday said that her response to the Trump administration&rsquo s order was: &ldquo I am the governor of New York. If there is a national security threat off the coast of New York, you need to tell me what it is, and I need a briefing right now.&rdquo She added: &ldquo Lo and behold, they had no answer.&rdquo
 
On Wednesday, Ann Navaro, an attorney for Empire Wind, told Nichols that the Trump administration had not shared any details about why it now considers offshore wind a security threat. 
 
Equinor and two other developers, Orsted and Dominion, have asked the Trump administration to give classified briefings to representatives who hold national security clearances. But to date, the Pentagon has not granted these requests, the companies said in legal filings.
 
Vineyard Wind announced on Thursday that it, too, is seeking a temporary restraining order and a preliminary injunction challenging the Trump administration. A hearing date has not yet been set by the US District Court for the District of Massachusetts.
 
Sunrise Wind and the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project also have similar cases pending against the Trump administration. The US District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia will hear the Virginia case on Friday.
 
 
eugesun
    17-Jan-2026 12:21  
Contact    Quote!
3 dollar, then 5 dollar, then 10 dollar 💰 💰 💰 💰 💰 huat ahhh

sfw2124      ( Date: 17-Jan-2026 12:17) Posted:

Seatrium (5E2): Empire Wind Court Victory - What It Means For Your Investment

The 60-Second Version



Good news: A U.S. court just ruled that the Empire Wind offshore wind project can resume work despite Trump' s freeze order. This is the project that Seatrium' s US$475 million vessel is being built for.

Better news: Seatrium gets paid when the vessel is delivered in late February 2026&mdash regardless of whether the project actually proceeds. The court ruling just removed a huge risk.

Current stock price: SGD $2.24
Analyst target: SGD $2.67 (19% upside)
Should you buy?  Yes, if you' re comfortable with short-term volatility over the next 6 weeks.

What Actually Happened (In Plain English)



Seatrium is building a specialized ship (WTIV&mdash Wind Turbine Installation Vessel) for a Danish company (Maersk), which will use it to install giant offshore wind turbines for Equinor off New York' s coast.

The Timeline:


  • October 2025: Maersk tries to cancel the contract (problems with delays)


  • December 21: Seatrium and Maersk settle the dispute.  Seatrium will get US$360 million when the ship is delivered. Payment is guaranteed, not dependent on the project working.


  • December 22: Trump orders a freeze on all offshore wind projects, including this one


  • January 12-16: Three U.S. judges rule that the wind projects can proceed (they found Trump' s " national security" reason was bogus)


  • February 28: Seatrium' s ship gets delivered, Seatrium gets paid ✅

Why The Stock Dropped 2.18% On Good News?



You might be confused&mdash the court ruled in favor of the wind project, so why did Seatrium' s stock go DOWN on January 16?

Answer: The market is still nervous. Here' s why:


  1. Trump might appeal  &ndash The court rulings are temporary (" preliminary injunctions" ), not final. The administration could try again.


  2. Uncertainty is expensive  &ndash Investors hate uncertainty. Even though Seatrium' s payment is mostly protected, they' re worried about future orders and the broader U.S. wind market.


  3. People took profits  &ndash The stock had already rallied 2.9% the day before. Some traders sold to lock in gains.


But here' s the thing: The court ruling is actually  very positive  for Seatrium. The market just hasn' t fully priced it in yet.

What Happens Next Week?



Next 1-2 weeks: Expect the stock to bounce around (up and down 2-3% at a time). Watch for:


  • Any news about Trump appealing the court decision


  • Rulings on the other two wind projects still halted (Sunrise Wind, Vineyard Wind)


  • Any official Seatrium announcements


Late February: Ship delivery. This is the KEY date. When Seatrium receives the US$360 million payment, the stock should rally toward SGD $2.45-2.55.

March-April onwards: If the ship is successfully utilized and future offshore wind projects get greenlit, Seatrium could hit SGD $2.80-3.00 as the company returns to profitability.

Should You Buy Now?

Entry Level Reason Risk Level
SGD $2.15-2.20 Good buy&mdash prices in worst-case scenario Low
SGD $2.24 (current) Fair value&mdash reasonable risk/reward Medium
SGD $2.30-2.35 Still okay&mdash you get the rally upside Medium
Above SGD $2.40 Wait for pullback&mdash too much upside already priced in Higher


Stop-loss: If the stock falls below SGD $2.10, something has materially changed (e.g., Trump' s appeal succeeded). Exit.

The Three Key Risks (What Could Go Wrong?)



  1. Trump appeals and wins  &rarr Stock drops to SGD $1.85-1.90 (but Seatrium still gets paid in Feb, so company fundamentals unchanged)


  2. Ship doesn' t deliver on time  &rarr Delay of 1-3 months (unlikely but possible in shipbuilding)


  3. Broader offshore wind market collapses  &rarr If U.S. offshore wind becomes politically impossible, future Seatrium orders disappear (but Feb delivery still happens)


Bottom line on risks: The February payment is protected. Risks are mostly about future business and market sentiment, not this immediate contract.

Why Seatrium Gets Paid Regardless



This is critical to understand:

Seatrium doesn' t get paid by Equinor or Maersk for using the ship. Instead:


  • Maersk owes Seatrium US$360 million for building the ship


  • Seatrium holds a legal lien (mortgage) on the ship worth " well above US$250 million"


  • Seatrium finances US$250 million to Maersk with the ship as collateral


Translation: Even if the Empire Wind project completely falls apart, Seatrium can sell the ship to another company for ~US$250M+ and cover its costs. The cash is protected.

Analyst Views (From Major Banks)



  • DBS Bank: BUY | Target SGD $3.00


  • UOB Kay Hian: BUY | Target SGD $2.96


  • OCBC Investment: BUY | Target SGD $2.82


  • CIMB: ADD | Target SGD $2.80


Translation: All the major Singapore banks think this stock is undervalued right now. The court ruling validates their bullishness.

Bottom Line For ShareJunction Members



✅   Buy now?  Yes, if you can hold for 6+ weeks without panic-selling
✅   Size: Consider 50-75% of intended position add more if stock drops to SGD $2.15
✅   Target: SGD $2.45-2.55 in late Feb (small win), SGD $2.80-3.00 in 6 months (bigger win)
✅   Timeframe: Don' t expect immediate gains Feb 28 delivery is the catalyst
✅   Watch out for: Any Trump appeal news (bearish) or new offshore wind court victories (bullish)

Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Do your own due diligence. Past performance &ne future results.


.

MrBear12      ( Date: 17-Jan-2026 10:00) Posted:

Bear bold prediction

Seatrium will be star performer for next three years 

2028 moon landing

between 5 to 10 dollars

trade with bold intuition


 
 
sfw2124
    17-Jan-2026 12:17  
Contact    Quote!

Seatrium (5E2): Empire Wind Court Victory - What It Means For Your Investment

The 60-Second Version



Good news: A U.S. court just ruled that the Empire Wind offshore wind project can resume work despite Trump' s freeze order. This is the project that Seatrium' s US$475 million vessel is being built for.

Better news: Seatrium gets paid when the vessel is delivered in late February 2026&mdash regardless of whether the project actually proceeds. The court ruling just removed a huge risk.

Current stock price: SGD $2.24
Analyst target: SGD $2.67 (19% upside)
Should you buy?  Yes, if you' re comfortable with short-term volatility over the next 6 weeks.

What Actually Happened (In Plain English)



Seatrium is building a specialized ship (WTIV&mdash Wind Turbine Installation Vessel) for a Danish company (Maersk), which will use it to install giant offshore wind turbines for Equinor off New York' s coast.

The Timeline:


  • October 2025: Maersk tries to cancel the contract (problems with delays)


  • December 21: Seatrium and Maersk settle the dispute.  Seatrium will get US$360 million when the ship is delivered. Payment is guaranteed, not dependent on the project working.


  • December 22: Trump orders a freeze on all offshore wind projects, including this one


  • January 12-16: Three U.S. judges rule that the wind projects can proceed (they found Trump' s " national security" reason was bogus)


  • February 28: Seatrium' s ship gets delivered, Seatrium gets paid ✅

Why The Stock Dropped 2.18% On Good News?



You might be confused&mdash the court ruled in favor of the wind project, so why did Seatrium' s stock go DOWN on January 16?

Answer: The market is still nervous. Here' s why:


  1. Trump might appeal  &ndash The court rulings are temporary (" preliminary injunctions" ), not final. The administration could try again.


  2. Uncertainty is expensive  &ndash Investors hate uncertainty. Even though Seatrium' s payment is mostly protected, they' re worried about future orders and the broader U.S. wind market.


  3. People took profits  &ndash The stock had already rallied 2.9% the day before. Some traders sold to lock in gains.


But here' s the thing: The court ruling is actually  very positive  for Seatrium. The market just hasn' t fully priced it in yet.

What Happens Next Week?



Next 1-2 weeks: Expect the stock to bounce around (up and down 2-3% at a time). Watch for:


  • Any news about Trump appealing the court decision


  • Rulings on the other two wind projects still halted (Sunrise Wind, Vineyard Wind)


  • Any official Seatrium announcements


Late February: Ship delivery. This is the KEY date. When Seatrium receives the US$360 million payment, the stock should rally toward SGD $2.45-2.55.

March-April onwards: If the ship is successfully utilized and future offshore wind projects get greenlit, Seatrium could hit SGD $2.80-3.00 as the company returns to profitability.

Should You Buy Now?

Entry Level Reason Risk Level
SGD $2.15-2.20 Good buy&mdash prices in worst-case scenario Low
SGD $2.24 (current) Fair value&mdash reasonable risk/reward Medium
SGD $2.30-2.35 Still okay&mdash you get the rally upside Medium
Above SGD $2.40 Wait for pullback&mdash too much upside already priced in Higher


Stop-loss: If the stock falls below SGD $2.10, something has materially changed (e.g., Trump' s appeal succeeded). Exit.

The Three Key Risks (What Could Go Wrong?)



  1. Trump appeals and wins  &rarr Stock drops to SGD $1.85-1.90 (but Seatrium still gets paid in Feb, so company fundamentals unchanged)


  2. Ship doesn' t deliver on time  &rarr Delay of 1-3 months (unlikely but possible in shipbuilding)


  3. Broader offshore wind market collapses  &rarr If U.S. offshore wind becomes politically impossible, future Seatrium orders disappear (but Feb delivery still happens)


Bottom line on risks: The February payment is protected. Risks are mostly about future business and market sentiment, not this immediate contract.

Why Seatrium Gets Paid Regardless



This is critical to understand:

Seatrium doesn' t get paid by Equinor or Maersk for using the ship. Instead:


  • Maersk owes Seatrium US$360 million for building the ship


  • Seatrium holds a legal lien (mortgage) on the ship worth " well above US$250 million"


  • Seatrium finances US$250 million to Maersk with the ship as collateral


Translation: Even if the Empire Wind project completely falls apart, Seatrium can sell the ship to another company for ~US$250M+ and cover its costs. The cash is protected.

Analyst Views (From Major Banks)



  • DBS Bank: BUY | Target SGD $3.00


  • UOB Kay Hian: BUY | Target SGD $2.96


  • OCBC Investment: BUY | Target SGD $2.82


  • CIMB: ADD | Target SGD $2.80


Translation: All the major Singapore banks think this stock is undervalued right now. The court ruling validates their bullishness.

Bottom Line For ShareJunction Members



✅   Buy now?  Yes, if you can hold for 6+ weeks without panic-selling
✅   Size: Consider 50-75% of intended position add more if stock drops to SGD $2.15
✅   Target: SGD $2.45-2.55 in late Feb (small win), SGD $2.80-3.00 in 6 months (bigger win)
✅   Timeframe: Don' t expect immediate gains Feb 28 delivery is the catalyst
✅   Watch out for: Any Trump appeal news (bearish) or new offshore wind court victories (bullish)

Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Do your own due diligence. Past performance &ne future results.


.

MrBear12      ( Date: 17-Jan-2026 10:00) Posted:

Bear bold prediction

Seatrium will be star performer for next three years 

2028 moon landing

between 5 to 10 dollars

trade with bold intuition

 
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