Venture    Last:17.49    -0.01

Venture

Hovering around day high of $26.87.  Might challenge $26.91.  If cannot break should close at $26.66.

 

Ignore them la bro. Let them short! Apparently they not doin a gd job. Also bo drop muc at all today. Cant even go lower than yest low. This tells me big boys are buyin into this. This one i hold at least i can sleep easy. Jus waitin for my fat divd!

s100125      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 10:34) Posted: Don&rsquo t just lips talk , action lah!  I am waiting to buy cheaply. sengsk      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 10:12) Posted: Hopefully, can drop towards 23.50 for profit ~ 10

 

Sorry, You are not my brother.
I know what I' m Doing.
As for you, I dun care .
Individual trade tactic.

s100125      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 10:34) Posted: Don&rsquo t just lips talk , action lah!  I am waiting to buy cheaply. sengsk      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 10:12) Posted: Hopefully, can drop towards 23.50 for profit ~ 10

 

Don&rsquo t just lips talk , action lah! 
I am waiting to buy cheaply.

sengsk      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 10:12) Posted: Hopefully, can drop towards 23.50 for profit ~ 10K sengsk      ( Date: 01-Mar-2018 14:33) Posted: Its time to short this Venture. (Tested with small scale )

 

Hopefully, can drop towards 23.50 for profit ~ 10K

sengsk      ( Date: 01-Mar-2018 14:33) Posted: Its time to short this Venture. (Tested with small scale )

 

That where the problem lies.  The risk free rate of SGS is about 2%.  60cts @ $27 is about 2.2%.  That 2% is risk free.  This 2.2% is high risk since Venture business is cyclical in nature.  So for a mere +0.2%, your capital is at a much higher risk.  From its high of $28.5 to now is a drop of about 8% in a couple of days.  You need 4 years to get back that 8% drop.

Simply.  60cts cannot justify $27 for Venture.

bishan22      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 09:55) Posted: Slightly better den FD............ sheerluck      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 09:31) Posted: I think mgmt guidance on their dividend policy will be important.  60cts @ $27 is a bit low for company like Venture

 

The share price trajectory of Venture past 2 years reflected the strong growth from 2016 to 2017. Now we need to see whether got any strong growth from 2017 to 2018. 

bishan22      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 09:55) Posted: Slightly better den FD............ sheerluck      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 09:31) Posted: I think mgmt guidance on their dividend policy will be important.  60cts @ $27 is a bit low for company like Venture

 

Slightly better den FD............

sheerluck      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 09:31) Posted: I think mgmt guidance on their dividend policy will be important.  60cts @ $27 is a bit low for company like Venture. lifeisgood      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 09:15) Posted: If Q2, Q3, Q4 2017 revenue flatish, I think Q1 2018 also not much better. With tariffs imposed by Donald Trump and then potential retaliation by many countries including China, there is going to be a BIG QUESTION MARK on production cost. If manufacturing contracts value never priced in this rise in production cost, the net profit margins will probably shrink.

 

60 cents is too low in fact. 

sheerluck      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 09:31) Posted: I think mgmt guidance on their dividend policy will be important.  60cts @ $27 is a bit low for company like Venture. lifeisgood      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 09:15) Posted: If Q2, Q3, Q4 2017 revenue flatish, I think Q1 2018 also not much better. With tariffs imposed by Donald Trump and then potential retaliation by many countries including China, there is going to be a BIG QUESTION MARK on production cost. If manufacturing contracts value never priced in this rise in production cost, the net profit margins will probably shrink.

 

I think mgmt guidance on their dividend policy will be important.  60cts @ $27 is a bit low for company like Venture.

lifeisgood      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 09:15) Posted: If Q2, Q3, Q4 2017 revenue flatish, I think Q1 2018 also not much better. With tariffs imposed by Donald Trump and then potential retaliation by many countries including China, there is going to be a BIG QUESTION MARK on production cost. If manufacturing contracts value never priced in this rise in production cost, the net profit margins will probably shrink.

 

Thats why u shld change yr name la..bcme nothuathuat! Aparently shortists not doin enuff wk. Lolx

huathuat88888      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 00:15) Posted: $17 also dare not buy . How to buy at $27 ?

 

$17 dare not buy!! lol
i will buy more and more near $23-$25 if mkt correct..

huathuat88888      ( Date: 02-Mar-2018 00:15) Posted: $17 also dare not buy . How to buy at $27 ?

 

If Q2, Q3, Q4 2017 revenue flatish, I think Q1 2018 also not much better.

With tariffs imposed by Donald Trump and then potential retaliation by many countries including China, there is going to be a BIG QUESTION MARK on production cost. If manufacturing contracts value never priced in this rise in production cost, the net profit margins will probably shrink. 

 

Q2, Q3, Q4 revenue all around $1.0 plus billion, flat, very little growth. So quarter on quarter no going so strong (although against 2016 growth was strong). So 2018 how? Still same revenue as the last 3 quarters? ie, will be very flat.Potential downside ahead for stock. 

 

 

$17 also dare not buy .

How to buy at $27 ?

 

I am big fan of Venture.. But being big fan doesn't mean I will hold on to Venture shares. I will sell n buy back @ lower price. This is what I have been doing the past 1 year..

bigbang10      ( Date: 01-Mar-2018 15:57) Posted: lolx...i listening to myself la..after all its DYODD rite.  I only read these for reference.  Just curious, whats your agenda then? U personally shorting, or only calling for pple to short/ sell (with no personal vested interest at all)??    Fiat500      ( Date: 01-Mar-2018 15:48) Posted: Don't listen too much to all these analyst.. What they are writing is nothing new! Who doesn't know? It's all in the papers. It's their job, so die die they have to write something. If there's a meltdown,u see they can predict?

 

lolx...i listening to myself la..after all its DYODD rite. 

I only read these for reference. 

Just curious, whats your agenda then? U personally shorting, or only calling for pple to short/ sell (with no personal vested interest at all)?? 

 

Fiat500      ( Date: 01-Mar-2018 15:48) Posted: Don't listen too much to all these analyst.. What they are writing is nothing new! Who doesn't know? It's all in the papers. It's their job, so die die they have to write something. If there's a meltdown,u see they can predict? bigbang10      ( Date: 01-Mar-2018 13:17) Posted:

 

Don't listen too much to all these analyst.. What they are writing is nothing new! Who doesn't know? It's all in the papers. It's their job, so die die they have to write something. If there's a meltdown,u see they can predict?

bigbang10      ( Date: 01-Mar-2018 13:17) Posted: s100125      ( Date: 01-Mar-2018 12:41) Posted: 4 out of 4 research houses (DBS, RHB, UOB & CIMB)have Venture at ' buy' on even brighter outlook.

 

It will go down 1st before going higher.. Can always sell 1st to lock in profits n buy back later.

icer_goh      ( Date: 01-Mar-2018 14:25) Posted: All these point to higher price appreciation potential.    sheerluck      ( Date: 01-Mar-2018 11:21) Posted: UOBKH has the highest estimated net profit of $372 mil and was spot on!.  Their taregt price was $31.88.  They expect dividend to be in the range of 65-70cts.  It came in slighty lower at 60cts.  So Venture performed better than all analyst estimates except UOBKH.  It missed most analyst estimate on dividend though albeit no too much.

 

Its time to short this Venture.
(Tested with small scale )