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OUE LTD worth buying for long term

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noslen
    05-Mar-2014 08:39  
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They do have 68% already and only needed 7% to trigger a take over but they may also offer a ridiculous low price to take it private too.
 
 
WanSiTong
    04-Mar-2014 22:27  
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Josh Tan's photo.

triphopper      ( Date: 04-Mar-2014 22:15) Posted:

Or Stephen Tjondro Riady  decides to delist it with help from his family who owns Lippo (I think)... hahahaha

noslen      ( Date: 04-Mar-2014 22:12) Posted:

Thanks wansitong... just to confirm I read correctly.

Triphopper - I selling half to get some bonus first. This OUE is really for the long shot.. in the near term really dont see it moving up unless some company want to acquire it at NAV hahaha...


 
 
triphopper
    04-Mar-2014 22:15  
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Or Stephen Tjondro Riady  decides to delist it with help from his family who owns Lippo (I think)... hahahaha

noslen      ( Date: 04-Mar-2014 22:12) Posted:

Thanks wansitong... just to confirm I read correctly.

Triphopper - I selling half to get some bonus first. This OUE is really for the long shot.. in the near term really dont see it moving up unless some company want to acquire it at NAV hahaha...

 

 
noslen
    04-Mar-2014 22:12  
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Thanks wansitong... just to confirm I read correctly.

Triphopper - I selling half to get some bonus first. This OUE is really for the long shot.. in the near term really dont see it moving up unless some company want to acquire it at NAV hahaha...
 
 
triphopper
    04-Mar-2014 21:15  
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And a temporary counter will be set up to help you sell the odd lots of OUE H Trust. Seems like everyone can't wait to dump the " dividends" when they receive them, myself included. This OUE is just disappointing!



 
 
 
WanSiTong
    04-Mar-2014 21:07  
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See Para 4. of the announcement:

Date of crediting : The security a/c of Entitled shareholders who are depositors will be credited with OUE HT shares by 9.00 am on 31 March 2014.

http://infopub.sgx.com/FileOpen/Further_Details_On_The_Distribution_In_Specie_of_Stapled_Securities_in_OUEHT.ashx?App=Announcement& FileID=276673

Check your CDP a/c on line to ensure that the shares are credited before you sell.


 

 
noslen
    04-Mar-2014 18:47  
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Just to confirm - we can sell our OUE HT shares in the open market on 31st March right?
 
 
WanSiTong
    03-Mar-2014 13:41  
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Overseas Union Enterprise - 4Q13: Feedback From Management Briefing

Written By Stock Fanatic on Monday, March 3, 2014



  OUE rewarded shareholders with a special 7.1% dividend yield largely from 1-for-6 distribution of OUE H-Trust units. Ongoing asset enhancements and developments will improve existing asset base, while the establishment of a capital recycling REIT platform will enable OUE to monetise the assets once stabilised. Management sees value overseas in Indonesia, US and Japan for acquisitions. 

Maintain BUY and target price of S$3.04, based on a 30% discount to RNAV of S$4.34/share.



RESULTS
Results in-line. Overseas Union Enterprise (OUE) reported 2013 attributable loss of S$36.6m, largely due to net fair value losses on investment properties (S$46.7m), tax provisions (S$29.7m) and forex losses (S$15.9m). Excluding these one-off items, attributable net profit of S$49.5m is in line with our expectations.

2013 revenue was up 4.5% yoy due to higher revenue recognition from sale of units at Twin Peaks (S$62.7m in 2013 vs S$31.4m in 2012) and revenue contribution from newly-acquired US Bank Tower, while gross profit fell 11.2% yoy due to lower occupancy at OUE Downtown and the sale of two China hotels. Operating profits fell 22.9% due to higher administrative and marketing expenses.

Hospitality division accounted for the bulk 52% of revenues in 2013 (57% in 2012) followed by investment property segment at 32%.
NAV/share down 8.9% yoy at S$3.18/share after factoring the special dividend of 20 S cents/share.


STOCK IMPACT
7.1% yield with distribution-in-specie of OUE H-Trust and cash dividend. OUE has announced a 1-for-6 distribution-in-specie of OUE Hospitality Trust (OUE H-Trust) (equivalent to 14.8 S cents dividend/6.1% yield) following the divestment of OUE Bayfront to OUE Commercial REIT. OUE will retain 34% of OUE H-Trust post divestment, down from 45% currently. Books closure is on 20 March, with the crediting by 31 March. In addition, OUE also announced a final cash dividend of 2 S cents/share, bringing total cash dividend for 2013 to 23 S cents/share.

S$1.1b gain in 2014 with deconsolidation of OUE H-Trust following the distribution-inspecie from the revaluation of Mandarin Orchard. OUE highlighted that it currently has no immediate plans to further distribute additional cash dividends or pare down its stake in OUE Commercial REIT.
Diversification into Indonesian residential investment a possibility with low capital requirements (~US$40m) and potential for collaboration with OUE H-Trust to jointly acquire plots of land in Jakarta. While management does not see immediate value in Singapore property, small to mid-sized developers, which are trading at substantial discounts to RNAV are attractive.

Exploring residential conversion for US Bank Tower with 30-50% of the space converted into residential units for subsequent strata resale. In addition, the One Raffles Place retail podium is expected to open in 1H14 and is about 72% pre-committed.

Establishing a capital recycling platform following the listing of OUE Commercial Trust on 27 Jan 14 will enable OUE to focus on higher-value and higher-risk development activities while unlocking capital from stabilised assets through divestment to OUE-managed REITs. Key pipeline properties for OUE's-managed REITs and trusts include OUE Downtown, One Raffles Place and US Bank Tower (for OUE C-REIT) and Crowne Plaza Changi Airport and serviced apartments in OUE Downtown (for OUE H-Trust).

Deriving a stable income stream through its stake in its trusts and property management platform. OUE intends to maintain a 34% stake in OUE H-Trust post the distribution-inspecie, and also holds a 50% stake in OUE C-REIT following the IPO.


  Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
EARNINGS REVISION/RISK
We have tweaked our 2014-15 earnings forecasts by 0-2% and introduced 2016 forecasts.

VALUATION/RECOMMENDATION
Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of S$3.04, pegged at a 30% discount to our RNAV of S$4.34/ share. OUE is trading at a deep 45% discount to its RNAV.

SHARE PRICE CATALYST
■ Successful completion of asset enhancements in commercial and hospitality properties.

■ Acquisition of undervalued asset with redevelopment potential. (Read Report)





NAV/share down 8.9% yoy at S$3.18/share after factoring the special dividend of 20 S cents/share.


 
 
 
l2aymond
    03-Mar-2014 11:54  
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ic..

thank for enlightment.  

WanSiTong      ( Date: 03-Mar-2014 11:39) Posted:



1000/6000=0.1666666666666666666666666666666

 



6000x(1/6)=1,000 



Haha~~~~~~in fact they are the same. 

 
 
WanSiTong
    03-Mar-2014 11:39  
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1000/6000=0.1666666666666666666666666666666

 



6000x(1/6)=1,000 



Haha~~~~~~in fact they are the same. 
 

 
l2aymond
    03-Mar-2014 11:28  
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im abit confused over this.

it is understand that the distribution would be,  1 OUE HT share for 6 OUE shares held

however from the published report, it state the below:

100 share == 16 share

1000 share == 166 share

10000 share == 1666 share

 

so which is which? given 6000 of OUE shares, you are entitled to (6 x 166 = 996) of OUE HT Share?

 

Reference:

http://infopub.sgx.com/FileOpen/Further_Details_On_The_Distribution_In_Specie_of_Stapled_Securities_in_OUEHT.ashx?App=Announcement& FileID=276673
 
 
WanSiTong
    03-Mar-2014 11:20  
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Cum Entitlement............

  DISTRIBUTION IN SPECIE OF STAPLED SECURITIES IN OUE HOSPITALITY TRUST

1 OUE HT share for 6 OUE shares held




 

oceanblue      ( Date: 03-Mar-2014 10:45) Posted:

What is CE? 

 
 
oceanblue
    03-Mar-2014 10:45  
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What is CE? 
 
 
WanSiTong
    03-Mar-2014 10:41  
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Overseas Union Enterprise Feedback from management briefing: UOBKH

(OUE SP/BUY/S$2.35/Target: S$3.04)

FY14F PE (x): 30.6

FY15F PE (x): 27.0

Results in-line. Overseas Union Enterprise (OUE) reported 2013 attributable loss of

S$36.6m, largely due to net fair value losses on investment properties (S$46.7m), tax

provisions (S$29.7m) and forex losses (S$15.9m). Excluding these one-off items,

attributable net profit of S$49.5m is in line with our expectations.

Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of S$3.04, pegged at a 30% discount to

our RNAV of S$4.34/ share. OUE is trading at a deep 45% discount to its RNAV.

 




 

 
 
noslen
    03-Mar-2014 10:23  
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From the same report - " The new OUE Downtown retail podium, OUE Downtown service apartment and Crown Plaza new annex are expected to be completed over the next 2 years. We believe earnings shall significant enhanced upon the AEI completions."

I don't think the share price will really move much in the short term... probably going to take two to three  years to reach $3 again.

Another interesting point - " The management has indicated they are in the midst of securing new deals, but unable to disclose more details for now."

So likely the over $700 million cash will be used for new deals rather than dividends to shareholders and the distribution of OUE-HT specie is the special dividend for recent OUE C-REIT, don't think there's going to be any special cash dividend.

Just my thoughts. (vested and going long)
 

 
WanSiTong
    03-Mar-2014 09:11  
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OUE Limited ? Transformation in Progress: Phillip Securities

Recommendation: ACCUMULATE
Fair Value: S$ 2.70
...
? OUE FY13 revenue increased 4.5% y-y to $436.6mn, mainly due to the higher revenue recognition from property development
? Recorded a net attributed loss of $36.6mn in FY13 ($90.1mn in FY12), largely due to net fair value losses of $76.8mn
? Strong cash position of $730.6mn from listing of OUE H Trust
? Propose a final dividend of 2 cents per share, bringing total cash dividend for FY13 to 23 cents per share
? Special distribution-in-specie of OUE H Trust in 1Q14
? Maintain Accumulate with new FY14 TP $2.70


 



 

 
 
WanSiTong
    03-Mar-2014 09:03  
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Ex date : 18 March 14 



 

WanSiTong      ( Date: 27-Feb-2014 22:22) Posted:



Lai Liao.........Huat arh!

FURTHER DETAILS ON THE DISTRIBUTION IN SPECIE OF STAPLED SECURITIES IN OUE HOSPITALITY TRUST

1 OUE HT share for 6 OUE shares held


Book closure date : 20 Mar 13 



  http://infopub.sgx.com/Apps?A=COW_CorporateAnnouncement_Content& B=AnnouncementToday& F=1063430& fileId=Further_Details_On_The_Distribution_In_Specie_of_Stapled_Securities_in_OUEHT.pdf

WanSiTong      ( Date: 27-Feb-2014 16:55) Posted:

I sense good news coming........Lol


 
 
saturn80
    28-Feb-2014 15:08  
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Slow and steady win the race............

 
 
 
noslen
    28-Feb-2014 11:50  
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Three steps forward, two steps backward...the dance steps of OUE share price.
 
 
takemenow
    28-Feb-2014 11:40  
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Currently trading at a large discount from its NAV.

Still  got room to chiong u 
 
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