https://www.stocksbnb.com/wp-content/uploads/pdf/OCBC20231114.pdf
chartiskao ( Date: 08-Jan-2024 11:21) Posted:
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during 2004 we also brought ocbc when its price drops a lot why fear now
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp Ltd
Higher NII and fee income raise profits
SINGAPORE | BANKING | 3Q23 RESULTS
▪ 3Q23 earnings of S$1.81bn were slightly above our estimates. It came from higher net
interest income and higher fee income offset by lower insurance income and higher
allowances. 9M23 PATMI was 77% of our FY23e forecast.
▪ NII grew 17% YoY as NIM rose 21bps YoY to 2.27% and loan growth declined 2% YoY.
Total non-interest income rose 4% YoY as higher fee income was offset by lower
insurance income while trading income was flat. Allowances rose 19% due to higher
SPs as credit costs increased 4bps YoY to 17bps.
▪ Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of S$14.96. Our FY23e estimates remain
unchanged. We assume 1.29x FY22e P/BV and ROE estimate of 10.8% in our GGM
valuation. In FY24, we anticipate NII growth driven by stable NIMs and rising loans amid
stabilised rates, with fee income recovery boosting earnings. OCBC is our preferred
pick among the three banks due to attractive valuations and dividend yield of 6.6%,
buffered by a well-capitalised 14.8% CET 1, and fee income recovery from China&rsquo s re-
opening.
Results at a glance
Source: Company, PSR
The Positives
+ Net interest income grew 17% YoY. NII grew 17% YoY led by NIM improvement of 21bps
YoY to 2.27% despite loan growth dipping 2% YoY. NIM expansion was mainly driven by
higher margins across the Group&rsquo s key markets. However, NII only rose 3% QoQ as NIM rose
1bps QoQ as a rise in asset yields more than outpaced the increase in funding costs.
Nonetheless, OCBC has increased its NIM guidance for FY23e from above 2.20% to around
2.25%.
14 November 2023(SGD mn) 3Q23 3Q22 YoY 2Q23 QoQ Comments
NII 2,456 2,099 17% 2,389 3%
Increase due to NIM growth of 21bps YoY to
2.27% driven by higher margins across OCBC' s
key markets despite loan growth dipping 2% YoY.
Net Fees & Comm 461 453 2% 430 7%
Largely due to the growth in wealth management
fees from increased customer activities and from
higher credit card fees.
Insurance 220 249 (12%) 262 (16%)
Increase mainly due to an increase in medical
claims which was partly compensated by
improved investment performance.
Other Non-II 216 217 (0%) 311 (31%)
Remained largely unchanged as higher non-
customer flow was offset by lower customer flow
income.
Total income 3,429 3,031 13% 3,455 (1%)
Expenses (1,340) (1,278) 5% (1,329) 1%
Expenses up slightly due to continued
investments across people and technology.
Nonetheless, CIR improved 3.1% points YoY to
39.1%.
PPOP 2,343 2,009 17% 2,376 (1%)
Allowance (184) (154) 19% (252) (27%)
Incease due to SP rising to S$220mn (2Q23:
S$78mn) despite a GP write-back of S$36mn
(2Q23: GP of S$76mn). Resultantly, credit costs
increased by 4bps YoY but dipped 14bps QoQ to
17bps.
PATMI 1,810 1,491 21% 1,710 6%BUY (Maintained)
LAST CLOSE PRICE
FORECAST DIV
TARGET PRICE
DIVIDEND YIELD 6.6%
TOTAL RETURN
COMPANY DATA
BLOOMBERG TICKER OCBC SP
O/S SHARES (MN) : 4,495
MARKET CAP (USD mn / SGD mn) : 42857 / 58294
52 - WK HI/LO (SGD) : 13.39 / 11.93
3M Average Daily T/O (mn) : 4.46
MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS (%)
Selat Pte Limited 11.2%
Lee Foundation Singapore 4.4%
3.2%
PRICE PERFORMANCE (%)
1MTH 3MTH YTD
COMPANY 1.4 2.4 14.2
STTF RETURN (0.6) (4.0) 0.6
PRICE VS. STTF
So urce: B lo o mberg, P SR
KEY FINANCIALS
Y/E Dec (SGD mn) FY21 FY22 FY23e FY24e
Total Income 10,596 11,675 13,248 13,964
Op. Profit 3,880 5,273 6,757 7,228
NPAT, adj. 4,858 5,748 7,026 7,608
EPS (SGD) 1.08 1.28 1.57 1.70
PER, adj. (x) 12.0 10.1 8.3 7.6
P/BV, x 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0
DPS (S$) 0.53 0.68 0.85 0.90
ROE 9.5% 10.9% 12.8% 13.0%
So urce: B lo o mberg, Co mpany, P SR
Valuation Method:
Gordon Growth Model (COE: 8.8%, g: 2%)
Glenn Thum (+65 6212 1851)
Senior Research Analyst
[email protected]
21.9%
Lee Rubber Company Pte Ltd
SGD 14.96
SGD 12.97
SGD 0.85
10.00
11.00
12.00
13.00
14.00
15.00
May-17Jun-17Jul-17Aug-17Sep-17Oct-17Dec-17J
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp Ltd
Higher NII and fee income raise profits
SINGAPORE | BANKING | 3Q23 RESULTS
▪ 3Q23 earnings of S$1.81bn were slightly above our estimates. It came from higher net
interest income and higher fee income offset by lower insurance income and higher
allowances. 9M23 PATMI was 77% of our FY23e forecast.
▪ NII grew 17% YoY as NIM rose 21bps YoY to 2.27% and loan growth declined 2% YoY.
Total non-interest income rose 4% YoY as higher fee income was offset by lower
insurance income while trading income was flat. Allowances rose 19% due to higher
SPs as credit costs increased 4bps YoY to 17bps.
▪ Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of S$14.96. Our FY23e estimates remain
unchanged. We assume 1.29x FY22e P/BV and ROE estimate of 10.8% in our GGM
valuation. In FY24, we anticipate NII growth driven by stable NIMs and rising loans amid
stabilised rates, with fee income recovery boosting earnings. OCBC is our preferred
pick among the three banks due to attractive valuations and dividend yield of 6.6%,
buffered by a well-capitalised 14.8% CET 1, and fee income recovery from China&rsquo s re-
opening.
Results at a glance
Source: Company, PSR
The Positives
+ Net interest income grew 17% YoY. NII grew 17% YoY led by NIM improvement of 21bps
YoY to 2.27% despite loan growth dipping 2% YoY. NIM expansion was mainly driven by
higher margins across the Group&rsquo s key markets. However, NII only rose 3% QoQ as NIM rose
1bps QoQ as a rise in asset yields more than outpaced the increase in funding costs.
Nonetheless, OCBC has increased its NIM guidance for FY23e from above 2.20% to around
2.25%.
14 November 2023(SGD mn) 3Q23 3Q22 YoY 2Q23 QoQ Comments
NII 2,456 2,099 17% 2,389 3%
Increase due to NIM growth of 21bps YoY to
2.27% driven by higher margins across OCBC' s
key markets despite loan growth dipping 2% YoY.
Net Fees & Comm 461 453 2% 430 7%
Largely due to the growth in wealth management
fees from increased customer activities and from
higher credit card fees.
Insurance 220 249 (12%) 262 (16%)
Increase mainly due to an increase in medical
claims which was partly compensated by
improved investment performance.
Other Non-II 216 217 (0%) 311 (31%)
Remained largely unchanged as higher non-
customer flow was offset by lower customer flow
income.
Total income 3,429 3,031 13% 3,455 (1%)
Expenses (1,340) (1,278) 5% (1,329) 1%
Expenses up slightly due to continued
investments across people and technology.
Nonetheless, CIR improved 3.1% points YoY to
39.1%.
PPOP 2,343 2,009 17% 2,376 (1%)
Allowance (184) (154) 19% (252) (27%)
Incease due to SP rising to S$220mn (2Q23:
S$78mn) despite a GP write-back of S$36mn
(2Q23: GP of S$76mn). Resultantly, credit costs
increased by 4bps YoY but dipped 14bps QoQ to
17bps.
PATMI 1,810 1,491 21% 1,710 6%BUY (Maintained)
LAST CLOSE PRICE
FORECAST DIV
TARGET PRICE
DIVIDEND YIELD 6.6%
TOTAL RETURN
COMPANY DATA
BLOOMBERG TICKER OCBC SP
O/S SHARES (MN) : 4,495
MARKET CAP (USD mn / SGD mn) : 42857 / 58294
52 - WK HI/LO (SGD) : 13.39 / 11.93
3M Average Daily T/O (mn) : 4.46
MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS (%)
Selat Pte Limited 11.2%
Lee Foundation Singapore 4.4%
3.2%
PRICE PERFORMANCE (%)
1MTH 3MTH YTD
COMPANY 1.4 2.4 14.2
STTF RETURN (0.6) (4.0) 0.6
PRICE VS. STTF
So urce: B lo o mberg, P SR
KEY FINANCIALS
Y/E Dec (SGD mn) FY21 FY22 FY23e FY24e
Total Income 10,596 11,675 13,248 13,964
Op. Profit 3,880 5,273 6,757 7,228
NPAT, adj. 4,858 5,748 7,026 7,608
EPS (SGD) 1.08 1.28 1.57 1.70
PER, adj. (x) 12.0 10.1 8.3 7.6
P/BV, x 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0
DPS (S$) 0.53 0.68 0.85 0.90
ROE 9.5% 10.9% 12.8% 13.0%
So urce: B lo o mberg, Co mpany, P SR
Valuation Method:
Gordon Growth Model (COE: 8.8%, g: 2%)
Glenn Thum (+65 6212 1851)
Senior Research Analyst
[email protected]
21.9%
Lee Rubber Company Pte Ltd
SGD 14.96
SGD 12.97
SGD 0.85
10.00
11.00
12.00
13.00
14.00
15.00
May-17Jun-17Jul-17Aug-17Sep-17Oct-17Dec-17J
chartiskao ( Date: 04-Jan-2024 10:59) Posted:
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from july to october 2023 instead of selling the magicent 7(apple,google,facebook,netflix,microsoft,telsa...) and the big companies in dow and Nadsdaq and now instead of jan effect rally they decide to take proft and wait for fed chief to cut rates
chartiskao ( Date: 04-Jan-2024 10:53) Posted:
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GameStop_short_squeeze
 
https://91mjw.tv/vplay/MjM4NDI0OS05LTA=.html
chartiskao ( Date: 03-Jan-2024 16:46) Posted:
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https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-sgd
from 2008 to 2023
the US angmos would have earned more usd when it converted sgd into usd 
chartiskao ( Date: 03-Jan-2024 16:43) Posted:
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if you had brought 1000 shares of ocbc at $13 in 2008 and kept it until 3/1/2024 you will earned $6118 in dividend
 
https://www.dividends.sg/view/o39
 
you you minus of the dividend you had collected your 1000 shares of ocbc is only cost you $6882 in 3/1/2024
 
chartiskao ( Date: 03-Jan-2024 16:30) Posted:
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from oct 2009 to oct 2023 every time ocbc share was selloff you buy and your dividend will grow from $0.28 in 2009 to $0.80 in 2023
https://www.dividends.sg/view/o39
https://investors.sgx.com/securities/stocks?security=O39
chartiskao ( Date: 03-Jan-2024 16:13) Posted:
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how to buy ocbc from march 2020 to dec 2024 when US rates peak and earned its dividend yield of 6.3% per year
every time when the government says the economy going to go bad after they hikes transport ,electricity gst stamp duty property taxes and rubbish collection bill ,coe and all the property curbs
https://investors.sgx.com/company-disclosures/company-announcements?securityCode=O39& annc=XX0IR72HGY6CIO5N
when the big boy sell ocbc share you collect them and then hold it to earn
https://www.dividends.sg/view/o39
chartiskao ( Date: 02-Jan-2024 10:06) Posted:
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https://www.td.com/ca/en/investing/direct-investing/articles/buying-the-dip
 
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/quote/O39.SI/history?period1=946857600& period2=1704153600& interval=1d& filter=history& frequency=1d& includeAdjustedClose=true
 
https://www.dividends.sg/view/o39
chartiskao ( Date: 02-Jan-2024 10:03) Posted:
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https://www.dividends.sg/view/o39
https://www.britannica.com/money/buy-the-dip
chartiskao ( Date: 02-Jan-2024 09:48) Posted:
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https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/singapore/price-hikes-essential-services-unavoidable-needy-households-will-get-help-pm-lee
chartiskao ( Date: 02-Jan-2024 09:46) Posted:
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everytime when the Powel hike rates the ocbc share fall very badly but the ocbc major shareholders come in to support its share
https://www.maybank2u.com.sg/en/imsavvy/money/us-federal-reserves-interest-rate-hikes.html
 
all the way waiting for the FED to cut rates
chartiskao ( Date: 29-Dec-2023 16:46) Posted:
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- Dividend History: Analyze the bank' s dividend payment history. A consistent and growing dividend over the years can be a positive sign. It suggests that the company has a stable financial position and is committed to returning value to shareholders.
- Payout Ratio: Examine the payout ratio, which is the percentage of earnings paid out as dividends. A sustainable dividend is usually supported by a reasonable payout ratio. If the payout ratio is too high, it might indicate that the company is distributing more than it can afford.
- Financial Health: Assess the overall financial health of the bank. Look at key financial ratios, such as debt levels, profitability, and cash flow. A financially sound company is more likely to sustain its dividend payments.
- Economic Conditions: Consider the economic conditions in Singapore and globally. The banking sector is sensitive to economic changes, and a downturn could impact a bank' s ability to maintain or increase dividends.
- Company Outlook: Stay informed about the company' s future outlook, growth prospects, and any potential risks. A positive outlook for the bank' s business can contribute to confidence in its ability to continue paying dividends.
- https://www.straitstimes.com/business/ocbc-q3-profit-up-21-to-181-billion-amid-record-net-interest-income
- https://www.dividends.sg/view/o39
- usdsgd 1.3187 and us treasury yields keep falling below 4%
chartiskao ( Date: 29-Dec-2023 16:24) Posted:
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https://mothership.sg/2021/08/ocbc-stop-scam-remit-money/
 
US boyfriend do not give dividend yield of 6.3% they take all the money from you
https://www.dividends.sg/view/o39
chartiskao ( Date: 29-Dec-2023 15:59) Posted:
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and difficult to recover the money from thsi cunning scamers
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/ocbc-bank_recently-ocbc-prevented-three-female-customers-activity-6588314190648270848-y-ie
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/ocbc-bank_recently-ocbc-prevented-three-female-customers-activity-6588314190648270848-y-ie
chartiskao ( Date: 29-Dec-2023 15:55) Posted:
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https://mustsharenews.com/ocbc-scammer/
https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/courts-crime/woman-wanted-to-transfer-over-50k-to-overseas-husband-she-might-not-have-met-before-uob
it is better to buy the bank shares and earned 6.3% dividend yield then get stolen from scammers
it is better to buy the bank shares and earned 6.3% dividend yield then get stolen from scammers
chartiskao ( Date: 29-Dec-2023 15:46) Posted:
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better put money in bank shares rather than your money get stolen away by scammers
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/commentary/phone-scam-bank-user-verification-otp-sms-app-call-4014526
at least from 2020 to 2023 your money is still in the bank shares
 
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/commentary/phone-scam-bank-user-verification-otp-sms-app-call-4014526
at least from 2020 to 2023 your money is still in the bank shares
 
chartiskao ( Date: 29-Dec-2023 13:49) Posted:
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the big funds had to sell them off so they can return to buy chealply by end 2023
https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/opinion-features/dbs-ocbc-uob-are-weighing-down-sti
https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/opinion-features/dbs-ocbc-uob-are-weighing-down-sti
chartiskao ( Date: 29-Dec-2023 09:37) Posted:
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https://agbrief.com/news/china/27/12/2023/china-changes-gaming-rules-considers-revising-them-again-after-backlash/
January 2022, China has implemented various gaming regulations to address concerns related to gaming addiction, content, and the well-being of young players. Please note that regulations may have evolved or changed since then, and it' s advisable to check the latest sources for the most up-to-date information. As of my last update, some key regulations included:
- Gaming Addiction and Playtime Limits:
- The Chinese government has been concerned about gaming addiction, especially among minors. In 2019, regulations were introduced to limit the amount of time minors could spend playing online games. Game companies were required to implement measures to restrict gaming time for players under 18.
- Age Verification:
- Online gaming platforms were required to implement real-name registration and age verification systems to ensure that minors could not easily access games meant for older players.
- Content Regulation:
- Stricter regulations were introduced regarding the content of online games, including restrictions on violence, gambling, and explicit content. Game developers and publishers were required to comply with these regulations to obtain approval for their games.
- Online Game Approval Process:
- China has a regulatory process for approving and licensing online games. Games must go through an approval process by the National Press and Publication Administration (NPPA) to be legally operated in the country.
- Social Credit System for Gaming Companies:
- In an effort to regulate the gaming industry, the Chinese government introduced a social credit system for gaming companies. Companies were evaluated based on various factors, including their adherence to regulations and social responsibility.
chartiskao ( Date: 29-Dec-2023 09:33) Posted:
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sg investors set to collect 6.3% yield in 2024 soon
https://investors.sgx.com/securities/stocks?security=O39
https://www.dividends.sg/view/o39
chartiskao ( Date: 29-Dec-2023 09:28) Posted:
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