UBS sees a raft of Fed rate cuts next year on the back of a U.S. recession
PUBLISHED TUE, NOV 14 20234:41 AM ESTUPDATED TUE, NOV 14 202312:30 PM EST
UBS sees a raft of Fed rate cuts next year on the back of a U.S. recession (cnbc.com)
UBS sees a raft of Fed rate cuts next year on the back of a U.S. recession (cnbc.com)
- UBS sees slower growth, rising unemployment and disinflation to lead the Fed to cut its benchmark rate to a target range ending the year between 2.50% and 2.75%.
- Arend Kapteyn, UBS global head of economics and strategy research, told CNBC on Tuesday that the starting conditions are &ldquo much worse now than 12 months ago,&rdquo particularly in the form of the &ldquo historically large&rdquo amount of credit that is being withdrawn from the U.S. economy.
 
10-year Treasury yield tumbles below 4.5% on cool October inflation report
U.S. Treasury yields: investors look to key inflation data (cnbc.com)
 
CNBC Daily Open: A cool jobs report heats up markets
PUBLISHED SUN, NOV 5 20236:50 PM EST
Stock Markets: A cool jobs report heats up markets (cnbc.com)
 
Powell Hints Fed Is Done With Hikes in Pivot Cheered by Markets
- Question now is &lsquo Should we hike more?&rsquo Fed chief says
- Powell downplays previous projections for more tightening
Powell Signals Fed Is Done With Interest-Rate Increases, Boosting Markets - Bloomberg
 
FEDERAL RESERVE
 
Powell says inflation is still too high and lower economic growth is likely needed to bring it down
PUBLISHED THU, OCT 19 202312:00 PM EDTUPDATED THU, OCT 19 20231:27 PM EDT
Powell says inflation is still too high and lower economic growth is likely needed to bring it down (cnbc.com)
Powell says inflation is still too high and lower economic growth is likely needed to bring it down (cnbc.com)
 
BONDS
 
10-year Treasury yield rises to 5%, the highest level for the key rate in 16 years
PUBLISHED THU, OCT 19 20234:25 AM EDTUPDATED 14 MIN AGO
10-year Treasury yield rises to 5%, the highest level for the key rate in 16 years (cnbc.com)
10-year Treasury yield rises to 5%, the highest level for the key rate in 16 years (cnbc.com)
 
Fed Chair Powell to deliver key speech Thursday. Here&rsquo s what to expect
PUBLISHED WED, OCT 18 20232:27 PM EDTUPDATED WED, OCT 18 20233:33 PM EDT
 
KEY POINTS
- Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to deliver what could be a key policy address Thursday afternoon in New York.
- &ldquo Higher for longer&rdquo on rates has become an unofficial mantra in recent days, and Powell is expected to join the chorus.
- Markets largely expect the Fed to stay on hold with rates, but they will be looking to Powell for confirmation and clarification.
 
Picked up some durians.
Black Monday (1987) - Wikipedia
Black Monday  (also known as  Black Tuesday  in some parts of the world due to timezone differences) was the global, severe and largely unexpected[1]  stock market crash  on Monday, October 19, 1987. Worldwide losses were estimated at US$1.71 trillion.[2]  The severity of the crash sparked fears of extended economic instability[3]  or even a reprise of the  Great Depression.[4]
 
BONDS
10-year Treasury yield breaks above 4.9% for the first time since 2007
PUBLISHED WED, OCT 18 20234:30 AM EDTUPDATED 5 HOURS AGO
U.S. Treasury yields: investors weigh economic data (cnbc.com)
U.S. Treasury yields: investors weigh economic data (cnbc.com)
Considering we are nearing the end or at the end of the Fed rate hike circle, this news have limited tangible impact on our banks.
 
 
Any implication for our local banks?
Thanks.
Thanks.
Luzern ( Date: 18-Oct-2023 09:16) Posted:
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BONDS
10-year Treasury yield tops 4.80% after hot retail sales data
PUBLISHED TUE, OCT 17 20234:47 AM EDTUPDATED 5 HOURS AGO
 
 
sReits, Safe Haven status plus ex-date coming in Nov......不 香 吗 ?
Luzern ( Date: 09-Oct-2023 09:10) Posted:
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OIL
Oil falls over 2% after Saudi pledge investors keep wary eye on Israel (cnbc.com)
 
Oil falls over 2% after Saudi pledge investors keep wary eye on Israel
PUBLISHED TUE, OCT 10 202310:37 PM EDTUPDATED 6 HOURS AGO
Oil prices fell over 2% on Wednesday as fears of disruption to supplies due to conflict in the Middle East receded a day after top OPEC producer Saudi Arabia pledged to help stabilise the market.
Oil prices fell over 2% on Wednesday as fears of disruption to supplies due to conflict in the Middle East receded a day after top OPEC producer Saudi Arabia pledged to help stabilise the market.
Oil falls over 2% after Saudi pledge investors keep wary eye on Israel (cnbc.com)
 
Treasury yields decline as investors seek safe havens amid Israel-Hamas conflict
PUBLISHED TUE, OCT 10 20234:40 AM EDTUPDATED 5 HOURS AGO.
.U.S. Treasurys: investors consider impact of Israel-Hamas conflict (cnbc.com)
.U.S. Treasurys: investors consider impact of Israel-Hamas conflict (cnbc.com)
Many times, a market downtrend is ended by a significant event.
Are the markets going to let whoever started this War benefit from Markets fall?  Who are the poeple in control of a big part of the financial world?
Without Russian intervention this time, and knowing what is at stake especially for Oil & Gas rich Arabian countries themselves, IMO, this war will not spread and stay localised.
Picking up some durians.