Hmm wont suspend. Only going cheaper 🤑
Richardlai ( Date: 19-Feb-2024 17:38) Posted:
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Looks like no bottom. Hope it don' t get suspended !
Thing that worries me about this company (apart from being an overleveraged US commercial REIT) is the lack of contrition shown by management. Instead they blame everything else apart from themselves. I&rsquo m not a sadist looking for some self flagellation, but a management that does not recognise its mistakes is vulnerable to making them again in the future. And this company has no more headroom for errors.
The BEAUTY of a REIT. Heads the mangers win and tails the managers also win. 
Buy the sponsors that own the managers of the REITS
Buy the sponsors that own the managers of the REITS
guiren ( Date: 17-Feb-2024 15:05) Posted:
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Suspend distributions,,, why not suspend all the Director fee, top management salaries ??
Joelton ( Date: 16-Feb-2024 12:48) Posted:
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Today very lucky leh. Here and prime just buy small small 100lots heng heng 🤑 🤑 🤑
Stocky901 ( Date: 16-Feb-2024 18:19) Posted:
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Wow. 0ne thousand dollars easy money 👍
piscesmonkey ( Date: 16-Feb-2024 16:54) Posted:
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Sold 152 100lots. Happy weekend 🤑 🤑 🚀
piscesmonkey ( Date: 16-Feb-2024 09:43) Posted:
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KORE' s manager expands on rationale to suspend distributions, answers awkward questions during briefing.
In an update to investors on Feb 15, UOB Kay Hian expressed shock at the suspension of distributions by Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT&rsquo s (KORE) board and management.   &rdquo Investors are rightfully shocked as aggregate leverage of 43.2% as of Dec 23 remains within MAS&rsquo regulatory limit of 50%,&rdquo the update says.
 
During a results briefing on Feb 15, (which was originally scheduled for Jan 31), one or two analysts also expressed surprise, and perhaps even shock.
 
As an example, CapitaLand Ascendas REIT A17U - &rsquo s detailed valuations in FY2023, released on Feb 1 indicated that its US portfolio, which comprises campus business, medtech and tech parks (like KORE&rsquo s), and logistics warehouses, had declined by 19% y-o-y.
 
Against this background, KORE&rsquo s 6.8% decline looked somewhat mild. As David Snyder, CEO of KORE&rsquo s manager puts it, the focus is on maintaining the valuation of the properties by pro-active leasing, keeping occupancy high, and by spending on tenant incentives and AEI. 
 
In a nutshell, KORE is suspending distributions per unit (DPU) for distributable income (DI) in 2HFY2023, FY2024 and FY2025 to conserve capital for capex on tenant incentives and AEI. This is possible because the valuation decline caused net loss of US$67.7 million in FY2023.
 
Also, as stated in the statement issued by KORE on Feb 15, banks' required loan-to-value is 45% for US commercial property. DI will still be reported, but it will be used for capex. 
 
&ldquo In relation to the suspension of distributions, the drop in valuation of KORE&rsquo s assets announced on 30 January 2024 creates a loss situation in which any distribution would be in excess of the combination of profits and the US$75 million loans due for refinancing by 4Q2024,&rdquo the KORE statement explains, and as allowed by the Code on Collective Investment Schemes and the trust deed. 
 
The Code on Collective Investment Schemes (Property Funds Appendix) states that if &ldquo the manager declares a distribution that is in excess of profits, the manager should certify, in consultation with the trustee, that it is satisfied on reasonable grounds that, immediately after making the distribution, the property fund will be able to fulfil, from the deposited property of the property fund, the liabilities of the property fund as they fall due" . 
 
Based on the distributable income reported in FY2023 of US$52 million, withholding distributions for 2H2023, FY2024 and FY2025 will help conserve around US$130 million based the REIT&rsquo s current cost of debt of 4.12%. The outlook for all-in cost of debt for this year is around 4.3% to 4.4%.
 
&ldquo Based on certain expectations in floating rate changes, eg 50-75 bps drop in floating rates in 2024 and assuming early refinancing of loans due in 2025 baked into budget assumptions, the all-in cost of debt is likely to be around 4.3%-4.4%,&rdquo KORE&rsquo s manager says.
 
Among the interesting questions and answers worth highlighting are those around equity fund raising (EFR), distribution reinvestment plan (DRP), management fees (indeed), and sponsor support.
 
On EFR, Snyder says there won&rsquo t be further fund raising. &ldquo What we are trying to avoid is coming back to unitholders twice. Our board deliberated long and hard about the best decision to make. [Withholding distributions] was the only option we found where we think it is likely we don' t have to come back to unitholders. We expect that withholding distributions should be sufficient to cover capital needs for 2024 and 2025 without additional EFR,&rdquo Snyder says.
 
On the other hand, DRP, that many REITs, including most recently, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust C38U - , C38U - , have implemented, was looked at but viewed as not feasible. All the unitholders would have had to subscribe to the DRP in order to conserve the some US$50 million of distributable income a year.
 
On a question whether the manager could reduce its management fees, Snyder accepted that is a &ldquo natural question&rdquo .
 
&ldquo We' re not considering cutting the management fee, the management fee is what enables the manager to pay the team, have a team in place to do all of this work. Our performance has been quite strong. The unitholders are paying a fee and actually getting a result for that fee. We' re not facing an operational crisis. We' re not really facing a complete liquidity crisis,&rdquo he says.
 
&ldquo It is purely a capital side issue that has been created by the fact that, for reasons that don' t always make sense to us, our stock has traded well below the value it should be trading at, at massive discounts to the NAV.&rdquo  
 
In the event of an unlikely scenario that banks want to be more cautious on lending to KORE, can investors be assured that Keppel is behind KORE? Here, the answer is ambiguous.    
 
&ldquo Keppel is our sponsor, I cannot speak for them. We had multiple discussions with our sponsor about the decision that we made, and unanimously with both of our sponsors, the rest of the board and management this [recapitalisation plan] was determined to be the best step for today.
 
" If we were to get into a situation that is outside of what we' re expecting to see happen, we' ll have a whole new set of discussions. I don' t have indications at this point, that we' re not all on the same page,&rdquo Snyder replies.
Keppel Pacific Oak US Reit plunges to all-time low on shock distribution suspension
 
UNITS of Keppel Pacific Oak US Reit : CMOU -39.6% (Kore) plunged as much as 39.2 per cent on Thursday (Feb 15) morning, following the manager&rsquo s shock announcement that it would suspend distributions for the next two years.
 
At the midday break, the counter was down US$0.096 or 38.4 per cent to US$0.154 with 22.7 million units changing hands. It traded as low as US$0.152 in the morning session, and ended 39.6 per cent or US$0.099 lower at US$0.151, the lowest price since its 2017 listing.
 
The suspension of distributions caught investors by surprise, even though another US office Reit &ndash Manulife US Reit &ndash had also stopped distributions last year after breaching debt covenants.
 
Kore&rsquo s manager announced the recapitalisation plan before the markets opened on Thursday, after its leverage rose to 43.2 per cent amid a decline in portfolio valuation for the financial year ended 2023.
 
Chief executive of Kore&rsquo s manger, David Snyder, said at a briefing it is proactively addressing leverage concerns even though gearing is currently below regulatory and debt covenant limits.
 
&ldquo While the limits are truly 50 per cent, both within our covenants and within the regulatory limits, the banks &ndash because of primarily what they&rsquo ve seen happen with at least one of our other competitors &ndash are very reticent to lend against US offices above 45 per cent,&rdquo he said, adding that this requires the Reit to raise equity from somewhere.
 
Kore requires continued capital investments in its portfolio to maintain performance, occupancy and valuation, the manager said.
 
Other options including divestments and an equity fundraising (EFR) were evaluated. But the current US real estate market is difficult for divestments, while any EFR would also likely be insufficient to solve leverage concerns.
 
&ldquo I imagine most of you, on this call, feel a little bit of a sense of shock about it. You know, that was our first response to it too,&rdquo Snyder said. &ldquo But after digesting it and spending time working through, we really do feel good about this choice, but we also think it&rsquo s the best chance we have of alleviating any future funding options.&rdquo
 
The decision was made unanimously by both of its sponsors, Keppel and Kore Pacific Advisors as well as board and management, he added.
 
UOB Kay Hian analyst Jonathan Koh said suspending distributions in the second half of 2023, as well as in 2024 and 2025, will help avoid divestments at &ldquo dismally low prices&rdquo and dilutive EFR exercises.
 
&ldquo This is a painful decision for the management team,&rdquo he said. &ldquo Management is trying to avoid breaches to regulatory leverage limits or its debt covenants, which could lead to a potential default.&rdquo
 
DBS Group Research said it was &ldquo surprised&rdquo by the manager&rsquo s decision to suspend dividends up to the end of 2025, despite its operational and financial metrics being in line with estimates.
 
&ldquo We believe that the manager is probably proactively building up further liquidity to refinance its near-term debt expiry, in case there is a &lsquo funding gap&rsquo when refinancing discussion starts sometime in the coming quarters,&rdquo said the research house. It is currently reviewing its target price and recommended call for Kore.
 
Kore&rsquo s distributable income for the second half ended Dec 31, 2023, fell 10.1 per cent on year to US$26.1 million.
 
The manager noted that the lower distributable income was due to higher financing cost and divestment of the Atlanta assets in H2 2022, partially offset by better performance from the existing portfolio.
 
Gross revenue for the period rose 1.3 per cent to US$74.8 million. The growth was led mainly by higher one-off income of US$1.3 million, recoverable property expenses and car park income. It was partially offset by the loss in revenue from the divestments of Northridge Center and Powers Ferry in July and December 2022, respectively. 
 
Net property income (NPI) of US$42.2 million was up 2.3 per cent compared with H2 FY2022, as higher property-related fees and expenses were partially offset by lower property tax and expenses from the two divestments in 2022.
 
For the full year, distribution per unit dropped 56.9 per cent to US$0.025. Distributable income of US$52.2 million was 13.8 per cent lower than the previous financial year. Gross revenue was up 1.9 per cent to US$150.8 million, and NPI rose 2.2 per cent to US$86.1 million.
 
As at the end of December, Kore&rsquo s portfolio committed occupancy stood at 90.3 per cent. The weighted average lease expiry by cash rental income for its portfolio was 3.7 years.
 
Snyder noted that the occupancy and operating performance have largely been a result of &ldquo good asset management and the investment in the right things at the property level&rdquo .
 
&ldquo Continued investments into the portfolio are necessary to maintain performance, occupancy and valuation,&rdquo he said. The manager is expecting capital expenditures of around US$60 million in 2024 and around US$50 million in 2025.
 
Snyder noted that the suspension of distributions as well as available credit facilities should cover its capital needs in 2024 and 2025.
 
Kore could restart distributions sooner, if it can recapitalise by divesting assets at &ldquo reasonable valuations&rdquo .
 
&ldquo With no debt available for office real estate in the US, there will be very few buyers &hellip if there are buyers, they are bottom fishers looking for massive discounts,&rdquo Snyder said, noting that any sellers in the US today are &ldquo desperate&rdquo .
 
He noted that Kore is not looking to sell right now, but it could sell assets when market activity returns. The manager has considered the divestment of several assets: Iron Point and 1800 West Loop South. 
 
&ldquo If we can sell one or both of those by the end of 2024 or sometime in 2025, that would enable us to fully recapitalise,&rdquo he said. &ldquo If we can do that before the end of 2025, we would actually love to be able to restart distributions sooner.&rdquo
 
The Reit&rsquo s all-in average cost of debt was 4.12 per cent, and the interest coverage ratio was 3.2 times. The weighted average term to maturity of its debt stood at 2.7 years, and 73.8 per cent of its loans had been hedged as at Dec 31, 2023, said the manager.
Dividends are undoubtedly a major draw for many REIT investors, but the investment decision goes beyond that. Factors like capital appreciation potential, portfolio diversification, and access to specific real estate sectors play a crucial role for a significant portion of investors.
andy_thong ( Date: 16-Feb-2024 11:48) Posted:
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You buy REITs for the dividend. No dividend here so what is there? You' re buying for capital gain when the US CRE is in the toilet? Ok take a bet lah, but I' d rather put my money into DBS where there is chance of capital appreciation and the 7% dividend.
KORE is now a business trust with no yield for two years, and look at how BTs have fared in Singapore in the past decade - like shit!
 
KORE is now a business trust with no yield for two years, and look at how BTs have fared in Singapore in the past decade - like shit!
 
I' m also supportive. Better to repay debt with internal funds then fire sale their ppty when there are just bottom fishes waiting to lowball desperate sellers.
I strongly endorse management' s decision to suspend dividend for the next two years. This proactive move leverages company cash flow to navigate potential economic challenges ahead. Additionally, should the Federal Reserve initiate interest rate cuts by July, company' ll be strategically positioned to refinance loans at more favorable terms, further solidifying our financial stability.
Todsy should be hitting 160
freeme ( Date: 16-Feb-2024 11:07) Posted:
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Yup.. best buy..
Look at this as an value play now rather than for dividend. P/B is below 0.2.. super under value.
After delay dividend payout out, its gearing ratio will drop much lower... (subjected to valuation again next year).. 
0.2 P/B is super under value.. just whack and wait.. easily up 20-40 percentage in mid term.. 
Look at this as an value play now rather than for dividend. P/B is below 0.2.. super under value.
After delay dividend payout out, its gearing ratio will drop much lower... (subjected to valuation again next year).. 
0.2 P/B is super under value.. just whack and wait.. easily up 20-40 percentage in mid term.. 
piscesmonkey ( Date: 16-Feb-2024 10:27) Posted:
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Look at it another way, KORE mgt looks like giving up on refinancing and diverting distribution towards debt repayment until it become available again. Which means to say, if PRIME can' t do the same, it will have to restructure its debt like MUST.
...
" &ldquo With no debt available for office real estate in the US, there will be very few buyers &hellip if there are buyers, they are bottom fishers looking for massive discounts,&rdquo Snyder said, noting that any sellers in the US today are &ldquo desperate&rdquo .
https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/hot-stock-keppel-pacific-oak-us-reit-plunges-nearly-40-all-time-low-shock
 
...
" &ldquo With no debt available for office real estate in the US, there will be very few buyers &hellip if there are buyers, they are bottom fishers looking for massive discounts,&rdquo Snyder said, noting that any sellers in the US today are &ldquo desperate&rdquo .
https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/hot-stock-keppel-pacific-oak-us-reit-plunges-nearly-40-all-time-low-shock
 
Those bought below 150 huat ah. Turn green soon. 🤑 🤑 🤑
piscesmonkey ( Date: 16-Feb-2024 10:12) Posted:
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Its time for rebound liao get ready 🤑 🤑 🤑
freeme ( Date: 16-Feb-2024 10:03) Posted:
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nice buy at this price.. i should have wait till today before entering
piscesmonkey ( Date: 16-Feb-2024 09:43) Posted:
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