Yesterday recieved confirmation for the investor day to be held on 3rd nov, so first thing was to check up on the stock price and announcement. Got a shock siah what happen? yield hit 13%?!?
Feels more like panic selling, shortists jumping into the profit bandwagon, feels oversold seriously
Even with all the negative news and rising interest rates
If for long term investment, maybe can consider accumulating
If for trading, it could drop further again towards end of the year
 
Even with all the negative news and rising interest rates
If for long term investment, maybe can consider accumulating
If for trading, it could drop further again towards end of the year
 
jackass ( Date: 19-Oct-2022 13:14) Posted:
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The female CEO Caroline Fong every night kana shagged by AMDK, end up cannot do work properly
See lah, now stock price uplorry
See lah, now stock price uplorry
PhillipTan ( Date: 18-Oct-2022 23:29) Posted:
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There is lower overall occupancy
- 2Q22 overall portfolio occupancy fell to 90.0%, driven by non-renewals and downsizing in existing properties
- Two of MUST' s top 10 tenants by gross rental income, TCW group (3.8% of GRI) and Quinn Emanuel (2.9% of GRI), have plans to vacate by end-23 and have already downsized its offices in MUST' s Figeuroa asset.
Then there is the impact of rising interest rates
- As of end-2Q22, 85.7% of MUST' s borrowings were fixed-rate loans. Every 1% increase in interest rates will impact DPU by 0.079 US cents, which is a roughly 1.5% impact on DPU
- Interest rates are anticipated to rise further
Strengthening of USD hitting new highs in decades will also be another concern for local investors
Share price may have fallen but we will need to pay more due to the rising interest rates
If these are still not bad news for MUST, then I think you must be very optimistic about MUST... Not bad...
That said, it still feels oversold for me
If you still have any spare bullets, any price below USD 40 cents will be a good buy IMHO
Should be seeing a rebound tomorrow
 
- 2Q22 overall portfolio occupancy fell to 90.0%, driven by non-renewals and downsizing in existing properties
- Two of MUST' s top 10 tenants by gross rental income, TCW group (3.8% of GRI) and Quinn Emanuel (2.9% of GRI), have plans to vacate by end-23 and have already downsized its offices in MUST' s Figeuroa asset.
Then there is the impact of rising interest rates
- As of end-2Q22, 85.7% of MUST' s borrowings were fixed-rate loans. Every 1% increase in interest rates will impact DPU by 0.079 US cents, which is a roughly 1.5% impact on DPU
- Interest rates are anticipated to rise further
Strengthening of USD hitting new highs in decades will also be another concern for local investors
Share price may have fallen but we will need to pay more due to the rising interest rates
If these are still not bad news for MUST, then I think you must be very optimistic about MUST... Not bad...
That said, it still feels oversold for me
If you still have any spare bullets, any price below USD 40 cents will be a good buy IMHO
Should be seeing a rebound tomorrow
 
mr_wealth ( Date: 18-Oct-2022 20:12) Posted:
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I think this time the market has 3 major concerns - US inflation and rates, the Ukraine War and China COVID/slowdown.    Strong SGD is a blessing and also weighs on growth and currency translation. Impacts a lot of other stocks, and not just MUST.
its amazing that you still lose money when you buy low because you sell lower later
There is no bad news yet there is a big sell off today. Quite unjustifiable
wait for you to sell first?
Riskless ( Date: 18-Oct-2022 13:22) Posted:
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my holding shaved 50% already.....damn it....worthless counter...
Riskless ( Date: 18-Oct-2022 13:15) Posted:
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wtf is happening to this counter!!! THROW ALL YOUR HOLDINGS TO MAKE IT $0.00
Someone dumped 1.44 M number of shares at 15.25 h. Price plunged from $0.42 to $0.39!
Manulife US Reit manager names Caroline Fong deputy CEO
THE manager of Manulife US Real Estate Investment Trust : BTOU +2.41% (Manulife US Reit) has appointed Caroline Fong as deputy chief executive officer (CEO), effective immediately.
 
She will continue to be the manager&rsquo s chief investor relations (IR) and sustainability officer, where she is responsible for sustainability, investor relations, corporate and digital communications, as well as equity capital markets requirements.
 
In her additional role as deputy CEO, Fong will work with newly-appointed chief executive William David Gantt III, also known as Tripp, and his senior leadership team to formulate and execute investment strategies for the US office-focused Reit.
 
She will focus on capital markets and explore strategic opportunities, alternative capital sources and business development. 
 
Fong joined Manulife US Reit in 2016. She has close to 2 decades of experience in IR, capital markets, real estate and regulations. Prior to Manulife US Reit, she was associate director of IR and corporate finance in Temasek and head of IR and corporate communications in ESR-Reit. 
 
She also held a stint as head of IR for CapitaLand Mall Asia and was the associate director of listings at the Singapore Exchange early in her career. 
This counter keeps on dropping!
Sad. 
Every 1% rate hike expected to cause 0.08 cents decline in dividend. 
But sigh, is there no one else out there who believes in this counter?
Sad. 
Every 1% rate hike expected to cause 0.08 cents decline in dividend. 
But sigh, is there no one else out there who believes in this counter?
Analysts lower targets for Manulife US Reit as occupancy rates disappoint
 
ANALYSTS from various brokerages were disappointed by Manulife US Reit : BTOU -0.84%&rsquo s H1 performance, which saw distribution per unit (DPU) slip due to lower occupancy in its portfolio. This led to a cut in target prices across the board, though they remained largely bullish on the office Reit&rsquo s future performance.
 
RHB analyst Vijay Natarajan noted the return-to-office activities involving its gateway portfolio have been slower than expected and weak compared to that of secondary growth markets.
 
&ldquo This uncertainty has resulted in slow leasing momentum and downsizing by existing tenants, although Manulife US Reit&rsquo s long lease profile and limited upcoming lease expiries mitigates some of this impact,&rdquo he said.
 
The brokerage on Friday (Aug 5) adjusted its target price to US$0.78 from the earlier US$0.83 but maintained a &ldquo buy&rdquo call on the belief that the current uncertainties have already been priced in.
 
CGS-CIMB echoed similar sentiments as its target price was lowered to the same as that of RHB&rsquo s, while reiterating an &ldquo add&rdquo call on the Reit, noting that its H1 DPU of US$0.0261 came in slightly below its FY2022 forecast.
 
Analyst Lock Mun Yee believes the potential income vacuum from expiring leases, uncertainty over demand outlook as tenants adopt a hybrid work structure, and rising tenant incentives are likely to drag on Manulife US Reit&rsquo s near-term prospects. 
 
Factoring in the downtime needed to backfill the vacated spaces, Lock also lowered her FY2022 to FY2024 DPU estimates by 10.2 to 14.3 per cent and tempered forward rent growth expectations.
 
Potential rerating catalysts include better-than-expected rental reversions and faster-than-expected ramp-up in portfolio occupancy, she added.
 
Separately, Maybank also maintained its &ldquo buy&rdquo call on Manulife US Reit, but lowered its target price to US$0.85 as it expects better rental reversions and an improved performance for the second half of the year.
 
Analyst Chua Su Tye was slightly more upbeat on a recovery in US offices in H2, supported by rising physical occupancies and higher leasing volumes.
 
&ldquo Strong asset management know-how is key in our view, and we see management prioritising asset enhancement initiatives and adding flex-space, to support yields on its trophy assets, as demand eases with hybrid work arrangements,&rdquo said Chua.
 
However, with a relatively higher gearing of 42.4 per cent, Maybank&rsquo s Chua and RHB&rsquo s Natarajan opined there was little room for near-term acquisition growth.
 
Downside risks, said CGS-CIMB&rsquo s Chua, could come from a protracted slowdown in the US economy, further dampening appetite for office space.
good for the company ... buy buy for higher price later 
asdzxc ( Date: 05-Aug-2022 09:58) Posted:
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Joelton ( Date: 06-Jun-2022 09:23) Posted:
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Manulife US Reit&rsquo s new CEO keen to tap co-working, tailwind sectors for growth
Tripp Gantt wants to build a higher proportion of growth tenants, and this will be done through capital recycling, not acquisitions, for now
 
THE US office sector is facing its greatest identity crisis yet, as Covid-19 ushered in an era of hybrid work, and Tripp Gantt has just taken over the reins at pure-play US office real estate investment trust (Reit) Manulife US Reit : BTOU +1.68% (MUST).
 
Gantt, who was most recently the second-in-command of the real estate division of Washington State Investment Board (WSIB), a US pension fund with a US$29.6 billion in real estate assets under management (AUM), believes he is the right man for the job.
 
&ldquo My job has always been to look at both macroeconomic trends, sociological trends, and see opportunities that other people don&rsquo t see, and capitalise on them, and be decisive, take action, and actually make them happen,&rdquo Gantt told The Business Times.
 
The 52-year-old newly installed chief executive officer (CEO) of MUST&rsquo s manager was giving his first media interview since succeeding the Reit&rsquo s founding CEO Jill Smith, 68, on May 6.
 
His appointment comes as the Reit clocked a 52-week low of US$0.58 on May 26 &ndash down 13.4 per cent year to date &ndash following the release of its quarterly report, which saw a dip in portfolio occupancy: from 92.3 per cent as at end-2021 to 91.7 per cent as at Mar 31.
 
Having barely recovered from the Covid-induced plunge in March 2020, when prices fell to a low of US$0.555, the counter has returned -20 per cent since going public in 2016. The poor performance is stark when compared with the FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trusts Index, which brought 15.5 per cent in total returns over the same period.
 
For those who reinvested their dividends into the security, the total return was 17.4 per cent, which translates to an annual equivalent of 2.7 per cent, compared with 59.7 per cent in the Index&rsquo s case, or an annual equivalent of 8.1 per cent.
 
The return on equity for MUST has been relatively low over the past few years, prompting questions as to what the new CEO can do to turn around the counter&rsquo s underperformance.
 
Focus on income
 
Gantt said he brings with him expertise in formulating and seeing through creative real estate strategies, as he cited his track record with growing WSIB&rsquo s real estate AUM from US$5 billion when he joined the pension fund in 2005 to US$27 billion by the time he left. MUST, in comparison, is a Reit with US$2.2 billion in AUM.
 
&ldquo WSIB&rsquo s mandate is to provide a long-term, high-quality income stream for its pensioners and, really, my job was devising strategies and implementing strategies to achieve that objective. That lines up really well with what a Reit does,&rdquo said Gantt, who joined the Reit as deputy CEO in January. &ldquo A Reit&rsquo s primary objective is to provide stable income and sustainable growth to its unitholders.&rdquo
 
It helped that WSIB did not invest like a lot of pension funds that limit their influence to capital allocation, he noted. His former job scope had him creating operating companies and investment management organisations that work only for WSIB outside the US, he said.
 
As an investment officer, he spent a substantial amount of time pounding the ground in Asia&rsquo s growth markets.
 
In fact, across the street from his current office on Cross Street sits a row of shophouses he had a hand in injecting life into &mdash by helping to establish 8M Real Estate, a property investment company now with more than S$800 million AUM.
 
When he got involved back in 2012, historical shophouses weren&rsquo t seen as an institutional asset class yet. But Gantt said he saw potential for both strong income growth and capital appreciation.
 
&ldquo It&rsquo s supply and demand dynamics,&rdquo he said. &ldquo We saw that they&rsquo re not making any more of them, so there&rsquo s limited supply. We also saw that Singaporeans love to eat out, and we always try to focus on necessity &ndash necessity real estate is what provides the most stable income stream, because it&rsquo s something that people have to use every day.&rdquo
 
Creative strategy, creative revenue
 
Gantt sees his first priority as putting MUST a step ahead of US employees&rsquo slow return to the office.
 
Physical occupancy at MUST&rsquo s 12 properties had been a frustrating indicator to watch, rising from 11.1 per cent in the first quarter of 2021 to 29 per cent in the fourth quarter before yo-yoing between 25.3 per cent and 34 per cent this year.
 
Gantt himself noted that there are &ldquo a lot of conflicting signs&rdquo of what space needs are going to be and what office demand is going to be, so he has made it his first order of business to walk the ground and hear from tenants directly.
 
&ldquo Tenants have a lot of power right now in how much space they need, how much rent they pay&hellip That&rsquo s largely a result of employees having a lot of power. Employers are having to look very carefully at what their employees want, and then that translates into their business needs,&rdquo he said.
 
Gantt said it is there important to identify the steadiest and broadest sources of demand.
 
He is entertaining several ideas, such as partnering with co-working operators to give tenants the flexibility they are looking for, and introducing dark kitchens to emptier carparks to tap the rise of food delivery.
 
He sees a spectrum of opportunities in the co-working space, and is assessing which would be the best fit for the Reit based on its assets and unitholders&rsquo interests.
 
The car park idea could suit Figueroa, its 35-storey Class A office building located in the South Park district of Downtown Los Angeles, given its competitive advantage of being in the middle of the city, Gantt said. The property comes with an adjacent car park with 841 lots.
 
Focus on capital recycling, not accretive acquisitions
 
As of Mar 31, MUST&rsquo s top 5 trade sectors by gross rental income are finance and insurance (21.1 per cent), legal (19.1 per cent), retail trade (12.5 per cent), information (7.9 per cent), and real estate (7.2 per cent). 
 
Gantt hopes to bump up the proportion of tenants that are in high-growth markets or come from sectors with secular tailwinds, such as technology and information services. Such tenants are &ldquo probably going to be the ones that have the healthiest opportunities for growth&rdquo over time, he added.
 
He expects to sell certain assets and recycle the capital to achieve this mix, rather than add on new properties.
 
This is also his answer to MUST&rsquo s relatively high indicative gross yield of 8.4 per cent. The higher this figure, the harder it is for the Reit secure yield-accretive acquisitions in the near future.
 
While MUST could dilute its yield by issuing more units, doing so could also alienate retail investors who might not want to cough up more cash.
 
MUST had raised some US$100 million through a private placement for institutional and accredited investors last November, to partially fund the acquisitions of 3 properties.
 
The placement was priced at US$0.649, an 8.9 per cent discount to the counter&rsquo s volume-weighted average price, and units of the Reit fell from a price of US$0.71 before the Nov 30 announcement to US$0.68 thereafter.
 
MUST&rsquo s chief investor relations and capital markets officer Caroline Fong said MUST decided on a private placement as it needed to seal the deal expeditiously.
 
A rights issue would have taken 6 to 8 weeks, she said, during which the sellers could have walked away upon receiving a more compelling offer from other buyers.
 
It would also have been a hard sell for banks to underwrite a 6- to 8-week fundraising exercise in the current volatile market environment, she added.
 
Said Gantt: &ldquo (The yield) is largely a result of our share price, which is going to be driven largely by our performance, so... there is a feedback loop.
 
&ldquo As long as we are at this kind of yield, we&rsquo re going to continue to focus on recycling opportunities, rather than trying to focus on finding new accretive acquisitions in the short term.&rdquo
 
In any case, Gantt said he doesn&rsquo t know of any companies that have had a successful equity offering this year: &ldquo I think the challenges that are out there in terms of that yield and that cost of capital are real.&rdquo
Analysts cut Manulife US Reit targets but believe valuations still undemanding
 
ANALYSTS have trimmed their target prices on Manulife US Real Estate Investment Trust : BTOU 0% (Manulife US Reit). This came as the US-focused Reit saw a dip in portfolio occupancy in the first quarter ended March, although rental reversions improved on quarter.
 
RHB on Tuesday (May 10) cut its target price to US$0.83 from US$0.86, representing a potential upside of 39.4 per cent from the counter&rsquo s trading price of US$0.595 as at 10.59 am. Manulife US Reit units were trading 0.8 per cent or S$0.005 lower at the time.
 
Maybank Securities shaved its target price to US$0.90 from US$0.95, representing a potential upside of 51.3 per cent.
 
Both research teams have maintained their &ldquo buy&rdquo calls on the counter and view Manulife US Reit&rsquo s valuation as &ldquo undemanding&rdquo at an FY2022 yield of about 9 per cent. The Reit is also trading at 0.9 times its book value.
 
Meanwhile, CGS-CIMB has reiterated its &ldquo add&rdquo rating on the Reit. It lowered its target price to US$0.86 from US$0.89, to account for a higher cost of equity assumption of 7.84 per cent versus 7.58 per cent previously. The new target represents a potential upside of 44.5 per cent.
 
CGS-CIMB has kept its FY2022-24 distribution per unit (DPU) projections unchanged, while RHB shaved its estimates by 2-3 per cent after fine-tuning its occupancy assumptions.
 
The analysts expect the Reit manager&rsquo s new chief executive Tripp Gantt to bring in more merger and acquisition opportunities. However, Maybank expects Gantt to prioritise divestments to fund these acquisitions, given the Reit&rsquo s weak share price.
Manulife US Reit sees 91.7% occupancy in Q1 expects positive rental reversion
 
United States office-focused Manulife US Real Estate Investment Trust (Manulife US Reit) said on Monday (May 9) that portfolio occupancy for the first quarter ended March 31 dipped to 91.7 per cent, down 0.6 percentage point from 92.3 per cent as at end-2021.
 
Occupancy remained above the US Class A average of 83 per cent, its manager noted.
 
With a long -weighted average lease expiry of five years, the Reit manager expects positive rental reversion, it said in an operational update.
 
The Reit has about 68,000 sq ft of executed leases, with 3.9 per cent rental reversion. More than half, or 54 per cent of total leases, were new, while the remaining 46 per cent were renewed leases. Sectors leasing its properties include accounting, real estate and finance and insurance companies.
 
About 6.4 per cent of leases by gross rental income will expire this year. A majority of leases (49.4 per cent) by gross rental income will expire in 2027 and beyond.
 
Physical building occupancy fell to 25.3 per cent in Q1 2022, down from 29 per cent in Q4 2021. However, the Reit manager noted that physical occupancy reached 34 per cent in April.
 
The Reit' s weighted average debt maturity stood at 2.6 years as at March 31.
 
Its weighted average interest rate was 2.86 per cent. The manager noted that every 1 per cent increase in interest rate will impact the Reit' s distribution per unit by US$0.00075.
 
Gearing meanwhile, was 42.8 per cent, based on gross borrowings as a percentage of total assets.
I bought this close to two years ago and have been adding on more since then
Recently I bought again at $0.645 when it dropped to $0.64
I figured that since it fell below the private placement price of $0.649, it makes sense to add even more hahaha
With higher div yield around 7%-8%, it is good to buy and keep for long
I think people generally avoid this stock because it' s gearing seems pretty high and especially with the fed hikes thingy, the price got hit even worse than it should
But to me, I feel that this is an opportunity to pick up cheap
And impact on the fed hikes thingy will only be short termed and as contracts get renewed or expired and replaced with new tenants, the increased costs will be factored into those new contracts
Hope my gut feeling is right hahaha
 
Recently I bought again at $0.645 when it dropped to $0.64
I figured that since it fell below the private placement price of $0.649, it makes sense to add even more hahaha
With higher div yield around 7%-8%, it is good to buy and keep for long
I think people generally avoid this stock because it' s gearing seems pretty high and especially with the fed hikes thingy, the price got hit even worse than it should
But to me, I feel that this is an opportunity to pick up cheap
And impact on the fed hikes thingy will only be short termed and as contracts get renewed or expired and replaced with new tenants, the increased costs will be factored into those new contracts
Hope my gut feeling is right hahaha
 
Kandee ( Date: 17-Feb-2022 16:16) Posted:
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