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SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD

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ssw518
    18-Oct-2024 10:05  
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China Industrial Production came in better (5.4%) and higher than estimate (4.6%)
FYI
 
 
ssw518
    18-Oct-2024 08:42  
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Samudera Shipping Line Ltd (SGX: S56) (Current Price: S$0.830) &ndash TECHNICAL BUY Buy price: S$0.830 Stop loss: S$0.815 (-1.81%) Take profit 1: S$0.920 (+10.84%) Take profit 2: S$0.980 (+18.07%) (1): Samudera Shipping Line Ltd broke out of a range consolidation between S$0.790 and S$0.835, and found support upon a retest subsequently. This provides a potential bullish reversal signal. (3): The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) technical indicator displays increasing momentum and holds above the zero line, supporting the bullish reversal view. We expect the price to rise further towards Take profit level 1 at S$0.920, retesting the recent swing high resistance level formed at the start of October 2024. The price could head higher thereafter towards Take profit level 2 at S$0.980, which would fill a price gap at the end of July 2024. The expected timeline of the trade is 1-12 weeks from the date of report issuance

wehuattogether88      ( Date: 14-Oct-2024 10:51) Posted:

For reference extracted from Phillip Secuities:
    Rendered HTML

 
 
ssw518
    18-Oct-2024 08:39  
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It has been there every trading since then.
2x 500 lots (500 before 8.30am another 500 after 8.30 am everyday)
Looks like the shortist needs to press hard to cover position,
2 weeks of report reflecting short position above 2K lots.

volume is extremely low compared to last volume move when the 1k selling order appeared
at 0.905. Still there as of now...
everyday buyer are mostly intraday traders, most trades done in 5/10/20 lots swing up and down.

vested, suggest buy only if you can hold (2-3k shares with low comm broker),
even small amount can give you good return as price range gap is big (0.79-0.98).
dyodd

wehuattogether88      ( Date: 02-Oct-2024 13:45) Posted:

somebody trying to force price down with queue of 1000 lots to sell. Might be collecting cheap

 

 
ssw518
    18-Oct-2024 07:45  
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Shortsell Position report for week ending 11 Oct
S56 SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD 2,391,400 538,038,199 SGD 2,020,733.00 0.44

Shortsell Position report for week ending 4 Oct
S56 SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD 2,432,200 538,038,199 SGD 2,091,692.00 0.45


ssw518      ( Date: 15-Oct-2024 08:49) Posted:

Looks like this short BB quite persistent after shorting 2+kk in the week 
on 4 Oct. Not sure if they had cover back.
for short sell report  MAS SPRS Public Portal

countdown 15 days to 30 Oct
Let' s how low this guy can push down, collect some if you can hold at least 3 week.
Let see what the company will do with the huge cash and the addition SGD 4 cent eps keep
from 1H. I am expecting higher revenue since capacity increase after receiving 1
container ship on 4 Aug.
vested
dyodd

 
 
ssw518
    15-Oct-2024 10:54  
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not sure if anyone looking at it' s Balance Sheet.
cash 420+ million which is 0.78 base on 538m float.
long term + short term debt is 400m
recievable 100m
Plant / property / Equipment 500m
the two additional container ship is still out of picture
China is likely on it' s way to recovery
Interest rate cut otw though might not be as fast as projected by the market
only big concern I have is Middle East 

Boss himself already holding 65%, plus SSH n institute should be ard 10-15%
leaveing 20-25% in the open market. 1H still profit with EPS about 5 singapore cents,
nevertheless very disappointing 1 cents div. Final div? My guess is at least 2 cents
depends on economy outlook and profit.

just my view, rest depends on BB, dyodd
vested 

ssw518      ( Date: 15-Oct-2024 08:49) Posted:

Looks like this short BB quite persistent after shorting 2+kk in the week 
on 4 Oct. Not sure if they had cover back.
for short sell report  MAS SPRS Public Portal

countdown 15 days to 30 Oct
Let' s how low this guy can push down, collect some if you can hold at least 3 week.
Let see what the company will do with the huge cash and the addition SGD 4 cent eps keep
from 1H. I am expecting higher revenue since capacity increase after receiving 1
container ship on 4 Aug.
vested
dyodd

 
 
ssw518
    15-Oct-2024 08:49  
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Looks like this short BB quite persistent after shorting 2+kk in the week 
on 4 Oct. Not sure if they had cover back.
for short sell report  MAS SPRS Public Portal

countdown 15 days to 30 Oct
Let' s how low this guy can push down, collect some if you can hold at least 3 week.
Let see what the company will do with the huge cash and the addition SGD 4 cent eps keep
from 1H. I am expecting higher revenue since capacity increase after receiving 1
container ship on 4 Aug.
vested
dyodd
 

 
wehuattogether88
    14-Oct-2024 10:51  
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For reference extracted from Phillip Secuities:
    Rendered HTML
 
 
Asdfgh101
    07-Oct-2024 22:08  
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With the capital of Jakarta moving, I'm sure somehow Samu will be included and its revenue stable
 
 
ssw518
    07-Oct-2024 09:39  
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Macro already 60, this one still underwater.
waiting and waiting.

ssw518      ( Date: 04-Oct-2024 15:12) Posted:

Samudera Shipping Line Ltd. engages in the transportation of containerized and non-containerized cargo. It operates through the following business segments: Container Shipping, Bulk and Tanker, and Agencies and Logistics. The Container Shipping segment includes feeder services for the transportation of containerized cargo between Singapore as a hub port and other outgoing spoke ports in Asia, as well as inter-region and intra-region container shipping services to end users. The Bulk and Tanker segment offers the transportation of special dry bulk, liquid, and gas cargo in the international and Indonesian domestic market. The Agencies and Logistics segment provides agency services in Bangkok, Port Klang, Penang, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, and Dubai.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Peer Comparison

Industry Peer ROA  (%) ROE  (%) P/E P/BV EPS DPS Div Yield  (%)

Samudera Shipping Line Ltd 11.36 18.37 6.19 0.63 0.25 0.03 2.32
Marco Polo Marine Ltd. 10.82 14.72 7.00 1.13 0.00 0.00 1.78
Nordic Group Limited 6.34 14.04 10.27 1.19 0.04 0.01 3.89
Singapore Shipping Corporation Limited 4.87 7.60 7.86 0.57 0.03 0.01 4.16

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

oil price will benefit it' s bulk and tanker segment
Container segment, we really don' t know but now they have additional 2 more container ship
conpare to last reporting.
As for logistic, base on Sg import / export data, it should be at least stable.
anyway, last div was really sad for holders, eps was good but 1 cent div.
main reason or the sell down.
as for finiancial, still very strong with low debt.
Macropolo did quite well today, let' s see if BB wanna push.
Seems all eye looking at the direction of the 0.905 1m sell order, going lower or remove
holding my for the time, hopfully can see the 0.9xx by next reporting.
just sharing dyodd

 

 
 
beng1102
    04-Oct-2024 20:04  
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STRONG BUY when market open next Monday as correction seems over.

ssw518      ( Date: 04-Oct-2024 16:17) Posted:

buyer incoming finally....

 

 
ssw518
    04-Oct-2024 16:17  
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buyer incoming finally....
 
 
ssw518
    04-Oct-2024 15:50  
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By now all should have read the news on the strike is over and dockworker
going back to port till 5 Jan 25 (80 days later)  while waiting for deal to finalised.

if you notice, my comment below, President can call off the strike for 80 day
and Biden says the will not interfeer.... nothing was disclosed on the deal when ask
so finger cross
dyodd

ssw518      ( Date: 03-Oct-2024 07:47) Posted:

Good or bad for Samudera? you decide
Key note so far
- US government has no plan to get involve so far
- US monitoring price for potential price gouging, 
- low / no plication to US economy

note that Biden can use federal law to inforce them to get back to work - 80 days
As for Price gouging, US can only control outgoing (export), as well as local shipping company.
Outside US, price surge is good, harder for China on cheap supply? Another way to hinder Russia war fund?

most likely this should last at least 1 week,
just my view
White House sides with union as US dockworker strike enters second day (channelnewsasia.com)

Alignment      ( Date: 02-Oct-2024 21:45) Posted:

West coast ports and Asia exporters set to benefit at their expense.


 
 
ssw518
    04-Oct-2024 15:12  
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Samudera Shipping Line Ltd. engages in the transportation of containerized and non-containerized cargo. It operates through the following business segments: Container Shipping, Bulk and Tanker, and Agencies and Logistics. The Container Shipping segment includes feeder services for the transportation of containerized cargo between Singapore as a hub port and other outgoing spoke ports in Asia, as well as inter-region and intra-region container shipping services to end users. The Bulk and Tanker segment offers the transportation of special dry bulk, liquid, and gas cargo in the international and Indonesian domestic market. The Agencies and Logistics segment provides agency services in Bangkok, Port Klang, Penang, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, and Dubai.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Peer Comparison

Industry Peer ROA  (%) ROE  (%) P/E P/BV EPS DPS Div Yield  (%)

Samudera Shipping Line Ltd 11.36 18.37 6.19 0.63 0.25 0.03 2.32
Marco Polo Marine Ltd. 10.82 14.72 7.00 1.13 0.00 0.00 1.78
Nordic Group Limited 6.34 14.04 10.27 1.19 0.04 0.01 3.89
Singapore Shipping Corporation Limited 4.87 7.60 7.86 0.57 0.03 0.01 4.16

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

oil price will benefit it' s bulk and tanker segment
Container segment, we really don' t know but now they have additional 2 more container ship
conpare to last reporting.
As for logistic, base on Sg import / export data, it should be at least stable.
anyway, last div was really sad for holders, eps was good but 1 cent div.
main reason or the sell down.
as for finiancial, still very strong with low debt.
Macropolo did quite well today, let' s see if BB wanna push.
Seems all eye looking at the direction of the 0.905 1m sell order, going lower or remove
holding my for the time, hopfully can see the 0.9xx by next reporting.
just sharing dyodd

 
 
 
trader1970
    04-Oct-2024 15:11  
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Samu has always perform well in the past when there are chaos in the shipping route of the red sea, oil supply disruption as it can command the price that it charges in view of higher risk and timeliness..  Be patient, BBs would not be silly to do a one night stand... I can see that there are silent buy up and as long as you can hold, no worries. If cannot, sell and buy back.. It has cover back 0.845 and now it should move towards 88 first... I have vested long interest to at least 95 and above.  It have to move to align with the rest of its peers in HK and China.. Be Patient  once again:):)
 
 
 
wehuattogether88
    04-Oct-2024 11:47  
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Will Samudera move up again just like Seatrium because of oil price factors?
DYODD.
 

 
ssw518
    03-Oct-2024 07:47  
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Good or bad for Samudera? you decide
Key note so far
- US government has no plan to get involve so far
- US monitoring price for potential price gouging, 
- low / no plication to US economy

note that Biden can use federal law to inforce them to get back to work - 80 days
As for Price gouging, US can only control outgoing (export), as well as local shipping company.
Outside US, price surge is good, harder for China on cheap supply? Another way to hinder Russia war fund?

most likely this should last at least 1 week,
just my view
White House sides with union as US dockworker strike enters second day (channelnewsasia.com)

Alignment      ( Date: 02-Oct-2024 21:45) Posted:

West coast ports and Asia exporters set to benefit at their expense.

 
 
Alignment
    02-Oct-2024 21:45  
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West coast ports and Asia exporters set to benefit at their expense.
 
 
ssw518
    02-Oct-2024 18:58  
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The strike affects 36 ports along the East and Gulf coasts, ranging from Maine to Texas
Chan expects the strike could last up to two weeks
FYI
Why FedEx, UPS stand to benefit from port strike (yahoo.com)
 
 
ssw518
    02-Oct-2024 17:42  
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quite supprising that closing volume is so low.
no shortist?
all long closed position?
Epic game from BB today, must respect one which such a huge limit.
Let' s see what happens to friegth rate when China comes back from golden week holiday.

ssw518      ( Date: 02-Oct-2024 16:34) Posted:

if you are buying, it forwards looks. if you sold don' t look back
Rate don' t shoot like oil px where there is a WTI to look at for immediate demand / supply
It will takes time to surface to surface and px to adjust accordingly if US stike continue
and normalised.
Not sure why the BB press down so hard,
Market float is ard 55x million, top 5 control near 70%
200+ million for rest of us.
let' s see and dyodd
I am still in the red
 

 
 
ssw518
    02-Oct-2024 16:34  
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if you are buying, it forwards looks. if you sold don' t look back
Rate don' t shoot like oil px where there is a WTI to look at for immediate demand / supply
It will takes time to surface to surface and px to adjust accordingly if US stike continue
and normalised.
Not sure why the BB press down so hard,
Market float is ard 55x million, top 5 control near 70%
200+ million for rest of us.
let' s see and dyodd
I am still in the red
 
 
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