ThaiBev    Last:0.425    -0.005

ThaiBev

Ok. Wait here. Prepare to short 2nd time if it turn weak.

earlybird14      ( Date: 01-Mar-2016 13:06) Posted: Gonna cut loss. I think this round the most go 75-76. I will be back. I smell the fat meat here. earlybird14      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 16:06) Posted: Nobody will know where got bbs to prepare a huge down or huge up cycle. We can only do own due diligence and place the bet and wait for it. So to minimise the loss, we can only try to short at multiple top or long at multiple bottom. For thaibev, quite obvious is 71 and 66. Even I don't get huge down, 66 is still no bad

 

Ah huat!!!!

 

Today, moves up very strongly.

May start to run up again after resting/flat for 6 months.

 

 

sharenewbie0301.....congrats!...breaking 0.71 convincingly...

post on behalf of lyn lyn.

 

 

 

sharenewbie0301      ( Date: 01-Mar-2016 11:14) Posted: Lynlyn you sold? I queued 0.74 but didn't manage to sell sharenewbie0301      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 10:39) Posted: Hi lynlyn just saw your post. Yeah I'm still holding it too. Felt like there was some accumulation starting about 2weeks before release of results

 

Gonna cut loss. I think this round the most go 75-76.

I will be back. I smell the fat meat here.

earlybird14      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 16:06) Posted: Nobody will know where got bbs to prepare a huge down or huge up cycle. We can only do own due diligence and place the bet and wait for it. So to minimise the loss, we can only try to short at multiple top or long at multiple bottom. For thaibev, quite obvious is 71 and 66. Even I don't get huge down, 66 is still no bad. xuxuxu      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 16:01) Posted: my 2 cents worth will be shorting capital mall trust @ 2.170 rather than Thaibev bigger marco trend on your side take some profit at 1.90 cut loss at 2.255

 

Lynlyn you sold? I queued 0.74 but didn't manage to sell

sharenewbie0301      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 10:39) Posted: Hi lynlyn just saw your post. Yeah I'm still holding it too. Felt like there was some accumulation starting about 2weeks before release of results lyn_lyn      ( Date: 28-Feb-2016 20:16) Posted: sharenewbie0301 lyn lyn still holding this counter....... pls see 5 years chart..... just me, lyn

 

Nobody will know where got bbs to prepare a huge down or huge up cycle.

We can only do own due diligence and place the bet and wait for it.

So to minimise the loss, we can only try to short at multiple top or long at multiple bottom.

For thaibev, quite obvious is 71 and 66. Even I don't get huge down, 66 is still no bad.

xuxuxu      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 16:01) Posted: my 2 cents worth will be shorting capital mall trust @ 2.170 rather than Thaibev bigger marco trend on your side take some profit at 1.90 cut loss at 2.255 earlybird14      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 14:58) Posted: 70.5-71. Let's see if 66-71.5 range will be broken. I am waiting

 

my 2 cents worth will be shorting capital mall trust @ 2.170 rather than Thaibev

bigger marco trend on your side

take some profit at 1.90

cut loss at 2.255

earlybird14      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 14:58) Posted: 70.5-71. Let's see if 66-71.5 range will be broken. I am waiting. earlybird14      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 14:49) Posted: Simple reason. U check result across 5 years, basically all about same. 2015 look good because 2014 was bad. So from 2012 to 2015, price low is 20 in 2012, price high at 80. Now 70. Which direction you will place the bet. 70 to 80, small profit, 70 to 20. Wah nice profit. Already said 70-71.5 and cut loss at 72. May or may not come if not come, may be still can take profit at 66. Look at keppel and compare keppel result with price and drop 2 chart together, you will know what i mean. Best year result doesn't mean best price. Purely speculation. Good luck

 

http://www.investopedia.com/articles/technical/121201.asp

For ur reading. Head and shoulders patterns.

First shoulder in may 2013, 71

First head in april 2015, 80

2nd shoulder now 71

As chart readers, we bet on probability. Head and shoulders pattern is 1 kind high possibility pattern to move down or last time to take profit for a long term bull trend.

May or may not happen. As i said short here and limit the loss. For holders, it is time to think if u can get higher price than 71-71.5 after this round.

Anyway, just share.

sharenewbie0301      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 12:52) Posted: Why so convinced it will go down bro? earlybird14      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 12:11) Posted: I see if it can hit 70-71.5 again. I will trigger the short button to bet on it and cut loss at 72

 

70.5-71. Let's see if 66-71.5 range will be broken. I am waiting.

earlybird14      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 14:49) Posted: Simple reason. U check result across 5 years, basically all about same. 2015 look good because 2014 was bad. So from 2012 to 2015, price low is 20 in 2012, price high at 80. Now 70. Which direction you will place the bet. 70 to 80, small profit, 70 to 20. Wah nice profit. Already said 70-71.5 and cut loss at 72. May or may not come if not come, may be still can take profit at 66. Look at keppel and compare keppel result with price and drop 2 chart together, you will know what i mean. Best year result doesn't mean best price. Purely speculation. Good luck. sharenewbie0301      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 12:52) Posted: Why so convinced it will go down bro

 

Simple reason. U check result across 5 years, basically all about same. 2015 look good because 2014 was bad.

So from 2012 to 2015, price low is 20 in 2012, price high at 80. Now 70. Which direction you will place the bet.

70 to 80, small profit, 70 to 20. Wah nice profit.

Already said 70-71.5 and cut loss at 72. May or may not come if not come, may be still can take profit at 66.

Look at keppel and compare keppel result with price and drop 2 chart together, you will know what i mean. Best year result doesn't mean best price. Purely speculation.

Good luck.

sharenewbie0301      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 12:52) Posted: Why so convinced it will go down bro? earlybird14      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 12:11) Posted: I see if it can hit 70-71.5 again. I will trigger the short button to bet on it and cut loss at 72

 

Why so convinced it will go down bro?

earlybird14      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 12:11) Posted: I see if it can hit 70-71.5 again. I will trigger the short button to bet on it and cut loss at 72. trader20yr      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 10:03) Posted: Result out improve small small only but Thai baht drop more vs Sing $. So expect to drop towords lower trading range of 66c to 68.5c again, but have to wait till US to drop big big 1st, which will come since US quite a while never drop big big already

 

I see if it can hit 70-71.5 again. I will trigger the short button to bet on it and cut loss at 72.

trader20yr      ( Date: 29-Feb-2016 10:03) Posted: Result out improve small small only but Thai baht drop more vs Sing $. So expect to drop towords lower trading range of 66c to 68.5c again, but have to wait till US to drop big big 1st, which will come since US quite a while never drop big big already

 

Pending more information from the analyst briefing, we are keeping our BUY rating, with fair value estimate of S$0.83 unchanged for now. Separately, the group is considering a change in ThaiBev&rsquo s fiscal year-end from Dec 31st to Sep 30th, subject to approvals

Source: OCBC Research - 29 Feb 2016

 

Thai Beverage' s FY2015 profit up 22%

 

http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/thai-beverages-fy2015-profit-up-22

 

How high it can be? 0.80 TP?

 

Hi lynlyn just saw your post. Yeah I'm still holding it too. Felt like there was some accumulation starting about 2weeks before release of results

lyn_lyn      ( Date: 28-Feb-2016 20:16) Posted: sharenewbie0301 lyn lyn still holding this counter....... pls see 5 years chart..... just me, lyn

 

Result out improve small small only but Thai baht drop more vs Sing $. So expect to drop towords lower trading range of 66c to 68.5c again, but have to wait till US to drop big big 1st, which will come since US quite a while never drop big big already

 

Amazing 66-71 since aug 2015 till now.

sharenewbie0301      ( Date: 28-Feb-2016 19:36) Posted: Ah... Ok. Will monitor tomorrow. earlybird14      ( Date: 28-Feb-2016 18:43) Posted: Chart prefer down. I doubt it will move up. PE 16. This is quite high among sti bluechips, will be targetted by shortisellers soon. 2012 when sti was 2500, this one was 25 cents. Now sti is 2500, still 69. It already come down from 80, so mean big players already cash out. Price stop at 71 recently is obvious movement of accumulate shorting volume. Further more, thai bev best year was 2012. Not 2015. But price is different. Again, don't catch falling knife if 66 is broken

 

sharenewbie0301

lyn lyn still holding this counter.......

pls see 5 years chart.....

just me,

lyn

 

Ah... Ok. Will monitor tomorrow.

earlybird14      ( Date: 28-Feb-2016 18:43) Posted: Chart prefer down. I doubt it will move up. PE 16. This is quite high among sti bluechips, will be targetted by shortisellers soon. 2012 when sti was 2500, this one was 25 cents. Now sti is 2500, still 69. It already come down from 80, so mean big players already cash out. Price stop at 71 recently is obvious movement of accumulate shorting volume. Further more, thai bev best year was 2012. Not 2015. But price is different. Again, don't catch falling knife if 66 is broken. sharenewbie0301      ( Date: 28-Feb-2016 18:30) Posted: should break up bah. Isn't the group still doing better than the previous year