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China Fishery - Low PE
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RoundRound
Elite |
24-Jun-2014 09:51
Yells: "Tikam Tikam can also" |
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China Fishery is facing numerous adversaries: Huge debt, Russia business restrictions, bad weather pattern. Seems like this have much negative impact on its already low price. | |||||
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stockpicker
Master |
24-Jun-2014 09:37
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This forum always has problem with links,, here is the text ============================================================================================================================================= Fishmeal exports continue to decline CHILE Monday, June 23, 2014, 22:10 (GMT + 9)   Between January and April 2014, Chile exported fishmeal for USD 117 million, a figure which shows a decrease of 27 per cent compared to the same four-month period of 2013, when USD 162 million was obtained. According to a report issued by InfoTrade for Aqua, 79,698 tonnes of fishmeal was sent abroad, 9 per cent lower than in the same period last year, when 87,611 tonnes were exported. The document also detailed that the average price stood at USD 1.46 per kg compared with USD 1.85 per kg in the first four months of 2013. Corpesca was the company that registered the highest export: USD 55 million was obtained for sending 39,673 tonnes abroad. It was followed by Pesquera Pacific Star, with 12,725 tonnes worth USD 19.4 million and Camanchaca, with 11,464 tonnes worth USD 15.7 million. Further back the following fishing firms were located:
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stockpicker
Master |
24-Jun-2014 09:32
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In absolute dollar terms,  the fishmeal exports from Chile declined 27% for  the period between Jan and April as compared to 2013.  Chile is known to catch more Anchovy than Peru.  It is still not known how bad would  the fishmeal industries in Peru be affected.. http://www.fis.com/fis/worldnews/worldnews.asp?l=e& country=0& special=& monthyear=& day=& id=69410& ndb=1& df=0   |
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Isolator
Supreme |
24-Jun-2014 08:15
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Long before it charge up.... Enjoy.... | |||||
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JMS213
Senior |
22-Jun-2014 22:00
Yells: "Just living is not enough. One must have sunshine, freedom !" |
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Revenue Flow in the Peruvian Fishing Sector.  Peruvian anchovy is the largest single-species fishery in the world and supports a sizeable fishmeal industry.  A new economic study shows that seafood for human consumption generates most of the revenue in the fisheries sector.    It said " The size of the circles is proportional to  the revenue generated."     This fish is completely or totally undervalued.  Thinktoprofit said " China Fish ranges the global top 3 players and yet funds are not buying. Need to be cautious here. For me, not the time to buy yet." There are more than 1 retailer investor holding million of dollars in this BB.  Leongsan said " Carlyle 11.2%"   The Carlyle Group is an American-based global asset management firm, specializing in private equity. They operate in four business areas : private equity, real assets, market startegies, and fund of funds, through its AlpInvestsubsidiary.  If you want to catch ordinary fish, it is easy. But if you want to catch a Marlin, King of the Ocean, you must be Patience ..... Enjoy   
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stockpicker
Master |
22-Jun-2014 13:49
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  The South fishing season will start only  next Monday.    The figure only for  before 17 June
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Leongsan
Senior |
22-Jun-2014 10:29
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I  think you figures include the south ie toatal peru. Not so good. Price may reacj $2300
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stockpicker
Master |
22-Jun-2014 08:59
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Leongsan
Senior |
22-Jun-2014 08:54
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Can you please post source 1,481,941 tonnes as at 17th June is too goo to believe., Have you included quota for the South? North quota is 2.53 mil South 430,000 tonnes which should be fully caught by now
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stockpicker
Master |
22-Jun-2014 08:42
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Cannot trade in SGX,  trade in margin  managed  by the brokers.  This is how some counters got pushed up or shorted down until no one knows what had happened..
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Observers
Elite |
22-Jun-2014 07:47
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Are you serious? Do you know what is the public float for this fish? Some things in this world, you have money also cannot buy.
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stockpicker
Master |
22-Jun-2014 07:33
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There is such thing called  buy and stock up  for fishmeal.  The Chinese quite smart this time,  they imported over 500K tonnes of fishmeal in  last 4 month of last years when  price was  $1,500/= per ton.  This capacity is  twice the total capacity  of  250K tonnes  expected to be imported in first 4 months of  2014.    It  helped to lower the price rise otherwise,  the price would have sored  over $2,000/= per ton easily.  Whether the price would go  higher than $2,000/= and higher than 2012 will depend on the seriousness of this El-NINO which is 30 weeks to peak and if there are alternative fishmeal feeds which is increasing in demand..
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JMS213
Senior |
21-Jun-2014 23:53
Yells: "Just living is not enough. One must have sunshine, freedom !" |
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Revenue Flow in the Peruvian Fishing Sector. Peruvian anchovy is the largest single-species fishery in the world and supports a sizeable fishmeal industry. A new economic study shows that seafood for human consumption generates most of the revenue in the fisheries sector.  It said " The size of the circles is proportional to the revenue generated."   This fish is completely or totally undervalued. Thinktoprofit said " China Fish ranges the global top 3 players and yet funds are not buying. Need to be cautious here. For me, not the time to buy yet." There are more than 1 retailer investor holding million of dollars in this BB. Leongsan said " Carlyle 11.2%" The Carlyle Group is an American-based global asset management firm, specializing in private equity. They operate in four business areas : private equity, real assets, market startegies, and fund of funds, through its AlpInvestsubsidiary. If you want to catch ordinary fish, it is easy. But if you want to catch a Marlin, King of the Ocean, you must be Patience ..... Enjoy 
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JMS213
Senior |
21-Jun-2014 23:11
Yells: "Just living is not enough. One must have sunshine, freedom !" |
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I am sure the Canadian and Peruvian Researchers know what they are doing and talking about. Anchovies health benefits in the form of essential fatty acids, protein and other nutrients.  Don' t hold the anchovies: Study shows Peruvian fish worth more as food than as feed. We may not have a crystal ball, but from the study, we know the current business trend point to a not so distant future that will be totally different from fishmeal to food for human consumption.  We know the Asians and Chinese are lovers of food. Enjoy .....   T2LE56           ( Date: 20-Jun-2014 09:34) Posted:   
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Stockguru17
Member |
21-Jun-2014 20:40
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In my opinion, it really does not matter how much China Fishery can catch in Peru. Its more of the supply and demand and the price elasticity here in which I am focusing more on. If they caught lesser, prices of the fish meal and fish oil will increase due to the supply falling low. This applies across all fishing companies in Peru, unless you can pinpoint a rival company to me catching more anchovies. At the end of the day, its the revenues that matters. The next quarter results must improves or else this company is doomed.   But having said that, I think it is still undervalued though i am not vested in this counter. But i am speaking from an avid fisherman point of view. Basic common sense.  |
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stockpicker
Master |
21-Jun-2014 14:47
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Peru During week 23, catch volumes reached 140,339 tonnes of anchovies caught by the industrial fleet. So far they have reached 1,481,941 tonnes.  TAC is 2.53 mil tons.  i.e at 17 June,  about 58%.  The next TAC is a shocker,     234,300 metric tons in the south region,  starting next Monday and ending Sept 2014, a 45% decrease from the last season quota. going to affect CF' s bottom line unless catch of other type of fishes improves
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Leongsan
Senior |
21-Jun-2014 13:23
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Caryle 11.2%
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AddLuck
Veteran |
21-Jun-2014 12:27
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Bro, the achovies here are called Kang Hu. In there, it is different, the picture posted   looked more like the Tiow Keng or Tambun. The latter 2 deteriorate immediately after catch or if caught in bulk - due to heavy catch in same net, they crushed themselves. in what, posted below...there' s a clue..." only anchovies caught by small boat can be used for human consumption" ......small boat catches can be carefully handled and kept fresh at all times but with much effort and cost.....these critters are too soft and fragile for handling.
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Leongsan
Senior |
21-Jun-2014 11:37
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Peru Quota Usage and Landing Result 15 June 2014 Can someone post? | |||||
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JMS213
Senior |
21-Jun-2014 09:03
Yells: "Just living is not enough. One must have sunshine, freedom !" |
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Agreed. Advocate the trend or Equilibrium. Study shows NOT FISHMEAL RATHER AS FOOD FOR HUMAN CONSUMPTION.
FYI, anchovies are nutritious healthy food for man. Anchovies pack big flavor for such small fish. They&rsquo re so strong that only a small amount of anchovy is needed to add flavor to sauces, salad dressings, pasta and pizza. That same small amount also delivers health benefits in the form of essential fatty acids, protein and other nutrients. The Peruvian anchovy is the world' s biggest fishery resources. If this study is by Canadian and Peruvian researchers, I am sure the Peruvian' s government knows that too. Enjoy ... 
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Agreed. Advocate the trend or Equilibrium. Study shows NOT FISHMEAL RATHER AS FOOD FOR HUMAN CONSUMPTION.