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Latest Posts By sheerluck
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| 16-May-2014 18:34 |
RH PetroGas
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What happen to RH PetroGas
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Oh! is actually the Executive Chairman' s method so apology to the CEO but well done EC!   Now I can evaluate all other O& G E& P coy within seconds.   A real time saver!
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| 16-May-2014 18:17 |
RH PetroGas
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What happen to RH PetroGas
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| 15-May-2014 17:05 |
Nam Cheong
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Nam Cheong
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Last year when NCL resutls its FY12 results its price when from 25cts to 30cts before end of May End of last year when NCL annouced contract wins its  price when from 29cts to 34cts within 10 days. NCL is trading around 35.5cts with its Q1 release.   Can I expect it to breach 40cts before end of May???   i think it is a fair expectation but lets see what the Market thinks? DYDD. 
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| 15-May-2014 15:31 |
Nam Cheong
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Nam Cheong
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Based on NCL this quarter earning and current price of 37.5cts, its trading at PE of 7.2x.   For a company that has demonstrated a net profit with a CAGR of 14.5% for the past three years and and exceptional Q1 results, surely it deserves a higher PE.   The average PE for this sector is 8-10.   Better ones can and should command a higher PE. I draw comparison to VARD which is now trading at a PE of 16.   VARD is a good company with a strong order book trading at twice NCL' s PE. It is currently facing issues with one of its Brazilian yard but market participants still trade VARD in anticipation to a recovering story.   To match NCL' s current PE, it need to more than doble its earning. So is it better to trade with anticipation or with proven track record?   You decide. As mentioned in my earlier post, NCL doesn' t shoot to the sky like some other counters on good news but rather it does a series of mini re-rates.   Slow yes but definitely steady but every re-rate lifted it s base higher.   This I draw comparison to Penguin which reported a sterling Q1 results and it price shoot up more than 10% but look what is happening to it now. This is my personal view of NCL in general. Please DYDD. 
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| 12-May-2014 15:23 |
Medi Lifestyle
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IEV - decent results and promising developments
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Correction: Drop in GM for MNG is a surprise.   Reason being due to the change in business model.   A pity because maintaining the usual 30+% GM would have given it a PE of 11X based on the price of 26.5/27cts.   Now the PE is 15x. DYDD. 
 
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| 12-May-2014 10:46 |
Medi Lifestyle
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IEV - decent results and promising developments
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IEV turned in a respectable Q1 results. GM for integrated engineering solution remained   stable at 39% GM for turnkey is 6.3% suggesting that their ERM is guiding their turnkey projects well.   Personally I was expecting a GM of 10% which would have increased their profit by about 75%.   However, given that last FY GM for turnkey is -18% I have to say well done IEV!  GM for MNG halved from their usual 30+% to 14%   due to change from combination of throughput and direct sales to direct sales of CNG only. The following from para 10 of the announcement is encouraging: The Group has completed its maiden USD 15 million FPSO decommissioning project in Malaysia in April 2014 and recently received invitation to quote for a similar contract in Malaysia. The Group has also been awarded contracts to inspect mooring systems of two FPSOs in the region. The Group is expecting a rise in demand for higher standards of safety and therefore this new service is expected to increase in the future. With the successful delivery of this turnkey another similar project will be a win situation for IEV.   If they can further improve their operation and with the guidance from the ERM, a higher GM can be expected. IEV is stepping up effort to distribute its proprietary ocean-powered marine growth control solutions with good GM of around 40%.   They are also planning to expand the CNG supply chain and exploring LNG supply chain. Drop in GM for MNG is a surprise.   Reason being due to the change in business model.   A pity because maintaining the usual 30+% GM would have given it a PE of 1X based on the price of 26.5/27cts.   Now the PE is 15x. This year they have one major capex: the KSO E& P.   This one is risky.   They either find oil ( All-in-all, an encouraging set of Q1 results with positive developments.   Now looking forwards to Q2 results for confirmation of a continuing recovery. DYDD. 
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| 07-May-2014 17:47 |
Rotary Engg
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Rotary
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Very impressive Q.   Keep up the good work and $1 is not far away.   DYDD. 
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| 07-May-2014 17:45 |
Nam Cheong
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Nam Cheong
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Sounded like an opportunty to load more.   1cts div + decent Q1 results should catapult it to 40cts.   Hope the cannon is powerful enough! DYDD. 
 
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| 07-May-2014 11:26 |
MarcoPolo Marine
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Marco Polo - IPO
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This one debt too high.   When the rig comes into action in 2016 and analyst expect profit to double but the debt will also be doubled.   Between now and then too many events whether internal or external can affect its performance and hencec prices.   I believe  from now till then, there should be ample opportunities to take up a position with it, if it still prove worthy of it. DYDD. 
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| 07-May-2014 11:18 |
Vard
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Vard Holdings
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Fincantieri will want VARD to declare more dvidend because  Fincantieri will still be 51% owned by the Italian govt and they need $$$ to reduce their trillion  national debt.   Taking VARD private is not impossible but will need to throw out 300-370mil euros from $1-$1.22 to eat up the remaining shares.   Not sure if they are willing to fork out the cash upfront given the the main objective is to  reduce debt. Another possibility.   When VARD has mostly recovered from its Brazilian problem, with its order book and prospect, sell it to private investment.   This is pretty much like what Swiber did with Kreuz.   Sell asset to raise cash to reduce debt (oh not sure if Swiber did reduce debt). Possible? DYDD. 
 
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| 07-May-2014 03:04 |
Courts Asia
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Courts Asia
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Their share buyback did not prevent their share price from free falling. By the way, the recent dumping, got bad news coming is it????
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| 07-May-2014 02:50 |
Vard
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Vard Holdings
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Why the plan is to raise 12 billion euros but estimate Fincantieri could be worth only more than 1.5 billion euros?
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| 07-May-2014 00:59 |
Courts Asia
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Courts Asia
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Their bases are to ensure their brokage house huat (first priority) and then their client huat (second priority).   We all know news move thing.   I am not surprise if they have already position themselves before releasing their analyst report.   If their call move the prices up, their can cash out and reduce stakes.   If their call moves the price down, their can collect more.   If their call results in no move, no problem, they can wait. How good are their analyses?   As good as the wind.   It change faster than you change your underwear (assuming you do change and on a daily basis).   Take for example VARD.   When VARD issue profit warning on 28 Jun 2013, KIM Eng on 1 July 2013 said " Brace for roller coaster ride, but maintain Buy" and  call for $1.52.   Since then VARD price dropped from $1.09 to $0.87 on 11 July when they release their Q2 results.   The next day, KIM ENG change the target price to $0.85 slashing 44% off in 11 days.   I wonder what they have done to their holdings during that period.   Now VARD seems to be recovering well, KIM ENG recently call for $1.07.   Really a no-brainer. Can retail investors outlast them?  
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| 06-May-2014 23:17 |
Courts Asia
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Courts Asia
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Dropping like no tml. I thought people knows all along the Courtsasia is a rojak company competing with the likes of IKEA on furnitures, Challenger for consumer electronics, practically everybody else with electrical appliances. They are expanding pretty aggressively into Malaysia and Indonesia in the hope of tapping into their growing middle-income groups.   The price does seems attractive now but not sure if the sell-down is completed. This one maybe in for the long-haul until their Malaysia and Indonesia market contribute strongly. DYDD. 
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| 06-May-2014 22:47 |
QT Vascular
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QT Vascular Going BIG
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Hope QT future results provides more clarity for me.   I don' t spent all this time questioning it because I don' t like it.   On the contrary, this is a interesting coy to me but I viewed it highly risky to take on any position with it atm. In the meantime enjoy huating! 
 
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| 06-May-2014 21:38 |
Medi Lifestyle
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will iev back to $1 ?
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Their earning can be volatile because of their turnkey.   Hopefully they turn it around adequately and nicely.   Come next year when their biomass kicks into action and if KSO shows return, I hope it increases the stability of their profit.   Their MPG provides steady incomes.   Debt is pretty low as well. Unfortunately, they may have left a bad taste in previous investors' mouth.   Hope they prove themselve they are worthy of the money. DYDD. 
 
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| 06-May-2014 21:05 |
QT Vascular
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QT Vascular Going BIG
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Good effort on the coy to maintain investors confident.   Surely if they don' t bring their products into Singapore having listed here and gotten lcoal investors money, it is bad publicity. But I still have doubts.   Really we are talking about specialised product that requires surgery procedure.   It not like  paracetamol that you can buy of the shelf and administrate it yourself.   You may buy  paracetamol more than once in a year and almost anyone can buy it but you really cannot expect the same from these products. Sure there are 202 miliion PAD cases but this ballon thing is one of the possible treatment not the only one and I don' think these product and the surgery are themselve cheap.   Right? They are also competing with some big players: The market leaders in the treatment of PAD include large medical companies such as Boston Scientific Corporation (&ldquo Boston Scientific&rdquo ), Johnson & Johnson, Covidien Ltd. (&ldquo Covidien&rdquo ), CR Bard, and Abbott Laboratories. Often, they have carved out a niche in a particular part of the peripheral vascular market (&ldquo PV market&rdquo ). However, as instances and awareness of PAD increase, more and more companies are looking to gain entry into the market, leading to ever shifting market shares, ongoing price pressure and the development of new devices as the companies strive to differentiate their offerings. These large incumbents often grow by acquiring smaller companies in the market for their new and upcoming devices, for example CR Bard acquired Lutonix in 2011 for its drug-coated balloons (&ldquo DCB&rdquo ) device and Covidien acquired CV Ingenuity Corp. for its DCB in 2012. These acquired devices are often still completing clinical trials at the point of acquisition. This is especially true of the new drug-eluting balloons (&ldquo DEB&rdquo ) and DCB devices, the majority of which have CE Marks and are going through clinical trials in the US with expected launch dates in the 2014 to 2016 timeframe. So back to my inital doubts about its prospect that it is not a mass-market product, it needs surgery procedure, it faces fierce competion from existing big players.   These big boys should have their own established distribution channels so their cost may be a lot lower than QT' s.   If they slash margin (if they can afford to) to gain market share, can QT survive?   Will QT revenue not be volatile? Sure, one day it may get acquire by another company, one which wants a pie of the action. Apologise first as I really don' t mean to dampen it as it had such a nice run-up today. Any counter-arguements welcome! DYDD.  
Correction:   Dr Eitan. owns those share at 0.02cts not 2cts.   Sure, this coy is his baby so he may not dump.   |
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| 06-May-2014 20:17 |
Medi Lifestyle
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will iev back to $1 ?
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27cts is a tempting price.   You don' t get that everyday.   I expect a decent Q1 results but not sure how well they will turnaround. DYDD. 
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| 06-May-2014 18:02 |
Nam Cheong
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Nam Cheong
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RR, I hope to see 40cts+ within the month if Q1 results delivers.  Expectations are high and so are risks. 
 
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| 06-May-2014 15:32 |
Nam Cheong
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Nam Cheong
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I am always puzzled by one thing about NC.   It buy/sell queue are also in the thousands.   Unless there are tons of retail investors, if not is it fund queuing or what?   Anyone knows? Last year, it releases its FY13 Q1 results on 13 May (before Market open) and went xD on 14 May.   This year the xD is also 14 May so they may release their result on 13 May.   A set of good results will reduce any xD effect.   In fact look at what happen to its prices last year from a few days before and after 13 May.   Will we see a repeat of the same pattern?    Past history (pattern) is not a guarantee ofr future performance (pattern).   DYDD. 
 
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