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Latest Posts By Luzern - Supreme      About Luzern
First   < Newer   301-320 of 3423   Older>   Last  

29-Nov-2023 13:20 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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Everywhere You Look, Rates Traders Are Piling Into Rate-Cut Bets

  • Option structures for an economic hard landing are in demand
  • JPMorgan Treasury client group has record net-long position


 
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29-Nov-2023 13:17 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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Fed interest cut in Q1? Bill Ackman feels rate cut coming ' sooner than market prediction&rsquo

1 min read  29 Nov 2023, 07:50 AM IST
Fed interest cut in Q1? Bill Ackman feels rate cut coming ' sooner than market prediction&rsquo | Mint (livemint.com)

Billionaire investor  Bill Ackman  is betting the United States  Federal Reserve  will begin cutting interest rates sooner than markets are predicting.

The Pershing Square Capital Management founder said such a move could happen as soon as the first quarter. Traders are fully pricing in a  rate cut  in June, with the chance of a cut happening in May priced at about 80%, according to swaps market data. 


 
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29-Nov-2023 09:32 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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x 0 		过 了 这 个 村 没 有 这 个 店
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29-Nov-2023 09:29 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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US recession will prompt 175 basis points in Fed cuts next year, DB economists say

November 28, 20234:42 AM GMT+8Updated a day ago
US recession will prompt 175 basis points in Fed cuts next year, DB economists say | Reuters

NEW YORK, Nov 27 (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve will cut rates more aggressively than markets are currently pricing in as a mild U.S. recession arrives in the first half of next year, economists at Deutsche Bank  (DBKGn.DE)  projected on Monday.

In an outlook report, the Deutsche Bank economists projected 175 basis points in rate cuts in 2024.


 
08-Dec-2021 11:22 Trading Techniques      /      The Trading Floor              Go to Message
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  x 0		 I expect.....into 2023 and bottoming around end 2023 or 1st half 2024.
 
bystander1965           ( Date: 08-Dec-2021 11:16) Posted:
 
Those are excuses. It' s been known for so long.
Anyway, I have a feeling that this time when the unwinds happen it may take a lot longer.
 
 
Luzern           ( Date: 08-Dec-2021 11:10) Posted:
 
This time......it has bites........an official timeline for .tappering and 1st  interest rate hike



 
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28-Nov-2023 10:49 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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Gold climbs higher on dollar dip, Fed pause bets

PUBLISHED MON, NOV 27 20231:15 AM ESTUPDATED MON, NOV 27 20233:42 PM EST

Gold climbs higher on dollar dip, Fed pause bets (cnbc.com)

" Traders widely expect the U.S. central bank to hold rates in December, while pricing in about a 50-50 chance of easing in May next year, CME&rsquo s FedWatch Tool shows."
 
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27-Nov-2023 16:39 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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x 0 		If interest rate is expected to have peaked and coming down in 2024, 2025, etcs?  Where do you expect prices of stocks that are sensitive to interest rates and defensive in nature will be going?

Luzern      ( Date: 15-Nov-2023 09:31) Posted:

FOMO happening in sReits......as strong signs points to interest rate had previously peaked and going down from here on.    In the 2nd part of the interest rate hike and cut cycle.
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17-Nov-2023 11:46 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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x 0 		Range from: 28% + 13% to 36% + 16% by end 2025
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16-Nov-2023 13:28 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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x 0 		yessmiley

pkli899      ( Date: 16-Nov-2023 11:59) Posted:

Obviously many but not for the banks.
I would think 2nd half of 2024 is the earliest we see rate cut.
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16-Nov-2023 11:07 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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x 0 		Who will be the beneficiaries in the coming rate cutting phase, IMO, in the 2nd half of 2024?
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15-Nov-2023 09:31 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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x 0 		FOMO happening in sReits......as strong signs points to interest rate had previously peaked and going down from here on.    In the 2nd part of the interest rate hike and cut cycle.
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15-Nov-2023 09:19 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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x 0 		奶 丝 !

Luzern      ( Date: 19-Oct-2023 09:52) Posted:

Picked up some durians.
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15-Nov-2023 09:11 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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UBS sees a raft of Fed rate cuts next year on the back of a U.S. recession

PUBLISHED TUE, NOV 14 20234:41 AM ESTUPDATED TUE, NOV 14 202312:30 PM EST

UBS sees a raft of Fed rate cuts next year on the back of a U.S. recession (cnbc.com)
  • UBS sees slower growth, rising unemployment and disinflation to lead the Fed to cut its benchmark rate to a target range ending the year between 2.50% and 2.75%.
  • Arend Kapteyn, UBS global head of economics and strategy research, told CNBC on Tuesday that the starting conditions are &ldquo much worse now than 12 months ago,&rdquo particularly in the form of the &ldquo historically large&rdquo amount of credit that is being withdrawn from the U.S. economy.




 
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15-Nov-2023 09:10 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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10-year Treasury yield tumbles below 4.5% on cool October inflation report



U.S. Treasury yields: investors look to key inflation data (cnbc.com)
 
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06-Nov-2023 11:31 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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CNBC Daily Open: A cool jobs report heats up markets

PUBLISHED SUN, NOV 5 20236:50 PM EST

Stock Markets: A cool jobs report heats up markets (cnbc.com)







 
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03-Nov-2023 09:20 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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Powell Hints Fed Is Done With Hikes in Pivot Cheered by Markets

  • Question now is &lsquo Should we hike more?&rsquo Fed chief says
  • Powell downplays previous projections for more tightening

Powell Signals Fed Is Done With Interest-Rate Increases, Boosting Markets - Bloomberg




 
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24-Oct-2023 09:18 Others   /   T-Bill       Go to Message
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x 0 		Got mine last month at ~4.07%
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20-Oct-2023 09:37 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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x 0 		FEDERAL RESERVE

Powell says inflation is still too high and lower economic growth is likely needed to bring it down

PUBLISHED THU, OCT 19 202312:00 PM EDTUPDATED THU, OCT 19 20231:27 PM EDT

Powell says inflation is still too high and lower economic growth is likely needed to bring it down (cnbc.com)




 
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20-Oct-2023 09:36 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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x 0 		BONDS

10-year Treasury yield rises to 5%, the highest level for the key rate in 16 years





 
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19-Oct-2023 09:57 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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Fed Chair Powell to deliver key speech Thursday. Here&rsquo s what to expect

PUBLISHED WED, OCT 18 20232:27 PM EDTUPDATED WED, OCT 18 20233:33 PM EDT
 
KEY POINTS
  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to deliver what could be a key policy address Thursday afternoon in New York.
  • &ldquo Higher for longer&rdquo on rates has become an unofficial mantra in recent days, and Powell is expected to join the chorus.
  • Markets largely expect the Fed to stay on hold with rates, but they will be looking to Powell for confirmation and clarification.
Fed Chair Powell to deliver key speech Thursday. Here' s what to expect (cnbc.com)




 
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19-Oct-2023 09:52 Others   /   News affecting Banks       Go to Message
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x 0 		Picked up some durians.
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