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Latest Posts By earlybird14 - Supreme      About earlybird14
First   < Newer   281-300 of 3305   Older>   Last  

07-Mar-2017 15:32 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Don't go lah. I can't imagine go there for self drive then I have to apply different visa.

Then Ang mo, don't have eu sure fight one, World War III may be started from there since they launched both World War I and World War II.

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 15:29) Posted:



EU   to " go" is a matter of time. IMO

Germany and France... Netherlands so so..

I don' t think this generation of leaders would really favour protectionism 

earlybird14      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 15:22) Posted:

Netherlands and france influence are much bigger than brexit. Because other than 4pigs, Netherlands France and Germany are the main economic pillar of EU, especially France. Netherlands influence will be a reflection of successful economic body leave EU. Their impact much larger than brexit since UK never use euro and they are island country.

So market are very concerns who win the Netherlands and France election and whether the party will move both of them out from eu
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07-Mar-2017 15:22 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Netherlands and france influence are much bigger than brexit. Because other than 4pigs, Netherlands France and Germany are the main economic pillar of EU, especially France. Netherlands influence will be a reflection of successful economic body leave EU. Their impact much larger than brexit since UK never use euro and they are island country.

So market are very concerns who win the Netherlands and France election and whether the party will move both of them out from eu

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 15:16) Posted:



And feel that funds are leaving the market.. 

some small penny stocks are still in play... 

European election don' t think got much effect on STI except Britain.

Tonight attend Seminar by Allianz... See got any thing to share tomorrow

earlybird14      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 14:12) Posted:

Today market very boring. Forex up down less than 0.15%, index too. All stagnant, do you know any big news coming then nobody don't want to commit
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07-Mar-2017 15:11 SingPost   /   SingPost       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		This one better avoid till the impairment loss of us sudsidiary are calculated fully. The management has said how bad situation is lack of labour, poor efficiency, making loss, so will bleed few more quarters.

All these take times to tell.
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07-Mar-2017 14:52 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Thanks. So Netherlands first then France next.

Sigh, hope the party who win the election is not eu exit support party.

Otherwise with trump and those party who support exit, global really will move into trade protectionism. Singapore will be in big problem.

mailaileh      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 14:43) Posted:



Netherland election. Maybe Yellen will talk more after march rate hike. 

earlybird14      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 14:12) Posted:

Today market very boring. Forex up down less than 0.15%, index too. All stagnant, do you know any big news coming then nobody don't want to commit
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07-Mar-2017 14:48 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Market won't suddenly crash. It will sideline first. Dow and Nasdaq these few days seem like losing steam and may have 1 round correction soon. Then bounce up again, then sideline for while for week chart midbollinger line to catch up and sideline with macd or RSI convergence divergence all formed as sideline.

Then I think market will crash for mid term bear. Sti already gonna blocked at month upper bollinger for a while, I think may move to correction soon, then 1 bounce up still cannot break 3150 in April to May. Then above time to move lower too.

Oil price also sideline very long and no fundamental to support it go higher with record inventory high, the 50 plus is supported by this round bull market nothing else.

So overall we can see market may swing all down together and have 1 round of bear market which can last minimum 3 months.

earlybird14      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 14:43) Posted:

Based on macd on week indexes charts, now gradually slope down, when it turn to red zone, just nice is Around April to May.

ehclim      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 14:38) Posted:



It seems to me the market will be quiet after the March reporting reason is over.  Do you think there will be sell in May and go away? Any comment.


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07-Mar-2017 14:43 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Based on macd on week indexes charts, now gradually slope down, when it turn to red zone, just nice is Around April to May.

ehclim      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 14:38) Posted:



It seems to me the market will be quiet after the March reporting reason is over.  Do you think there will be sell in May and go away? Any comment.

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07-Mar-2017 14:29 HPH Trust USD   /   HPH Trust US$       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		2nd day try to break 39.5 but fail and sell queue built up at 39.

Be prepared 3rd time retest 38-38.5. If break, we may see 36. Hopefully continue to support 38.5-39 and retest 39-39.5 tomorrow.

Individual do own due diligence.

earlybird14      ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 11:15) Posted:

Chart at 9am at Monday open( bring in upfront better picture.) based on price at 38.5-39(if still at this price)

Support 38.5-39(4hr midbollinger), 38-38.5(historical low with 11-12 day support)

Resistance 40( day mid bollinger) and 42(week mid bollinger and potential day upper bollinger if the bounce is fast enough) 56(month mid bollinger)

Trend line: 15mins and 30mins, 1hr uptrend, 2hr, 4hr sideline line.

Next action: safeguard the 38.5-39 support level against the day downtrend from 40 and swing with the trend line up in next week.

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07-Mar-2017 14:21 Indofood Agri   /   Indofood Agri Resources       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		7th days support above 50.5-51.5.

Don't miss the boat. Bumi and first resource with better chart go up first.

Those left behind will follow.

Again still soy and cpo price

earlybird14      ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 09:19) Posted:

Chart at 9am at Monday open( ) based on price at 52-52.5(if still at this price)

Support 51-51.5(4hr low bollinger), 50.5(month mid bollinger)

Resistance 52-52.5( 4hr mid bollinger) and 54(Day midbollinger ) 58-59(month upper bollinger.

Trend line: 15mins and 30mins uptrend, 1hr 2hr, sideline 4hr downtrend

Next action: safeguard the 50.5-51 support level, turn 4hr to uptrend and swing up.

Soy oil price and cpo price play big role of price movement. FA undervalued.
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07-Mar-2017 14:12 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Today market very boring. Forex up down less than 0.15%, index too. All stagnant, do you know any big news coming then nobody don't want to commit?

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 13:41) Posted:



No Desire To Buy

No Desire To Sell..... 

Don' t Waste Time On  NOBLE

Spend More Time On Other Counters

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07-Mar-2017 12:50 Indofood Agri   /   Indofood Agri Resources       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Bumitama complete her 4hr sideline swing up now.

Indofood Agri will be next.

Golden Agri, the slowest but hope she did.

Cpo soy oil still ding dong, hope don't drop.

Indofood undervalued
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07-Mar-2017 09:47 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Ok. Already news by public is old news which mean priced in.

ehclim      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 09:46) Posted:



I think he is referring to Bukit Sembawang which is very conservative and prudent company. Indeed it is for retirement stock.

earlybird14      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 09:32) Posted:

What is BS? Stock is like that, if banks stock in brewing, all bank stocks will start at same started line and run at the same time. The run slower mean he is weak, doesn't mean he will catch up. Among all banks in sgx Ocbc is weak, I don't see result, from chart can know already because chart reflect the running competition.



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07-Mar-2017 09:45 YZJ Shipbldg SGD   /   Cruising with the ship ..Yangzijiang       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Because their result top 2 of them few street away and you have to know yangzijiang build bulk carrier container vessel tanker LNG tanker and etc commercial vessel.

Sembmarine and Keppel build offshore vessel.

Answer is clear who will be benefit in economic improvement and global trade improvement.

1.2-1.25 will hit. May be hit even further up since China shipyards already close more than 60%. Market know how to appreciate yangzijiang after they deliver a fantastic result in a super bear shipbuilding market in past 1-2 year.

TMW1986      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 07:16) Posted:

I didn't buy la. Miss the boat. But indicator showing overbought already. Kep and Semb seems ok. Now watch show and see next quarter result.

newbieliu      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 06:27) Posted:

Hahah keppel and Sembcorp also went up so much u never go and complain . O n G are worse off lol . Ride the wave and sell at the possible high for yourself la
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07-Mar-2017 09:40 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		We shall know why noble can't raise bond in last 2 years instead selling noble Agri and naes and right issue. Nobody want to help them to raise.

But today, they raised successfully. Will suddenly noble turn positive cash flow? Who knows after they burning 3-4bil plus fair value gain lower down few billion drastically.

I give credit for 750mio which show institutions confidence to noble for possible turnaround. Next to do still monitor quarter result quarter by quarter.

earlybird14      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 09:28) Posted:

Play noble share don't need to put our view too far away. 7month ago it is still 11, last few weeks highest 27.5.

Even she eventually go bankrupt it most probably will be 1-2 year later.

Cash mean safe line, so long as bankrupt risk remove market will give positive.

But once they can't turn around, 1 year later market will punish them.

So now got cash is positive, moody already said, so long as they reduce the 1.3-1.5bil mature in 2018, they will up noble credit. But they will only know in next quarter result to issue an upgrade.

So to noble this 750mio is possitive in short term so long as commodity and stock market don't crash short term.

ehclim      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 09:20) Posted:



Indeed it is a double edged sword for the current bond issue. On one hand, it is a good thing for Noble to stop using short term RCF for business financing and focus on their business operation. On the other hand, they will burn a bigger hole if they are not prudent and continues to burn cash then it will spell disaster to Noble going forward. I hope they will change their old habit of burning cash.


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07-Mar-2017 09:32 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		What is BS? Stock is like that, if banks stock in brewing, all bank stocks will start at same started line and run at the same time. The run slower mean he is weak, doesn't mean he will catch up. Among all banks in sgx Ocbc is weak, I don't see result, from chart can know already because chart reflect the running competition.



davidoch      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 09:28) Posted:



Bird Bird,

 

BS move like hell....from 4.85 now 6.65 within 3 days.Are they related with OCBC soon> > >

earlybird14      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 09:24) Posted:

Price not moving mean this is kacang operation news.

So still 9.42-9.65 with mid level as guide 9.55 and move up or move down to break top or bottom. Now 9.
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07-Mar-2017 09:28 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Play noble share don't need to put our view too far away. 7month ago it is still 11, last few weeks highest 27.5.

Even she eventually go bankrupt it most probably will be 1-2 year later.

Cash mean safe line, so long as bankrupt risk remove market will give positive.

But once they can't turn around, 1 year later market will punish them.

So now got cash is positive, moody already said, so long as they reduce the 1.3-1.5bil mature in 2018, they will up noble credit. But they will only know in next quarter result to issue an upgrade.

So to noble this 750mio is possitive in short term so long as commodity and stock market don't crash short term.

ehclim      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 09:20) Posted:



Indeed it is a double edged sword for the current bond issue. On one hand, it is a good thing for Noble to stop using short term RCF for business financing and focus on their business operation. On the other hand, they will burn a bigger hole if they are not prudent and continues to burn cash then it will spell disaster to Noble going forward. I hope they will change their old habit of burning cash.

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 09:02) Posted:



EXACTLY

Then they have more time to focus on operation... 

They have more spare cash to burn


Good Post  Bad Post 
07-Mar-2017 09:24 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Price not moving mean this is kacang operation news.

So still 9.42-9.65 with mid level as guide 9.55 and move up or move down to break top or bottom. Now 9.5

davidoch      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 09:14) Posted:



TT & Bird Bird,
Any insight for these news vs TA or whatever A?
 
http://www.theedgemarkets.com.sg/article/ocbc-could-stand-gain-contest-hong-kong-life-insurance
 
 
SINGAPORE (March 6): A battle is brewing between Yue Xiu Group and a consortium including  China UCF Group to acquire Hong Kong Life Insurance, one of the last remaining independent insurance companies left in the former British colony.


 

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07-Mar-2017 09:17 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Just give credit to noble management for 750mio( ft said 300mio) with 8.75%. It is still acceptable range with about 60-70mio interest per year. If noble turn around quickly do redemption and roll over with low interest once credit rating back.

Let's wait for a turn around.


TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 09:02) Posted:



EXACTLY

Then they have more time to focus on operation... 

They have more spare cash to burn

earlybird14      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 08:57) Posted:

To long buyer it is good news since 750mio enough for 1 yea
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07-Mar-2017 09:00 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		So let's see how noble turnaround in this year by monitor quarter by quarter.

8.75% interest. Is ok.

Noble always. Debt and cash flow.


earlybird14      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 08:57) Posted:

To long buyer it is good news since 750mio enough for 1 year

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 07:52) Posted:



On Noble Group

This should be good news ..

The Company is pleased to announce that the Notes have been fully placed to institutional and/or accredited investors (or their equivalent in jurisdictions outside Singapore).

Pricing and Principal Terms of the Notes The Notes were priced on 6 March 2017 and the principal terms of the Notes are as follows: Aggregate Principal Amount : U.S.$750,000,000 Maturity Date : 9 March 2022


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07-Mar-2017 08:57 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		To long buyer it is good news since 750mio enough for 1 year

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 07:52) Posted:



On Noble Group

This should be good news ..

The Company is pleased to announce that the Notes have been fully placed to institutional and/or accredited investors (or their equivalent in jurisdictions outside Singapore).

Pricing and Principal Terms of the Notes The Notes were priced on 6 March 2017 and the principal terms of the Notes are as follows: Aggregate Principal Amount : U.S.$750,000,000 Maturity Date : 9 March 2022

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07-Mar-2017 07:34 User Research/Opinions   /   Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		No more Liao. TA rely on yourself since I don't have isdn chart.

Daxtheman      ( Date: 07-Mar-2017 01:04) Posted:

Early bird, any updates on ISDN analysis?

earlybird14      ( Date: 06-Mar-2017 07:19) Posted:

So penny stock is also a shell company. Sgx has a lot.

From time to time, some bbs or people will borrow shell to run business, 借 壳 上 市 . But how many of them are real, we don't know.

So the 3 penny stock all like that. Isdn too in 2012-2013 when penny stock run crazy.

I always say stock market is FA TA and experience. Only through experience you can know what old story they want to cook. From time to time generation to generation, people tend to forget and new batch of generation join stock market, so old story still useful.

U ask experience people, they know what is going on, just smile and don't want to talk more since they can't ask you to sell since price may in rally mode, ask you to sell miss boat, you blame them. But 1 day something happen free fall till the ground.

So no much FA to tell about shell company
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