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Latest Forum Topics / Golden Agri-Res    Last:0.255    +0.005  Post Reply
GoldenAgr
KiLrOy
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01-Mar-2012 11:47     
 
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I personally think it will come down just eyeballing the chart.  I know those already invested hope for upward price.    Whatever the price outcome, I am natural though I am now a potential buyer (sold my remaining 1/2  holdings @ 0.78 awhile back).  My notes says it still above the 78.6% retracement line so  I am looking to buy below the 78.6% retracement line. If it comes, I will buy, if it doesn't, I am happy for those who has alredy invested.  There are other  stocks to lookout for. :) 
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doldoves
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01-Mar-2012 10:52     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Is it going to down to support line 1? .. hmm...  :(

ozone2002      ( Date: 28-Feb-2012 16:15) Posted:



Golden Agri-Resources (GGR SP, $0.73)

Key levels

Resistance 2: $0.80

Resistance 1: $0.75

Support 1: $0.70

Support 2: $0.62

The stock has staged a technical breakout below the ascending channel. This is often a negative signal that momentum is losing strength and a trend reversal is likely in the near term. RSI is reading below the neutral level which supports the negative bias. $0.70 is the level to watch a breach below this level indicates that further deterioration is possible.

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Tropical
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01-Mar-2012 01:29     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Thank you InvestNotTrade for the info.

InvestNotTrade      ( Date: 29-Feb-2012 20:54) Posted:



http://www.goldenagri.com.sg/pdfs/SGX%20Filings/2012/GAR08-27-02-2012-NoticeofBookClosuredateforDividend.pdf 

Tropical      ( Date: 28-Feb-2012 14:13) Posted:



May i know how much is the dividend giving out and when is the ex-dividend.Tks.

 
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InvestNotTrade
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29-Feb-2012 20:54     
 
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http://www.goldenagri.com.sg/pdfs/SGX%20Filings/2012/GAR08-27-02-2012-NoticeofBookClosuredateforDividend.pdf 

Tropical      ( Date: 28-Feb-2012 14:13) Posted:



May i know how much is the dividend giving out and when is the ex-dividend.Tks.

 

yummygd      ( Date: 27-Feb-2012 18:27) Posted:



oh boy profit fell. darn it. but dividends went up. sigh god knows how tom it will go. hopefully i can offload my contra before it falls too much. darn total gamble on results.
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GuavaXF30
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29-Feb-2012 10:36     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Rock and roll. Whole market is bullish now.

GuavaXF30      ( Date: 28-Feb-2012 17:20) Posted:

Looks like strong support at 0.73 for this so far. Wonder what's gonna happen tomorrow.

ozone2002      ( Date: 28-Feb-2012 16:15) Posted:



Golden Agri-Resources (GGR SP, $0.73)

Key levels

Resistance 2: $0.80

Resistance 1: $0.75

Support 1: $0.70

Support 2: $0.62

The stock has staged a technical breakout below the ascending channel. This is often a negative signal that momentum is losing strength and a trend reversal is likely in the near term. RSI is reading below the neutral level which supports the negative bias. $0.70 is the level to watch a breach below this level indicates that further deterioration is possible.


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GuavaXF30
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28-Feb-2012 17:20     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Looks like strong support at 0.73 for this so far. Wonder what's gonna happen tomorrow.

ozone2002      ( Date: 28-Feb-2012 16:15) Posted:



Golden Agri-Resources (GGR SP, $0.73)

Key levels

Resistance 2: $0.80

Resistance 1: $0.75

Support 1: $0.70

Support 2: $0.62

The stock has staged a technical breakout below the ascending channel. This is often a negative signal that momentum is losing strength and a trend reversal is likely in the near term. RSI is reading below the neutral level which supports the negative bias. $0.70 is the level to watch a breach below this level indicates that further deterioration is possible.

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ozone2002
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28-Feb-2012 16:15     
 
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Golden Agri-Resources (GGR SP, $0.73)

Key levels

Resistance 2: $0.80

Resistance 1: $0.75

Support 1: $0.70

Support 2: $0.62

The stock has staged a technical breakout below the ascending channel. This is often a negative signal that momentum is losing strength and a trend reversal is likely in the near term. RSI is reading below the neutral level which supports the negative bias. $0.70 is the level to watch a breach below this level indicates that further deterioration is possible.
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hpong5
Master
28-Feb-2012 15:09     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Due for more correction.
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Tropical
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28-Feb-2012 14:13     
 
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May i know how much is the dividend giving out and when is the ex-dividend.Tks.

 

yummygd      ( Date: 27-Feb-2012 18:27) Posted:



oh boy profit fell. darn it. but dividends went up. sigh god knows how tom it will go. hopefully i can offload my contra before it falls too much. darn total gamble on results.
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sgnewbie
Master
28-Feb-2012 10:45     
 
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OCBC on GoldenAgri

  http://sg-shares.blogspot.com/2012/02/golden-agri-resources.html 
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krisluke
Supreme
28-Feb-2012 09:28     
 
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 Alert Admin 		GoldenAgri: Announced 4Q11 results which were below estimates. 4Q11 Rev at US$1.3b, +12% yoy and -16.7% qoq, while Core net profit at US$91m, -38% yoy and -17.3% qoq. Result brings FY11 rev to US$5.95b, +70% yoy and core net profit to US$571m, +48% yoy. Ebita Margins fell slightly at 15..8% vs 18.9% yoy.

For the qtr, decrease in palm products output and weaker CPO prices vs 4Q10 contributed to the poor results, further weighed upon by higher fertilizer costs and export tax. Positive refining margins by Indo’s export tax changes, was offset by negative export margins into China and India.

FY11 saw palm products output reached a record level at 2.64m ton, +16% yoy supported by favorable weather conditions and expansion of mature area by 27,300 ha, while Grp increased its FFB yield by 5% to 21.8ton/ha in 2011 from 20.8 ton/ha in 2010, while improvement of palm products yield was even larger at 6% to a notable 6.1 ton/ha, from 5.8 tons yoy, underpinned by higher oil extraction rate.

Going forward, grp remains confident of outlook, and continues to believe that the palm oil industry will stay resilient, underpinned by solid industry demand and supply fundamentals. Grp has budgeted ccapex of US$500 m for investments in upstream projects involving the expansion of plantation area and milling capacity, as well as investments in downstream projects to boost refining capacity and supporting facilities

We note that grp’s fundamentals remains strong, with a low gearing ratio on 9% and at current price, grp trades at 12.9x P/E. Technically, YTD high of $0.79 may act as a cap. Ratings as follow:

CIMB downgrades to neutral with $0.75 TP.
Deutsche maintains Hold with $0.75 TP
Goldman maintains Buy with $0.84 TP
Macquarie maintains Neutral with $0.83 TP
Merrill Lynch maintains Buy with $0.90 TP
UOB Kay Hian maintains Buy with $0.95 TP
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yummygd
Supreme
28-Feb-2012 09:20     
 
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 Alert Admin 		damn argi lost 410 in total. ahhh hahaha oh well treat it i pay 100 into casino n lost 320. took a total bet for their results. people count will never win heaven count. I WILL BE BACK!!!

bishan22      ( Date: 28-Feb-2012 09:04) Posted:

Sell down today. Waiting at 0.70 or less. Good luck.

bishan22      ( Date: 24-Feb-2012 15:11) Posted:

No regret to off load at 0.775. Will visit when it retrace to 0.70. Good luck
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bishan22
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28-Feb-2012 09:04     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Sell down today. Waiting at 0.70 or less. Good luck.

bishan22      ( Date: 24-Feb-2012 15:11) Posted:

No regret to off load at 0.775. Will visit when it retrace to 0.70. Good luck.

Tropical      ( Date: 24-Feb-2012 10:36) Posted:

Anybody knows why GAR fell to 0.75? Thought CPO will rise. Tks.


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ChillX
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28-Feb-2012 08:22     
 
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'indeed... correction means to move in the same direction.'

oops.. *correlation, not correction. Too focussed on the current market correction atm.. lol

ChillX      ( Date: 27-Feb-2012 22:35) Posted:



indeed... correction means to move in the same direction. However, you don't seem to understand this at all.

You very  confidently posted " will move in tandem" and had a TP of 78.5c. However, fact of the matter is, Crude Oil prices have increased, but GAR price has been decreasing. In tandem? high correlation? really?

Crude oil is now quoted at USD108.91 as of this post.

Note that I'm no expert or anything, but for you to blatantly try to misdirect people, well... maybe that's just you, but I definitely have to point it out.

ozone2002      ( Date: 27-Feb-2012 17:46) Posted:



isn't moving in tandem the same as high correlation?

I shall quote investopedia's definition on correlation

Investopedia explains 'Correlation'

Correlation is computed into what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1.  Perfect positive correlation (a correlation co-efficient of +1) implies that as one security moves, either  up or down, the other security will move in lockstep, in the same direction.  Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if one security moves in either direction the security that is perfectly negatively correlated will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the movements of the securities are said to have no correlation   they are  completely random.





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ChillX
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27-Feb-2012 22:35     
 
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indeed... correction means to move in the same direction. However, you don't seem to understand this at all.

You very  confidently posted " will move in tandem" and had a TP of 78.5c. However, fact of the matter is, Crude Oil prices have increased, but GAR price has been decreasing. In tandem? high correlation? really?

Crude oil is now quoted at USD108.91 as of this post.

Note that I'm no expert or anything, but for you to blatantly try to misdirect people, well... maybe that's just you, but I definitely have to point it out.

ozone2002      ( Date: 27-Feb-2012 17:46) Posted:



isn't moving in tandem the same as high correlation?

I shall quote investopedia's definition on correlation

Investopedia explains 'Correlation'

Correlation is computed into what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1.  Perfect positive correlation (a correlation co-efficient of +1) implies that as one security moves, either  up or down, the other security will move in lockstep, in the same direction.  Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if one security moves in either direction the security that is perfectly negatively correlated will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the movements of the securities are said to have no correlation   they are  completely random.




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yummygd
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27-Feb-2012 18:47     
 
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 Alert Admin 		oh well no point worrying about it..what will come will come. thanks for giving me a ray of hope though haha. i have that n e dividends...n hopefully a bb in gol argi to push e price up for me.

GuavaXF30      ( Date: 27-Feb-2012 18:41) Posted:



Profit lower because of Fair Valuation of biological assets. Core profit actually higher by 48%.

Fair valuation of biological assets is just that. Either higher or lower, it's not actual profit or loss.

But contra gains or loss most times not determined by how the company did. Just when people want to take position or take profit. For sure, if results not good, shorters will come out and sell. but if results good, may not mean price will run up either. Good luck.

yummygd      ( Date: 27-Feb-2012 18:27) Posted:



oh boy profit fell. darn it. but dividends went up. sigh god knows how tom it will go. hopefully i can offload my contra before it falls too much. darn total gamble on results.
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GuavaXF30
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27-Feb-2012 18:41     
 
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Profit lower because of Fair Valuation of biological assets. Core profit actually higher by 48%.

Fair valuation of biological assets is just that. Either higher or lower, it's not actual profit or loss.

But contra gains or loss most times not determined by how the company did. Just when people want to take position or take profit. For sure, if results not good, shorters will come out and sell. but if results good, may not mean price will run up either. Good luck.

yummygd      ( Date: 27-Feb-2012 18:27) Posted:



oh boy profit fell. darn it. but dividends went up. sigh god knows how tom it will go. hopefully i can offload my contra before it falls too much. darn total gamble on results.
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yummygd
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27-Feb-2012 18:27     
 
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oh boy profit fell. darn it. but dividends went up. sigh god knows how tom it will go. hopefully i can offload my contra before it falls too much. darn total gamble on results.
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ozone2002
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27-Feb-2012 17:46     
 
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isn't moving in tandem the same as high correlation?

I shall quote investopedia's definition on correlation

Investopedia explains 'Correlation'

Correlation is computed into what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1.  Perfect positive correlation (a correlation co-efficient of +1) implies that as one security moves, either  up or down, the other security will move in lockstep, in the same direction.  Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if one security moves in either direction the security that is perfectly negatively correlated will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the movements of the securities are said to have no correlation   they are  completely random.



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ChillX
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27-Feb-2012 17:38     
 
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There is good correlation, agreed, as the price of raw materials do increase with increase in production cost, of which crude oil is a significant contributory factor. However, you did very confidently state : " oil 105..coming 106.. GAR will move in tandem..78.5.. gd luck"

Am just pointing out that you were wrong to make such a blatant statement, which you later amend to " a high correlation" which is VERY different from " will move in tandem" . Crude oil is now @106.87. GAR closed at 0.750, down 0.005 from its open price this morning.

No one can 100% predict correctly all the time, the direction a counter may move. Here I clearly state that I am the same,  with regards  this limitation in not having a crystal ball to let me see what's the future price, but I'm happy with GAR as a company and I will accumulate at prices I am happy with, though not at this time. :) Not claiming to be any sort of expert either and I definitely  don't appreciate blatant claims that try to mislead newbies like me. :)

ozone2002      ( Date: 27-Feb-2012 13:53) Posted:



i have stated my reasons clearly..

GAR is a stock which has a high correlation to oil prices...

DYODD! gd luck!

ChillX      ( Date: 25-Feb-2012 11:26) Posted:

You are entitled to your wrong opinion. Would have been more convincing if you had backed up your claim with some TA or reasons why. Looks like a downtrend for a week or  more, as part of a general correction of the STI. Paying attention to TA for the bottom-out before re-vesting. Currently still  downtrending based on Stochaistics, Ichimoku and Bollinger
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