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The Traders
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MrBear12
Supreme |
03-Jun-2024 07:13
![]() Yells: "A retired bear will still always be a bear" |
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A nice article. Happy reading! Dow trails Nasdaq by most in a year. What it means for the stock market. (msn.com)
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MrBear12
Supreme |
01-Jun-2024 09:35
![]() Yells: "A retired bear will still always be a bear" |
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I also wanted to provide an update on gold, a time-tested asset that can help stabilise your portfolio during volatile times. While gold' s performance this year has been modest so far, it has shown impressive resilience. Its price has remained relatively steady, only briefly dipping in February. This highlights gold' s unique ability to mitigate risk, especially when stock markets decline. The chart below shows how gold prices held steady even as real interest rates spiked since June. Real rates refer to interest rates after adjusting for inflation. When real rates rise quickly, it often signals economic uncertainty but gold prices stayed calm. Several factors continue to support gold prices:
In summary, gold' s historically low to negative correlation to stocks and bonds makes it an excellent portfolio diversifier. It can mitigate overall risk, especially during downturns or crises. Rather than own physical gold, we can invest in Gold Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) or Gold Equity Unit Trust (UT) Funds that offer leverage to gold spot price. |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
01-Jun-2024 09:13
![]() Yells: "A retired bear will still always be a bear" |
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The Dow closed out the last day in May mixed. Despite last minute buying, the nasdaq still remained in the red for the day, but had been hitting record highs this May. Market looks neutral with sustained selling towards the end of the month matched by last minute buying to close off May positive. Debunks the sell away in May theory. Come June, we expect some bargain hunting and close watch on inflation figures.  Have a good week-end with family and, teachers and students, enjoy your school holidays!
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MrBear12
Supreme |
22-May-2024 08:57
![]() Yells: "A retired bear will still always be a bear" |
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FEAR & GREED INDEX FAQSWhat is the CNN Business Fear & Greed Index? The Fear & Greed Index is a way to gauge stock market movements and whether stocks are fairly priced. The theory is based on the logic that excessive fear tends to drive down share prices, and too much greed tends to have the opposite effect. How is Fear & Greed Calculated? The Fear & Greed Index is a compilation of seven different indicators that measure some aspect of stock market behavior. They are market momentum, stock price strength, stock price breadth, put and call options, junk bond demand, market volatility, and safe haven demand. The index tracks how much these individual indicators deviate from their averages compared to how much they normally diverge. The index gives each indicator equal weighting in calculating a score from 0 to 100, with 100 representing maximum greediness and 0 signaling maximum fear. How often is the Fear & Greed Index calculated? Every component and the Index are calculated as soon as new data becomes available. How to use Fear & Greed Index? The Fear & Greed Index is used to gauge the mood of the market. Many investors are emotional and reactionary, and fear and greed sentiment indicators can alert investors to their own emotions and biases that can influence their decisions. When combined with fundamentals and other analytical tools, the Index can be a helpful way to assess market sentiment. |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
18-May-2024 07:42
![]() Yells: "A retired bear will still always be a bear" |
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Was it WB who said sell when others are greedy?
This is a greedy market. Do we sell then?? Or do we share and join in the greed?? No one likes to see others make money while we stand on the sidelines. No one wants to let the other make while we watch. You already know the answers. |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
12-May-2024 19:46
![]() Yells: "A retired bear will still always be a bear" |
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This article on Share Junctio is well worth a read. On Warren Buffett and his investment company Berkshire. https://www.sharejunction.com/sharejunction/insightArticle.htm?id=0& s=2 |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
12-May-2024 08:05
![]() Yells: "A retired bear will still always be a bear" |
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To all Share Forumers here: My mum always asked me, " Why you buy this harr?" This still rings in my mind every time I buy a stock. Why do I buy this company? Why?? Blessed are all who still have their mothers. |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
11-May-2024 21:10
![]() Yells: "A retired bear will still always be a bear" |
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May is almost half way through and most companies on SGX have announced their 1Q updates. It has been a largely bullish month as interest rate cuts expectations have revived again. Next week, we will see a new prime minister take over in Singapore. That is very exciting. We are hopeful and bullish at the moment. Let this bull run continue into the next lap. For Singapore, and all mothers. God bless Singapore |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
04-May-2024 21:01
![]() Yells: "A retired bear will still always be a bear" |
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https://www.sharejunction.com/sharejunction/rssEconomyNews.htm?id=0
Share junction has some articles from experts on US markets. A good read for investors. Well done Share Junction! |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
04-May-2024 12:35
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On Friday, the announcement that the US labor market had deteriorated in April was well received by investors. It's not as paradoxical as one might think: in the minds of investors, if employment falters, the US central bank will have no reason to maintain a restrictive monetary policy. The stock markets, which had been in the doldrums for part of the week, found reason for hope on Friday.
This according to a commentary by marketscreener. A cautionary note is, the fed made it clear that it will not reduce rates until inflation is brought nearer to its target 2 percent. But let's continue to hope inflation come down. |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
03-May-2024 05:48
![]() Yells: "A retired bear will still always be a bear" |
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Good show put on by the dow this morning. People do buy even when fearful.
That is a good sign. May Is turning out to be a time of investing in a strong economy. Good job report for USA and Good earnings. https://www.marketwatch.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-futures-rise-140-points-ahead-of-apple-results-and-as-bond-yields-dip/card/dow-ends-over-300-points-higher-as-treasury-yields-fall-KRKeJeOHamTZ0SMubRRs?mod=election-2020 It's beginning to look good in early May No selling away as yet. Way to go! |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
02-May-2024 16:56
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What is US market mood now? Check it out Fear and Greed Index - Investor Sentiment | CNN Someone said, buy when other are fearful, and sell when others are greedy. You know what to do.   |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
02-May-2024 05:25
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No more rate hikes.
Really? That is the mood now in US markets. https://qz.com/dow-jumps-after-fed-decision-jerome-powell-1851448752 |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
01-May-2024 18:46
![]() Yells: "A retired bear will still always be a bear" |
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The Fed has timed their announcement on their rate decision on 1 May. That is a bad start as we all know the sell away in May habit is so deeply ingrained in us. On the SGX, as some companies go xd, yes, there will be a fall in the stock price. However, the fall is usually greater than what dividends that could cover back. So why do people sell in May? I think it is herd mentality, otherwise it could be people are not satisfied with the 1Q results. There have been times when the sell-off were not apparent because of a rebound. I can think of the 2009 May rebound on the SGX after hitting lows in March that year. From more recent data (2012-2023) taken from my portfolio of SG stocks, the May sell-downs happened in 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023. Only in 2014 and 2017 were there actually gains.  Noteworthy is also the sell-downs in the Mays of 2015 and 2018 occurred after year highs in April of the corresponding years. So, from 2012-23, it is just over 80%  of the time there was a May sell off. Not a good sample size for the long term and definitely restricted only to SG stocks which track the STI. How will this May turn out? From the recent historical records and present conditions, I think the chances of a sell down in May are higher than a buy up. May is definitely not for the faint-hearted. Many traders stay away in May. What about you?   |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
01-May-2024 04:57
![]() Yells: "A retired bear will still always be a bear" |
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Dow fell just over 570 points overnite as fear returned to US markets. Looking at the trading patterns of the last few sessions, it seems that investors are still fearful of a possible delay in rate cuts. But all said, trading is expected to be volatile these few days over the rate decision. So a drop of about 1.5% is still reasonable. Let' s see what happens on May Day when the rate decision is announced. Happy Labor Day to all!   |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
30-Apr-2024 21:51
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Wall Street traders and investors watched the benchmark averages close higher on Monday after markets rallied in the previous trading week. " Markets got the week off to a decent start yesterday, with the S& P 500 (+0.32%) building on last  week&rsquo s  advance as we await the  Fed&rsquo s  decision tomorrow and an array of earnings releases,"   said  Deutsche  Bank' s  Jim Reid. The 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) rose  5  basis points to 4.67%. The 2-year yield (US2Y) advanced 4 basis points to 5.02%. " The lack of any bad news on inflation supported government bonds on both sides of the Atlantic, with some added support from the fall in energy prices,"   said Reid. Traders are keenly waiting for Jerome  Powell' s  press conference scheduled for Wednesday and  the  Fed' s  decision on its monetary policy. The Fed meeting has started today and will conclude tomorrow. It  is widely expected  that the Fed will hold rates.
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MrBear12
Supreme |
30-Apr-2024 21:36
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Really, nobody knows when US will cut rates. See below Interest rates: It&rsquo s a mystery when the Fed will begin to cut them | CNN Business |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
30-Apr-2024 09:27
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Singapore?s Burnout Rate Shows the Price of Success
It?s time for one of the most stressed places on the planet to recognize that accomplishments can mean different things. Bloomberg article today above. Relax - that is pandas rule. Not to over react to markets. Restore and heal take time. Trade with detachment |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
29-Apr-2024 07:50
![]() Yells: "A retired bear will still always be a bear" |
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Sun tzu said, Warfare is the way of deception... Display profits to entice them. It is interesting Sun tzu mentioned displaying profits to entice people. In trading, that also seems to be the case. We often hear and see people making big profits in a big manner. We are really being deceived by the news. We fall for it. We lose. So our insight 3 from Sun Tzu is simply this, watch out when others display profits. They may merely be enticing you. Don't fall for it. | ||||
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MrBear12
Supreme |
29-Apr-2024 04:55
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It was a turbulent week for the financial markets, torn between rising inflation in the United States, which takes the prospect of a rate cut further away, and mixed quarterly results on both sides of the Atlantic. Volatility rose sharply, but in the end the indices held firm, with the tech giants once again reassuring the market. Although rates are widely expected to remain unchanged next week, the market will pay close attention to Jerome Powell's comments.
From us at market screeners |
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