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SEMBMARINE - A NEW CHAPTER - DEMERGED
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datadatadata
Member |
24-Nov-2021 11:09
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I believe TM offer will be around 10-20 cents range. I would say that TH will give financially correct price, that is based on financial matrix. However, what is lacking from them is the premium that goes with the merger, such as KOM gaining full operating capacity, less competition for government renewable contract, and on and on. There is really no incentive for TH to offer much premium as there is not going to be a competing bid as they are all in cahoots. Here?s my problem with this whole deal but that?s we should be aware and accept along the way.
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MANFREDTMK
Master |
24-Nov-2021 10:50
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At 8.5 cents, we are being SHORTCHANGE BIG TIME. A fair price should be at least 13.3 cents at this juncture. The Big Boys in Wall Street may ratify this anomaly for all of us.
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MANFREDTMK
Master |
24-Nov-2021 10:33
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No question about it, the merger will sure take place sooner than later. TH wants it, nothing much that we can do. However, It's the terms of exchange that matters now, it overrides everything. The latter is dependent on the financial strength of each party. Getting more contracts and a higher share price to 13.3 cents (Price/Book ratio of 1) ensure fairness and provide greater leverage for SM on the bargaining table. One can't discuss life after marriage with a girl when she has not even decided to marry you. It's premature and has little merits. So stay focused on pre-merger, not post-merger.
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naoshingo
Elite |
24-Nov-2021 10:32
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I hope TH can offer respectable deal for SM SH. Because H1 loss is actually beefed up with expenses for Fy2022. Because if the deal is struck based on the value today....it will be pretty much a lousyt deal for SM SH...
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ckmpd1
Supreme |
24-Nov-2021 10:11
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KOM with $5+B contracts and making profits is in a much stronger position to negotiate with SMM which only has $1+B contracts and losing money.  It is important for SMM to win some contracts now to boost its bargaining power against KOM
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datadatadata
Member |
24-Nov-2021 10:10
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Under normal circumstances, I agree that the parties should beef up their books for better value in a merger. Unfortunately in this case, it is within a holding companies acting in concert. SC, SCM, KOM and KM and under TH. While in some countries, this is recognized as a governance issue, it is not so in our legal system. THere are 2 main reasons why I believe everthing are already finalized and awaiting some internal approval to proceed. One is that the management had already sound out that the merger is coming soon. Secondly, the rights issue was initiated to time the merger timing to be within this financial year. Based on the abvoe,  I am of the opinion that the merger will happen this year and within this short time, there is really no time to do anything like winning contract or " put lipstick on the pig." Rather, we should just focus on this short term merger potential and not the long term plan.
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ckmpd1
Supreme |
24-Nov-2021 10:01
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Some forumners think that SMM and KOM merger is cast in stone and now they shd not compete for projects .  Is that a naive view? Shd SMM not strive to win more contracts and earn more money now so that it is in a stronger position to bargain with KOM regarding merger terms? |
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MANFREDTMK
Master |
24-Nov-2021 09:44
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It's not barking at the wrong tree. To begin with, a good financial position and new contracts enhance the bargaining power of SM and hence, the terms of exchange which is the most important factor in any form of negotiations . This is the major factor that affects all SM shareholders at this point. Analysing the Combined Entity only becomes relevant after the merger, NOT BEFORE. As of now, all parties strive to beef up their financials to enhance their bargaining power to get a better Terms of exchange.
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SgYuan
Supreme |
24-Nov-2021 09:12
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datadatadata
Member |
24-Nov-2021 09:08
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I am of the view that the path forward for SCM is a merger with KOM. This had been " casted in concrete" months ago. The rights issue was the main pillar for this scheme to be carried out. Another indicator is the recent renewable projects announced where they were taken up by KOM and SembCorp, with SCM not featured in such new bidding. Clearly all parties KC, KOM, SC, SCM wants to complicate matters on the merger which all sides are now tidying up their books. So analyzing SCM financial statement and their opportunities in new contracts is really a case of " barking at the wrong tree." Instead, one should focus on a combined KOM & SCM entity to see the future of SCM. The belief is that the merger offer will be be a combination of both cash and shares of new KOM entity. The total cash equivalent will be between 10-20 cents. While we need to wait for the announcement, you can see many people making moves in recent weeks to ensure that they are not caught holding high average prices when the merger is announced. | ||||
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ckmpd1
Supreme |
24-Nov-2021 07:36
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Yes.  Given all the financial statements and facts, all can objectively conclude that SMM is in trouble.  Even SMM admits it.  Those who think otherwise are self deluding
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ckmpd1
Supreme |
24-Nov-2021 06:17
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Since the announcement of RI 2021, it has not been any good news for SMM. | ||||
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ckmpd1
Supreme |
24-Nov-2021 06:15
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![]() ![]() Our views that SMM' s price rise can only be sustained if there are profits and new contracts remain.  A price rise in a merger with KOM is temporal hope.  Merger terms may not favour SMM.  Looks like merger negotiations may have hit some road blocks and is taking longer than expected.    No profits, no contract wins, no merger news are all bad for SMM
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MANFREDTMK
Master |
23-Nov-2021 22:41
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You are the best. Don't forget to drink your milk. Your welfare is my concern.
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weekaykee
Master |
23-Nov-2021 21:03
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Investors bottom fishing will decide the fate of a company. That is SCM will fully recover now, winning new mega contracts, just because investors have decided to bottom fish? 
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weekaykee
Master |
23-Nov-2021 21:00
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Even a 5 year old will not be as tunneled visioned as you.
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MANFREDTMK
Master |
23-Nov-2021 16:59
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Speaking from hindsight, even a retarded person can speak better. Give it to a P1 student, he can tell you there are up and down where you can exploit to make profit. Just because it dropped from $6 to 8 cents doesn't mean you can't make money. The industry was bad for 7 years, that explained everything, including Keppel Corp and KOM which fell like a deck of cards. Then why are you suggesting buying Keppel? So the bottom line is when the price is deeply undervalued and the financial is robust, combine with a turnaround in the rig industry plus a booming Green Energy industry, it's time to go in. Don't let the past haunt you and more so, don't use it to make investment decision. Let me share with you my recent experience to exemplify your mistake. When Sarin Tech fell from $3.70 to 15 cents, everyone including analysts said AVOID. From what you just said, I am 100% sure you will avoid too. Do you know when I did my homework, I went in at 20 cents despite my brokers curbing my buying limit. The rest needs no explanation, it went to a high of around 80 cents within a year before coming back down to 60 cents now. The moral of the story, a P1 student will not let history determine his decision. The ability to discern and sniffs for recovery play separates the winners and the dreamers. THE BIGGER THE CRISIS, THE BIGGER THE OPPORTUNITY. Must dare to take action. Don't let the past crowd your judgement, Don't fight the new Trend. Think positive. Trust our experience and judgement. Our head is not Brand New.
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datadatadata
Member |
23-Nov-2021 16:45
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Data we see in the past few days showed that investors are doing bottom fishing and the fact that they are doing it around 8.5 cents shows that this is the new minimum price. THis is now the new minimum price and we can expect price to climber further up from this point onwards till the announcement for the merger.  | ||||
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Starship
Supreme |
23-Nov-2021 15:58
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ckmpd1
Supreme |
23-Nov-2021 15:56
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