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SembCorp Marine- The new Frontier.
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TA_Expert
Supreme |
09-Jul-2021 22:22
Yells: "The World has changed" |
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If you own nothing, better buy KC shares and not SMM. If you are existing SMM shareholder, buy KC shares to hedge the sell off in SMM. If you are both existing KC and SMM shareholder, buy more KC shares instead. If you are existing KC shareholder, buy more KC shares as SMM will benefit KC. |
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sutiono
Veteran |
09-Jul-2021 22:20
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Why Keppel wants  its name to delink to O & M , because of past corruption scandal . Can SM shake away its corruption image in the O & M Industry ? | ||||
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sutiono
Veteran |
09-Jul-2021 21:25
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They couldn' tcareless  becasue they are just employees , nobody want to rock the boat !
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sutiono
Veteran |
09-Jul-2021 21:22
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Very true and spot on !
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etilatrop
Member |
09-Jul-2021 17:42
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The squeaky clean image is deemed more important that actual competitiveness. This is the frustrating thing about Singapore. It is hard to compete with foreign companies when they already know your tender price and have already taken incentives to aceept other bids. SMM' s bids should merely for reference and to keep up the appearance of a tender.  At the time, the oil price collapsed, so petrobras should have considered the rigs too expensive and they had liquidity problems, so it was a convenient excuse to refuse payment and collection of the rigs, especially when they could use Sete Brasil as a buffer. Other countries are indeed making the playing field uneven. Commissions and cut backs are common (under the table) and so are subsidies (on the table). There are ways around, besides the use of consultants,  - China and Jap has been apt at providing economic aid/loans in return for the award of large contracts to their domestic companies, especially for infrastructure. Among the oil industry, this is also observable in some African states' cases that owe much money to drillers. - Some companies has also resorted to hiring domestic workers and purchasing materials (e.g. metals and oil) from domestic companies like SMM' s EJA should also have in Brazil, then there is a mutally beneficial relationship. - Having joint ventures, in which SMM has contractual deniability or SMM can be a sub-contractor, then the main contractor or the partner may be less clean without SMM culpability.  There are always ways but the problem is TH and SMM seems to be in  bochup mode. When it is treated like a dumping ground, it becomes just that. It is a joke.
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jackass
Member |
09-Jul-2021 15:46
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i have some friends working at sembcorp marine - last i heard it' s very quiet there with barely any commercial projects, business volume is very low The reason behind the decline of SMM, KOM, and other marine companies such as ST Engineering Marine is very simple,  Singapore was caught for using bribery to win many, many overseas contracts some years back Nowadays due to the strict punishment involved, no local program manager/sales dare to engage in the tactics of paying bribes to win business (why would someone endanger his own rice bowl when the work done is not being appreciated ?) However, the practice of paying bribes for " recommendations" is still very prevalent and common, this is why many overseas contracts and deals are still being secured by China, Korea competitors etc .. Singapore marine sector decided to be clean by avoiding the paying of bribes, but that does not mean our competitors need to follow and do the same  ![]() When it comes to the marine sector and oil & gas business, it is as " dirty" as it gets with undertable money going round and round ... |
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etilatrop
Member |
09-Jul-2021 15:16
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Indeed, once the deal goes through and KOM loss making unit is stuffed down SMM' s throat and KC get $500 million in return, KC will most likely rise like SMI. Same playbook, same tactics, like a few months ago. Meanwhile, after milking the blood out of SMM SH this 2nd round, the cash will more likely be gone by year end, instead of end 2022. $500 million is a third of the $1.5 million to be raised already. Unlikely to have enough working capital left. $2 billion raised less than a year ago was not enough, just do the math. Supposedly, the $1.5 billion to be raised is not for the $500 million to be paid to KC. Right..., so the $500 million will appear by magic? Even before the merger deal is sealed, the KC CEO already seems sure it would go through, and expects the sum of $500 million already. Need to discuss for what? Meanwhile SMM management focus on rights issue, focus on merger, can also focus on getting more orders? I doubt it. Most likely focusing on keeping jobs after merger or finding other jobs to jump to. I would too if I am in their position. Through these few years, has SMM shown pride, fighting to survival, defense of their stock price, etc? A year ago, there was a shift in management: https://www.sembmarine.com/stock-exchange-announcements/change-of-role-from-chief-financial-officer-to-chief-risk-officer 1) Why the sudden need the change CFO? Since the change, SMM has now issued two rights exercises already. 2) " Following the change, Mr Tan (New Chief Risk Officer) will in his new role report to Mr Wong Weng Sun, the President and CEO of SCM."   What risks has been even overseen and what has this CEO even accomplished with this CRO reporting directly to him?? The worrying signs from the current rights issue and merger ' discussions' are simply too much. |
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TA_Expert
Supreme |
09-Jul-2021 14:43
Yells: "The World has changed" |
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Yes, if you owned none of them, it is best to buy KC instead of SMM. KC will rally once the deal is sealed. Just use SCI as a proxy.
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TA_Expert
Supreme |
09-Jul-2021 14:41
Yells: "The World has changed" |
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Yes, because TH give out freebies to both SCI and KC, that' s why institutions are ok even it is a lousy deal for SMM. If there are no freebies, do you think that these big sharks/whales will agree to such deals? You are lucky as them because u owned KC too.
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helloisme
Veteran |
09-Jul-2021 14:17
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I will prefer to invest in Keppel than Sembcorp Marine | ||||
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Yatsa13
Veteran |
09-Jul-2021 13:57
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no wonder all the buying. big financial institutions are collecting.  if go past 0.125 maybe i will consider to collect. i also hold kc go forth smm
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Abe2021
Veteran |
09-Jul-2021 13:49
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Get ready. Now warming up a little, financial institutions ok and retail investors are not . When more news are released, retail also ok. Then the rights also ok. Imagine just a few cents up and you fly over the moon Bonjour 🥸
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TA_Expert
Supreme |
09-Jul-2021 13:43
Yells: "The World has changed" |
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Actually only the small retail investors suffered. The big timers are institutions which have portfolios in both SCI and Keppel Corp at the same time. Yes, they suffered in SMM but they gained in SCI and Keppel Corp, so the nett effect is still positive. That' s why big timers will always vote yes. I can tell you that they will vote yes for this upcoming deal too. WIthout giving carrots in the previous and upcoming deals, there will no incentive for them to vote yes. The strategy is to own SCI in rthe first deal to hedge the losses in SMM. Now is to own Keppel Corp to hedge the losses in SMM. Investors who do not own SCI or Keppel Corp shares will suffer the most.
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Isolator
Supreme |
09-Jul-2021 13:14
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I can say this merger is super! Long to enjoy... | ||||
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camelhump
Senior |
09-Jul-2021 13:05
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Reason for the rights is simple, to keep company going. Wait till you see 2nd qyqtr result soon then you will know why like one analyst mentioned...
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sky123123
Member |
09-Jul-2021 12:56
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Must thanks the editor for helping the minority investors on the questions.  i was a bit puzzle when both my spouse' s and my shares was on loan by CDP on June 16, then it follow by the annoucement on June 24. Is this insider trading?
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etilatrop
Member |
09-Jul-2021 11:53
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" most SH without financial difficulty would be subscribing to it logically" ? Why would SH subscribe when: (i) The cash raised would (again) by splurged on payment debts to banks and whatever entities like to SCI last time, or splurged on miltuple senseless acquistions and impairments/reinstatements, etc, without proper austerity and cost-cutting, leaving little to no cash for working capital or recovery? This is supported by SMM past practices. (ii) The price would very likely drop below 8c after the rights issue. This is supported by history. If there is one thing you can count on is that SMM price only gets lower. No matter, rights issue, win order, merger possibility, oil price higher or lower, COVID or recovery from it, the SMM vessel only sinks deeper.  (iii) SMM is most likely going to have ANOTHER rights issue in a few months after they have AGAIN burnt through the cash. Then SH would face further dilution, or can they keep selling their kidneys to support this company that spends and spends, without replenishing order books properly? Talk is cheap, and drawing illustrious futures for green energy or oil recoveries, blah blah is useless, when you CONTINUOUSLY FAIL to get orders. Rights issues for billions and billions to get jobs installing a few solar panels here in Singapore is a joke. (iv) When SH cannot keep up with the series of rights issues, TH will very likely takeover. Then all the monies SH pumped in before for acquistions, impairments, etc etc will benefit the final owner of SMM. At that time SH can only pray that the offer price returns them a single digit percent of what they had pumped in.  
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TigerPlay
Master |
09-Jul-2021 11:36
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For now, the price should stay around 12cts till right is all settled. After that, not sure how it will move then, just hoping they dun send another surprise that will crash it...touch wood hor | ||||
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TigerPlay
Master |
09-Jul-2021 11:34
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Since the right is placed at such a low price of 8cts, most SH without financial difficulty would be subscribing to it logically, unless confident is not there, but then u will be losing big big if dun. now, we can understand why they place it at 8cts instead of say 15cts laiow | ||||
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Abe2021
Veteran |
09-Jul-2021 11:08
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Agree with me the best talk is action and some news release. Au revoir 🥸   |
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