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SembCorp Marine- The new Frontier.
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Chagatai
Veteran |
16-Jul-2021 17:02
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actually if drop to 11c or below there will be no point doing rights. After rights it will drop further below 5c anyway just do mandatory offer at 25c or above since no agreement has been finalised. Like this make sense | ||||
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kvyang
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16-Jul-2021 16:57
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Yalor. Aik si bueh si like that...
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etilatrop
Member |
16-Jul-2021 16:56
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What has largely escaped discussion so far is, if and when a takeover by TH occurs, it would be akin to nationalization of SMM. This should attract objections from international regulators. Beijing has the weight to merge yards easily, but South Korea can just offer unfair subsidies to support its yards.  The latter' s proposed merger of KSOE and DSME has met with objections and hurdles, especially from EU. This means that even if TH wants to push SMM to pay KC for toxic assets and have a merger, it is not easy, and not likely before the sealing of the merger of KSOE and DSME.  A takeover is not easy, and a merger all the much harder. Furthermore, regardless of a TH takeover or a merger, it is STILL unlikely for SG yards to become profitable or get more orders, unless: i) There are enough scraps to scanvenge after Korean and Chinese yards fill their order books. ii) TH or banks offer credit or favourable payment terms to potential customers iii) TH or local subsidize local yards like Korea does. None of the above is likely to happen. Most likely SMM would be stuck in status quo and continue to bleed indefinitely. The timing and pricing of the rights is pure idiocy, and the planners in SMM or TH should be fired.    |
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Calmroom
Master |
16-Jul-2021 16:56
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Ya, share price so low so can just relax because general offer probably got high chance to come. If share price hits 12c then 13c then all may get stressed again as offer could get cancelled.
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TA_Expert
Supreme |
16-Jul-2021 16:55
Yells: "The World has changed" |
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Don' t worry, we still have a lot of diehard fans who will keeping buying. | ||||
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lailai
Elite |
16-Jul-2021 16:52
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Think SIAS words though logical but don carry much weight. Don think SCM will even reply. Shd hv come from Prof M, and then SGX may raised the questions, and SCM hv to reply.  Think now too late, after falling from 19.1c to current 11.5c in a matter of 3 weeks. Just opinion only. ![]()  
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Chagatai
Veteran |
16-Jul-2021 16:47
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Glad it Friday take a breather next week heart attack start again Monday non stop bird droppings | ||||
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etilatrop
Member |
16-Jul-2021 16:25
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DSME awarded $635m platform contract in Qatar https://splash247.com/dsme-awarded-635m-platform-contract-in-qatar/ Yet another win for Korean yards. While Chinese and Korean yards are bagging most of the orders and riding the recovery, SMM focused on sacrificing itself to help SCI and KOM, fleecing SH, and maintatining marine jobs regardless of losses.     
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weekaykee
Master |
16-Jul-2021 16:22
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The very simple reason for the rights being priced at such a very dilutive 8 cts, is so that TH' s subsequent mandatory offer will look very attractive and they will be able to takeover for peanuts. I am very sure at 12 cts, the rights would have been fully subscribed by SHs. The 8cts priced really shattered confidence in SCM.  
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ahbui8
Master |
16-Jul-2021 16:15
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Why no Hong Lim Park ah? 😂 since a lot of us are pissed and demand a clear explanation from them. | ||||
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mkaung2000
Veteran |
16-Jul-2021 16:10
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This one really one way ticket! | ||||
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MANFREDTMK
Master |
16-Jul-2021 15:57
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As SIAS pointed out correctly, why Price the rights share at a ridiculously low price of 8 cents, a whopping 60% discount to the weighted average price of 20 cents before the announcement of the Rights issue. PLEASE EXPLAIN WHY? Don't Dodge this Question.
Are the CEO not awared that when the share trades ex-right, the price will be adjusted down to 12.44 cents from the market price of 19.1 cents before the announcement of the rights issue. Naturally, this will cause the share to plunge more than 40% within a week.This is the Main Factor that will continue to haunt the share until it goes ex-right. Save all the good news till then, it's not going to work at all until the Rights issue is over.
To exemplify, even a company that is flagged by an auditor about its Going Concern only dropped around 20% at most. It's the investment banking officer who set the Rights Price wrongly. He could have set the Rights issue to 1.5 Rights shares at 16 cents per share, for every 2 existing shares you owned. Yet Sembcorp Marine still raise the same amount of money, $1.5b, but in this case, the ex-right price will be 17.78 based on 19.1 cents before the announcement. If based on 20 cents, one day earlier before some insiders got hold of the new and sell first, the ex-right price will be 18.28 cents. Then the market price today will not need to fall below 17.78 or 18.28 respectively given that foreign funds that are not registered in Singapore cannot subscribe to the Rights issue and hence have to dump at big losses instead of waiting for the share to trade ex-right. That's because the price will be adjusted down to 12.44 cents by then. The investment banking officer screwed up big time, wiping almost $1,000 millions or $1 billion from the market, burning the hard earned, blood and sweat Savings of minority shareholders. Not to mention the psychological stress they have to go through over the next few months. So please rectify the mistake, intentionally or unintentionally, to save yourself. When one benefits at the expense of so many poor people, suffering in pain and agony, the joy can only be short-lived. Called it retribution or Karma or Punishment from one's own sins, it will come back with disastrous consequences. God is watching very closely, the people who are suffering and can't sleep every night.
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ahbui8
Master |
16-Jul-2021 15:56
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Currently share price continues to free fall, I think will reach 0.10cts before the 1st half report 🤦 🏻 &zwj ♂ ️ At this share price, will the rights issue get through? BBs got so stupid to vote yes for the rights issue?  Note : TH only 42.6% and DBS 1.87%   |
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weekaykee
Master |
16-Jul-2021 15:52
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40 cts is out of the question. More likely around 13 - 15 cts.  More pressure put on TH, even indirectly as in the case of SIAs, the better the chances of getting a decent offer. 
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Speediman
Veteran |
16-Jul-2021 15:45
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SCM should be put up for sale rather than trying to resuce it. A sale may even get up to 30-40 cts per share in an open auction. Some oil majors may even bid for it. The world still needs oils for the next 50 years for sure. There is a limit to how much batteries can store renewable energy. Batteries will create it own problems down the road when it wears off.    | ||||
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TigerPlay
Master |
16-Jul-2021 15:43
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Now just hope that TH is in Christmas mode as they making Billions, maybe take over at 40cts, let us have a big surprise lor
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Starship
Supreme |
16-Jul-2021 15:37
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![]()
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weekaykee
Master |
16-Jul-2021 15:27
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It is a foregone conclusion the rights will fail and TH /DBS will end up mopping up 95% of it. With the confidence getting lower by the day, even if the price stablises at 11cts, many will be weary of pouring in more $$.  Only hope is at what price will the mandatory offer be made at.
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TigerPlay
Master |
16-Jul-2021 15:17
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I was hoping for a U turn in the afternoon, but now seem is the other way laiow. oh my, just hold and see lor |
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TigerPlay
Master |
16-Jul-2021 15:16
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Wat u said appear to be sync with the price drop leh. Last few days, 12cts like huge wall, now it all disappear, maybe next wall is 11cts. then is 10 9 8 and bye bye to right liaow, not worth money laiow leh
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