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Sembcorp Ind
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SembCorp Industries
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ckh002
Member |
20-Aug-2020 02:49
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Support you bro.. I have just loaded another 20 lots @ $1.86 yesterday.  This is really call " average-down"   .  Only Shortist will hint others to sell.  Then buy back at low price and turn to long again.  I still have a GTM at $1.80.  Must tio-zui to support le...
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arctician1982
Senior |
19-Aug-2020 21:34
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PB valuation doesnt converge to industry mean of 1.1x right after demerger, your estimate is valid provided SCM shares can maintain value of 20c
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wonglau7479
Member |
19-Aug-2020 20:24
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Bro, have been monitoring the shorts... not much short activities for past few days including today: 17 Aug Sembcorp Ind                    267300                          SGD          511546 Sembcorp Marine              2637700                        SGD          591636 18 Aug Sembcorp Ind                    158400                          SGD          299363 Sembcorp Marine              2504600                        SGD          552413.5 19 Aug Sembcorp Ind                    90900                            SGD          168369 Sembcorp Marine              2669500                        SGD          558902
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tangoanna
Master |
19-Aug-2020 19:24
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2.5 more weeks.
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freeme
Elite |
19-Aug-2020 19:04
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To determine possible current market price for SCI after XE. You have to determine the industry P/B based on ulitity counters. From SGX data, Asia Pacific Utility Stocks median P/B ration is at 1.1. SCI after demerage NAV is 1.8 per share. This is based on P/B 1.0. If you believe that SCI without our SMM should trade closer to industry peers at 1.1x. SCI value should be worth 1.98  by itself.  With extra SMM given free to SCI holders at par value based on 427 SMM shares for every 100 SCI shares. That will be worth 0.85. Based on this 2.83. But just to be on the caution on my evaluation of SCI just based on 0.8 P/B = 1.44 (SCI) + 0.85 (SMM) = $2.29 I' m using possible valuation to determine the fair value of SCI. Of cos, you can be even more pessimistic on using a lower P/B for SCI.  |
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arctician1982
Senior |
19-Aug-2020 19:03
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you called out an impt point, if the shares are wortheless even if they give you 500 or 5 mil shares also doesnt matter. I value it at 20c in worst case scenario but i expect it to trade at TERP of 25c, the SCM price is a surprise to me. Wondering if SCM CEO and BOD will still fully subscribe to the rights as what they promised in SIAS townhall
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lailai
Elite |
19-Aug-2020 17:32
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That' s right, from what Jose the SCI guru had mentioned. One lot SCI will get 4.911 lots of SCI if none subscribe, and TH absorb all of the excess. Also seems like TH wants to ensure SCM gets the money it needs to have a new restart, whether got subscribers or nil, besides freeing its debt. Where to find such a godfather? ![]()
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Ventura1234
Member |
19-Aug-2020 17:12
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If SMM stay at 20 or below..the rights are practically worthless and we can assume SCI holders will get the max 491 shares right? | ||||
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Angrybull
Member |
19-Aug-2020 16:59
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Any idea which date will we know the amount of SMM shares we entitled to? | ||||
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naoshingo
Elite |
19-Aug-2020 16:51
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I added a bit slowly 1000s. 
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tangoanna
Master |
19-Aug-2020 16:51
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Sell queues significantly reduced. | ||||
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JY0064
Senior |
19-Aug-2020 16:47
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Loaded again to show confi in SCI. | ||||
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naoshingo
Elite |
19-Aug-2020 16:41
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Ya...personally I am also surprised by Jose sudden you turn.... SCI is now sitting on 50 days MA and just below 200 days MA and he call it quit just like that.... Hmmm.... Could he be a shortist himself?  ![]()
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arctician1982
Senior |
19-Aug-2020 16:07
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wow so drama i thought you number 1 supporter? Actually i am quite entertained by your posts and some of the views are quite good. You can exit but do continue to stay here and engage the community
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Justheretotrade
Member |
19-Aug-2020 15:52
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Ok thanks!!
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tangoanna
Master |
19-Aug-2020 15:49
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Only the shares. Rights are for Sembcorp marine shareholders, which have already been allocated and trading in the market now.
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Justheretotrade
Member |
19-Aug-2020 15:46
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Oh. So we are not entitled to the rights now correct ? We will only get the shares in Sep?
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tangoanna
Master |
19-Aug-2020 15:45
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get the sembcorp marine shares in september
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Justheretotrade
Member |
19-Aug-2020 15:42
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One question so SCI holders get SCM rights? | ||||
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tangoanna
Master |
19-Aug-2020 15:36
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looks like $1.85 should hold | ||||
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.  Only Shortist will hint others to sell.  Then buy back at low price and turn to long again.  I still have a GTM at $1.80.  Must tio-zui to support le...