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YZJ Fin Hldg
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YZJFH - potentially rewarding
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HVRRVH
Elite |
27-Aug-2025 12:17
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Everyone has their own guesses but nobody will openly say they know or share their guesses, as nobody know for sure. What we know is the post spin NAV per share for YZJF and YZJM is about $0.54 and $0.57 respectively but like pastime said, market could value it entirely differently and do not consider NAV at all. 
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pasttime
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27-Aug-2025 07:31
Yells: "gold silver are real money. not others iou." |
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nta is only a considerations of how much one is paying for a share. the more important measures are how much profit, how much cash flow and how much dividend. cash flow more important than profit. a company with lots of cash flow is real money. a company with lots of profit might not be real.  dividend is indications of how much big share holders willing to share profit with other non controlling share holders.  more dividend less left for growth. pay dividend already means less cash left. share price is a function of buyers money versus those selling. no transaction means not many willing to pay to buy and not many willing to sell.    so all up to controlling shareholders how they want to stir the interest in buyers interest to move share price up. money to buy is real. real money buy real stock.  others like nta are indirect things that results in transactions. don' t believe in what others said. everyone has their own considerations.  it is the main money power that will move share price. your money you decide. dyodd. |
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ysh2006
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27-Aug-2025 05:30
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Mr HVRRVH thanks for the analysing ,may know can roughly guess what is the pricing for YZJ M and YZJFH after spin off market trading ?
Many thanks.
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HVRRVH
Elite |
26-Aug-2025 22:18
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YZJS also injected fresh fund through convertible bonds prior to the YZJF spin off in Apr 2022.  YZJS issued convertible bonds at $1.345 to EDBI and AWI and received SGD$50m. The bonds were mandatory convertible in 12 months with 6 months lock up period. Based on various data at that time, the bond holders were eligible for shares in YZJF post spin. Available information showed that YZJF post spin outstanding shares was 3.923,415,000 [1.4.22 SGX announcement on major disposal] and FY22 annual report showed share counts of 3,967,939,000. So it is likely that shares were added due to the foregoing. The dilution to YZJF NAV of $1.08 was about 1.12% assuming the $50m were injected to YZJS and not YZJF. Now, YZJF will also inject fresh fund into YZJM in conjunction with the spin off, to the tune of $250m. This is a much bigger amount than $50m when YZJF spin off from YZJS. This $250m has raise the question of heavy dilution to existing shareholders and as of now, we have yet to hear from managment for any clarification. Probably they will address it prior or during EGM. It is likely that YZJM already know where to deploy the potential $250m, they wouldn' t magically come up with the figure just like that. It is also likely that they have sound out potential investors and received certain respond for them to put ou the $250m figure. In addition to my previos post, if market see potential high growth, it may push the share price up so let' s wait and find out. 
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HVRRVH
Elite |
26-Aug-2025 22:01
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ETL should be coming soon. Using previous case of YZJS to YZJF, the combined NAV pre spin at that time was about $1.95 [as of 20.4.22], post spin YZJF&rsquo s NAV was $1.08 and YZJS was about $0.86 respectively [as at 20.04.22]. First day trading on 28.4.22 saw YZJF open $0.69 and closed $0.545 whereas YZJS traded on XE day [25.4.22] open $0.8 closed $0.96. YZJF subsequently traded as low as $0.285 in months to come despite high NAV of $1.08 before turning the corner in July 2024 and more profoundly from Sept 2024 and traded as high as $1.06 in Aug 2025, esp today with sudden matched up at closed with almost half of today' s total volume. As for YZJS, it is trading at almost $3 now with NAV of $1.255. As far as spin off metrics are concerned, YZJF has $1.11 NAV now and post spin it is expected to have NAVs of $0.54 and $0.57 respectively for YZJF and YZJM. The NAV per share of YZJM is expected to drop further depending on the private placement price [a 20% dilution would see its NAV dip to $0.51 level]. In view of the foregoing, if market price both the entities based on NAVs then it would not be good news post spin, as I don' t see why would the market give premium to NAVs at early days of trading. Having said so,  YZJS&rsquo s rerating ($0.96 &rarr $3)  wasn&rsquo t just a NAV recovery&mdash it was driven by  record profits, USD 8.5B order book, and green shipping leadership. YZJF&rsquo s rebound from $0.285 &rarr $1.06 was due to  operational fixes: reducing China debt exposure, pivoting to Southeast Asia, and launching high-margin maritime businesses. From both cases, NAV is just a floor and what drive the share price is earing growth. With that, long holders who wish to hold on to both YZJF and YZJM can be hopeful, for starter, YZJF would further reduce its China DI to below 20% of AUM and they have taken step to invest actively in SMEs being anchor investor of the 100m fund with ICH. For YZJM, past 3 years we have seen the maritime businesses growing leap and bound by more than 100% so if this rate of growth keep up, it is likely that market would give at least 10x PE or more than 1x PB. We still can gauge rougly how the market would price YZJF and YZJM, if YZJF continue to trend up above current NAV, it is a good sign and likely that market will be generous in its pricing, perhaps both entities will trade at least at NAVs level. If today' s price is the peak or at most goes up to just a tad below NAV, then I don' t think market will accord high premium be it base on PE or PB.  |
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SlothSG
Veteran |
26-Aug-2025 21:21
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Up up and away ..... Huat arh! 💪 |
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pkli899
Supreme |
26-Aug-2025 17:11
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Until 5 pm 5.9m units done. Another 7.5m during matching! And also pushed up to 1.06. What happned?  |
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Winnertakeall
Elite |
25-Aug-2025 12:47
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Yangzijiang Financial Holding
 
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hokpin
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25-Aug-2025 12:18
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So after spin off, both YZJFH and YZJM will fly.
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Winnertakeall
Elite |
25-Aug-2025 09:40
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In August  Yangzijiang Financial Holding  (YZJFH) announced it would anchor a $100 million investment fund on August 18th and also reported a 28% rise in its H1 2025 net profits   
  Yangzijiang Financial Holding (YZJFH) News
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agoago
Member |
24-Aug-2025 19:50
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How a Chinese Shipbuilder Is Quietly Steering the Future of Green Shipping Interesting research summary at  https://tinyurl.com/yt8hhcp4   |
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ysh2006
Supreme |
24-Aug-2025 12:53
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Once EGM approval given the one for one maritime sharees later can trade at what price ? | ||||
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ysh2006
Supreme |
23-Aug-2025 18:20
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Next week EGM supposed the resoluction will all passed and we can get free marine stock one for one ..... | ||||
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hokpin
Supreme |
22-Aug-2025 16:45
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Love it.
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pasttime
Supreme |
22-Aug-2025 16:01
Yells: "gold silver are real money. not others iou." |
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hvrrvh greetings. yes nothing is sure even death. (some did not die) high probabilities of gaining capital by 4x on us 30 years bond over the next few years as us interest heading to 1%. trump is reported to have invested $100m on all kinds of bond.  believe in his abilities to make thing happen.   
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pkli899
Supreme |
22-Aug-2025 12:40
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Haha, I somehow share your optimism, HVRRVH. | ||||
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HVRRVH
Elite |
22-Aug-2025 11:26
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Price moving between $1.02 and $1.06, with heavy actions between $1.03 and $1.05. I think you are right. Anyway if it keep trading above $1 should be ok, once ETL and EGM over, likely to move further up touching the combined NAV. Post spin bound to have heavy volatility with price recovery process for the 2 companies. YZJF post spin will be aggressively reduce its DI to below 20% within a year [read somewhere, sure of the 20% but not too certain about the timeline], it would start investing in SMEs from Sep 25 with listing those SMEs in mind with its 100m venture with ICH. It would also shift focus to private equity and South East Asian markets. So, it seems not just YZJM, even YZJF is embarkig on new frontier so both companies post spin could yet to offer tremendous growth potentials. Personally, I already prepared my spreadsheet to include YZJM in anticipation to receive its shares for tracking purpose. Just like 1 and 1 distribution in specie, hopefully 1 day we could also see 1 and 1 in term of share price for YZJF and YZJM post spin. 
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HVRRVH
Elite |
22-Aug-2025 11:09
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Problem is the projected returns is not a sure thing, even if confident level is 99%. On the other hand, the discount is real and once given, like it or not, investors will take into account the effect on NAV in this case. The saving grace is that like you said, old Ren is the biggest shareholder so it seems unlikely he would dilute his equity interest too much. We shall see. 
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pasttime
Supreme |
21-Aug-2025 09:07
Yells: "gold silver are real money. not others iou." |
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in the previous years. share buy back is almost $125.4m. now by selling part of going to list subsi they get back $250m.  that is a gain of $124.6m. almost 100% gain from the cash spend on share buy back. | ||||
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pasttime
Supreme |
21-Aug-2025 08:19
Yells: "gold silver are real money. not others iou." |
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world is progressing quickly. money make opportunities become real. like now AI toy is booming. AI dog, cat, bear etc.  be ready to catch the boom in interest rate cut. which will results in property up cycle, developers already benefits from short covering. when will the shorts in yzjfh cover. or is it no stock for them to cover?   |
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