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UI Bousted Reit - UIBU
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JurongW
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26-Mar-2026 17:36
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JurongW
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25-Mar-2026 03:03
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minor edits  to make it clearer.
Treasury less than or equal to 3%:  REITs yielding 6 to 7% look very attractive (spread 3 to 4%). |
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JurongW ( Date: 25-Mar-2026 02:27) Posted:
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Here&rsquo s the full calibration run for UI Boustead REIT&rsquo s yield across unit prices from S$0.70 to S$1.00, using the projected annual distribution of S$0.06864 per unit (derived from IPO yield 7.8% at S$0.88).
📊 Yield Scenario Table
| Unit Price (S$) | Annual Distribution (S$0.06864) |
Yield (%) | Spread vs. 10Y Treasury (4.4%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.70 | 0.06864 | 9.81% | +5.41% |
| 0.75 | 0.06864 | 9.15% | +4.75% |
| 0.80 | 0.06864 | 8.58% | +4.18% |
| 0.85 | 0.06864 | 8.07% | +3.67% |
| 0.88 (IPO) | 0.06864 | 7.80% | +3.40% |
| 0.90 | 0.06864 | 7.63% | +3.23% |
| 0.95 | 0.06864 | 7.23% | +2.83% |
| 1.00 | 0.06864 | 6.86% | +2.46% |
✅ Interpretation
- Below 80¢ : Yield shoots above 8.5&ndash 9.8%, offering a very wide premium over Treasuries. Attractive, but signals market stress if price falls that low.
- 80&ndash 88¢ : Balanced zone &mdash yield ~7.8&ndash 8.6%, still comfortably above Treasuries.
- 90¢ &ndash $1: Yield compresses to 6.9&ndash 7.6%, narrowing the spread. Still positive, but less compelling versus risk‑ free bonds.
This table shows how price directly calibrates yield attractiveness vs. Treasuries.
For a REIT to remain attractive relative to Treasuries, the key is the yield spread &mdash the difference between the REIT&rsquo s distribution yield and the risk‑ free Treasury yield. Investors typically demand a premium of 3&ndash 4% (sometimes more) to compensate for property market risk, leverage, and liquidity compared to government bonds.
📊 Calibration Example (UI Boustead REIT)
- Projected REIT Yield: ~7.8% at IPO price (S$0.88).
- Current Treasury Yield: 4.4%.
- Spread: 3.4% &rarr still attractive, but not excessive.
🔑 Rule of Thumb
- Treasury &le 3%: REITs yielding 6&ndash 7% look very attractive (spread 3&ndash 4%).
- Treasury ~4&ndash 4.5%: REITs need to yield at least 7.5&ndash 8% to stay compelling.
- Treasury &ge 5%: REITs must push yields above 8.5&ndash 9% to maintain appeal, otherwise investors may rotate into bonds.
✅ Takeaway
For UI Boustead REIT specifically:
- At 7.8% yield, it remains attractive as long as Treasuries stay below ~4.5%.
- If Treasuries rise toward 5%, the REIT would need to trade lower (say ~80¢ , giving ~8.6% yield) to preserve a healthy spread.
 
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tangsookiam1947 ( Date: 24-Mar-2026 21:05) Posted:
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JurongW ( Date: 24-Mar-2026 18:01) Posted:
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Anything is possible as the 10-year treasury yield remains elevated after the Fed meeting. As such, outlook is not positive for REIT/Business trust
If 80 cents can' t hold, then look at 75 followed by 70.  The dividend yield gets even more attractive as share price goes lower.
 
tangsookiam1947 ( Date: 22-Mar-2026 17:28) Posted:
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coco66 ( Date: 19-Mar-2026 11:36) Posted:
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coco66 ( Date: 13-Mar-2026 14:19) Posted:
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JurongW ( Date: 18-Mar-2026 18:42) Posted:
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Morgan Stanley reduced shareholdings to 4.923% on 16 Mar
https://links.sgx.com/1.0.0/corporate-announcements/32GYD46U1XJLAZG1/878693__UI%20Boustead%20REIT%20-%20Form%203%20-%20Morgan%20Stanley%20-%20FINAL.pdf
JurongW ( Date: 16-Mar-2026 19:07) Posted:
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Alignment ( Date: 18-Mar-2026 12:06) Posted:
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It is more difficult to predict whether UI Boustead' s share price will rise to Cent REIT' s level (currently S$1.14), or whether Cent REIT' s share price will fall, or some third option.
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Ammova Asset Management Asia Ltd becomes substantial shareholder after purchasing 966,400 shares at $0.815 on 12 March.
https://links.sgx.com/1.0.0/corporate-announcements/14GGAHMNX4DZ14YZ/878607__UI%20Boustead%20REIT%20-%20Form%203%20-%20AAMAL%20AAMIL%20-%20FINAL.pdf
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