Latest Forum Topics /
CapLand Ascendas RE
Last:2.45
-0.01
|
 Post Reply
|
|
Ascendasreit
|
|||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
25-Nov-2023 09:58
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
CORRECTION NOTICE : There is a typo in my last post. Should be 2.61 to 2.68. Not 3.61 to 3.68. The error was highlighted by a reader and I thank him/her for that. Have a good weekend, everyone. |
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
24-Nov-2023 15:26
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
This is just for fun one hor bred out of boredom. Looking into my battery operated crystal bola.... The next window of opportunity to buy Ascendas could be.... 15th to 22th Dec 2023.... price range is 3.61 to 3.68. All rights reserved. Please dont count on it, do your own due diligence. This is just to ease my boredom.  And er.......the contents of this post will be updated as we draw closer to 15th Dec. . 
|
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
|
|||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
24-Nov-2023 11:14
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
$3.00 (and higher) will eventually come. When the Fed signals that they are done with raising interest rate AND drops a hint on when they will start cuting interest rate. During the entire rate hiking cycle, Ascendas was able to mitigate higher borrowing costs and still pay out largely the same amount of dividends. This attests to the REIT Mgr' s ability to raise revenue and at the same time reduce operating cost so that DPU does not take a hit. And they did that for the entire duration of the rate hiking cycle. Can you imagine when the Fed starts to cut interest rates and borrowing costs starts to fall. All that savings from the previous higher interest charges will now become extra profits for distribution to shareholders. And it is quarter after quarter some more when rates starts to fall. Dividend yield will rise. And with that, the stock price. |
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
WaterTiger1808
Member |
24-Nov-2023 10:48
|
||||
|
x 0
x 1 Alert Admin |
$3.00 coming. | ||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
24-Nov-2023 10:19
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
" Distribution" here is not in the context of the REIT Manager distributing dividends to shareholders. The " Distribution" I was talking about is in the context of trading. First, a monkey will use stealth mode to quietly accumulate lots and lots of stocks. At this stage, he doesnt want to be noticed yet. He doesnt want you to know he is buying. So that you wont compete with him to buy. That way, he gets to buy more and at the lowest prices. After the monkey has accumulated enough, he will want to drum up the beat and wake everyone up. This is when he starts to push the price aggressively to stir up excitement. This is the MANIPULATION phase. Earlier on during the ACCUMULATION phase, he didnt want to be noticed. But at the MANIPULATION phase, this is the phase when he wants to be noticed and he wants everyone else to know that he is buying. So that everyone else will rush in to buy and in the process help him to push the price evem higher. As the price rises, the monkey also starts to sell his massive shareholdings accumulated at lower prices. Though he is still buying, becoz of his massive accumulation at lower prices during the ACCUMULATION phase, his average price is always below the current BUY : SELL price. When the monkey is still buying but only for the purpose of pushing the price higher so that he can sell at higher prices too, the DISTRIBUTION phase has started. Why is it referred to as DISTRIBUTION ? Becoz the monkey is " distributing" his massive shareholdings to those retail traders and investors who are motivated and driven by the propects of a profit to buy a rising stock. When retails buy, the monkey distributes to them (by selling his shares to retailers). Hence DISTRIBUTION.
|
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
|
|||||
|
chewch1
Member |
24-Nov-2023 09:35
|
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Hi wave, what does distribution mean? I' m confused between dividend and distribution. | ||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
24-Nov-2023 09:23
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
|
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
23-Nov-2023 11:54
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
 
|
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
|
|||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
23-Nov-2023 08:48
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
 
|
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
22-Nov-2023 16:45
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Yesterday' s High was 2.84. Today' s High kana si 2.83. Tomorrow 2.82 ? Friday 2.81 ?  Price was 2.82 : 2.83 earlier. Now 2.81 : 2.82. Appears to me that distribution is in progress. If later we see a throw down at 2.81 and price is bumped down to 2.80 : 2.81, then that' s somewhat confirmation of distribution. If that should happen, the next question is - interim distribution or final distribution. 
|
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
22-Nov-2023 00:16
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
All the best then, Bro aragosta. Whether to buy and keep (for how long we dunno coz you didnt say) .... OR ....................whether to jump in and out to surf the waves.... .  ....Different strokes for different folks. So all the best to the way you like to be stroked. For me, I like it at my thighs. 
|
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
21-Nov-2023 17:56
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Thank you for your write-up, Bro sanvan. Always nice to have another person' s posting to read. So my appeal to all of you is - please write more often and those who havent spoken, please start writing. If shy, give it a go. Once you take that 1st step to write something, you will realize it is not a difficult thing to do. CONGRATS on your partial profit taking. Yes, sell in tranches is one way to give yourself the privilege to sell higher if the price wants to go higher than you think it can go. But all good things must come to an end. Including this rally. That' s why a STOP PROFIT LOSS is useful coz if we leave it to hope, chances are we hold on and on and on and allow our paper profits to vapourize. Coz the market dont give a shit what we hope. All the best.
|
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
|
|||||
|
sanvan
Veteran |
21-Nov-2023 17:20
|
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
General Wave, This is excellent advice to guard your profits and not be complacent about taking them and to cash out early if the slide comes in, rather than hope the price revisits the previous high. I have lost out on earlier rounds with this " hope" mentality, only to see the price revert back to my buy price and in some instances even lower. So, this time, I have tried to be far more discplined in taking profit, doing so in tranches from 2.77 onwards. Admittedly, not the best price to start selling at 2.77 but am still happy as this time around I didnt feel stressed up waiting for the ideal price to let it all go in one transaction. Just as I bought in tranches, I let them go in similar fashion. Today, I sold at 2.82 and 2.83. Still holding 20% for the fun of seeing if price goes higher but will still be happy to do Stop Profit loss if necessary. Today, Half the volume was at 2.83, which suggests to me that there may still be some room to go higher. Let' s watch.
|
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
21-Nov-2023 15:23
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
So when is the next buying opportunity? It is said that a picture says a thousand words. In which case I show you a chart. This chart tells us what is a good price range to start nibbling her in anticipation of her next rebound. .  If in the next 3 months we get very negtive market-moving news, then we may get a selldown giving us crisis-grade prices. Otherwise, if the market trades in an orderly manner and we get the usual Swing Highs and Swing Lows type of market movements, then when her price pulls back to the 2.61 to 2.69 region, this is the time when we wake up (if asleep) and sit up on our chairs and pay more attention to market news and what the market is doing at that time. Ofcoz it is also important that we had kept our gunpowder dry in the armoury and ready for use. If you were too kan cheong and not patient enough to wait for a good time to buy and your troops are already prisoners of war locked up in prison camps elsewhere, then you will miss the chance to sow your seeds to reap your harvest. How long will it take for Ascendas to revisit 2.61 to 2.69 ? She will get there when she gets there. Paiseh. 
|
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
21-Nov-2023 15:02
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Those of you who are still on board, your focus remains on WHEN TO SELL. A friendly reminder to protect your paper profits. Dont let the market take back more of your paper profits than you will allow. Have a STOP PROFIT LOSS in mind where you tell yourself that if the price keeps sliding down, you will allow only so much sliding down bearing in mind that for every bid of sliding, you are losing your paper profits. Once the price has reached the maximum number of sliding down bids you have allowed, time to sell and lock in what' s left of your profits. If you dont do this and you leave it to " see how lor" ..." wait a bit longer and see got rebound or not" etc etc, then you are in danger of doing nothing if the price continues to slide and before you know it, the price is already down 10 bids from the Day High. If this happens to you, you are going to feel very shitty. You will want to kick yourself. And kick the monkey also. And kick all those who didnt stand in solidarity with you to wait but sold causing the price to slide. If you leave it to your emotions to decide, our human nature is such that we like to hang on to hope - hope that the price will rebound back to the Day High. And go even higher. In most cases, our emotions will screw us up. But if you use a rules-based trading system to tell you when enough is enough and to lock-in what' s left of your paper profits, in the long run, we tend to do better. |
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
21-Nov-2023 14:16
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
I made 20.4 cts from this trade. Less 0.7 cts for 2-way bus fare. Nett Nett made 19.7 cts. Duration to make this 19.7 cts was 8 weeks (since the start of October 2023). To make the 15.5 cts dividend, we will have to BUY & HOLD for a minimum of 7 mths. That is, buy in July before XD and hold until late Jan/early Feb in the following year until after XD. Then you get the 15.5 cts dividends. Which is why I am not a Dividend Investor in Ascendas. I prefer to be a Swing High-Swing Low trader in her where I can collect higher dividends. If can do this once every quarter or four times a year, that will be great. If not, then twice a year also Beh Phai leow. Just that have to wait. A lot a lot of waiting in fact. For a pullback or correction to come and go. Becoz buying opportunities are few and far between. And after we have somehow found the bolas to buy, we cannot be too kan cheong to sell too early. We have to be patient. We have to TAN. TAN Si Mi ar? TAN the baby to grow lor. It takes 9 months to make a baby. You cant make 9 women pregnant to get a baby in 1 month. . 
|
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
21-Nov-2023 13:30
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Matched out my remaining lots at 2.83 during post-lunch matching. So I have disembarked from this boat completely. .  From here onwards if she keeps rising and rising, good for those of you who are still on board. Like I said earlier, use your own methods to decide when to sell. For me, I will most likely be a spectator to cheer the rest of you on. And take a break from the thrills and spills of trading after having subjected my heart, body and mind to such stress for the past 8 weeks or so. Would like to take this opportunity to reiterate to you all that when you park money in a stock like Ascendas, as long as you buy with money you do not need for 1 year and you wait for a selldown (during a crisis) or pullback (during normal market conditions) to buy, you will be fine. You wont have to wait for 1 year to be out of the woods. From sowing the seeds to harvesting my crops, the entire duration was around 8 weeks. Just have to remember that the 1st thing you must get right is STOCKPICK. After that, the next thng you must get right is ENTRY LEVEL. Once you have these two in the bag, 80% probability you will be profitable. Its whether you make more or make a lot more only. And that will depend on how good you are at LOON DONT SELL TOO EARLY. Those of you who sold lower, you will know what I mean and be able to connect with this. But its okay, there is always a next time. And when the next time comes, you will be ready to LOON DONT SELL TOO EARLY to reap a bigger harvest. This round of Swing High Swing Low trading in Ascendas... my harvest is not bad. Generals who command million-strong armies will say what I made is small change to them. Such generals are in a different league. Cannot compare lah. I am a small general with a small army. So ofcoz how many eggs my smaller army with fewer men can grab is also vastly different from million men armies. Ascendas is a good chicken. And quite horny too. This time round, she laid for me about 10,821.97 eggs (estimated sum). I thank my Heavenly Father for the good harvest. I thank Him for giving me the wisdom and foresight to make this trade. And whilst at it, I hope I managed to get some of you to ride along to reap your own harvest too. . 
|
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
21-Nov-2023 12:17
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
|
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
21-Nov-2023 11:04
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Ascendas is now at 2.82 : 2.83 with no sign of exhaustion. But it will be a slow grind from here taking out bid by bid and edging higher. How high she will go, only the monkey knows. Yes, I believe there is a monkey in the driver' s seat. This monkey, I believe collected from 2.72 onwards. Yesterday, he drummed up the beat to hasten his collection at 2.76 to 2.80. How high the price can climb this time is totally dependent on which peak this monkey has set his sights on. But dont expect the price to go up in a straight line. The monkey needs to sell on the way up as well to prevent overheating and to recoup his capital to roll it back into the game again. If anyone is thinking of asking me ..... " Still can buy?" My answer is ..... " You are late." Coz this rally started at 2.47. Counting to 2.83 Day High, she has been running for 36 cts already. If you buy now, your risk premium is very high. Sure, if the monkey is willing, she can run to 2.90. Or even 3.00. If the monkey is willing. But this rally can also fizzle out anytime without warning. And if so, those who buy now will have to cut to keep their loss small. When you buy at the top of the mountain and you are wrong, it is better to cut than to LOON. If my mother and my brothers ask me still can buy or not, I will say to them let this round go. Wait for the next one. There is something I need to say upfront. When my SELL orders are filled, I will post here to inform. But just becoz I have sold doesnt mean you should to. Why ar? Becoz I suck at timing. When it comes to analysis, chart reading and reading market direction, I may seem okay. But when it comes to timing, I suck. Many times, and I want to stress...MANY TIMES.... people who were reading my postings and charts and had used my analysis and guidance to trade the stocks I was talking about.... they got in at a better entry price and sold at a higher price than mine. You see, analysis and chart trading and what not is one thing. EXECUTION is another thing altogether. And people who read my postings and used my analysis bought at lower prices and sold at higher prices than me and made more bids all becoz their EXECUTION well surpassed mine. Which is why I said just becoz I have sold doesnt mean you should. If you have been doing well using your own methods to decide when to sell, stay with it. Continue to use the same method. Since it has served you well. Do not becoz I have sold, you let it affect your judgment and you then sell too at a price which is lower than what you had planned to sell at. When it comes to timing, if your own timing has been okay, continue to use your own methods to time when to sell. Dont follow me. Becoz I suck at timing. I am trying to improve. Still working on it. It is an ever ongoing work-in-progess. |
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
|
wavehunter
Supreme |
21-Nov-2023 09:47
Yells: "Trade what you see, not what you hope to see." |
||||
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Read my quoted post below first. As I was asking you all, so was it accumulation or was it distribution? Today......the market has answered that question.
|
||||
| Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||
