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Capitaland
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Shane1702
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09-Aug-2021 14:48
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But if current holding price of Capitaland is low, will it be better to just get CLI? For possible future higher gains instead of take profit at 4.5?
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lukewong82
Master |
08-Aug-2021 22:28
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tuesday 2pm Capitaland EGM. Once approved, those funds who are applying for CLI(CLIM) IPO can start buying up Capitaland liao
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hokpin
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08-Aug-2021 18:59
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Tue, most of the stocks will fly as good sentiment due to the easing of Gov control measures and have set clearly the future path down the road! All vested here, huat gao gao and huat gu gu! | ||||
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lukewong82
Master |
05-Aug-2021 16:32
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$4.30 implies an opening price of $3 for CLI (CLIM) on 16 Sept. I still think CLI will trade at $3 to $3.20 on 16 Sept ==> $4.30 to $4.50  Longer term, CLI will reach $3.50 next year Feb when good set of maiden results out which usually is the case. Most company wants to make their maiden results impressive. Then potential inclusion into one of those indexes too will mean translating to $4.7 to $4.8. So maybe can profit from $4.5+ onwards  
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investshare
Supreme |
05-Aug-2021 14:52
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I would not sell .. my intent is to get CLIM.
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tguanhoc
Senior |
05-Aug-2021 14:28
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Last week confirmation that the retail investors sold off lots, stock and barrel, again to take profits.   That is expected.   The other facts are as follows:  1.   The institutional investors were gobbling up as well as driving up the price of CAPLAND 2.   These institutional investors considered CLI as highly strategic with potential upside, i.e., near term. 1.2*NAV and mid-term 1.5*NAV and  3.   Temasek would probably consider CLI' s next quantum S curve price jump, leading up to 2024 as a longer term target.   Therefore I predict that CLI would open much higher than $2.8 after mid-Sep.   |
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Ling9345
Master |
05-Aug-2021 13:33
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I sell 3 times last months, profits about 10k,well done Capitaland | ||||
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gasband
Member |
05-Aug-2021 11:59
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I am no expert but I also think there is an upside on top of $4.102 but of course I am a kacang only so market movements not up to me to predict 100% haha! So if after 16 Sep if it burst across $4.30, would you sell?
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lukewong82
Master |
05-Aug-2021 08:14
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yes in theory u are correct :) Just imagine there is a takeover and Capitaland offers $4.102 for every Capitaland share but choose to remain listed. So u sell at $4.10 u nv lugi lo.. BUT after the offer is over and the share remains listed , it can go either way, up or down. So now the question is do u think $4.102 offer is too low or the offer is a good one? If u think offer is a good one, then u sell at $4.102 because u think after offer ends, share price will drop below $4.102. If u think offer is too low, then u dun sell lo becos u think after offer ends, the share price will continue to rise becos $4.102 is undervaluing the shares too much liao.. I think the offer is " too low" . $4.102 is too low. I think on the 16 Sept when the " offer ends" , the share will trade at $4.30 to $4.40 (CLI + $0.955 + 1.55 lots of capitaland trust)  
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gasband
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05-Aug-2021 07:31
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Thanks! Actually my question is more just about the theory. So is my theory correct as in if really everything is exactly like what Capitaland implied as $4.102 when restructuring happens, then people selling off at $4.10 now, they never lugi based on what Capitaland implied right? But of course like what you say, when CLI will most likely trade higher, they will lugi in reality lah. But I just want to learn on that theory whether I am understanding it correctly haha.
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lukewong82
Master |
04-Aug-2021 22:02
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Semb Ind when it demerge with Semb marine... It went down to $1 on XE before rebounding back to > $2. Same question asked. Why ppl sold Semb Ind at such a dirt cheap price of $1?? Possible reasons why ppl selling now. 1) They scared the EGM will not approve the deal 2) They are trading and needs to contra off as they have no $$$ to keep the shares 3) Some ppl tend to sell first and hope that DOW crashes and buy back cheaper 4) Some ppl may think that the CLI (CLIM) IPO first day trading price will be $2.80 only so now take profit first. 5) Some ppl need to sell their shares as they need cash urgently 6) Some funds shifting the shares left hand to right hand to generate volume in order to meet trading volume KPI 7) Shortist shorting the shares intraday aka for a 2 to 4 cents profit. eg: 4.03 to 4.07 price movement.  
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hokpin
Supreme |
04-Aug-2021 21:54
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Those selling one are just simply trading or short-sighted. They are satisfied with a few cents profit. The profit could turn into not bad if these are eaten up by big mouths / BB.
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hokpin
Supreme |
04-Aug-2021 21:50
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Bro, good say! Buying Capital Land now is just like buying IPO of CLI. Start trading price of CLI could only go higher than IPO introduction price. Thus, Capital Land is the proxy of CLI now. Grab the golden opportunity. Accumulate it now.
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Ling9345
Master |
04-Aug-2021 21:50
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If what u said is correct, ppl still selling, everyone should buying, are they something wrong | ||||
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lukewong82
Master |
04-Aug-2021 21:37
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$4.102 assumes the IPO of CLI (CLIM) by introduction (not by public issues/balloting) trades at NTA of $2.8. Imagine IPO price of CLI is $2.8. Do you think CLI will start trading at $2.8? below or higher? Let say they list CLI via public issues. So everyone can go ATM bid for the IPO. Do u think the CLI will be undersubscribed or oversubscribed? Do u think those who applied thru ATM will get all the shares they applied for or need to ballot and only get a fraction of what they applied for? I think this is a golden opportunity to apply for the IPO of CLI by buying capitaland. Most likely CLI going to start first day of trading around 16 Sept at $3. Then slowly inch towards $3.20 within 1 week. Longer term say next Feb when they going to annouce their maiden set of results, $3.50  
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gasband
Member |
04-Aug-2021 20:26
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Hi experts, regarding the capitaland restructuring that is going to happen, with an implied consideration of $4.102, does it mean that in recent days when it did $4.10 and people who sold off, mean they had technically unlock the implied value ahead of the restructuring already? Of course this is only in theory right because after restructuring, the new stock might suddenly go up very high or of course it can drop also...but in theory, is my understanding correct? | ||||
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tguanhoc
Senior |
30-Jul-2021 10:21
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Seems like there are a couple of Hedgefund vultures playing games amongst themselves.   Hoping to catch the retail and even institutional investors by surprise.   | ||||
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tguanhoc
Senior |
29-Jul-2021 12:21
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Most Hedgefunds are known to be vultures.   They prey mostly on the retail investors, mostly the uncles and aunties who seldom do proper homework or they think that playing shares are like playing 4D and Toto.   If lucky you win, otherwise you lose.   Sad but it is true.  | ||||
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tguanhoc
Senior |
29-Jul-2021 10:45
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Few traders are real retail investors. Many traders are Hedgefunds that use powerful and sophisticated mathematical algorithms to trade and manipulate the share price to profit.   Many of these Hedgefunds are institutional investors.   So retail investors must be careful of these institutional manipulative funds.  | ||||
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tguanhoc
Senior |
29-Jul-2021 09:34
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There are only 6 trading days left before the expected target price of $4.10 is confirmed on the 10th August 10 EGM. It seems like the retail investors are killing their own golden goose by playing into the hands of the traders who are accumulating the shares at a depressed price so as to sell them off to the institutional investors at the close when the price is up.    |
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