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Quality Gem
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destinykraze
Elite |
06-Mar-2017 13:11
Yells: "Reality is only a matter of perception" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
There is a correction coming. Also time to pick up cheap and good stocks. patience is the key. |
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risktaker
Supreme |
06-Mar-2017 13:09
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-03-05/citis-matt-king-we-think-you-should-sell | ||||
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risktaker
Supreme |
06-Mar-2017 11:21
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Friend short US futures & gold ... longed USD | ||||
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risktaker
Supreme |
06-Mar-2017 10:29
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
US futures -68
Gold and silver in heavy short by commercial... likely to drop.... It could be time to short .... |
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risktaker
Supreme |
06-Mar-2017 08:47
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
US market looks like ripe for correction... R u guys ready.... :) | ||||
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risktaker
Supreme |
27-Feb-2017 17:49
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Trump Navy guy just withdraw .... Dr Doom say market is way overbrought....
I think trump power is starting to be going down... |
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TMW1986
Master |
27-Feb-2017 08:35
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
I read online, really got some news or articles. Just have to remember the financial crisis which always occur 8-10 years every decade. Previously was 2007-2008. Will this year be the same? What event can cause it for now?
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risktaker
Supreme |
27-Feb-2017 07:25
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Stockman: "After March 15 Everything Will Grind To A Halt"
Tyler Durden's picture by Tyler Durden Feb 26, 2017 3:50 PM 138 SHARES TwitterFacebookReddit Two weeks after David Stockman warned that "the market is apparently pricing in a huge Trump stimulus. But if you just look at the real world out there, the only thing that's going to happen is a fiscal bloodbath and a White House train wreck like never before in U.S. history" and exclaimed that, when looking at markets, "what's going on today is complete insanity" he is back with another interview, this time with Greg Hunter of USAWatchdog in which he, once again warns, that a giant fiscal bloodbatch is coming soon, and urges listeners to pay especially close attention to the March 15, 2017 debt ceiling deadling, at which point everything could "grind to a halt." As Greg Hunter writes, former Reagan Administration White House Budget Director David Stockman says financial pain is a mathematical certainty. Stockman explains, ?I think we are likely to have more of a fiscal bloodbath rather than fiscal stimulus. Unfortunately for Donald Trump, not only did the public vote the establishment out, they left on his doorstep the inheritance of 30 years of debt build-up and a fiscal policy that?s been really reckless in the extreme. People would like to think he?s the second coming of Ronald Reagan and we are going to have morning in America. Unfortunately, I don?t think it looks that promising because Trump is inheriting a mess that pales into insignificance what we had to deal with in January of 1981 when I joined the Reagan White House as Budget Director.? So, can the Trump bump in the stock market keep going? Stockman, who wrote a book titled ?Trumped? predicting a Trump victory in 2016, says, ?I don?t think there is a snowball?s chance in the hot place that?s going to happen. This is delusional. This is the greatest suckers? rally of all time. It is based on pure hopium and not any analysis at all as what it will take to push through a big tax cut. Donald Trump is in a trap. Today the debt is $20 trillion. It?s 106% of GDP. . . .Trump is inheriting a built-in deficit of $10 trillion over the next decade under current policies that are built in. Yet, he wants more defense spending, not less. He wants drastic sweeping tax cuts for corporations and individuals. He wants to spend more money on border security and law enforcement. He?s going to do more for the veterans. He wants this big trillion dollar infrastructure program. You put all that together and it?s madness. It doesn?t even begin to add up, and it won?t happen when you are struggling with the $10 trillion of debt that?s coming down the pike and the $20 trillion that?s already on the books.? Then, Stockman drops this bomb and says: ?I think what people are missing is this date, March 15th 2017. That?s the day that this debt ceiling holiday that Obama and Boehner put together right before the last election in October of 2015. That holiday expires. The debt ceiling will freeze in at $20 trillion. It will then be law. It will be a hard stop. The Treasury will have roughly $200 billion in cash. We are burning cash at a $75 billion a month rate. By summer, they will be out of cash. Then we will be in the mother of all debt ceiling crises. Everything will grind to a halt. I think we will have a government shutdown. There will not be Obama Care repeal and replace. There will be no tax cut. There will be no infrastructure stimulus. There will be just one giant fiscal bloodbath over a debt ceiling that has to be increased and no one wants to vote for.? Stockman also predicts very positive price moves for gold and silver as a result of the coming budget calamity. |
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risktaker
Supreme |
27-Feb-2017 07:22
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Gundlach: Ignore Stocks, "There Is A Stealth Flight To Safety Going On"
Tyler Durden's picture by Tyler Durden Feb 26, 2017 6:08 PM 2 SHARES TwitterFacebookReddit Not only is the Trump rally over, but stocks are the last to get the memo. That's the current market summary according to DoubleLine's Jeff Gundlach who told Reuters that "there is a stealth flight to safety going on." Among key indicators, Gundlach pointed to German Bunds and especially Schatz (2Yr), noting that "German bond yields are leading the way down," adding that "Gold is rising." He also warned that "speculators remain massively short bonds and the market is going to squeeze them out." As we showed last Friday, the yield on German Schatz plunged to a record -0.96%. Earlier that day, Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid said "I've no idea why Bunds are rallying so hard at the moment." That said, a simple reason for the collapse in German yields may have little to do with political risk or fear of the upcoming European elections, and everything to do with the ECB running out of eligible securities to monetize. As Citi's Jamie Searle calculated last week, the ECB needs to buy around EU80b in 1y-6y German paper by year-end, and as a result traders are merely frontrunning the ECB. As a result, Citi expects that not only will the 2Y tumble below 1% but the 10Y Bund yield will plunge again, dropping as low as -0.10%. Back in the US, US yields have given up much of their "Trumflation", post-election gains, and on Friday, the 10-year traded at 2.32%, compared with 2.388% late on Thursday. Yields fell as low as 2.313 percent, the lowest since November. Gundlach, who oversees $101 billion, first introduced his view on the 10-year yield's bottom in January. He then said on an investor webcast: "I think the 10-year Treasury will go below 2.25 percent ... not below 2 percent" before edging up again. As of this moment, we are just 7 basis point away from Gundlach being proven correct again. As a result of the latest inflation trade unwind, Gundlach said the U.S. Treasury should consider issuing ultra-long-term obligations. "I?d issue the longest maturity Treasuries that the market accepts," Gundlach said. "Start with 40-year, then keep extending if the market allows it. Do 100 if you can get there. The timing is good right now." Of course, the mere hint that the US would so dramatically change its issuance calendar would very likely result in another steep selloff on concerns about duration realignment, and the sudden "unpredictable" shift in the world's deepest and most liquid bond market. Meanwhile, touching on stocks which soared in the last minute - literally - of trading to close at yet another all time high, Gundlach noted that "stocks are out of sync with the stealth flight to safety. Lots of hope built in." Back in December, Gundlach said that "the bar was so low on Trump to the point people were expecting markets will go down 80 percent and global depression - and now this guy is the Wizard of Oz and so expectations are high. There's no magic here." So far the magic remains, even if it is on the back of retail investors rushing into ETFs , even as the smart money is selling. Despite the historical accuracy of Gundlach forecasts, DoubleLine's flagship Total Return Fund (with $54.7 billion in assets) has trailed its peer category so far this year, posting year-to-date returns of 0.70% lagging 73% of its peer category. However, if the like of Goldman are correct, and volatility returns to stocks in the coming days, leading to a wholesale flight to safety into fixed income, we are confident that DoubleLine will fade the gap with his competitors on very short notice. |
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goldvision
Senior |
26-Feb-2017 15:58
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Bubble is good. The bigger, the better. | ||||
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junction
Master |
26-Feb-2017 15:45
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
But at least he gives reasons for his predictions.Tthere are worse forerunners here who would pick a quarrel with you if you so much as disagree with their views/predictions - very immature type - who have cause some good members to give up. If he is so good, all the traders can close shop and only listen to his predictions.   Remember last year almost everybody who is worth mentioning predicted Hilary Clintor would win and if Trump wins the stock market would spiral down.   What happens?
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Zygoth20
Member |
26-Feb-2017 14:32
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
aiyo....us stockmarkets correct or not correct....why you care so much??? come on lah....you guys glue to the everyday events to the last drop????? you intra-day traders??? if no...not worth your life to care all these lah...spend your time studying to get a good job first and make enough money..then play stocks lah !! |
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risktaker
Supreme |
26-Feb-2017 14:29
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Nm lor u just all in the market lor
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zandlery
Supreme |
26-Feb-2017 12:59
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
But you predict a lot more last year. But only kana a few one. So to me your prediction I would say.........within 5% accuracy?
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risktaker
Supreme |
26-Feb-2017 08:31
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Last year i call for market melt down but remember june brexit i call for market rebound.... Nov i call for trump rally.. .
Now i call for market correction at least 10 to 20%...
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zandlery
Supreme |
25-Feb-2017 17:44
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
What about rest of your prediction last year. It never happen last year......so what's the probability of this mention going to happen? | ||||
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risktaker
Supreme |
25-Feb-2017 15:35
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Everyone should know that the market is now highly over value... there is only 3 times in the stock market history that S&P 500 exceed 26.5 P/E ratio...
1) year 2000 the tech bubble.... where certain stocks trade at extreme valuation. Bubble pop and market crash... 2) 2007 housing bubble.... which resulted subprime crisis... bubble pop lehman brother tohed... 3) 2017 everything bubble.... there is no return on our debt and to maintain the current system...there are only 2 option a) government around the world is going to hyperinflation everything will go up and money will soon be worthless as more money chasing less goods...therefore debt will be meaningless.... until people cant take it revolution around the world take hold...and a new system begin.. b) let the bubble pop.... money back to gold standard.... Becareful... it could happen this year anytime.... Good luck the everything bubble will be a wealth transfer cycle.... if ur on the right side of the investment.. |
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