| Latest Forum Topics / Seatrium Last:0.091 -- |
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SembCorp Marine- The new Frontier.
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Speediman
Veteran |
16-Sep-2021 12:12
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Dont buy the rights, screw yourself because it is cheap.  Buy the rights, give them the chance to screw you 1 more time as the price of the shares is likely to sink below 0.8cts just like the previous round sank below 20cts.  The mgmt needs to be changed wholesale to have a breath of fresh air.  I cannot see them doing anything new to turn the fortunes of this sinking ship.  |
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weekaykee
Master |
16-Sep-2021 12:04
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The current price of around 8.3 cts could be indicating that a MO is likely but as TH has hinted (to keep SMM listed), is not going to be attractive. 
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Chagatai
Veteran |
16-Sep-2021 11:53
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Challenging anyone to dare in the stock market is ridiculous. Everyone has their own reasons no right no wrong just share thoughts knowledge info critically is Enough | ||||
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stanleytay
Master |
16-Sep-2021 11:53
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I brought up this point two days ago.
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ahbui8
Master |
16-Sep-2021 11:52
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Those vested are all believing that the MO will be fair and reasonable just like me. But what really puzzling me now is the current mother share price, still so low nearing the right price, mean market don' t see the MO is going to happen.
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beng1102
Elite |
16-Sep-2021 11:49
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If the probability is high why would anyone wait till 22nd.  U should short now and profit from it handsome after 22nd.
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bystander1965
Supreme |
16-Sep-2021 11:46
Yells: "What I say is just my assessment. DYODD" |
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What I am commenting has nothing to do with the price today. The price today has a lot to do with the rights, not the potential merger.  
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stanleytay
Master |
16-Sep-2021 11:44
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Agree.. Those people saying they are long term holders then within 6mths all cut loss and turn against SMM now. 
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chart_expert123
Master |
16-Sep-2021 11:43
Yells: "Only buy stock with revenue or net cash flow growth!!!!" |
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which terms you refer to? if there is such term, share price won' t be trading close to right price now. 
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bystander1965
Supreme |
16-Sep-2021 11:41
Yells: "What I say is just my assessment. DYODD" |
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Anyway, the merger with KOM is a long shot. It' s not going to happen any time soon. It may not materialise at all for all we know. I have said many moons ago SCM is in no position to do acquisition and if it does it would be detrimental to the SH. So the reality has shown us the answer. Back then a lot of people were clamouring for it to happen, many are not around anymore and one I remember very well has switched camp and now is hammering SCM virtually daily, hourly. . I guess back then it was just hyping by a lot of ST traders hoping to make quick bucks.
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Longtermer
Elite |
16-Sep-2021 11:38
Yells: "A disciplined investor is a wealthy investor" |
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Agree.. Any MO by TH should be at least 50% more than the current 8c right issue. It is still lower than the NAV and VWAP. Patience is key..  
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bystander1965
Supreme |
16-Sep-2021 11:37
Yells: "What I say is just my assessment. DYODD" |
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I kinda wonder why would one subscribe 8c and sell at 8.1c or 8.2c? At 8.1c still losing money. Selling at these prices after going through the hassle of subscirbing it baffling to me. Might as well just sell the rights on the 1st day. Could have made more and would not have to cough up the capital. So if it really sinks below 8c, is it really the selling or the players are trying to shake, or shortists at work? Just wondering out loud.  
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ICXGOLD
Master |
16-Sep-2021 11:35
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VWAP is 15 cents NAV 30+ And that explains why the price is stuck at 8 cents. The only way TH can make a low ball offer is using CMP as the rationale behind their offer and so to bid under NAV they need the CMP to be super low. To say the offer is say 60% or 80% above CMP but pretty sure TH won' t risk negative publicity by trying to squeeze minority Shareholders in a company they own 67% and need to only pay 33% shareholders. The Minimum MO would be a close to 6 month VWAP and the higher end is anyones guess. An MO of 16 cents will coat TH 1B and 24 Cents will cost TH 1.5B. And 32cents will cost TH 2B. In all these scenarios the cost is well under the money saved by not taking over KOM
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bystander1965
Supreme |
16-Sep-2021 11:34
Yells: "What I say is just my assessment. DYODD" |
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Based on your comment on the $ amount involved and how the shares will be issued (if needed), it is obvious you are shooting from the hips and did not read the terms properly. I am not defending SCM as I have no interests atm and is still observing. Good to share but do not be bias especially if one is not vested long or short.  
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newbie19
Supreme |
16-Sep-2021 11:22
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Hmmmm....can say beyond Sept 22 2021.......8cts eventually  will be history for the first 6 months.............. Afterwhich, i can`t foresee any further .....that`s the max my brain can works....
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Chagatai
Veteran |
16-Sep-2021 11:22
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Excellent point Sir this is Realistic assessment possible the new entity name is ?Semb Corpse Marooned.? That why is think JV with big Korean and Japanese yards is the only way to survive. They may just do it.
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ICXGOLD
Master |
16-Sep-2021 11:19
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A Mandatory offer for 40 cents is a bit far fetched, and a Mandatory offer for 8 cents is ridiculous. Based on market standards and previous MO on SGX, the offeror has to also provide a rational behind the offer as to why shareholders must accept this generous offer. And that part of the document is based on few things: 1) NAV 2) VWAP ( 6 M ) 3) Last Traded Price before offer. So TH wont be just pulling 8 cents out of a Bag but must make a case for it. And that Document which is expected next week would read something like this : RATIONALE FOR THE OFFER Opportunity for Shareholders to Realise their Entire Investment in Cash at a Compelling  Price and Favourable Valuation Without Incurring Brokerage Costs The prevailing economic environment is uncertain due to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.  The Offer represents an opportunity for Shareholders to realise their investment in the Shares  at a premium to historical market prices: (a) The Offer Price is at a significant premium to the NAV per Share and prevailing Share  prices over the last 12 months The Offer presents Shareholders with a clean cash exit opportunity to realise their  entire investment at a significant premium over the prevailing benchmark prices of the  Shares without incurring brokerage and other trading costs. The Offer Price represents a premium of approximately: (i) 150% over the net asset value (" NAV" ) per Share as of 30 June 2021 (ii) 60% over the last transacted price per Share of S$ on 17 September  2021, being the last full Market Day on which the Shares were transacted prior  to the Offer Announcement Date (the " Last Trading Day" ) and (iii) 23.2%, 42.3%, 50.6% and 62.5% over the volume weighted average price (" VWAP" ) per Share for the one (1)-month, three (3)-month, six (6)-month and  12-month periods, respectively, up to and including the Last Trading Day. Based on this we can see a Offer of 8 cents is not rational and please dont get caught out sitting on the sidelines when the offer would come in early next week |
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chart_expert123
Master |
16-Sep-2021 11:16
Yells: "Only buy stock with revenue or net cash flow growth!!!!" |
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Merger, Sembmar has to issue new shares to Keppel corp share holders. If keppel O& M market value is 3Bil. It will be 500mio +2.5Bil worth shares. based on 8cents, it will be 31Bil shares. Plus existing 31Bil, it is 62Bil which make market cap SGD 5Bil. Keppel corp currently 9.5bil. 30cents with 62bil shares is SGD18.6Bil. In past 10 years, Temasek only privatised SMRT. Recent case, is make use of keppel of privatise SPH, before than is keppel and SPH private M1. NOL and Chartered Semicon were sold. 
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Chagatai
Veteran |
16-Sep-2021 11:13
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Hope 4G upgrade quickly to 5G and start getting back on the ball | ||||
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uiop1223
Supreme |
16-Sep-2021 11:08
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How many billions alrrady wasted by elites? U think 4G have good foresight or still copying from 1G model
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. I guess back then it was just hyping by a lot of ST traders hoping to make quick bucks.