| Latest Forum Topics / YZJ Shipbldg SGD Last:3.46 -- |
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The Only Shipbuilding Blue Chip in SGX!
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pkli899
Supreme |
19-Jun-2024 16:38
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Ok, my bad. Didn' t take into consideration of contract value. My apology. I' m happy to know I' m wrong. |
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Smallboat1021
Member |
19-Jun-2024 16:23
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You are totally wrong man&hellip &hellip YZJ yards are full until 2028 right, no big jump on output volume right. But you ignored price. Nowadays YZJ are delivering orders taking in late-2021 to early-2022, when the newbuilding price index are below 150. Currently, the newbuilding price index approaching 190. We see a smooth increase ~10% yoy. That means, on average, from 2024-2027, the price of vessel delivered will increase 10% year over year. For 2024, the profit will jump to RMB 6bn, FY25 7-7.5bn, FY26 8.5-9bn and I anticipated the peak earnings will see above RMB 10bn since newbuilding price is still going up, even not take into consideration of any capacity expansion.
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emailpeter
Veteran |
19-Jun-2024 14:53
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Needless to compare cost, everyone at every level made money. Proof of pudding is in Gains. At 28-32c Cash EPS, MSCI funds will make them justify 10c divs. " Pay up or we pull down your shares to match your lower divs." We need wait till Aug or Mar to find out. Patience.... One caveat is global trade, any slowdown can cause cancellations, defaults etc. And lower charter income too. So it' s good we have a good team here to keep updating developments. Cheers !!! |
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Panda8
Veteran |
19-Jun-2024 14:44
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surely some good news should be on the way, looking at the price shoot up from 1.70 to 2.50 within 20 days.....  All BB already smell something ........    |
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pkli899
Supreme |
19-Jun-2024 14:29
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Well, they can affort to give 10 - 12c. Just that they are too prudent with money.  ![]() Btw, my cost is about 10 to 20% above yours. |
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emailpeter
Veteran |
19-Jun-2024 14:19
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If profit rises to high expectations, resulting div can reach 10-12c for next five years. That is an amazing DY over our $1.00 cost. | ||||
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pkli899
Supreme |
19-Jun-2024 14:15
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Having said, I really hope something exciting is going to happen as what aragosta & one other fellow had mentioned. Best is this new development also involve YZJFH....haha.......wishful thinking. |
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pkli899
Supreme |
19-Jun-2024 14:07
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YZJ is currently running at full capacity. Unless they get approval to add new dock or acquire new yard, that is about all it can take in (orders), without stretching delivery beyond 2027. If not wrong, delivery already crossed into 2028.   Efficiency & productivity can help improve margin but wouldn&rsquo t be significant. Hence,  profit will just be stable for the next few years. Do not expect big jump if no new development happening.  |
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Panda8
Veteran |
19-Jun-2024 13:23
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Big Boy frying hot....... without this Big Boy..... it is like a dead sea even company make huge of money ............. Comfortdelgro is one good example.....    |
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emailpeter
Veteran |
19-Jun-2024 12:04
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Going by the towering support, I don' t think we have anything to speculate on. Strong sustainable earnings drives shares..... It' s that simple.
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Panda8
Veteran |
19-Jun-2024 10:20
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Power ........ 
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pkli899
Supreme |
17-Jun-2024 21:33
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As at now, still no news on anticipated special development. It is not going to happen? |
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Panda8
Veteran |
12-Jun-2024 21:48
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No one can stop the uptrend, but can not keep going up without resting. Once a while need profit taking and correction, that is more healthy and prepare for next wave.......   
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Winnertakeall
Elite |
12-Jun-2024 21:22
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Daily Short-sell data from SGX
 
12/6/2034 : 10,155,500  
11/6/2024 :   4,214,500  
10/6/2024 :   2,639,600
07/6/2024 :   3,373,300
06/6/2024 :   2,667,800
05/6/2024 :   2,099,400
04/6/2024 :   1,562,300
03/6/2024 :   7,514,600
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SgYuan
Supreme |
12-Jun-2024 20:40
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wb up 243
see can hit or breakup if cannot wc dn |
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JessTrang
Veteran |
12-Jun-2024 20:37
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If the longist BBs done eith screwing the shortists BBs, we will see further undervaluing. 
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Panda8
Veteran |
12-Jun-2024 20:32
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Panda8
Veteran |
12-Jun-2024 20:31
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https://simplywall.st/stocks/sg/capital-goods/sgx-bs6/yangzijiang-shipbuilding-holdings-shares/news/are-investors-undervaluing-yangzijiang-shipbuilding-holdings | ||||
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Panda8
Veteran |
12-Jun-2024 12:43
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The correction is good opportunity to swap shares from other stagnant counters to this stock.    | ||||
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emailpeter
Veteran |
12-Jun-2024 10:22
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Precisely. To put into perspective, at today' s $2.38, we are sitting comfortably on a whopping 60% YTD gain, while its down 5% from ATH of $2.50. The FA per UOBKH point to 2.80-3.00 after year-end results in Feb 2025. Or if 1H in Aug points us that way. Really shouldn' t FOMO, if one can patiently assess upon results.....cheers. 
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