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Seatrium - Sea of Hopes & Atrium of Surprises (II) Post Reply Rate topic
Chansenghoe1971 Elite	19-Sep-2024 09:51        Chansenghoe1971 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 1   x 0  Alert Admin	Insane price. More rates cutting looming At least $50m savings. It has to move past 2 for my portofino sake 2 by end Nov or I jump
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huattuatua Elite	19-Sep-2024 09:43        huattuatua About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Zhun! hope it can let me get out first b4 reversing. BinderyT      ( Date: 18-Sep-2024 10:25) Posted: ... but my magic chart says 1.74 minimum before reversing ... huattuatua      ( Date: 18-Sep-2024 10:11) Posted: today kateks so aggressive ar end of day dunno need to cover back or not or using sbl?
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LoudShout Master	19-Sep-2024 09:34        LoudShout About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Good .  Crossed 1.70..
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ahbui8 Master	19-Sep-2024 09:30        ahbui8 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	1.88 by end sep, 2.36 by end of the year
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PL1968 Senior	19-Sep-2024 09:21        PL1968 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Take it easy lah, nobody can be 100% accurate MrBear12      ( Date: 19-Sep-2024 05:52) Posted: Eagle, looking forward to your many posts here. Mine are ended. The Fed cut rates 50 bps. (I epxected 25bps)
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Chansenghoe1971 Elite	19-Sep-2024 06:05        Chansenghoe1971 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 1   x 0  Alert Admin	Impactful half a point rate cut. Seatrium saving at least $17m interest per year if my calculation is right and if lenders drop the same rate
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MrBear12 Supreme	19-Sep-2024 05:52        MrBear12 About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood: Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us"
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Eagle, looking forward to your many posts here. Mine are ended. The Fed cut rates 50 bps. (I epxected 25bps)
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MrBear12 Supreme	18-Sep-2024 22:05        MrBear12 About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood: Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us"
x 1   x 0  Alert Admin	Rate cuts will aid Seatrium in its profit roadmap. But Seatrium must also actively manage its debt to reduce its interest costs by taking advantage of the impending lower cost of debt. naoshingo      ( Date: 18-Sep-2024 21:57) Posted: Rate cut or not, not important. Most important is Seatieum continue it's profitable roadmap.
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naoshingo Elite	18-Sep-2024 21:57        naoshingo About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Rate cut or not, not important. Most important is Seatieum continue it's profitable roadmap.
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MrBear12 Supreme	18-Sep-2024 21:24        MrBear12 About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood: Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us"
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2024/09/17/the-feds-biggest-interest-rate-call-in-years-happens-wednesday-heres-what-to-expect.html Above article surmises the differing views and considers the risks involved in the rate cuts. My view is really one needs to manage the risks of any size of the rate cuts decided upon. If 25 bps, then manage the risk of a recession. If 50 bps, manage the risk of inflation returning to very high levels. Both cuts have risks that needs to be countered with an action plan. That plan is more important than the rate cut itself.
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MrBear12 Supreme	18-Sep-2024 21:17        MrBear12 About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood: Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us"
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Until late last week, traders had locked in on a 25-basis-point cut. Then on Friday, sentiment suddenly shifted, putting a half point on the table. As of Wednesday afternoon, fed funds futures traders were pricing in about a 63% chance of the bigger move, a comparatively low level of conviction against previous meetings. One basis point equals 0.01%. Many on Wall Street continued to predict the Fed's first step would be a more cautious one. "The experience of tightening, although it seemed to work, didn't work exactly how they thought it was going to, so easing should be viewed with just as much uncertainty," said Tom Simons, U.S. economist at Jefferies. "Thus, if you're uncertain, you shouldn't rush." "They should move quickly here," Zandi said, expressing the more dovish view. "Otherwise they run the risk of something breaking." The debate inside the FOMC meeting room should be interesting, and with an unusual division among officials who generally have voted in unison. I'm generally more cautious as bears are in an uncertain environment BinderyT      ( Date: 18-Sep-2024 19:55) Posted: Why? MrBear12      ( Date: 18-Sep-2024 18:53) Posted: I am in the 25 bps cut camp. Means I'm in the minority camp. Chances I will be disappointed and as said, if it is 50 bps cut, I shall retire from Share Junction. This may truly be my last post. Good bye (should it be so)!
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BinderyT Elite	18-Sep-2024 19:55        BinderyT About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Why? MrBear12      ( Date: 18-Sep-2024 18:53) Posted: I am in the 25 bps cut camp. Means I'm in the minority camp. Chances I will be disappointed and as said, if it is 50 bps cut, I shall retire from Share Junction. This may truly be my last post. Good bye (should it be so)!
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MrBear12 Supreme	18-Sep-2024 18:53        MrBear12 About Contact  Quote this Post! Style: Combined   Mood: Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us"
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	I am in the 25 bps cut camp. Means I'm in the minority camp. Chances I will be disappointed and as said, if it is 50 bps cut, I shall retire from Share Junction. This may truly be my last post. Good bye (should it be so)!
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BinderyT Elite	18-Sep-2024 18:40        BinderyT About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	That' s why I don' t like the odds.   If only 14% probability and Fed delivers 0.5%, stock market will skyrocket.   But now, with 65% probability and if Fed does not deliver 0.5%, bond yields will shoot to the roof and stock market will tank. Tob231      ( Date: 18-Sep-2024 18:14) Posted: you are right. market has changed TARGET RATE (BPS) PROBABILITY(%) NOW  * 1 DAY 17 SEP 2024 1 WEEK 11 SEP 2024 1 MONTH 16 AUG 2024 475-500  65.0% 64.0% 14.0% 25.0% 500-525  35.0% 36.0% 86.0% 75.0
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Tob231 Elite	18-Sep-2024 18:14        Tob231 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	you are right. market has changed TARGET RATE (BPS) PROBABILITY(%) NOW  * 1 DAY 17 SEP 2024 1 WEEK 11 SEP 2024 1 MONTH 16 AUG 2024 475-500  65.0% 64.0% 14.0% 25.0% 500-525  35.0% 36.0% 86.0% 75.0
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BinderyT Elite	18-Sep-2024 18:02        BinderyT About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	Opposite.   Market is pricing 65% probability of 0.5% rate cut.   Only 35% probability of 0.25%. https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html Tob231      ( Date: 18-Sep-2024 17:47) Posted: More than 60% expected 0.25% Meeting market expectation 0.5% will make the market jump
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huattuatua Elite	18-Sep-2024 17:49        huattuatua About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	actually historically, the mkt usually falls after the rate cuts concurr with u that it will be a 25 bhp cut fed will take its own sweet time to gradually cut the rates and not in a hurry to do so epecially theres no impending recession fears in the US.   BinderyT      ( Date: 18-Sep-2024 17:32) Posted: It will follow US' s market reaction to rate decision.   Frankly, everyone is just quessing what the reaction will be.   Historically, it should be bullish but the expectation for a 0.5% is way too high and Fed might disappoint with 0.25%. Eagle88      ( Date: 18-Sep-2024 17:14) Posted: FINAL 168 - tomorrow any guess
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Tob231 Elite	18-Sep-2024 17:47        Tob231 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	More than 60% expected 0.25% Meeting market expectation 0.5% will make the market jump
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BinderyT Elite	18-Sep-2024 17:32        BinderyT About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	It will follow US' s market reaction to rate decision.   Frankly, everyone is just quessing what the reaction will be.   Historically, it should be bullish but the expectation for a 0.5% is way too high and Fed might disappoint with 0.25%. Eagle88      ( Date: 18-Sep-2024 17:14) Posted: FINAL 168 - tomorrow any guess ? Chansenghoe1971      ( Date: 18-Sep-2024 15:32) Posted: KO at 170 soon
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Eagle88 Supreme	18-Sep-2024 17:14        Eagle88 About Contact  Quote this Post!
x 0   x 0  Alert Admin	FINAL 168 - tomorrow any guess ? Chansenghoe1971      ( Date: 18-Sep-2024 15:32) Posted: KO at 170 soon
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