| Latest Forum Topics / Neptune Orient L Rg |
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NOL
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feedfrenzy
Veteran |
08-Sep-2015 21:35
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Thank you for your insights and very informative comments. Like many othersin this forum, I am also currently holding on NOL shares and still believing in   shipping. It only cross my mind to unloading my NOL shares to move on to other counters till i read your post. If what you mention is of good intentions for us without mind games liek some of those here(you know who you are) i suppose we all ought to hold on it. afterall we are just retailers not BB without that power and reducing the float in the market.  I' d like to heard views from the ground as well..sell hold or buy more LOL  
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sgng123
Supreme |
08-Sep-2015 19:32
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Currently all fund managers are quietly exiting asiapacific market and move their money all back to US/Europe where the next phrase of growth would begin. Just need to check out those dividend plays and u know already bleed like 30% of their 5 year average price and would continue to move lower when fund managers completed their divestment. Temasek and GIC hedging is not ruled out as they wanna make money too in this global slow down senario, but again to cover any short pos, u need to buy back and that mean retail investors must be scared to offload their holding in order for them to make money. IF retail investors don sell, in the end They themselve would be the one who ultimately had to jerk up the short position in a rush and result in spike surge of share price. Currently Ship share price got no more meaning in determinating the real value of high quality of assets it was holding. Since NOl was put up for sale, then just stick to that and wait till the divestment pop. NO need to sell or do anything, enjoy the show and watch the big players short covering. By the way NOL free float might be lower than what is being posted on SGX est 33% floated but majority might be hold by a few players only. THose players and Temasek call the shot and determine whether ship go or down regardless of market condition. What i can confirm is currently ship NAV = S$1.42 and share price is only like 60% of what it actually worth. To get a rough estimate of real value of ship, u gona check out the 2004 temasek privatisation deal which value the whole group at S5.3B on offering of S$2.80 per share for total 1.9Billion share that time. Lastly Temasek had invested over US$2 Billions for the 37% shares holding on top of the orignal 30% it owned before the 1994 privatisation, so how much NOL is worth make ur guess. NObody know... |
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feedfrenzy
Veteran |
08-Sep-2015 16:48
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for all you know,  maybe demostation is the guy shorting it /. *laughs
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mrbean249
Senior |
08-Sep-2015 16:06
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Come on why would temasek short their own stock, does not make sense at all. 
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Demostation
Supreme |
08-Sep-2015 13:32
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Ok, my thinking is like this: If Temasek shorted at $1.20, they could think of making 50 cents per share (BB think big) thus sucking up a couple of 8 to 9 figures of profits first. If this is accurate, the price could probably go down first to 70 cents before shortists cover.   If after covering with huge profits, another profit on the investment will be on the horizon, that is the actual investments, and how to make more out of it. Lol. |
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Demostation
Supreme |
08-Sep-2015 13:10
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But basing on hearsay, that GIC and Temasek are big players in the market, and judging the SGX now being controlled by appointed GIC man, if these two-in-one sovereign institution were net shortists hedging their investments, I believe they would not allow price to rise until they find the right time to cover their shorts, which if they had executed well above $1.20 (bfore APL saga), would give them enough profit of a more greedier sum of 50 cents profit might be around 70 cents. I assume that if this assumption is correct, and if they were presumed to   cover their presumed shorts, they might do the whip saw upwards with good harvest again. Just thinking only.
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Lecithin
Member |
07-Sep-2015 22:08
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I have been following up with your postings closely. I must admit that both your goodself and MetalTrader have given us very good insight and analysis on NOL. I also studied the financials and the assets that potentially can be unlocked. Till now, it is everyone guesses on how much NOL really worth if it is taken private? Can I seek your professional advice if you have a ball part figure per share based on the total shareholding of 2.6B if NOL is delisted? Taken into consolidation of what Temasek has bought and paid  in the early years and rights issues. Thanks.
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Demostation
Supreme |
07-Sep-2015 15:24
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They are hedgers, as most funds are.   So they will only know their own positions, we outsider knows not.   Lol.
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feedfrenzy
Veteran |
07-Sep-2015 15:22
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LOL seriously. do you think their position will be long or short? worth to hold and wait for NOL?
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Demostation
Supreme |
07-Sep-2015 15:21
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Temasek people may be on leave for the time being.   Maybe after the elections, it will do what is best, or what is beneficial to the pocket or even beneficial to their position, long or short that they might be in.   Lol.
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feedfrenzy
Veteran |
07-Sep-2015 13:57
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Will the   good news will come soon? You really think Temasek is going to let this go at a good rpice? if so what is the projected TP? |
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sgng123
Supreme |
06-Sep-2015 23:54
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now NOL investors just need t osit tight and wait for divestment news, nothing to trade since share price rangebound and the big movement only come on divestment news. PAP in their election say that they had already planned additionla revenue of $4B to cover all the welfare support for next 5 years and high chance they gonna milk it from temasek. SO the NOl sale news  most likely is real and maybe currently in progress of agreeing on the price for temasek stake and some ongoing financial checking and regulator approval etc. Maybe after 3Q result out on 30 oct then we see some action from ship on divestment. Most likely it one shoot big price movement then bam buyout price for retail investor to accept and delist process.  The key point is how much hidden value NOl had still in store and whether it get a fair price in consideration of the non core assets it had. Check out APl fact sheet in NOL website and u know ship still got lot of gems hidden, time to unlock and free retail investors. |
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MetalTrader3
Supreme |
05-Sep-2015 00:18
Yells: "Let Your Ignorance Be Shown Tommorrow! ~ PredictorX" |
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If you do not even understand about who are you, You will not understand anything else. All is like a fluttering clouds to the deluded, but an opening sunrise to the one who knows. | |||||
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MetalTrader3
Supreme |
05-Sep-2015 00:09
Yells: "Let Your Ignorance Be Shown Tommorrow! ~ PredictorX" |
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Life is not all about making money. Honor what you say, & do what you say. ZhuGe Liang do not hide in downturn of market, but predicted on all occasions of NOL doing the impossible which none can do even predicted multiple events & price of APL Logistics Sales, Oil Price Rate .etc His debate & word are all proven with direct action in the eyes of the Trading Realm in advance with accountability. Honor what you say is the simple code of being a human, being yourself! | |||||
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sgng123
Supreme |
04-Sep-2015 17:16
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NOL still got some more quality non core assets to be unlocked, NOL paid US$850M in 1997 to take over APL purely for the technologhy and most important the 3PL asset it had.  250M of the total 850M had been unlocked and US900M proceed, so we still got like 600M worth of hidden value asset waiting to unlock, maybe can pop out another US1B proceed for those. Temasek valued NOL group in 2004 at around $2.80 per share and total share outstanding that time is 1.9Bil share, that work out to be around $5.4B. IF temasek valuation is correct, ship is currently worth a lot more than current share price. Hope Temasek find a buyer or simply do a complete exit from container shipping and sell off all those new ships and unlock all asset value. But hehe i know temasek would not exit the container shipping business cos pressure from both spore and us government to keep the shipping line operating due to TPP. |
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sgng123
Supreme |
04-Sep-2015 16:43
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Support come and go, Ah moh is just doing temp lifting then towards weekend they all sideline. STI component stock got changed over and the heavy weight and super expensive $50+ stocks all got replaced with YZJ, SATC and UOL lol. Look like STI is gona go lowers since no more anchor stocks to hold it. More selling off of expensive blue chip ongoing so STI might test new low. NOL just wait for either a  merger or Temasek buyout, no point seeing the share price since Foreign fund are going to movr out of asia and back to US. SGX gona be very quiet for a few years sadly, no excitment same go for rest of asia, we in slow growth mode. excitment would be in the US / European market since theri valuation now are very attractive after few year of bloodbath. |
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feedfrenzy
Veteran |
04-Sep-2015 10:54
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bro.. chooooooi hahaha,, bear bear are cute but they should stay on the bed not in the market LOL Suprised the market opened soft today. I thin kwe will see a rebound later after lunch. How much rebound I dunno. Just my guess.. Got a few other counters need to unlaod too full already. you vested here?
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MetalTrader3
Supreme |
04-Sep-2015 02:29
Yells: "Let Your Ignorance Be Shown Tommorrow! ~ PredictorX" |
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Dear All, When i proclaimed one is Noob (BuySellBuySell), there will be result proven.  Dear Noob (BuySellBuySell), Your Noob had been proven in the Trading Realm. If you are not satisfied with my remark, welcome to challenge me again. The Trading Realm will be my judge. With Regards, MetalTrader (God Of Predictor) |
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MetalTrader3
Supreme |
04-Sep-2015 02:22
Yells: "Let Your Ignorance Be Shown Tommorrow! ~ PredictorX" |
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25 Aug: Sometimes, we need to understand that there is Noob (Buysellbuysell) in the forum who misrepresent & twist facts about Tamasek 67% NOL Shares. Buysellbuysell acted smart by not understanding the article but stated his own sell call on behalf of Tamasek through misinterpreting article & give a lot of own Noob opinion (which does not represent Tamasek View) in the opposite direction.  Though Buysellbuysell had been defeated by my MMP (SinoConstruction) Prediction, which had ended, multiple times repeatedly which may contributes to his head wires in poor referencing of reading a simple article. Therefore, I cannot blame him for his Noobness.
4 Sep- NOL closed up @ $0.86 
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MetalTrader3
Supreme |
04-Sep-2015 02:16
Yells: "Let Your Ignorance Be Shown Tommorrow! ~ PredictorX" |
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Nice Song, enjoy! - 新 出 師 表 ( 諸 葛 亮 ) Three Kingdoms Zhuge Liang https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LH9l6pIGQ2U |
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