| Latest Forum Topics / Olam Intl |
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Oceanus major business model restructure
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Maller
Elite |
31-Aug-2015 23:32
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Shd be at least 2.75. Mitsubishi paying this price |
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FATABA
Supreme |
31-Aug-2015 21:42
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" " " There are several mitigating factors, though. Collaboration should increase sales, although neither side will quantify the benefits. And if long-term projects start paying off, Olam' s earnings should in any case pick up sharply: forecasts for earnings per share two years hence are 47% above the current financial year." " "   Hi ,,,I have highlighted this statement from the report below....there must be more than its worth for MC to pay $2.75     By Reuters  / Reuters   | August 31, 2015 : 4:19 PM MYT                        HONG KONG (Aug 31): Talk about peer envy. Mitsubishi Corp is backing a Singapore-listed trader with wobbly shares and an unhappy history with short sellers. The $1.5 billion vote of confidence would be just the ticket for beleaguered Noble Group. But the $41 billion Japanese outfit is actually pairing up with safer-looking Olam. Mitsubishi is paying a full-looking price, perhaps because it was chosen following a competitive auction. It will buy a 20% stake, three-fifths in the form of new shares, and the rest from Olam' s founding family, at $2.75 a share. That' s an almost 55% premium to Olam' s market price before the announcement, implying a valuation of more than 16 times consensus earnings for the financial year to June 2016. That looks expensive when set against Olam' s five-year average multiple of just over 12 times forward earnings. Mitsubishi itself averages a little more than seven times over the same period. There are several mitigating factors, though. Collaboration should increase sales, although neither side will quantify the benefits. And if long-term projects start paying off, Olam' s earnings should in any case pick up sharply: forecasts for earnings per share two years hence are 47% above the current financial year. Olam differs from Noble in other ways, too. While sceptics are still attacking the latter' s accounts, the support of Singapore state investor Temasek has basically seen off the short-sellers who began circling Olam three years ago. Temasek' s continued presence as a majority investor, even after the Mitsubishi investment, provides extra reassurance. More generally, agricultural specialists have not suffered quite the maelstrom that has engulfed traders such as Noble which focus on industrial inputs like coal or copper. Look at the difference between Bunge &ndash whose shares are down 14% in a year &ndash and Glencore, down 59%. Noble has floated the idea of a new strategic backer. If it can pin one down on reasonable terms, that would be a useful step in its rehabilitation. But it looks like a harder sell than Olam. As at 4.14pm, Olam is down 1% to $2.05 while Noble is up 1.9% to 53 cents.
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sun233
Elite |
31-Aug-2015 19:08
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I totally agree. So I' m not the only one noticing that there is accumulating going on.Happy Trading.
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FATABA
Supreme |
31-Aug-2015 17:40
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I see that it is trying to accumulate below 2.10 Anyway , with all the past few days of news....this counter is worth far more than this price. The coming qtrs of result shld be better.
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sun233
Elite |
31-Aug-2015 16:47
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Odd, it' s quiet all day and yet at closing time thousands queue up. |
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kenkenken
Senior |
31-Aug-2015 11:58
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waiting for you to buy
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Maller
Elite |
31-Aug-2015 11:36
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Major investors willing to pay 2.75? With current price, wat are u guys waiting for?  |
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sun233
Elite |
30-Aug-2015 13:47
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Any news about new TP?   Brokerages or banks?   Not in town and have no access to papers. SINGAPORE: Japan' s Mitsubishi Corp will acquire a 20 per cent stake in Singapore-listed Olam International in two separate deals worth a total of S$1.53 billion. In a statement on Friday (Aug 28), the agri-business said it will issue 332.7 million shares to Mitsubishi at S$2.75 apiece, or about 12 per cent of the company' s enlarged share capital. Separately, the Japanese conglomerate will also acquire about 222 million secondary Olam shares from the founding members of the Kewalram Chanrai Group at the same price. The purchase price is at a 44 per cent premium to Olam' s last price before trading in its shares was halted on the Singapore Exchange early Thursday. After these transactions, Mitsubishi will become Olam' s second-largest shareholder with a 20 per cent stake after investment firm Temasek Holdings. The deal will also dilute Temasek' s stake in Olam to 51.4 per cent, from 58 per cent. Mitsubishi will also nominate up to two members to the Olam Board and will also have its members join Olam' s global management team, the statement added. Olam&rsquo s co-founder and CEO Sunny Verghese said: " We have been business partners for many years and share a lot of the same goals and beliefs about the future of our sector and the attractive long term prospects that it offers. I am confident that this partnership with Mitsubishi will provide several sources of synergy which will help accelerate Olam&rsquo s growth and harness its full potential." Olam and Mitsubishi are also in discussions to establish a joint venture in Japan to distribute specific products of Olam that can leverage on Mitsubishi' s strong distribution and retail presence.   NEWS KEEPS GETTING BETTER AND BETTER. |
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Observers
Elite |
28-Aug-2015 15:30
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Overall I think its a good idea to have Mitsubishi Corp having a substantial stake in Olam. Commodities business is very much a national strategic interest. Old commodity houses represents the western sphere. Noble is backed by China, and now Olam has Japan' s support. Perhaps the TPP is closer to fruition than many are going to expect. |
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FATABA
Supreme |
28-Aug-2015 13:10
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VIVI dont know why " You are not authorized to view this message. " on your PM to me> anyway your headline is note.  I view it positively as accumulation below the wall .
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vivivava
Veteran |
28-Aug-2015 12:59
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http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/262d4ac4-84bf-11e4-bae9-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3k53SNG2e Olam bgt ADM cocoa business in Dec 14 Cocoa Px was 2900.   Now Cocoa Px is 3114 7.3% up http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/%40CC.1 |
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vivivava
Veteran |
28-Aug-2015 12:51
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check your PM
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FATABA
Supreme |
28-Aug-2015 12:43
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ytoh...first thanks for the video ( b berg interview with Olam CEO) Some great key points about this win win deal ... 1. Good capital ( close to a $1B capital into Olam ...opportunity for other investment) 2. Japan EXCLUSIVE distributorship for olam ...wow this is a great market esp considering how tough to enter Japn market. 3. W MC help ....it also offer more and quicker in route to Africa and Asian ...where MC has strong position There is certainly a lot of value for MC to bid for this 20% share....at 2.75 Vested
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vivivava
Veteran |
28-Aug-2015 12:20
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having review the video..this is not a normal M& A deal. It is not done to align synegies but clearly a JV allowing both parties to enlarge their platform, mkts and growth.   So it is not a left pocket to right pocket thingy For MC, i think this is also a political element relating to the " freeing" of their protected mkts and yet still accruing benefits to Japanese corporations.   " Selected" Olam products are allowed to enter the Japanese mkts now 
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FATABA
Supreme |
28-Aug-2015 11:38
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Thanks good input .
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vivivava
Veteran |
28-Aug-2015 11:29
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Rice protection in Japan...slowly being lifted http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2014/10/21/national/rethinking-japans-rice-industry-farmers-retire-protection-remains/#.Vd_SBPmqqz0 It is estimated that ditching rice tariffs &mdash which can reach 778 percent &mdash would see local prices fall by about ¥ 341 per kilogram, according to the agriculture ministry. An average 5-kg bag in Tokyo costs from ¥ 1,500 to ¥ 2,000, up to three times the price of a comparable bag in Sydney, Bangkok or Beijing. MC and Olam have engaged in business for over 20 years and, in 2014, MC&rsquo s acquisition of an 80% share of Olam&rsquo s grains company in Australia and collaboration to manage that joint venture helped to further solidify the partnership. The current investment move is the result of a long-standing strategic partnership in the pursuit of continued growth over the medium to long term. MC acquiring Olam' s grain business is related to the easing of the protection.   MC will win win. Olam will benefit hugely as well getting access to the protected rice mkt in Japan. We all know that Japn is very much a protected mkt especially for agri products..so this is a huge opportunity for olam as well....win win overall and hence the premium they are willing to pay ..at least this way, MC still continue to gain despite pressures to open up mkt in japan as part of the TPP as well   |
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ytoh1688
Veteran |
28-Aug-2015 11:00
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One of the sources said Mitsubishi had done extensive due diligence and had also looked at other strategic investments before choosing Olam. The people declined to be identified as discussions were private. overpaying by Mitsubishi ??? hardly The price of $2.75 a share paid by Mitsubishi for the new stock represents a 29 per cent premium to the 2014 trading average of Olam. The Singapore company said in a presentation that the price was set " through a competitive bidding process." Other bidders weren' t disclosed. The Kewalram Chanrai Group was the founder of Olam in 1989. |
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ytoh1688
Veteran |
28-Aug-2015 10:44
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competitive bidding....there were many bidders and they only choose MC as a strategic partner. This is an indication of intrinsic value
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FATABA
Supreme |
28-Aug-2015 10:30
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Thanks,  this briefing....  " Recommendation and target price under review pending analyst briefing for more details on this JV." we were all have a better understanding of this deal and the benefit. ( dont know when and where...but reports will definately come abt) Whatever, its positive...there must be a lot of value and benefit for MC to pay this price. Further free float ( others ) is less then 20% ...with solid shreholders behind this counter.  It is not tough to see $3 after a few good Q results.    
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ytoh1688
Veteran |
28-Aug-2015 10:27
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Other adjacent business 
Cocoa Plant in Nigeria
Coffee Plantation in Brazil
Flour Products Marketed in West Africa
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