| Latest Forum Topics / China Sunsine |
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China Sunsine Chemical
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Mike12345
Member |
28-Nov-2018 15:36
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China Sunsine is up quite a-bit on good volume. Anyone know what' s happening - any news? | ||
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Mr_Anonymous
Member |
18-Nov-2018 18:47
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Rubber chemicals is very niche. Not only new car's tyres need rubber chemicals. old car's new tyres need, bicycle's tyres need. Heck even shoes also need. This could be the reason of the stabilisation of ASP | ||
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NewBirdLeaning
Senior |
16-Nov-2018 13:36
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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-11-16/china-fund-managers-don-t-hold-much-hope-for-xi-trump-g20-meet?srnd=premium China fund managers dont hold much hope for Xi Trump meeting |
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bicycle
Member |
16-Nov-2018 13:36
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I did picked up some last month, should have frozen the durian instead of eating it yesterday! haha. Probably can fetch 140-150/kg given the supply and demand now. |
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ash902
Veteran |
16-Nov-2018 12:20
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hope pple picked up some durians at that time. Price now still considered to be durian - given the valuation of the company.  DYODD!
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Mr_Anonymous
Member |
16-Nov-2018 11:57
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technically, chart pattern and px is strong too. market is realising china sunsine potential
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Mr_Anonymous
Member |
16-Nov-2018 11:55
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a classic case of market realised they have sold down a good stock recklessly. the business itself is semi defensive. even crisis, car still need tyres and with india increasing in automotive demand , more tyres are required l | ||
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sunview
Veteran |
16-Nov-2018 09:37
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Wow, what a " W" bottom ! Will it go all the way to $1.40. My bet is a consolidation first. |
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bicycle
Member |
15-Nov-2018 22:38
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I agree! The only issue right now is will GM hold up > 32% in Q4? Mkt sold down from $1.50 after CIMB report in Aug questioning ASP. It then got oversold in Oct because of world equities sold off. Now, the mkt seems to re-price in the stable ASP after recent result. But Q4 is about half done now. Unless the new capacity come online by next month, it' s tricky to say where the recovery will stall. In fact, I' m puzzled why mkt seems to be generous towards Best World than CS, which is a better company in my opinion. |
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Mr_Anonymous
Member |
15-Nov-2018 21:29
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china sunine is obviously undervalued la 1. pb 1.3 consider avg in industrial or cheap in manufacturing 2. pe 4.5 with avg 30% yoy growth track record. crazy! 3. net cash no debts 4. growth outlook is good with new plant and it is quite niche, semi defensive with lesser surprises plus a few potential catalyst to boost earnings 1. china govt recent commitment to support their economy through tax cut etc. 2. rmb drop against usd - Forex gain 3. automotive up cycle 4. material cost esp plunging oil prices - rubber from petroleum byproducts if not s-chip easily 2 or even 3 bucks china sunsine been v reliable since 2007, increasing divvy and even recent share buybacks shown the sell down was overreacting on asp. even their insider management like cfo also bought shares, still need to say what.. | ||
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mcampl
Member |
15-Nov-2018 14:48
Yells: "no discipline = gambling; discipline = investing" |
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Yes, I observed this too.. but I believe it' s more of a support level consolidation
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NewBirdLeaning
Senior |
13-Nov-2018 22:29
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It will go up and pull back then go up again. Stock dont continue going up. If you notice, huge volume today but there is no much movement on the price. It closed flat. If got profit better take, wait for pull back then u buy again and do this a few round, you dont need to wait till next year 1Q to get the profit. Anw, the TP in analyst report is like never accurate. | ||
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mcampl
Member |
13-Nov-2018 16:48
Yells: "no discipline = gambling; discipline = investing" |
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Best bet I' ve made in 2018 - got some at 0.935 and more at 1.00. Really strong fundamentals despite the global slowdown. Historical P/E is unbelivably low (~5), and margins remain strong. PS: Vested. TP: 1.60 - 1.63 by 19Q1 (apr 19) |
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UltraBoy
Member |
13-Nov-2018 11:36
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I expect S$1.60 before year end.  | ||
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sunview
Veteran |
13-Nov-2018 11:18
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I would say China Sunsine is really a gem among the S-chips. It has been profitable and has given out good dividend every year since its IPO in 2007.  It pays out about 20% of its profit as dividend, which translates to  a yield of about 3% to 4%. So far, it has not issued any rights or placement shares. It is in net cash. Its balance sheet indicates Net cash & equivalent of a RMB 822m as at the end of Sept 2018. This works out to be net cash per share of RMB1.674 (S$0.333). The stock is only trading at about 5 times historical PE. CIMB has an ADD rating and a target price of S$1.41 while Phillip has a BUY recommendation with a target price of S$1.68.  
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Sgvale
Supreme |
13-Nov-2018 10:19
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Recovering fast !! Good profitable Company. | ||
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sunview
Veteran |
08-Nov-2018 14:56
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Improving outlook on stabilising ASPs Upgrade to ADD with target price of S$1.41 (From CGS-CIMB) 3Q18 results slightly above expectations despite declining ASPs 3Q18 core net profit was Rmb143m (+85%yoy, -25%qoq) on the back of RMb776m in revenue. 9M18 net profit formed 86% of our full-year forecast, slightly above expectations as we anticipate declining ASPs and eroding gross margins into 4Q18F. The quarter also saw a FX gains of Rmb19.3m as Sunsine benefitted from the stronger US$ against the Rmb. Signs of ASPs stabilising in October offer some respite Sunsine saw lower qoq gross margins (32.7% in 3Q18 vs. 36.7% in 2Q18) largely due to lower overall ASPs for its rubber chemical products (-11% qoq). On a positive note, ASP for rubber chemicals have shown signs of stabilisation in Oct and management expressed optimism that gross margin could sustain above 30% for 4Q18F. ASPs could receive further boost from auto demand holding up While the decline in ASPs may have resulted from weaker demand from China tyre makers amid declining auto sales, the Chinese government is seeking to rev up the automobile market by halving taxes on car purchases. This could potentially boost demand from tyre makers that could indirectly support ASPs of rubber chemicals. Closer to getting approval for 13% expansion in capacity Management cited during the results briefing today that it is close to getting approval for the planned capacity expansion after obtaining necessary certifications pertaining to fire safety controls for the new 20,000-ton production lines. The new lines will expand Sunsine&rsquo s annual capacity to 172,000 tons and would provide an additional boost to sales volume for FY19F as Sunsine is already running at c.98% capacity utilisation. Upgrade from Hold to Add with unchanged TP of S$1.41 We think the negatives have been priced in following the c.30% decline in share price over the last 3 months. We thus upgrade our call to Add as we see declines in ASPs could possibly slow down ahead. Our TP remains unchanged at S$1.41, pegged to 7.7x FY19F P/E. The stock is currently trading at 5.7x FY19F P/E, c.30% discount to its rubber chemical peers. Re-rating catalysts could come from ASPs rebounding. Key risks include a sharper fall in ASPs and production halts amid stringent environmental inspections from the authorities. |
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handyman
Member |
07-Nov-2018 15:45
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3rd Q results announced on monday  5th nov after market closed.
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ronleech
Elite |
07-Nov-2018 13:45
Yells: "Believe in yourself. Ride with the waves......" |
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hmm... result still not announced... whats up.... looks like morning some ppl got news liao...bought up at opening | ||
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Aizai8
Member |
07-Nov-2018 11:00
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Global tire consumption is rising. Sunsine' s products are used by more than two thirds of tge Top 75 tire companies in the world. Sunsine has the money, land and infrastructures in place to expand its production capacities quickly. |
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