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Beng Kuang Marine
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whereru
Senior |
23-Mar-2022 06:04
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Please share which option you guys are choosing.... | ||||
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bystander1965
Supreme |
22-Mar-2022 19:12
Yells: "What I say is just my assessment. DYODD" |
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TBH I used to read his newsletter until the Mapletree saga which kind of made me question his analysis he got a bit emotional also. Haha. Can read for another angle of argument but take it with a grain of salt.  
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Wangderful10
Member |
22-Mar-2022 17:44
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Insightful analysis: https://financialhorse.com/mct-all-cash-offer-for-mnact-why-i-love-the-new-merger/ | ||||
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pasttime
Supreme |
22-Mar-2022 15:40
Yells: "gold silver are real money. not others iou." |
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the price up more likely due to hk gov annouce relax of covid-19 social distancing rule and open to travelers from apr etc. that has removed some doubt about the ability of retail chain survival even those listed food chain. indirectly a boost to mall from possible increased vacancy. removal of uncertainty is a boost to confident. many listed hk food business also enjoy some gain after the annoucement. |
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CheeryVGoh
Supreme |
22-Mar-2022 14:07
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Quarz : Do-Re-Mi .... Mi-Re-Do
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bystander1965
Supreme |
22-Mar-2022 09:32
Yells: "What I say is just my assessment. DYODD" |
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So for me, I have to go with MPACT also, just that my return suffers a bit (I mean dividend) at least in the short term. But overall, it' s still good, and just hope that MPACT will be much better than MCT or MNACT on its own.
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bystander1965
Supreme |
22-Mar-2022 09:30
Yells: "What I say is just my assessment. DYODD" |
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Actually to a layman like me, option 3 doesn' t really change anything. MCT has said before the offer price will not change unless MNACT unreasonably distributes its assets. Then distributing a normal div is really, normal. So by right or left, the market should price in the div and push the price beyond 1.1949, to 1.23 or 1.24 considering a 4 or 5c div is coming in Jun/Jul.  For some reason, the market decided it was not worth it. Now the cash option is put forward, suddenly the market loves it and decided to push it past 1.1949 yesterday. So in theory without the cash option, one is still getting the same thing. It' s just that it' s not foolproof cause everything else depends on MPACT' s price later. In the long run, I am very sure it will be fine. But for those who want out, maybe not until this cash option comes along, which IMHO still undervalues MNACT. Like I said, is there any difference in the first place? Apparently yes to Quarz. They have changed tune. BUT they are not exiting! They are going to go with MPACT. Funny.  
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xenon672
Member |
22-Mar-2022 01:28
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Also the possible DIVIDEND of say a Conservative $0.04 to $0.05 as this has not been mentioned as subtracted from the offer price so , holders can get a safe $0.04 to $0.05....to maybe even a later cash "scrap of the bottom of the barrel" on delisting...so a value of $1.27 is possible. DYOD.
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xenon672
Member |
22-Mar-2022 01:21
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It seems a look at the movements of MCT is necessary. It has still a lot of strength to move above $1.90..or even hover here, the MNAC shares can still be valued higher...above $1.23. Its no fluke...its that calculations based on the offer price /cash and the sentiments...AND still a long way to actual deal materialising...so, all things considered MNAC shares will be valued higher...so above $1.24 towards 1.29 even.
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bystander1965
Supreme |
21-Mar-2022 16:43
Yells: "What I say is just my assessment. DYODD" |
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Well first I would like to figure out why mnact shot to 123. Like this the deal will not go ahead IMHO. If that's the case I will hold onto my mnact even more.
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PhillipTan
Supreme |
21-Mar-2022 16:34
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$1.92 vs $1.23 If I have money, it makes more sense to buy MCT right? And if I am holding MNAC, it makes even more sense to sell MNAC to buy MCT right?   |
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bystander1965
Supreme |
21-Mar-2022 16:18
Yells: "What I say is just my assessment. DYODD" |
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1.23 touched. This was last Sep' s NAV I think. For some reason they decided to do another property valuation in Oct for this merger talk and the NAV dropped to 1.1949. I was telling myself if the Oct NAV was higher, we probably wouldn' t have heard about it. Conspiracy theorist at work. ![]()   |
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PhillipTan
Supreme |
21-Mar-2022 16:16
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If it falls through, maybe MNAC will drop back to 1.09 again  
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bystander1965
Supreme |
21-Mar-2022 15:51
Yells: "What I say is just my assessment. DYODD" |
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I suspect if the deal falls through, all MCT SH will rejoice and it will jump back to 2 in no time.
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CheeryVGoh
Supreme |
21-Mar-2022 15:48
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I bgt MCT at 1.89 this morning.
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bystander1965
Supreme |
21-Mar-2022 15:36
Yells: "What I say is just my assessment. DYODD" |
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So now the question is this run is due to short squeeze or the sh forcing the hands of MCT/mnact? 😁 I can hear ting ting ting tong into your Milo kong.🤪
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CheeryVGoh
Supreme |
21-Mar-2022 15:26
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Thanks for your advice. Huat ah !
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bystander1965
Supreme |
21-Mar-2022 15:23
Yells: "What I say is just my assessment. DYODD" |
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They did and they will have to. The merger is in June so apr-jun, they have to give out the div. I bought at 1.17 this morning my old batches average below 90.  
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bystander1965
Supreme |
21-Mar-2022 15:21
Yells: "What I say is just my assessment. DYODD" |
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But seriously the deal is not that good for MNACT. It is recovering. Why now? The sponsor owns both of course it will be happy. The worst part is why did MNACT agree to not seek from other buyers? It' s obviously not looking after MNACT SH' s interests but the sponsor' s. Granted there is benefit for the merger but in the immediate term, the MNACT SHs lose out.  
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CheeryVGoh
Supreme |
21-Mar-2022 15:19
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They didn' t annouce that there will be a clean up div fpr MNAC. You bought back MNAC at wht price?
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Conspiracy theorist at work. 
