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Latest Forum Topics / Venture    Last:17.45    +0.05  Post Reply
Venture
SgYuan
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09-May-2018 09:33     
 
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 Alert Admin 		EW 2125 w1 2229 w2? w3? w4? w5?
w1 104
w2 64 tgt 2165 dn 61.8%
w3 168 tgt 2333 up 161.8%
w4 64 tgt 2269 dn 38.2%
w5 104 tgt 2373 up 100%

Use as a guide of the flow.

gchan516      ( Date: 09-May-2018 09:24) Posted:

Wow ! spot on again !!!  yes

thank you very much for the continued update, Sir !  smiley

​ est w5 target ? think whilst on CD only will go up now ,,, short only after XD  

SgYuan      ( Date: 09-May-2018 09:01) Posted:

This is main w4.
Look like going to be a short one.
- reason is main w2 is a deep one.
- w2/w4 always opposite
Get ready for main w5 start
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gchan516
Master
09-May-2018 09:26     
 
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 Alert Admin 		hit 2229 (initial 2219)  smileyyes
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gchan516
Master
09-May-2018 09:24     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Wow ! spot on again !!!  yes

thank you very much for the continued update, Sir !  smiley

​ est w5 target ? think whilst on CD only will go up now ,,, short only after XD  

SgYuan      ( Date: 09-May-2018 09:01) Posted:

This is main w4.
Look like going to be a short one.
- reason is main w2 is a deep one.
- w2/w4 always opposite
Get ready for main w5 start.

gchan516      ( Date: 08-May-2018 16:03) Posted:

price action is similar to the first day of reversal ... keep soaking up and top up whatever seller throwing ... 
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SgYuan
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09-May-2018 09:01     
 
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 Alert Admin 		This is main w4.
Look like going to be a short one.
- reason is main w2 is a deep one.
- w2/w4 always opposite
Get ready for main w5 start.

gchan516      ( Date: 08-May-2018 16:03) Posted:

price action is similar to the first day of reversal ... keep soaking up and top up whatever seller throwing ... 

SgYuan      ( Date: 08-May-2018 15:48) Posted:

Px is holding very well above 2125.
Look like a w4.
This could mean w5 is ext EW on w4.
And u maybe right.
It may still got another wave w5 ext EW w5.


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Starship
Supreme
08-May-2018 19:33     
 
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 Alert Admin
Venture snaps back as ' true Valiant' confronts short-sellers
After tumbling 32 per cent in 10 days of panic selling, its shares end 5.36% higher it also buys back S$2.26m worth of its shares in the market
TUE, MAY 08, 2018 - 5:50 AM

Singapore

THE value chain intrigue at Venture Corp deepens, with some non-traditional sources framing the debate most fiercely inside the information void created by Venture' s firm refusal to give the market even the slightest glimpse into its top-secret customer relationships.

The shares gapped up at the open, closing a full S$1.05 or 5.36 per cent higher at S$20.65 as the bulls finally pulled off a short squeeze after two weeks of panic-selling.

Over the weekend, an online report from an anonymous writer offered an impassioned defence of Venture, arguing that it deserves to trade at a higher price-to-earnings ratio than other electronics manufacturing services (EMS) peers such as Hon Hai, given that Venture' s margins are top-of-the-class owing to its more diversified customer base.

With Venture keeping to its oath of EMS omerta and no sell-side analyst stepping up to refute the Valiant Varriors report directly, the masked writer of the weekend rebuttal signed off as " the true Valiant Warrior" , no less.

It' s no surprise that different people have very different ideas about what goes on behind Venture' s factory walls, given that Venture is notoriously secretive about its customer relationships.

http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/venture-snaps-back-as-true-valiant-confronts-short-sellers




 
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Starship
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08-May-2018 19:16     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Venture Corporation Ltd - Customer Diversity Remains A Key Cornerstone
Shared By Stock Fanatic on Tuesday, May 8, 2018 | 8.5.18

Venture&rsquo s stock price has retraced 29% from its peak, driven by slower-than-expected uptake in Philip Morris International (PMI)' s Reduced Risk Products (RRP)/investors' fear of " concentration risk" crimping Venture' s 2018 growth.

However, studying PMI' s past results gives us better sense of the degree of concentration risk. Our calculation indicate that given the 3.3m iQos devices PMI sold in 2017 (plus assuming COGS prices between 40-60% of retail prices) translates to revenue contribution no more than 6% of Venture' s 2017 revenue. Doubling these units for channel inventory still gives revenue concentration near to 125, far from the fearful 305 cited by investors. PMI had published that it was " supply-constrained" 2017 and planned a second supplier by early 2018 - i.e. these were planned transitions.

Reiterating Venture' s diversified customer base 
This calculation implies much less &ldquo concentration&rdquo risk than that feared. We believe Venture has a diversified customer base with more than 100 active customers, with only 1 customer above 10% (which has been the case since 2013), with its top 10 customers accounting for ~50% of group revenue. Historically, Venture has leaned on margins/reduced asset intensity/capex investments to drive profitability (rather than growing revenue).

1Q18 results: Strong margins drove profitability, NPAT growth 72% YoY 
NPAT margins 9.8% (1Q17: 5.8%) Neutralising impact from FX, we est. NPAT margins would hit double digits. 1Q18 cash conversion cycle was higher at 102 days (the last time it was at this level was in 3Q16). At the results briefing, this was alluded to higher inventory/raw materials in support of customer ramps in 2Q/3Q.

Implications
Venture continues to execute towards being a higher growth firm, with life science and industrial clients (that continue to exhibit growth across 2018). Venture' s continued growth coupled with its cash generative business model continues to like the stock. PER valuations now 9% discount to Singapore&rsquo s market average but with earnings growth at least twice better.  Ex-div date May 17th. 

Citigroup maintains BUY with TP S$31.74 unchanged.

Source : Citi Research
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Starship
Supreme
08-May-2018 18:06     
 
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 Alert Admin

Venture ventures to soothe unhappy investors...............................


General Corporate Information

In the past five years, Venture has consistently reported favourable financial performance every quarter and built a healthy balance sheet with a strong net cash position. The operational and financial achievements that Venture has recorded are judiciously built over many years of dedicated strategic planning and strong team work by the talents Venture has in the Company.

It is well known that our industry faces intense competition. It is therefore comprehensible that Venture, having built a robust business model, keeps its " trade secrets" very close to its heart. This is done for the benefit of all stakeholders including shareholders of the Company.  While Venture Management has kept a tight lip on customer-related and commercially sensitive information, it has shared its long-term strategic direction through published sources and at its quarterly results announcement. Moreover, the Company receives coverage from numerous independent equity research institutions that regularly provide their own research on the Company to the investment community. 

Within Venture, our people live and breathe a culture that strives for the relentless pursuit of excellence. Our TCS (" Total Customer Satisfaction" ) alliance philosophy empowers Venture to develop close collaborative partnerships with our customers, who are leaders in their respective domain of interests. As part of our business sustainability model, Venture has built a diversified customer-base with more than 100 meaningful customers. Many of Venture&rsquo s key customers are Fortune 500 and Tier-1 OEM and technology companies. In keeping with the NDA (&ldquo Non-Disclosure Agreement&rdquo ) entered into with its partners, Venture treats all customers' information with the strictest confidence. At the Group' s 1Q 2018 financial results briefing, Venture had however shared it has more than 100 active customers and the revenue range of the Top 10 customers to the Group. 

Venture continues to build on its achievements with plans to enhance its deep-bench engineering capabilities, innovative R& D strength and operational excellence. Venture&rsquo s core competencies and close collaboration with our partners have helped to capture differentiated and impactful value creation. The Venture team continues to amass knowledge to meet the dynamic and changing needs of its partners/customers and grow its technological diversity to build new and adjacent ecosystems. Venture has built a resilient and strong foundation. It continues to pursue a multiyear transformation aimed at advancing Venture&rsquo s position as a leading global provider of technology solutions, products and services.

Submitted by Angeline Khoo Cheng Nee,
Company Secretary,
on 8 May 2018 to the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited.

http://infopub.sgx.com/FileOpen/General%20Corporate%20Information.ashx?App=Announcement& FileID=504470
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gchan516
Master
08-May-2018 16:28     
 
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 Alert Admin 		hit suppply zone but buying still strong
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gchan516
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08-May-2018 16:03     
 
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 Alert Admin 		price action is similar to the first day of reversal ... keep soaking up and top up whatever seller throwing ... 

SgYuan      ( Date: 08-May-2018 15:48) Posted:

Px is holding very well above 2125.
Look like a w4.
This could mean w5 is ext EW on w4.
And u maybe right.
It may still got another wave w5 ext EW w5.


gchan516      ( Date: 08-May-2018 15:38) Posted:

my thoughts ....

​ 1) distribution going on ???
​ 2) w5 have not ended ? 
3) 21.30-3 support looks very strong ... holdong up ...

 


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SgYuan
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08-May-2018 15:48     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Px is holding very well above 2125.
Look like a w4.
This could mean w5 is ext EW on w4.
And u maybe right.
It may still got another wave w5 ext EW w5.


gchan516      ( Date: 08-May-2018 15:38) Posted:

my thoughts ....

​ 1) distribution going on ???
​ 2) w5 have not ended ? 
3) 21.30-3 support looks very strong ... holdong up ...

 

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gchan516
Master
08-May-2018 15:38     
 
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 Alert Admin 		my thoughts ....

​ 1) distribution going on ???
​ 2) w5 have not ended ? 
3) 21.30-3 support looks very strong ... holdong up ...

 
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SgYuan
Supreme
08-May-2018 13:22     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Congrats.

chenkhoon      ( Date: 08-May-2018 13:17) Posted:

Bought at $19 and sold at $21.60 .... Still got $20 on hand.
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chenkhoon
Senior
08-May-2018 13:17     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Bought at $19 and sold at $21.60 .... Still got $20 on hand.
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SgYuan
Supreme
08-May-2018 11:11     
 
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 Alert Admin 		This EW w1 to w5 complete.
- this is w3 of main EW, now return to main EW
EW 1893 w1 1985 w2 1957 w3 2106 w4 2049 w5 2161
Delta     92   28   149   57   112
%         30.4   161.8   38.2   121.7

Now return to main EW
- now on w4 tgt 2059
- then follow w5 tgt 2219
EW 1850 w1 2010 w2 1893 w3 2161 w4 2059 w5 2219 wa? 2120 wb? 2181 wc? 2082
Delta     160   117   268   102   160   99   61   99
%         73.1   167.5   38.2   100   61.8   61.8   100


gchan516      ( Date: 08-May-2018 10:21) Posted:

see if 21.25 can hold for continue rally else ....
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gchan516
Master
08-May-2018 10:21     
 
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 Alert Admin 		see if 21.25 can hold for continue rally else ....
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gchan516
Master
08-May-2018 09:49     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Thank you Sir :)  yes

​ what happens after w5 ? go down or up ? any projections ?

SgYuan      ( Date: 08-May-2018 09:27) Posted:

Open gap up created a spike.
w4 tgt 2049
- px hit 2051 and reverse.
w5 tgt 2141
- now on w5.

gchan516      ( Date: 08-May-2018 09:20) Posted:

where do we go from here ?
what does the Chart direction tell us to go


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T-Gunner
Member
08-May-2018 09:36     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Appreciate your update. Thank you.

SgYuan      ( Date: 08-May-2018 09:27) Posted:

Open gap up created a spike.
w4 tgt 2049
- px hit 2051 and reverse.
w5 tgt 2141
- now on w5.

gchan516      ( Date: 08-May-2018 09:20) Posted:

where do we go from here ?
what does the Chart direction tell us to go


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SgYuan
Supreme
08-May-2018 09:27     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Open gap up created a spike.
w4 tgt 2049
- px hit 2051 and reverse.
w5 tgt 2141
- now on w5.

gchan516      ( Date: 08-May-2018 09:20) Posted:

where do we go from here ?
what does the Chart direction tell us to go ?

SgYuan      ( Date: 07-May-2018 13:50) Posted:

No.
w3 tgt 2106
- hit 2100
w4 tgt 2049
- now here
w5 tgt 214
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hotelgrand
Master
08-May-2018 09:22     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Bottom at $20 based on latest buy back spending over $2m plus to buy 109000 shares ytday by co..Last time buy back was $8 & below..charts wise $20 ia also bottom so bounce up nicely

wannahuat94      ( Date: 08-May-2018 09:15) Posted:



Venture snaps back as ' true Valiant' confronts short-sellers

On Monday, Venture bought back 109,000 shares worth S$2.26 million from the market, the first share buyback it had done since July 2016

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/venture-snaps-back-as-true-valiant-confronts-short-sellers


daxdax18      ( Date: 07-May-2018 20:33) Posted:

Hiello, where did you get this info from ? thank
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gchan516
Master
08-May-2018 09:20     
 
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 Alert Admin 		where do we go from here ?
what does the Chart direction tell us to go ?

SgYuan      ( Date: 07-May-2018 13:50) Posted:

No.
w3 tgt 2106
- hit 2100
w4 tgt 2049
- now here
w5 tgt 2141

gchan516      ( Date: 07-May-2018 12:56) Posted:

Sir, do you mean cannot dip < 20.60 ? else will change to w4 Down correction


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