Latest Forum Topics /
YZJ Shipbldg SGD
Last:3.44
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KrisEnergy
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shangli
Supreme |
02-Jul-2018 13:21
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87 cents is half the value...80 cents is more than half
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shangli
Supreme |
02-Jul-2018 13:20
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hard to say will sink to 80 cents..half the value from year high | ||||
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idwish
Senior |
02-Jul-2018 13:19
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Ship sinked liao...... | ||||
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investshare
Supreme |
02-Jul-2018 12:13
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Chicken or egg first?
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wehuattogether88
Supreme |
02-Jul-2018 11:37
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It is a STI index stock, so will follow the index closely.
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investshare
Supreme |
02-Jul-2018 11:27
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The ship become submarine | ||||
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Sgvale
Supreme |
02-Jul-2018 11:13
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That's usual Trump tatic. Scare, threaten, reverse.
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Francisgohyc
Master |
02-Jul-2018 10:43
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Trading flat at 90-90.5 cents, everybody is waiting for Trade war tariff on the 6-7-18 It will be hay wire if on the 6-7-18 when US implement tariff on China Buy now win a lot or lose a lot on trade war, my opinoin is that Tariff will cancel off last minutes. US and China both will be badly hit if taroff is impose |
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trader25yr
Master |
01-Jul-2018 12:21
Yells: "I hate con man" |
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Expected YZJ 2Q 2018 Huge Profit 07Aug2018 (2 of 3: Forex Gain Profit) YZJ has US$ account+cash flow of US$635 million in 1Q 2018. US$ drop from RMB 6.50 at 31dec2017 to RMB 6.27 at 31march2018, so give a forex loss of RMB 141 million in 1Q 2018 result. 2Q 2018 Ship Building Profit = US$88 million (under-estimated) 2Q 2018 pay 4.5c dividend S$178.60 million and share buyback S$12.18 million = S$191 million = US$140 million So YZJ has US$ account+cash flow = 635 + 88 - 140 = US$583 million in 2Q 2018. US$ up from RMB 6.27 at 31march2018 to RMB 6.61 at 30june2018, so Forex Gain Profit = RMB 208 million in 2Q 2018 result. |
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Francisgohyc
Master |
01-Jul-2018 08:50
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If trade war didn't kick off, YZJ will go back to $1.10
Waiting for it to happen
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trademaster
Supreme |
01-Jul-2018 01:40
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This counter has been badly shorted. Shortists not yet covered. At this level, high risk to short now, so only longists buying, so downside limited. More likely to rebound strongly, when shortists cover. 92 when break will trigger shortists SL. Also, logically, Baltic Dry Index has been recovering well and on uptrend , should be good for shipping industry.  | ||||
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trader25yr
Master |
01-Jul-2018 01:04
Yells: "I hate con man" |
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Expected YZJ 2Q 2018 Huge Profit 07Aug2018 (1 of 3: Ship Building Profit) --------------------------------------------- Reported 04june2018 new US$578 million order for 2 small 7 big  ships. Small ships each US$25 million, so each big ship US$75  million. June2018 New order 2 x 2400 TEU container total US$0.058 billion  from SITC, 2 x 208,000 dwt large bulkers each US$0.0485 billion  x 2 = US$0.097 billion from New York-based Mangrove Parners, 2 x  82000 dwt bulker each US$27 million x2 = US$0.054 billion from    Mitsui & Co., Ltd. So YZJ 2Q 2018 new order = 0.578 + 0.058 + 0.097 + 0.054 = US$0.787 billion = US$787 million. 2Q 2018 Ship Building Revenue (Downpayment) = 10% x US$787  million = US$78 million at 10% downpayment --------------------------------------------- Reported 04june2018 delivered 8 small ship 10 big ships in  apr,may2018, june2018 delivered at least 1 small ship, so about  (9 x 25) + (10 x 75) = US$975 million. 2Q 2018 Ship Building Revenue (Delivered) = 50% x US$975 million  = US$487 million under YZJ progressing payment at least 50% on  delivery. --------------------------------------------- Minimum ongoing ship building each quarter is about 10 small  ships or more, each US$25 million, each 3 quarter or 9 month to  build. 2Q 2018 Ship Building Revenue (Ongoing) = 10% x 10 x US$25  million = US$25 million at 10% progressive payment. --------------------------------------------- 2Q 2018 Ship Building Revenue Total = Downpayment + Delivered +  Ongoing = 78 + 487 + 25 = US$590 million = RMB 3900 million  (under-estimated) **Under-estimated because 4Q 2017 YZJ delivered only 5 large  ships 1 small ship and Ship Building Revenue Total already RMB  4347 million** --------------------------------------------- YZJ profit margin small ship 10% to 30% big ship, so even using    lower 15% = 0.15 X US$590 million = US$88 million = RMB 584  million Ship Building Profit (under-estimated) at least at US$  6.61 RMB on 30june2018 book close. |
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trader25yr
Master |
30-Jun-2018 21:44
Yells: "I hate con man" |
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HK monday holiday close, YZJ has many China/HK players (that' s why H S hit B ull C report has more effect than other brokers), likely un-willing to hold over their long week end in such time so likely they are the ones selling friday last half hour ...  US wednesday holiday close also, its like that ... S' pore holiday, S' pore kana ![]() HK holiday,  S' pore kana,  HK kana ![]() US holiday,  S' pore kana,  HK kana, US kana ![]()   |
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wehuattogether88
Supreme |
30-Jun-2018 20:06
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July & Aug are both quarterly announcements month. Both should go up due to better results I think but becos YZJ more volatile & price had been press down a lot and so should have more upside potential.
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shangli
Supreme |
29-Jun-2018 17:05
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last minute lou sai | ||||
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satruz
Master |
29-Jun-2018 16:35
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Wanted to buy some but I see him spend so much time hard-selling this counter until I also dun dare to buy lolx![]()
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wehuattogether88
Supreme |
29-Jun-2018 16:29
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Did you invest a lot in YZJ?
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trader25yr
Master |
29-Jun-2018 16:09
Yells: "I hate con man" |
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No worry ... can be those buy below 0.91 taking profit before week end ... buying interest is high at 0.915 although now sell queue longer than buy queue. Next week jul2018 institute FM back from holiday / world cup and start new half year, they look at the 30 stocks in STI, StarHub drop most and cheapest but they see the pay TV dying they pass StarHub ... next drop most is YZJ, then they see the buyback,  see US$ up big big vs RMB, see the new orders, see all the 10+/- big ships delivered in 2Q2018, they will see the record profit coming in early aug2018, and it will be Buy Buy n Buy ... |
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Francisgohyc
Master |
29-Jun-2018 15:59
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Trading at 91  / 91.5cents the whole day. Funny game .......sian Hope next week Donald Trump do not increase Tariff on the 6-7-18. If not the whole stock market collapse again HSBC report is shit and make this counter become shortist counter, only panic selling It should be a good company since they are able to give good dividend every year  
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andyteoch
Member |
29-Jun-2018 15:47
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More orders for YZJ. https://worldmaritimenews.com/archives/255741/sitc-orders-two-containerships-from-yangzijiang/   |
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