| Latest Forum Topics / Asian Pay TV Tr |
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Asian Pay Tv Tr
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TMW1986
Master |
22-Mar-2017 07:47
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Slowly ba. alot of short sellers around. Nevertheless, if APTV can continue to give 6.5 cents dividends, why not? Just take the dividends and chillax one corner. Eventually this stock will reach its fair value ba. We shall see the next few quarters ba.
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Just4win
Supreme |
16-Mar-2017 09:10
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You are indeed a very cautious and patient investor.  Hope APTT will not disappoint you !
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Monkeysee
Member |
16-Mar-2017 00:34
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Wah wah wah is like sliding down... Omg 50c also hard to reach some even say 60c... | ||||
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jeremyow
Master |
15-Mar-2017 22:50
Yells: "Passionate business investor" |
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Thanks Sheerluck! Thanks too for your good inputs on APTT! :)
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sheerluck
Supreme |
15-Mar-2017 21:05
Yells: "Work for your money first then let your money work for you" |
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That' s a pretty nice write up you did. The intangible license will not be an issue until it become an issue.   What can casue that scenario?   For example, a lot of traditional businesses are now facing stiff competition from " disruptive technologies" .   They can descend on these businesses so fast that there left them little time to react.   APTT business model will be defendless against such advencement in technologies.   When will such thing happen, we do not know.   But we can definitely keep track of these following for near term trend: - subscription rate.   Frankly, you know if this move it is always in one direction -> down. - subscriber growth rate.   This is the only bit that can help to lift up or maintain the revenue stream. - NT to SGD exchange rate since distribution is in SGD.   But so doesn' t seems like a big issue. Too bad the Greater Taichung expansion hasn' t bear fruit.   This is the one catalyst to look for.  
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jeremyow
Master |
15-Mar-2017 20:39
Yells: "Passionate business investor" |
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You are welcomed Just4win! I am still not vested in APTT yet but it is under my watchlist. At the moment, I am interested in how their cash flows pan out this year. I usually research even companies that I am not vested in but which draws my attention. I have also researched other companies which are overseas based such as Apple Inc., Wells Fargo Bank and Nestle Malaysia Berhad. By building a research base of potential companies for investment, one can understand the history and progress of the company and capitalise on the opportunity when share prices are undervalued to invest. Of course, not all companies under my watchlist I will eventually invest, but having such a watchlist allows me to always have more investment candidates to consider. :)
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Just4win
Supreme |
15-Mar-2017 16:44
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Thanks, Jeremy, for the great sharing. Just curious, are u vested in this counter ?
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shares69
Member |
15-Mar-2017 16:42
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dividend.sg |
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zappyzappy
Member |
15-Mar-2017 16:40
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Bro and sis
Where can I refer for the xd & CD date of previous and incoming stock ? |
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jeremyow
Master |
15-Mar-2017 11:50
Yells: "Passionate business investor" |
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Thanks Morello! 
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jeremyow
Master |
15-Mar-2017 11:48
Yells: "Passionate business investor" |
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It would be true if APTT does not grow its distributable cash flows anymore in future or even see declines in its distributable cash flows in future. Then we would see the current accumulated deficit on its balance sheet of which mainly consists of total distributions made so far keep increasing and unitholders' equity value keep decreasing. This will then become a case of taking unitholders' capital and slowly redistributing it back to them as distributions as the cash flows of APTT' s business operations cannot adequately sustain the distributions made to their unitholders. Then the unit price of APTT will also decrease in future if its cash flows continue not to be able to sustain its distributions made to its unitholders. So, the critical key is still in their free cash flows. And to be able to grow their free cash flows, it will really be a real test on the management' s business acumen, quality and every decision making. If they can grow their free cash flows going forward, then it is good news for their unitholders. If not, it will potentially decrease the unit price of APTT further and distributions made to their unitholders. Then, APTT will not be a good investment proposition going forward. Let' s watch their cash flows this year to see how they perform.      
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Morello
Veteran |
15-Mar-2017 11:28
Yells: "In it for the long haul" |
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well written
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jeremyow
Master |
15-Mar-2017 11:26
Yells: "Passionate business investor" |
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You are welcomed pinkowl! 
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pinkowl
Supreme |
15-Mar-2017 11:24
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Thanks for summarising. Good stuff as always, and I agree with all the points made. 
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brchkho1
Master |
15-Mar-2017 11:18
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The way I look at this counter, if invest in it for long term,   it' s just like you placed an FD and keep on withdrawing the principal in smaller sum (the dividend)  thinking it' s your interest earned. |
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jeremyow
Master |
15-Mar-2017 10:59
Yells: "Passionate business investor" |
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For APTT, a more sustainable level is to give out lesser distributions per unit as what some of us have suggested maybe around 4.5 cents. As for the intangible assets, I think there is no need for investors to keep harping on the fact that APTT has most of its assets in the form of intangible assets. Unless one suspects that APTT is a company of dubious quality like some of those S-chips that have reported fradulent financial statements, then one should worry that most of the reported assets which is in intangible form may have accounting irregularities, and APTT may not even have such reported value of its intangible assets such that it is but only an empty shell.  However, based on its operating history so far, it is unlikely that this company is of a dubious origin as there are certainly due diligence made by consortium of banks during past and recent refinancing of APTT' s debts. Also there were exchanges between APTT with Taiwan authority NCC. And recently, there is a take over of the manager by Mr Lu. All evidences do not point to APTT as a company of dubious origin.  And most importantly of all, APTT is going to be in their businesses for the long haul. They have spent huge amount of capital expenditures to upgrade their network, so they are going to be in the same businesses for the long haul unless they are not able to continue operations due to unforeseen circumstances. So, if they are not winding down anytime soon and sell off their operating licences, why must we keep harping on the value of its intangible assets?  As for their total debts, it is certainly not a small amount running into close to SGD 1.3 billion. These debts will be due around 2019. I think the business model of APTT is to roll over their debts through refinancing. They are unlike REITs whereby a REIT can consider selling off part of their properties at a profit to recycle some funds back for operating capital needs, to reward their unitholders with capital distribution or to pare down their debts and reduce gearing.  I do not see the same in APTT selling off part of their intangible assets as there maybe certain regulations by the local Taiwan authority governing the sale and transfer of licences. I also cannot imagine APTT doing that because these intangible assets are exactly what it needs to be able to function and continue its operations. This is certainly different from REITs whereby they can sell part of their underperforming assets (properties) or even properties which are overvalued to recycle capital to pare down debts and gearing.  For APTT, its distribution guidance is to distribute 100% of its distributable cash flows. Thus, for an investor, what' s important is that APTT can sustain its distributions with its cash flows going forward. If it is able to manage its cash flows well to sustain its distributions going forward, then there should not be refinancing issues down the road as the banks will assess APTT' s strength of businesses and cash flows to decide whether to do refiancing of APTT' s loans few years down the road. I doubt these debts will be reduced anytime soon this year as APTT is still on its capital expenditure for the upgrading of its networks.  However, the management forecast and guidance is pretty confident that they can continue to provide 6.5 cents of distributions from their cash flows this year 2017 same as last year. Their financial results last year shows slight decrease y-o-y on all fronts to their revenue, operating income, operating margin, and average revenue per user (ARPU) on their basic cable TV, premium digital cable TV and broadband. However, their number of subscribers on all three business segments have increased slightly. Seems that there is keen competition in the Taiwan' s TV and broadband space. Let us see how things pan out for their financial results for this year 2017.          
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Morello
Veteran |
15-Mar-2017 09:51
Yells: "In it for the long haul" |
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ha why wud i want to teach u anything?  u come here to sing yr tune when u don' t know half of what ur singing and as far as i' m concerned ur an ingrate also.  Other than that ur probably under-funded and r out to talk down others' investments. so as i said earlier, u got no angle and no money.....scramper away...
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justinN
Member |
15-Mar-2017 01:41
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LOL. Talk bird and sing song again. Don't try to act smart and teach everyone about investing.
Enuff said. Pls stay on the facts and main topic of APTT, otherwise feel free to keep your great teachings to yourself.
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Morello
Veteran |
15-Mar-2017 00:41
Yells: "In it for the long haul" |
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don' t need to tell u anything lah.  Investing u find yr own angle, invest if u like and have the money.  If not, just scamper. |
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justinN
Member |
15-Mar-2017 00:34
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Let me know if you know any companies with such high debt and still doing well after a few years. 99% of such companies eventually all gone case, cos cannot sustain.  |
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