Nomura cut its target price on Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX) to S$7.60 from S$9.40 and maintained its 'neutral' rating, saying that the bourse operator's sluggish revenue momentum is expected to continue.
SGX shares were unchanged on Thursday morning. The stock has risen 13.5 percent so far this year versus a 16 percent gain in the broader Straits Times Index.
Nomura said the drop in its target price was mainly to reflect lower expectations for SGX's securities average daily value traded (DVT) to S$1.3 billion ($1.04 billion) from S$2.0 billion. It added that DVT will have to recover above S$1.5 billion to support a re-rating.
But SGX is diversifying its revenue base in terms of products and geographies, Nomura said, adding that potential tie-ups with other bourses could generate upside to revenue.
0950 (0150 GMT) (Reporting by Eveline Danubrata in Singapore [email protected]) ($1 = 1.2517 Singapore dollars)
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superoldfart
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28-Aug-2012 20:12
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Published August 28, 2012
SGX, Shandong Finance Office signs listing MOU
By
Singapore Exchange (SGX) signed on Tuesday a listing memorandum of understanding (MOU) with the Shandong Finance Office. The latter is the government body responsible for driving financial development of Shandong province in China, and helps businesses in their structuring and fundraising plans. Under the agreement, both parties will work together to develop communication channels, foster continued ties in areas including information exchange and the listing of more Shandong companies on SGX. At present, 17 of the 144 Chinese companies listed on SGX originate from Shandong. " We look forward to a closer working relationship to help more Shandong companies understand our market environment and offering so as to enable them to tap the Singapore capital market," said SGX head of listings Lawrence Wong of the new agreement to encourage more Chinese companies to list on SGX. |
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superoldfart
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28-Aug-2012 15:42
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DJ MARKET TALK: JPM Advises Long SGX, Short HKEx, Eyes 10% Upside 0624 GMT [Dow Jones] JPMorgan advises long Singapore Exchanges (S68.SG) / short HKEx (0388.HK) trade, for 10% upside in a 4-6 weeks time. It expects SGX to outperform HKEx over next 4-6 weeks for three reasons: trading volumes at SGX are up 18% in last three months, while down 33% at HKEx SGX share price is factoring in 11% lower volumes vs 30-day moving average turnover, while HKEx is factoring in 20% higher than current volumes, and " we think street expectations for 2012 HKEx earnings are at higher risk of downgrades." JPM adds, the HKEx/SGX price ratio is at 15.45X right now, which it expects to move down to 14X, with a stop loss at 16X. HKEx is down 0.8% at HK$106.00. ([email protected]) |
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superoldfart
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23-Aug-2012 22:16
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Uncle comment: Nomura always behind the curve with SGX n KepCorp. Always call sell when stock starts going up, say all the bad things, then after stock go up alot n price peak, change to buy call, say all the good things. Then stock price go down alot. Sometimes uncle feel as if certain house traders may influence research to issue a sell call, then house traders accumulate stock when retailers sell, then ramp up, later on somehow a buy call issued when price gone up a lot...... Nothing is so straight forward in the markets, many tricksters around. The things nomura say abt SGX, who doesn't know alrdy? Question is, r these things discounted in the price, and is the situation getting better from here onwards? Uncle's opinion is 'yes'. Many, many times, uncle made big money buying n holding stocks while houses call sell on them. |
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superoldfart
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23-Aug-2012 22:05
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STOCKS NEWS SINGAPORE-Nomura cuts SGX target to S$7.60 Reuters – 12 hours ago
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superoldfart
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23-Aug-2012 22:01
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SGX expecting some big ticket IPOs
SINGAPORE: Singapore Exchange CEO Magnus Bocker said he expects a few big ticket initial public offerings (IPOs) to come into Singapore for the rest of 2012. |
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iPunter
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13-Aug-2012 22:49
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As long as peolpe are willing to believe, no one can blame any guru, or teacher, or whatever... As long as people like to believe, even though it is pure nonsense, they can't blame anyone. The weakest trait of many humans is they just like to believe in something... esp. what they like...  .
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superoldfart
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13-Aug-2012 22:41
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Regarding whether SGX will go down after ex-div middle next month, uncle prob take a wait n see attitude first. Uncle don't mind holding SGX as long as think can go higher. If general market is getting better, SGX might go up continue into next year. Maybe next year SGX above $10. If so, throw next month may miss out if don't buy back. Usually uncle try hold on to stock until some point where uncle think market or stock have potential to reverse so much that uncle not willing to hold n ride thru correction n uncle want to crystallize profit first. Let's say SGX go to $10-11 in 2013, then look like general market correction come. If SGX up $5 from $6 bottom to $11, easily can fall back $2-3 or more. Since uncle hold 300+ lots, $3 pullback is $900K lost. No point to hold thru such a loss. Uncle say: when to sell is an art, when to buy is an art. Don't ever follow Warren Buffet who tell u don't try to time market. U must always try to time market. Maybe u don't succeed sometimes, but does not mean u must not try. In fact, uncle give honest opinion, Warren Buffet teaching poison investment hopes of many young sinkaporean investor. They all start follow Buffet style, after 5-10 years lose money/never make money, give up never invest again. Just buy property and keep FD in bank. Say buy shares sure lose money one. Don't know if Warrren teach wrong thing on purpose so he can chiak u or maybe it just work for him but cannot work for average investor. Uncle know Warren Buffet style will never work for uncle. |
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Young_man
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13-Aug-2012 22:33
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Uncle is still uncle, experience beats talent! I have been bite before last year August during the America crisis, cut loss and lost 1k. After that don't dare to touch share for one whole year. But during this one whole year, i have been observing the market closely and decided to come back to market during late June 2012. Currently trying to learn shorting! so in the event if the financial crisis hit, i will quickily cut loss and play shorting (reverse gear). No matter market good or bad there is always opportunity! Is whether you have the knowledge to take advantage of it and have the guts to continue to play with what you believe will happen! Still have alot to learn from Uncle old fart. My journey is still very long...
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superoldfart
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13-Aug-2012 20:55
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Well said, young man! When you young man, gun very powderful but sometimes fire target miss one, becos experience no enuh. When you old man your gun not so powderful, but accurate jun jun, becos more experience. Fire target sometimes hit bullseye! Uncle remember play shares in 80s, 90s, early 2000, make $$$ like hell, but when market start vomit blood, must quickly run road or else lose like hell also. Secret how to make money in investment, is not how to leverage, what financial degree u have, but is: 1) know when to cut loss(even if very painful), 2) know when u must not touch(even if everyone say good) If u don't know, don't touch. This super important basic of investment sial. This one no school teach u. Even u scholar u gangan chiong u also die die one if u don't follow this basic rule, sial. Last time see so many uncle aunty kenah persuaded by bank manager use life-saving buy lehman minibond, pinnacle note all these kind of rubbishes. Every week bank manager call up uncle ask uncle buy Minibond, equity/currency-linked notes etc etc. Uncle always say no politely. They say, capital back guaranteed. Uncle say, young lady bank manager, please dont talk kork. No such thing capital back guaranteed unless sinkapore gahment promise capital back. Then even no money can print money return capital sial. Then subprime come, Lehman busted, all the minibond, pinnacle note suddenly become zero. Good thing many old folks got return money by bank or else lose life savings--then how? Cry and jump off flat? Or complain Tan Kin Lian website, Temasek Review website n vote Worker's Party? Some old folks don't eat lunch, save money, don't take MRT walk save money, now suddenly lose all lifesavings few 100K like dat sial. Why? Becos they never follow investment basic. If u don't know, don't touch. Never mind bank manager say capital guaranteed back plus high interest. If u lose money will bank manager pay u? Many bank also make these chaokar product becos want to pass risk to u(retail customer). U think bank want to help u? Fren, bank to squeeze u dry! Bank is not yr fren, ok!!!! Next, always cut loss. If your investment wrong, must know how to throw, whether is property or shares. The faster u throw the better. Painful nevermind. Cut loss always is risk like buy one. Sometimes turn out wrong. Price recover go up higher, u cut loss for nothing, bang balls one. But when u don't cut loss one day u kenah subprime or asian crisis, yr investment jatoh 90% n never recover, or u forced to sell at bottom cos cashflow problem. Some gullible youngster say Warren Buffet teach u don't cut loss if yr investment is fundamentally sound, don't try to time market, etc. But I see Warren Buffet everytime try to time market but only sometimes successful. Also how u know yr investment is fundamentally sound? Maybe u made mistake? U r not Warren Buffet. U r just Joe Sinkapore, ok? Cut loss there protect yr capital, even u make mistake u won't die. That is logic of cutting loss. Even u don't now why u wrong, u sure u r right, even more u must cut loss. That's why all the youngster I see follow Warren Buffet as role model, not ONE ever made money in stockmarket. Uncle say: investment lifelong journey one, so many things can learn, so many interesting round to play, better than gambling horse, go geylang, call underage escort.....all these cannot fight " game of investment" . Is for sure, most challenging game in the world. When u got it right, u make so much money u also dunno what to do with it(uncle pay off all bank loans on uncle's properties--no debt), when u lose, the most chiobu escort jump on your lap u also no mood do anything, horse stay in starting gate sial. Hope all young men n young ladies have good investment this round. Cheers! |
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Young_man
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11-Aug-2012 00:13
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Hi uncle old fart, have been following sgx since enlighten by you words "when you say market will not be forever be down, one day sgx will be good again" and I decide to enter sgx at 6.48. I must say, ginger is still old better haha. Anw I think after ex div, I believe sgx will come down again during December. Can cash out b4 ex div and enter again at dec at lower price
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wanglausern
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10-Aug-2012 17:47
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Don'ch need $17.90 lah......got 10 bucks I sor stomach liao.
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superoldfart
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10-Aug-2012 17:43
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Uncle waiting waiting see how Far East Hospt Trust IPO n Berjaya Sports Toto IPO affect volume n sentiment. SGX priceaction looks steady....many uncle n auntie starting interested buy SGX, but still hesitant to buy sial....I olledy buy 5 lot for my grandson....I tell him gangan safe at this price, also got one siaobeh inside SGX called Magnus Prime, like " Optimus Prime" in his favorite movie " Transformer" --this one sometimes do " Buyserker" , sometimes save earth one...... Uncle wonder if we have a better market, will SGX ever go back to its high of $17.90 before subprime crisis sial....... |
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wanglausern
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10-Aug-2012 17:23
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Resistance at 6.82 break liao and it's brewing with improved daily turnover. Above 7 bucks is around the corner.
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superoldfart
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06-Aug-2012 03:58
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Published August 04, 2012
Large listings boost SGX's turnover in July
But outlook for the rest of 2012 remains uncertain, say analysts
By
 MAJOR CONTRIBUTOR Among the big IPOs last month was the dual-listing of IHH Healthcare, owner of Mount Elizabeth Novena Hospital, in Malaysia and Singapore - PHOTO: BLOOMBERG LARGE initial public offerings (IPOs) gave the market a much-needed jolt of energy in July, raising securities turnover at Singapore Exchange (SGX) after a dismal June, according to the latest market data. But analysts warn that the outlook for the rest of 2012 remains uncertain as global uncertainties continue to chill markets around the world. The daily average value of securities traded on SGX in the 22 trading days of last month rose 19 per cent from June to $1.2 billion, according to data by the exchange. Year on year, securities' daily average value was nevertheless down 14 per cent. Average daily trading volume was up 33 per cent month on month to 1.6 billion shares, which was a 30 per cent year-on-year increase. July turnover velocity, a closely watched indicator of liquidity by SGX that adjusts trading value for market capitalisation, improved from June's 40 per cent to 46 per cent, but continued to lag the 49 per cent velocity from a year earlier. Phillip Research analyst Ken Ang attributed the spike in July to large listings, such as IHH Healthcare's US$2 billion dual-listing in Malaysia and Singapore. " I believe it's largely due to the new big IPOs that we have seen in July that trading activity increased and therefore led to the increase in securities (daily average value)," Mr Ang said. But he was not confident that the market will continue to enjoy an IPO boost. " In terms of IPOs, these are dependent on market conditions, and companies want to list at an ideal time whereby there's high interest from the market," Mr Ang said. " Right now, the situation is still a little shaky. I think it may be unlikely for us to see numerous big IPOs in the coming months." The overall trading environment is also weak with macroeconomic concerns leading the headlines. " Moving forward, the outlook is rather uncertain due to the lack of catalyst given that the macroeconomic environment is still relatively uncertain," Mr Ang said. " Many of the initiatives that SGX has been introducing will require more time for it to increase SDAV. . . I'm of the view that eventually SDAV will improve, but it may need more time. With most global exchanges similarly experiencing a drop in trading activities, an improvement in the global economy may be required for SDAV to improve." The derivatives market continued to show year-on-year improvement, although the monthly comparison suggested a slight slowdown. Average daily trading volume of derivatives on SGX was 270,798 contracts in July, up 7 per cent year on year but down 14 per cent against June. Although securities revenues still surpass derivatives business for SGX, that segment has been slowing gaining share for the bourse. " We expect derivatives to continue its growth," Mr Ang said. " Increasingly, SGX is growing its presence, and also is introducing a wide variety of products which are gaining traction in the market. " For example, if you look at the numbers, there's been quite a bit of growth for derivatives over the last few quarters. There are areas where SGX is growing relatively strong at, like OTC iron ore swaps." |
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wanglausern
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06-Aug-2012 03:17
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With all the good news SGX shud open in 6 hrs' time with a big bang! SGX cheong argh!
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TradeChancellor
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06-Aug-2012 01:58
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looks like a mini up trend mirroring STI but got resistance at around $6.80 - $6.82... in this climate, good to quick-in quick-out | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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AK_Francis
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06-Aug-2012 01:51
Yells: "Happy go lucky, cheers." |
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superoldfart
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06-Aug-2012 01:18
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SGX july market stats not bad. If got a few IPOs every month(this month got some coming), volume pickup might sustain at a higher level liao. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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superoldfart
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01-Aug-2012 23:50
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Uncle is vested so maybe biased, but share look quite resilient. Go down but come back up....now we wait for sgx monthly stats next week. See how price reacts. Hear more IPOs coming, M'sia want to list Berjaya Sports Toto here sial under biz trust like Hutchison Port sial.....if market supported here, think 7.50 easily achievable | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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superoldfart
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01-Aug-2012 23:44
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