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Latest Forum Topics / Falcon Energy  Post Reply
FALCON ENERGY - UNDERVALUED WINNER TOP STOCK PICK
kangaroo11
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30-Oct-2017 09:07     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Early morning top volumn liao... Hot stock of the day! Lol
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danger
Supreme
30-Oct-2017 08:56     
 
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 Alert Admin 		That is what i said last friday when 7.1/7.2 price gave way .......

danger      ( Date: 27-Oct-2017 16:20) Posted:

support broken ... ruuunnnnn
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ruready
Supreme
30-Oct-2017 08:19     
 
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Yells: "Follow the micro penny , May be this is the last train"
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 Alert Admin 		Oil price up VS BAD RESULT , 
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kangaroo11
Veteran
29-Oct-2017 23:39     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Har... keep so long, wait got mound liao!
Adversity = Opportunities
Tomorrow short big big huat big big?

AndyLoss      ( Date: 29-Oct-2017 22:25) Posted:

don' t think we can get 0.060.. tomorrow.. so hold for another 1 year... let' s discuss in 2019 :)

kangaroo11      ( Date: 29-Oct-2017 22:14) Posted:

Good. So how, short tomorrow
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kangaroo11
Veteran
29-Oct-2017 23:27     
 
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 Alert Admin

Employment in the global oil and gas sector set to rise for the first time in four years



Employment prospects in the global oil and gas sector appear to be on the up for the first time since the oil price crash of 2014.

New research suggests more new jobs will be created than lost in the coming 12 months, with almost 60 per cent of employers expecting to recruit " significantly" .

http://www.insider.co.uk/news/employment-global-oil-gas-sector-11414323
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kangaroo11
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29-Oct-2017 23:25     
 
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ExxonMobil' s oplans to boost capex in 2018

Bolstered by higher crude oil prices, up roughly $6.50/b from Q3 2016, lower operating expenses and higher realizations, Exxon Mobil plans to increase its capital and exploration spending to about $25 billion in 2018, up from an estimated $17 billion this year, he said. Exxon Mobil' s capex was nearly $14.1 billion through the first nine months of this year, down nearly $400 million from the first three quarters of 2016.

https://www.platts.com/latest-news/oil/washington/exxonmobils-output-climbs-as-it-plans-to-boost-21381654
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AndyLoss
Master
29-Oct-2017 22:25     
 
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 Alert Admin 		don' t think we can get 0.060.. tomorrow.. so hold for another 1 year... let' s discuss in 2019 :)

kangaroo11      ( Date: 29-Oct-2017 22:14) Posted:

Good. So how, short tomorrow?

Berani      ( Date: 29-Oct-2017 21:55) Posted:

maybe tomorrow 0.03.. who knows.
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kangaroo11
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29-Oct-2017 22:14     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Good. So how, short tomorrow?

Berani      ( Date: 29-Oct-2017 21:55) Posted:

maybe tomorrow 0.03.. who knows..

BBBulll      ( Date: 29-Oct-2017 21:45) Posted:

Tmr big crash. Another bankrupt oil and gas company.
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AndyLoss
Master
29-Oct-2017 21:56     
 
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 Alert Admin 		0.05 :)

Berani      ( Date: 29-Oct-2017 21:55) Posted:

maybe tomorrow 0.03.. who knows..

BBBulll      ( Date: 29-Oct-2017 21:45) Posted:

Tmr big crash. Another bankrupt oil and gas company.
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Berani
Elite
29-Oct-2017 21:55     
 
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 Alert Admin 		maybe tomorrow 0.03.. who knows..

BBBulll      ( Date: 29-Oct-2017 21:45) Posted:

Tmr big crash. Another bankrupt oil and gas company.
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BBBulll
Senior
29-Oct-2017 21:45     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Tmr big crash. Another bankrupt oil and gas company.
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AndyLoss
Master
29-Oct-2017 19:38     
 
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 Alert Admin 		is it going to fall same as Triyards  ? 
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sheerluck
Supreme
29-Oct-2017 16:09     
 
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Yells: "Work for your money first then let your money work for you"
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 Alert Admin 		FEG reported a total of US$162 mil losses for FY17.
The following are the three big ticket items:
1.  Impairment of PPE  $74mil (close to my estimate of US$75mil as already mentioned can used CHO impairment as guide)
2.  Lossed from Rig - US$50mil     
3.  Losses from non-comtrolling interest $S40 mil (already mentioned FEG will recognise this losses from sale of CHO shares)

Item 1 and 3 are easily known.  For item 2, last FY Annual report, one can find FEG has advanced US$25mil to its assoc for the rig urchase.  Since then, FEG have advanced another US$25mil for a total losses of US$50mil.

Cashflow wise, cash from operation showed another of US4mil losses.  Last quarter FEG OCF is -US$5mil.  If this trend carriess on, FEG will not be able to service its obligation without additional loan.

Total debt is still high at US$172mil.  However, as equity has dropped so much, net gearing jumped from 0.6 times to a whooping 1.25 times.  FEG might has great difficulty in getting more bank loan and may be looking at shareholder' s pocket for funding.

NAV dropped from US34cts (SG48cts) to US16cts (SG22cts).

Lastly, FEG commentary on outlook is less than encourgaing.  Obviously it is not seeing taking the opportunity to use " oil is  aboveUS$60" to entice innocent people.  Their commentary clear suggest that external factors (eg, more contracts or oil price) is not going to be a grear help to heir business and is relying on itself being more lean.

Next quarter can see some further impairments of its office sale and some further repayment of bank loan.

Let see how market judge it tml.

sheerluck      ( Date: 19-Sep-2017 14:15) Posted:

Now that FEG or their financiers or whoever who wants to push the noteholders to queue behind them has achieved their objective, the next known event to look out for is their FY results which mgmt already hint at full year losses.   Estimated it will be about US$115mil losses.   Others should have their own estimates.   Some maybe still think it will be profitable (after mgmt say losses?!?!?!).   Dont be surprise.   Some people are like that.

Still got more than a month to play before FEG enters its low usual liquidity phase.   There should be some pockets of windows here and there till then for you to decide what you want to do with your holdings.

Till then, what else can happen?

For their FY, I will looking at substantial improvement in cashflow from operations (not from financing activities, ie more loans).   The other item to look out will be any further payment of bank loan.   If so, the noteholders should really bang head.   Because this simple means there are indeed some money that can be used to repay debt but bank wants it all for themselves.   These noteholders should have insisted on some partial repayments of their note in their agreement.   Too late now.


 

sheerluck      ( Date: 21-Aug-2017 21:57) Posted:

FEG just announced asking for extension of FY results to be on or before 29 Oct but after solicit exercise with noteholders.   Very obvious note holder holds the key to their survivial liao and FEG want noteholders to agreed to their debts conveneant waivers without them knowing their results first.   Ohhhhh..... very clever hor....but also very obvious liao???

Luckily for existing FEG holders, CHOffshore still mananged to release it FY resutls today with impairment!   Now got some number to work on for FEG impairment as well.   CHO imparied about 25% of their vessels.   Since FEG buyout CH Offshore on reasons of synergies, then we can assume similar level of impairment on their PPE so looking at about US$75mil.   Maybe more, maybe less, depending on how prudent FEG wants liao.

So with the US$40 that was for another reason then we might be looking at US$115ml losses this FY.

The actual number will only be out in 2 months times.   Hope we do get to see them.   In the meantime, trade with care.
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danger
Supreme
29-Oct-2017 16:01     
 
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 Alert Admin 		PANIC SELLING TOMORROW ?
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sheerluck
Supreme
29-Oct-2017 15:51     
 
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Yells: "Work for your money first then let your money work for you"
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 Alert Admin 		FEG reported a total of US$162 mil losses for FY17.
The following are the three big ticket items:
1.  Impairment of PPE  $74mil (close to my estimate of US$75mil as already mentioned can used CHO impairment as guide)
2.  Lossed from Rig - US$50mil   
3.  Losses from non-comtrolling interest $S40 mil (already mentioned FEG will recognise this losses from sale of CHO shares)

Item 1 and 3 are easily known.  For item 2, last FY Annual report, one can find FEG has advanced US$25mil to its assoc for the rig urchase.  Since then, FEG have advanced another US$25mil for a total losses of US$50mil.

Cashflow wise, cash from operation showed another 
 

sheerluck      ( Date: 19-Sep-2017 14:15) Posted:

Now that FEG or their financiers or whoever who wants to push the noteholders to queue behind them has achieved their objective, the next known event to look out for is their FY results which mgmt already hint at full year losses.   Estimated it will be about US$115mil losses.   Others should have their own estimates.   Some maybe still think it will be profitable (after mgmt say losses?!?!?!).   Dont be surprise.   Some people are like that.

Still got more than a month to play before FEG enters its low usual liquidity phase.   There should be some pockets of windows here and there till then for you to decide what you want to do with your holdings.

Till then, what else can happen?

For their FY, I will looking at substantial improvement in cashflow from operations (not from financing activities, ie more loans).   The other item to look out will be any further payment of bank loan.   If so, the noteholders should really bang head.   Because this simple means there are indeed some money that can be used to repay debt but bank wants it all for themselves.   These noteholders should have insisted on some partial repayments of their note in their agreement.   Too late now.


 

sheerluck      ( Date: 21-Aug-2017 21:57) Posted:

FEG just announced asking for extension of FY results to be on or before 29 Oct but after solicit exercise with noteholders.   Very obvious note holder holds the key to their survivial liao and FEG want noteholders to agreed to their debts conveneant waivers without them knowing their results first.   Ohhhhh..... very clever hor....but also very obvious liao???

Luckily for existing FEG holders, CHOffshore still mananged to release it FY resutls today with impairment!   Now got some number to work on for FEG impairment as well.   CHO imparied about 25% of their vessels.   Since FEG buyout CH Offshore on reasons of synergies, then we can assume similar level of impairment on their PPE so looking at about US$75mil.   Maybe more, maybe less, depending on how prudent FEG wants liao.

So with the US$40 that was for another reason then we might be looking at US$115ml losses this FY.

The actual number will only be out in 2 months times.   Hope we do get to see them.   In the meantime, trade with care.
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edwinjup
Supreme
29-Oct-2017 15:39     
 
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 Alert Admin 		If we ignore the impairment.. co still loss 19m..and still got 172m repayable within a year..
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machidrain
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29-Oct-2017 15:34     
 
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 Alert Admin 		good luck to your decision.
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Volmax
Elite
29-Oct-2017 15:18     
 
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 Alert Admin
If cheong down low enough, I will add more to my holding.

Brent and crude is at two years high and in IMHO, should be bullish in the short term towards year end and early next year.

Best comforting note is SSH remains steadfast and unwavering.

yes
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machidrain
Veteran
29-Oct-2017 15:06     
 
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 Alert Admin 		expect to chiong down tomorrow. worse results.
pity those who brought at high of 0.08-0,09> ..
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Volmax
Elite
29-Oct-2017 14:11     
 
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 Alert Admin
As expected
Allowance for impairment of assets increased by US$133.15 million from US$19.94 million in FY 2016 to US$153.09 million in FY 2017. This was due mainly to higher provision for allowance for impairment of property, plant and equipment of US$86.81 million (of which US$85.01 million was related to vessels, which included US$73.93 million which was CHO-related, and US$1.80 million was related to revaluation of an office unit owned by a subsidiary) (FY 2016: US$10.11 million), and higher provision for allowance for doubtful receivables of US$58.48 million (of which US$48.63 million was related to rigs business and US$9.85 million was related to other receivables write-off) (FY 2016: US$7.30 million) such provisions made in view of the prolonged depressed oil and gas industry and long outstanding receivables. 
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