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Chansenghoe1971
Elite

11-Feb-2026 13:59

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Collection and will burst through the roof soon
Iran debacle the tailwind

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Chansenghoe1971
Elite

11-Feb-2026 13:45

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146 gulp
Accumulation
Algorithm in play
Watch this

Chansenghoe1971 ( Date: 11-Feb-2026 10:24) Posted:

Waiting to explode

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k2kingkong
Senior

11-Feb-2026 11:14

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Rex International Holding Ltd (SGX: 5WH) - 2026 Update

Data as of February 10-11, 2026

Current Stock Performance (2026)

Metric	Value
Current Price	S$0.145 (Feb 10, 2026 close)
Recent Range	S$0.142 &ndash S$0.147 (Feb 10 intraday)
YTD 2026 Performance	-5.23% (declining year-to-date)
Recent Trend	Down -9.38% from Jan 29, 2026 pivot high
52-Week Range	S$0.130 &ndash S$0.174 (tightened range)
Market Cap	~S$188-202 million
Volume Trend	Declining (bearish signal)

Critical 2026 Development: After a strong 2025 rally (+90% over 6 months), the stock has reversed course in early 2026, falling from ~S$0.16 to S$0.145. Technical indicators now show " Sell" signals with negative short-term momentum

2026 Production & Operational Updates

Benin Sè mè Field &ndash Major 2026 Catalyst

Milestone	Status
First Oil Target	End of January 2026 (delayed from Q4 2025)
Current Status	Production well AK-2H drilling in progress
Technical Issues	Geo-mechanically unstable shale layers caused delays
Infrastructure Ready	MOPU Stella Energy 1 and FSO Kristina on location
Production Wells	AK-1H and AK-2H (horizontal wells in H6 reservoir)
Exploration Well	AK-1P (testing deeper H7/H8 reservoirs)

Impact: The Sè mè field startup is critical for 2026 revenue growth. Delays from technical drilling challenges have already pushed timeline from Q4 2025 to January 2026. Successful ramp-up could add significant production volume.

2026 Financial Forecasts & Analyst Consensus

Financial Metric	2025E	2026E	2027E
Revenue (US$M)	120	125	N/A
Net Income (US$M)	3	11	-22
EPS (US$)	-0.028	+0.055	-0.022
Cash from Operations (US$M)	31	30	N/A
Analyst Consensus	Loss	Profitability	Return to loss

Key 2026 Forecasts:

Profitability inflection: 2026 marks the first year of expected net profit (~US$11M or S$15M)
EPS turnaround: From -S$0.028 in 2025 to +S$0.055 in 2026 (295% improvement)
Revenue growth modest: +4% to US$125M (likely conservative if Benin production ramps successfully)

⚠ ️ Analyst Divergence: Only 1 analyst providing estimates &ndash low conviction. DBS, KGI Securities, and SP Angel cover the stock but limited published 2026 targets

Entry Price Analysis (Updated for 2026)

Current Technical Picture

Indicator	Signal
Short-term trend	Falling (very wide trend)
Moving Averages	Sell signal (long-term > short-term)
MACD	Sell signal
Support Level	S$0.142 (accumulated volume)
Resistance Level	S$0.146-0.153
3-Month Forecast	-6.57% expected decline (90% probability range: S$0.117-S$0.148)

Entry Strategy for 2026

Scenario	Price Level	Risk/Reward
Immediate entry	S$0.145	High risk &ndash negative technical momentum
Better entry	S$0.13-0.14	Near 52-week low, stronger support
Aggressive accumulation	S$0.12-0.13	If 3-month forecast low hits (S$0.117)
Confirmation entry	Break above S$0.153	Trend reversal confirmation
Stop loss	Below S$0.13	Risk management

2026 Price Targets :

Consensus target: S$0.32 (121% upside from current S$0.145)
Range: S$0.32 (single analyst) &ndash no high conviction targets
WalletInvestor AI forecast: Declining trend through 2026, targeting S$0.118-0.124 by year-end

Critical Observation: The divergence between technical and fundamental views is stark:

Technicals: Bearish &ndash falling momentum, sell signals
Fundamentals: Bullish &ndash first year of profitability expected

Trump Policy Impact Assessment (2026 Update)

Direct Exposure: MINIMAL (Unchanged)

No US operations: Oman, Norway, Germany, Benin assets insulated from direct tariffs
Crude exempt: Trump' s tariffs exclude oil &ndash Rex' s revenue protected
No US supply chain: European/Asian equipment sourcing

2026-Specific Indirect Risks

Factor	2026 Impact	Assessment
Oil price volatility	HIGH	Trump-Iran tensions, OPEC+ decisions affect Brent prices
Global recession risk	Moderate	Trade war escalation could reduce oil demand
USD/SGD rates	Moderate	Trump' s dollar policies affect SGX valuations
Steel tariffs	Low	25% US steel tariffs marginally increase equipment costs

2026 Trump Policy Scenarios

Scenario	Oil Price Impact	Rex Impact
Trump escalates Iran sanctions	Brent &uarr (supply risk)	Positive &ndash higher oil prices
Trump triggers trade war recession	Brent &darr &darr (demand destruction)	Negative &ndash lower oil prices
Trump pressures OPEC+	Volatility &uarr	Neutral/Negative &ndash price uncertainty
Status quo with tariff exemptions	Stable	Neutral

2026 Bottom Line: Rex remains indirectly exposed to oil price volatility from Trump' s policies, but no direct tariff impact. The company' s 2026 profitability hinges on:

Successful Benin startup (execution risk)
Brent oil prices staying > US$65/barrel (Trump-influenced)

2026 Investment Summary

Factor	Assessment
Operational Catalyst	⚠ ️ High Risk/Reward &ndash Benin startup delayed but imminent
Financial Inflection	✅ Positive &ndash First profit expected (US$11M)
Technical Trend	⚠ ️ Negative &ndash Sell signals, declining momentum
Valuation	✅ Cheap &ndash S$0.145 vs S$0.32 target (121% upside)
Trump Policy Risk	✅ Low Direct &ndash Oil exempt, no US operations
2026 Price Target	S$0.20-0.32 (base/bull case)

2026 Entry Recommendation

Wait for better entry in the S$0.13-0.14 range or a technical reversal confirmation above S$0.153. The current S$0.145 price faces:

Negative short-term momentum
High execution risk on Benin startup
Potential broader market volatility from Trump policies

Risk Management: If entering at current levels, use S$0.13 as stop-loss (10% downside). Position size should reflect high speculative risk despite 2026 profitability expectations.

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Chansenghoe1971
Elite

11-Feb-2026 10:24

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Waiting to explode

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ysh2006
Supreme

11-Feb-2026 05:17

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So far this Iran war crisis seem just only hear the drum beating but no action ....

ysh2006 ( Date: 10-Feb-2026 17:52) Posted:

Waiting for outcome of Israel PM & Trump meeting ....

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ysh2006
Supreme

10-Feb-2026 17:52

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Waiting for outcome of Israel PM & Trump meeting ....

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ysh2006
Supreme

10-Feb-2026 15:43

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Some think religion is the upmost important, ....other things put aside lah

CheongArgh ( Date: 09-Feb-2026 15:48) Posted:

Bro, during war, no more puasa la !
Life more important or religion more important !

ysh2006 ( Date: 09-Feb-2026 15:07) Posted:

Next Thursday Muslim will be entering Ramadan month, effectively lower the soldiers strength and fighting ....Trump army can easily tackled them ?

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CheongArgh
Master

09-Feb-2026 15:48

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Bro, during war, no more puasa la !
Life more important or religion more important !

ysh2006 ( Date: 09-Feb-2026 15:07) Posted:

Next Thursday Muslim will be entering Ramadan month, effectively lower the soldiers strength and fighting ....Trump army can easily tackled them ?

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ysh2006
Supreme

09-Feb-2026 15:07

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Next Thursday Muslim will be entering Ramadan month, effectively lower the soldiers strength and fighting ....Trump army can easily tackled them ?

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Chansenghoe1971
Elite

09-Feb-2026 09:03

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Unprecedented illiquidity for Rex
Never see such dormant trading for a while
For good or for bad
Calm before storm.

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Chansenghoe1971
Elite

09-Feb-2026 08:58

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Bb offloading over past weeks
Boss releasing slew of good news to help them offload
Retailers banking on war
FY results likely v v ugly
No bb this will be a 5 cent stock

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ysh2006
Supreme

09-Feb-2026 08:58

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Maybe after the meeting with Trump on Wed lah....be prepared also during CNY China on 7 days public holiday on satellite data transmit to Iran ?

piscesmonkey ( Date: 09-Feb-2026 06:57) Posted:

The Jerusalem Post Israel may strike Iran alone, defense officials warn US

ysh2006 ( Date: 09-Feb-2026 06:42) Posted:

Heard the USA aircraft carrier postern 1000 m away from shore to prevent from drones attack....?

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piscesmonkey
Supreme

09-Feb-2026 06:57

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The Jerusalem Post Israel may strike Iran alone, defense officials warn US

ysh2006 ( Date: 09-Feb-2026 06:42) Posted:

Heard the USA aircraft carrier postern 1000 m away from shore to prevent from drones attack....?

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ysh2006
Supreme

09-Feb-2026 06:42

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Heard the USA aircraft carrier postern 1000 m away from shore to prevent from drones attack....?

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piscesmonkey
Supreme

08-Feb-2026 18:29

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🇮 🇱 🇺 🇸 Netanyahu Rushes to Washington as Iran Clock Ticks

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is set to meet US President Donald Trump in Washington, D.C. on February 11, in what is being widely viewed as an urgent, high-level coordination meeting amid escalating tensions with Iran.

The talks are expected to center on Iran&rsquo s nuclear file, regional security, and US-Israeli military alignment, as diplomatic efforts with Tehran unfold alongside intensifying strategic pressure across the Middle East.

The timing is critical coming as warnings, force deployments, and political signals from all sides suggest the region may be approaching a decisive crossroads rather than de-escalation.

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Chansenghoe1971
Elite

08-Feb-2026 17:42

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Likely Israel start first. BN informing DT in advance
Lots of hardware in place
Some on their wat
All talks are smokescreen
Near impossible to come to terms
Likely not cross next weekend

ysh2006 ( Date: 08-Feb-2026 16:45) Posted:

Or just after the meeting Israelli hoot first, no date of further peace meeting was announced...!

Chansenghoe1971 ( Date: 07-Feb-2026 14:21) Posted:

The blaze was contained and no injuries have been reported, the army added, as it blamed an electrical fault for the fire.

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ysh2006
Supreme

08-Feb-2026 16:45

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Or just after the meeting Israelli hoot first, no date of further peace meeting was announced...!

Chansenghoe1971 ( Date: 07-Feb-2026 14:21) Posted:

The blaze was contained and no injuries have been reported, the army added, as it blamed an electrical fault for the fire.

piscesmonkey ( Date: 07-Feb-2026 13:49) Posted:

BREAKING NEWS: Reports indicate an explosion and fire at a military headquarters in Tehran.

#tehran #iran

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Chansenghoe1971
Elite

08-Feb-2026 10:36

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Gentlemen, get ready.
Gonna start soon.

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ysh2006
Supreme

08-Feb-2026 09:51

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History may repeated last time also he went USA but prior to that date USA hoot first ?

piscesmonkey ( Date: 08-Feb-2026 08:46) Posted:

Israel?s Netanyahu expected to meet Trump in US on Feb 11 to discuss Iran

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piscesmonkey
Supreme

08-Feb-2026 08:46

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Israel?s Netanyahu expected to meet Trump in US on Feb 11 to discuss Iran

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