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THE BEST IS YET TO BE
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destinykraze
Elite |
16-May-2019 16:13
Yells: "Reality is only a matter of perception" |
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I' m not those guy putting $0.47, $0.60 TP. But at the current stage I think the realistic range is around $1.10- $1.40. It really depends on how the situation develops.
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curious_moo
Master |
16-May-2019 16:01
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have anyone consider the the below case which i thought BR is trying to highlight, or is my understanding totally wrong. e.g. BWL sold 100mil to Changsha, and Changsha managed to re-distribute out 70mil thru MLM or direct sales or whatever. if Changsha is really controlled by BWL but posed as an independent wing (via " investments" from BIL), the book on BWL will mention 100mil as revenue (inflated), but in actual fact their revenue is the actual sales from Changsha best which is only 70mil. the rest are just inventory reported on Changsha best books. 
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bayduck
Member |
16-May-2019 15:58
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Agree as well. If the businses model in China is deemed as MLM-ish, then investors should basically write off the entire China revenue stream, and basically value BW as if it had never made its foray into China. My personal view is that BW is not worth zero even if the BIL and MLM issues turn out to be true. The business itself has a clean balance sheet, and there are cashflows from non-China operations. So a big haircut to the price for sure because you lose China and you put on a discount for corporate governance deficiencies, but not zero.
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destinykraze
Elite |
16-May-2019 15:49
Yells: "Reality is only a matter of perception" |
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You should also remember MLM is not allowed in China, even in the best case scenario, assuming BWI is found to be free of any wrongdoings, china authorities will clamp down on such mlm-activities in china since the issue has been blown up. What is the impact on BWI when 2/3 of it' s revenue is coming from china is affected?  
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bayduck
Member |
16-May-2019 15:42
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Agree with you. I think the crux is whether the transactions are genuine, and are done at market rates (i.e. whether revenues and profits from Changsha are inflated). If transactions are genuine, then at most you can only give BW a small punishment for not being forthcoming with the BIL disclosure.
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destinykraze
Elite |
16-May-2019 15:41
Yells: "Reality is only a matter of perception" |
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Most of the time, frauds and insider trades are exposed by people who didn' t get a piece of the cake. Back in 2011, I had a friend working for a PRC company in sg as admin, few phone calls a month, not much work. $4k per month. She doesn' t even know what the company' s business is about. People wouldn' t complain if they stand to gain too.
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bayduck
Member |
16-May-2019 15:37
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Yes, I agree with you that the company seal might be held by someone else, and BIL really didn' t have any influence or interference in Changsha, instead management is done by the PRC guy with the seal. But between this possibility and the second possibility that BIL has influence, I personally think the probability is higher for the second possibility. 
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like2learn
Veteran |
16-May-2019 15:28
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i m actually v impressed by the person who discovered the relationship of Mary and Dora, given it is not exactly surname match, i.e. Huan and Hoan. this is super due diligence.  ![]() the person probably knows the family ?  my guess wld be a " whistle blower" and my question why and his/her relation to VV ? |
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stockpicker
Master |
16-May-2019 14:57
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Think there is something lying somewhere in the unknown yet to be discovered to provide an anwser to satisfy all parties including the short sellers.. it is always easy to create and tell a liar but very difficult to do the covering up.  It will take people like Trump to tell a liar because he never bother to cover up his liars and people getting used to it..
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JarBinx
Member |
16-May-2019 14:36
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Like Hyflux...
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NextEvolution
Elite |
16-May-2019 13:47
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Cannot fight with Midas. 5 or 6 years in a row Sias awards Midas but then..... all these awards Sias already said they chong-kong back
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Starship
Supreme |
16-May-2019 13:43
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Most awards are actually paid advertising just like those award certificates pasted on many hawker stalls..................... ![]() ![]() ![]() They are all organised by businesses that specialise in " creating" awards for profit. Also, any MP/Minister/govt official attending or handing out the awards does not mean that the awards are official govt awards or championed by the govt.  They are merely Guest of Honour invited by the organising business to grace the event. It' s all in the news. |
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destinykraze
Elite |
16-May-2019 13:18
Yells: "Reality is only a matter of perception" |
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Noble group also had a lot of awards.
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michaeltan
Master |
16-May-2019 12:52
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Better that you engage a private detective to find out which hotel room whether is there any sperm of DNA as proof of evidence. LOL!
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michaeltan
Master |
16-May-2019 12:32
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What is the intention of Changsa low responsibility? Perhaps for tax avoidance? Difficulties and mitigation of risks doing business with China counterparts? Important is that the transaction is genuide and in accordance with company appointment agreement.  
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JarBinx
Member |
16-May-2019 12:22
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BWL still can win awards.. http://www.bestworld.com.sg/awards.html
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slidoffads
Member |
16-May-2019 12:21
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Bump
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bwavep
Senior |
16-May-2019 12:12
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at end of the day, forumners here can at least agree that at the minimum, the management didn' t follow best business practices or adhere to regulatory rules whilst enriching themselves to the maximum. not much point defending the indefensible after the spotlight has been shone and the regulators have weighed in .  in this game, congrats to those who made a killing on both the long and short side and commiseration for those on the other side. have to say, plenty of heads-up red flags before it came to this....
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Richardlai
Master |
16-May-2019 12:07
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Too hot ! Ha Ha ! Hope no one gets charged for Fake News here.
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Shifu8888
Supreme |
16-May-2019 12:04
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Not true for point 1. I have seen cases whereby legal rep is really passive. Important is who holds the 法 人 盖 章 . Technically, the legal rep should be holding it BUT being singaporean, it is functionally not possible cos he will need to fly there for every routine stamping. It is not uncommon for a legal rep to be only on paper.
But I am not supporting what BW is doing. They should have disclosed the BIL relationship and not circumvent the loop hole. This is bad for the AC and Adrian may be in deep trouble. I am looking at next announcement to see if any ID resigns or not. Maybe not now but I am sure after this dust settles, some will resign because they may feel played out and (sabotaged) by the two aunties. My POV.
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