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Jiutian Chemical
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JiutianC
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earnMeSS
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12-Aug-2021 12:34
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Yes the profit margin dropped slightly for Q2 mainly due to higher material cost and lower ASP of methylamine. If you calculate the avg production volume for 1H and project it forward, the revenue for Q3 will be around 350-400m RMB (assuming 20 days of maintenance and 10 days of half capacity during the flood) while the revenue for Q4 will be a whooping 450-500m RMB. This is of course based on the DMF and methylamine price currently. So, the 2H profit is likely to match 1H of 2021 at about 900m RMB. I do not see any significant head wind in terms of DMF pricing and possibly positive such as production expansion. I have collected one batch before previous dividend at mid 80s and I just added another batch today at 89 to take opportunity of price weakness. I expect today' s price to be at the bottom range for remaining months of the year barring any unforeseen global correction.
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Calmroom
Master |
12-Aug-2021 12:26
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Could be many people are still scared of  holding on to an S-chip for too long. ( In the past, got many S-chip scams. ) So once they see price is not going up, they quickly dump their shares in fear. If JT can build an expensive new factory using its own money, then people may stop thinking it' s another con stock.
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sweet639
Veteran |
12-Aug-2021 12:14
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price is going down as profit was so good, just can not understand
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Calmroom
Master |
12-Aug-2021 11:44
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Next catalyst should be approval for JT to build the new factory. Hopefully JT submitted the plans soon after giving its last update in May. |
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FrancisLim
Elite |
12-Aug-2021 11:13
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The last quarter, better results, dividend declared. Share go run down from 10 cents to 8.3 cents... immediately after ex-dvidends and the director' s sale of the share. 2nd quarter result is lower than 1st quarter and with the ambigous statement on approval of new plant and the current over drive in China regulatory the flood  ..  Not encouraging.  P/E looks good but discounted by the fact it is S Chip and China based(recent rout of China counters).. probably can stay by the sideline and wait. |
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Calmroom
Master |
12-Aug-2021 11:11
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Down more than 4% means market sees the huge profit as a huge loss? If another stock reported earning $33.6m market sure to reward with a big rally. Irrational or biased against JT? Shake head... |
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JerryMaple
Veteran |
12-Aug-2021 10:59
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Anyang website got the news earlier.. JT not affected as they located at high ground and there is electricity cut off earlier..rescue team already resolve... Of cos the transportation flow will affect somehow..
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watashievil
Master |
12-Aug-2021 10:50
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what is the update on the flood ar. never report any damage or operation affected. zzz pretty sure they are affected just at least tell us to what extend la. whole city need evacuate. they nothing happen. hard to believe leh. they should update us say they are covered by insurance and no need worry or something la.   |
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josephyeo
Elite |
12-Aug-2021 10:18
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Share some figures: Profits full year profit 2020 - S$S$36.5 mil half year profit 2021 - S$33.7 mil Note - half profit is 92.4% of last year full year Cash 1H 2020 - S$19.3 mil 1H 2021 - S$51.2 mil Up by  - S$31.9 mil Price earning ratio (p/e) Full year 2020 - 5.51 X Half year 2021 - 5.54 X Assuming 2H profit same as 1H, the full year p/e would be 2.78 X Note - 2nd half profit is just an assumption and may be wrong. Dividend FY 2020 - no dividend 1Q - declared dividend of 0.35 cents 2Q - no dividend Expect another dividend of 0.5 cents to be declared end of year. If that is so, the dividend yield for the full year would be 0.85/9.4 would be around 8.9% Note, the dividend for 2nd half is an expectation. May or may not happen. All the datas used above is based on JT price of 9.4 cents. The exchange rate used is 1RMB S$0.21. Above are for sharing only. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. |
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Calmroom
Master |
12-Aug-2021 10:16
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Correction may not happen because got the upcoming US infrastructure bill.
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tritonyeah666
Elite |
12-Aug-2021 10:12
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Jiutian holders may have to experience the upcoming correction post earnings season in end Aug-Oct, thats probably why many prefer to sell first to avoid the historical correction in global markets after earnings season. Usually this is a 10-20% correction. | ||||
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Calmroom
Master |
12-Aug-2021 09:54
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JT' s DMF price has just hit 14,300!!!  ![]()
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Midtermer
Master |
12-Aug-2021 09:53
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Yup so it's ASP Vs sales volume for next quarter but as long as ASP remains elevated I believe PAT will only improve. More for mid term investors. Dyodd.
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hokpin
Supreme |
12-Aug-2021 09:50
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Typical sell on news in SGX! | ||||
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Calmroom
Master |
12-Aug-2021 09:49
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From this half year report, ave selling price  of DMF  was only 9,987. JT' s latest DMF price at 14,200 is 42.18% higher. :)   |
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tritonyeah666
Elite |
12-Aug-2021 09:40
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No its priced in already, last friday-tuesday gap up. Sell on news is imminent. | ||||
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TheMatrix
Elite |
12-Aug-2021 09:39
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Stock market all rigged one la. Result good, they can also come up with some excuse to hammer down the stick. | ||||
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weishent
Elite |
12-Aug-2021 09:37
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Supporters fighting Shortist.  | ||||
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Richardlai
Master |
12-Aug-2021 09:35
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why is this share going backwards ? | ||||
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noobshit
Member |
12-Aug-2021 09:30
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not too late to buy into Sinostar Pec... | ||||
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