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Rex revival
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MeiXin
Elite |
17-Jun-2022 22:58
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Bro TT
I was really expecting it hor. :))) Tmr then read your long post. Just finished dinner with friends at Atout at Dempsey. Good night!!! |
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TikTalk
Supreme |
17-Jun-2022 22:05
Yells: "Anyone miss me?" |
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Haha Sis MX, I am just kidding about thesis on Bond Market. Firstly my England not so good, secondly SJ if take to long to type and if dont save message it will not be posted when send. Butter, what I do know is that the fixed-income market is looking at 3.25%/3.50% Fed Funds rate by Nov/Dec 2022, 3.75% by Feb 2023 Therefore if one already is aware of the above expectation the Fed hike  announcement in July and following Fomc meeting is quite non event, having said that, market will still react to the announcement evident from the volatile movement for those who stay up to watch, butter end of the day they are just whipsawing, even the next day stock sold off again whether the Fed actually do 50 or 75bps, so all these news we hear or read about how much rate hike this and that and how market might react are just noises and maye not be accurate, i.e. some say 50bs market goes down, some say 75bps relief rally, still market goes down the next day. The known fact is that Fed is on a mission to contain inflation in their effort to bring it down to their long term goal of 2% inflation. And they are going to hike till its achieve and which is why the fixed income market has priced in say a 3.50%  Fed Funds by end of the year. What market will react to will be news concercening inflations data, crude oil prices is of some guage etc etc....and of course economics data blah blah....as I write Leading economic indicators is down -0.4 and  this is a second consecutive months. to be continue....if members here can share your views and we have further discussion..... Cheers.
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TikTalk
Supreme |
17-Jun-2022 20:19
Yells: "Anyone miss me?" |
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Brought to you by Nabeh & Heng Sexurities. By Chartits : TikTalk In my previous post I cautioned about support line B and if broken will have negative impact on prices. It has done that and felled to 65c today. This chart is for reference where ever level ii goes down to, 62c, 56c or 50c, worse still if over a longer time it goes to 30c. Always have a stop lost which ever level you buy. I often post on Riverstone because I believe this is a better glove stock than the others, maybe one day in the future I will buy. Covid-19 wont be the last, experts has said so. Besides, River is ahead in clean room gloves and their margin is higher. I think they will survive and if some other gloves company do not make it to the next pandemic, it will benefit those who are still in business. I had in the past posted numerous chart comparing River to the others and found its share prices has outperformed the others, it held up better during down time. All the bre@st ![]()
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TikTalk
Supreme |
17-Jun-2022 10:34
Yells: "Anyone miss me?" |
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Hello zillion, The yield curve is still steep atm other than those few occasions of inversion intraday. Yes, as further rate hike take place in the coming months the curve will flatten and may possibly invert at some point in time. Currently the 2yr is 3.16% vs 10yr at 3.24%, is still 8 bps away from flattening. Agree that some funds will shift toward fixed-income securities during this period of uncertainties.  
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zillion
Master |
17-Jun-2022 09:55
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Bros TT, the yield inversion will continue with long bond staying above 3%. A good predictor of recession in 16-18 months' time. Short end will continue to have higher interest rate bec Fed will want to being down high inflation 8.6%. QT means lesser liquidity in the banking system in order to get demand destruction. Good to sell equities to park into some fixed income securities until calmer times.
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MeiXin
Elite |
17-Jun-2022 09:44
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Bro TT. Screenshot your post Liao. Will save all valuable sharing from you n others to learn n improve myself. Haha waiting for your insightful thesis .:)))) Recently weather is good for outdoor exercise. Enjoy your weekend. Thank you! :)))))
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TikTalk
Supreme |
17-Jun-2022 09:25
Yells: "Anyone miss me?" |
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Good morning Sis MX, I was planing on writing a long thesis this weekend on the Bond Market. ![]() Since you ask in short, the fixed-income market is saying that as short-term rate increases, long-term rates are expected to fall. Stock market participants tend to only focus on short-term interest rate(Fed Funds or bank deposit rates). Fixed-income participants looks at the entire yield curve 3months T-bills to 30 years bond yields.  Nothing about Covid or Ukraine war, its not flight to quality that we used to hear in the past. Cheers
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MeiXin
Elite |
17-Jun-2022 09:04
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Good morning Bro TT, In your opinion this yield declined caused by policy makers or nature disaster ( covid) or Ukraine War? Hee hee I not testing your hi IQ. Genuine question hope to hear all views so we can trade safe. Cheers! :)))
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TikTalk
Supreme |
17-Jun-2022 08:40
Yells: "Anyone miss me?" |
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Here you see is a hourly 10yr US treasury future price chart(inverse relation to yield). Meaning yield has declined from a high of around 3.45% to currently 3.24%. It appear that a Inverse Head & Shoulder was formed with a break above the Neckline. Price may have bottomed or yield may have peaked in the short term(or temporary). So why has 10 year yield decline since the Fed raise rate by 75bps? Food for thought.
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TikTalk
Supreme |
17-Jun-2022 08:10
Yells: "Anyone miss me?" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Market down also got problem what to buy... SPY 338![]()
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TikTalk
Supreme |
17-Jun-2022 08:02
Yells: "Anyone miss me?" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
My US watch list only 2 stocks up the other 28 down including Chevron(down last 6 sessions), is oil coming down? Newmont and Barrick Gold were the two gold stocks that were up.   |
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Maxgrow68
Elite |
17-Jun-2022 03:52
Yells: "Right and Kind. Choose Kind then you are always Right !" |
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Wah! ECB jacked up IR to fight inflation and DF tank 800 pts. Break the 30000 mark. Now at 297800 !!  First time I see at this low level !! |
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Maxgrow68
Elite |
17-Jun-2022 03:48
Yells: "Right and Kind. Choose Kind then you are always Right !" |
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x 0 Alert Admin |
Right. Some hawker food sell atas food at atas prices! Just a tad below restaurant prices... Hawker food nowadays not like days of old liao...they are upmarket...haha!
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Kendolah99
Elite |
16-Jun-2022 23:16
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Bro Max, don' t need to ask how much, just go eat. It' s hawker food, we can afford. Go spend some money, help the hawkers....![]() A few stalls away from this Wantan Noodle is one selling Indian Vadai. Suggest eating it fresh there with the barista kopi.   
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Kendolah99
Elite |
16-Jun-2022 23:05
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Don' t know what to buy? I am watching to pick up SPY and QQQ. The pre-pandemic highs are my base levels. I will likely buy in tranches. S& P - 3380 Nasdaq - 9680 |
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TikTalk
Supreme |
16-Jun-2022 22:26
Yells: "Anyone miss me?" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Thanks Sis, but I seldom trade at night, too fast and furious for me.
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seeseelooklook
Master |
16-Jun-2022 22:18
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With your blessing Bro TT Trade safe tonight. ![]()
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TikTalk
Supreme |
16-Jun-2022 21:44
Yells: "Anyone miss me?" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Congrats again Sis SSLL...
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seeseelooklook
Master |
16-Jun-2022 20:44
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x 0
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Congrats Bro TT
Managed to catch at 30058 and closed for 162 points profit. Congrats to Bro Max too! Huat huat ar
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TikTalk
Supreme |
16-Jun-2022 20:12
Yells: "Anyone miss me?" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
The last few hours market ding dong like confused, now probably some short covering before economic datas at 8.30pm
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SPY 338


