| Latest Forum Topics / Olam Intl |
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OLAM_OLAM
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beginners
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31-Oct-2013 23:06
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It's ok bro, some times it's fun to have Some guessing view to take away some stress mood from stock market :) Huat ah
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roostertan
Member |
31-Oct-2013 21:16
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Lots of things are very dark and we may not know.  Just some guessing games.
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beginners
Veteran |
31-Oct-2013 19:32
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Hmm... You mean the CFO run road and "sell" news to MW?
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roostertan
Member |
31-Oct-2013 19:29
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Thanks Bros Beginners and Vincente.    It does make me wonder whether the timing of their CFO resignation and few weeks later followed by Muddy Waters attacks is co-incidental or not.  Or is there some insider leakage of confidential substances which we may not aware of?
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vincente
Senior |
31-Oct-2013 15:04
Yells: "hope for the best" |
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Sad to hear yr predicament.Shld have exited earlier then.Looking back, I remember a lot of gd intention sifus have given warning at that time during the MW saga and I count myself lucky to have avoided it altogether.
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beginners
Veteran |
30-Oct-2013 21:32
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Bro don't get discourage. Who knows the Indian mgt can create happening! Just like the commonwealth game! Bridge, bed collapse, bird shit in the pool still able to complete the "mission impossible". | ||||
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roostertan
Member |
30-Oct-2013 21:19
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When Olam share price was at 2.40, the news released that their CFO has resigned.  Honestly, I was rather nervous when I heard that.    Also, not that I am been rascist, but, I do feel uncomfortable when I realised that the senior management team are all  indians.    Coupled with Temasek been involved in their investments make me even more terrified.  These are my personal heart feelings that I would like to share with all of you.  Sorry, if I am been too strong in my words.  Sure enough, the price plummeted from 2.40 till today after their CFO has resigned followed by Muddy Waters attacks.  I would not have ponder that moment and should have quickly released my holdings at 2.40 since strange feelings have  invaded me.  Sad to say, I  am  still holding to this baby till today. 
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sun233
Elite |
30-Oct-2013 16:25
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Amateurs......sigh. | ||||
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EZ3626
Veteran |
30-Oct-2013 09:24
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Shall I give you a Spoon. I share the same opinion as Dippyboy " Olam is going down below $0.50 .." watch and see |
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Rosesyrup
Master |
30-Oct-2013 01:12
Yells: "Get your own opinion, don't follow blindly." |
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Yawn, your response is  within expectation. As usual, you still decided to move on to other arguments before clarifying the previous one. If Dippyboy argument is the same as yours why would I prefer his over yours? Something worth pondering. Anyway, this should be my last response to your baseless claim. Goodluck.  
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EZ3626
Veteran |
30-Oct-2013 01:04
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Rosesyrup, like to hear sweet thing, Silly the content is the same, it is just the packaging is different.  Dippyboy is kind, this news is nothing new.. wonder how on earth you decide to buy Olam. Hope you didn't buy Olam because of what your parrot said or I like the name Olam. Hokkien sound like Oh Lam (hug). Like that you better sell ... listen to parrot. Singapore raise children not EZ still raise parrot. If not because of Temasek support you think the rights issue can go through .... Judicial Management liao Do you know how long is the window for Olam dividend ??? Very long ... please do your homework. By right want to leave, by left decide to stay :) |
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Rosesyrup
Master |
30-Oct-2013 00:11
Yells: "Get your own opinion, don't follow blindly." |
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Fair, I like your analysis. At least you are complete opposite of that EMZ guy.  Don't know who thumbs down you but I will thumbs up you just to encourage more logical analysis like yours- normally I don't bother with the thumb up/down system.
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dippyboy
Member |
29-Oct-2013 23:57
Yells: "Plsdoyourownhomework.Personalopinion,Disclaimerapplies." |
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  They paid a high price to Temasek rights support in the form of high interest and warrents. The total real returns are around 13% on top of the existing high finance cost for the remainding bonds and these will be first paid to them and not to ordinary shareholders. As of now since listed ,the cashflow is not positive and it has been spending more moola than it can generate from its investment. Along the way there are numerous operational difficulties in the vast investment in gabon and other farm sources it poured money in all these years. Ultimately it hopes all these investment will bring to fruits . To be fair, commodities as an asset class is not doing well globally but tide can turn with a synchoronised global recovery with the US leading the way after it fully deleverages in 5 years more. However there is a real risk of major difficulties in this period if china does goes to a recession pulling down europe. It is not comforting to know Olam consumes vast amount of cashflow to sustain these investment and real net return from them is yet to be fully paid back. True profitability is better gauged from real cashflow returns and EVA since inception. How much is the shareholder getting back on $1 invested since listed? Even if Olam does started generating net positive returns , most of them is first going to the bond holders to clear the debts. The question is, if the expected recovery in commodities doesnt come in this 5 years. Where is the new money to be coming from? New Bonds at reasonable interest is unlikely due to the rising usd and interest rates and poor sentiment given its history of promises. If things are still bad down the road , by then it will feel like its a ponzi scheme..... using new money at even higher interest to pay back old. Rights issue is very much the only way to repay previous bond holder to avert a default. I would like to pay only 50c per share to hold such risks.  |
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Rosesyrup
Master |
29-Oct-2013 23:55
Yells: "Get your own opinion, don't follow blindly." |
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A very unconstructive and irrational  post. Normally I would encourage people to stay and share regardless of their stands. But for your case, I guess you made the right choice to leave. Having you here any longer, this forum can soon be trading on rumors and fairy tales.
If you ever want to post here again, remember to clarify your earlier arguments (highlighted in red). Otherwise don't bother jumping from claims to claims, when none of them is sound. Just saying.  
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EZ3626
Veteran |
29-Oct-2013 23:12
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I'm sure all who play with stock knows people buy or sell base on rumours, it is for the discerning to decide where it should go. As I have said this does not come from me ... I even gave you the source ... I am but a novice, a " ikan belis" ...   the market today went down not because of what I said .... plea...se [I am flattered]. How on earth do you want to contain what people are saying. The best thing to do is start doing your homework. Don't be 幼 稚 market will find it own level. If this isn't true there is nothing to be worry, but if it is true ... then you better be worried and take action. Arguing with me will not help the situation. By the time it is a FACT, game already over ...  This incident is vivid in the mind of everyone, when America WTC was destroyed ... whole world was caught by surprise, When the anniversary come, do you think ... the security will say, RELAX ah they will not do it again. On the contrary as the date draw near they have to beef up the security and deploy more manpower. Rest assured, the shortists have waited for such a time. It is not a time to turn a deaf ear. I am surprised that you have made me your enemy, and decide to shoot the messenger.   The trend setter is out there. Don't be fool .... there is nothing to " AGREED"   GorgeousOng said " My money I decide, Your money you decide"   Believe or not is up to you. Sayonara  |
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Rosesyrup
Master |
29-Oct-2013 18:51
Yells: "Get your own opinion, don't follow blindly." |
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Agreed
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nngeeh
Veteran |
29-Oct-2013 18:23
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Unless Olam has announced officially that they will issue rights, we  don't  really need to debate the impact  on Olam's share price. If it is based on hearsay, i would say that it is just rumours that is intended to bring the share price down.
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Rosesyrup
Master |
29-Oct-2013 17:35
Yells: "Get your own opinion, don't follow blindly." |
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Don't really got your point. Mind repeating it with much more direct approach?
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EZ3626
Veteran |
29-Oct-2013 17:23
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I'm not being narrow ...   consider the current situation of Olam. Please hear from Roostertan said it very nicely, .... " Sad to say that it is the lack of good management team and poor judgement foresight in extreme M& A that caused their debts to balloon. Wisely to say, whether it is in equities or business investments, always invest with a limit with reasonable cap borrowings." Olam is highly geared (board). So the best way is through the shareholders who already have a stake in Olam.  Take yourself as an example, you already hold their stock if they were to issue rights or whatever ... would you decide to forgo ... knowing there is going to be a dilution ???  Ok. I will stop here. All the best !!! 
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Rosesyrup
Master |
29-Oct-2013 16:19
Yells: "Get your own opinion, don't follow blindly." |
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Agree with you that Temasek shouldn't be factored into the analysis. We don't care whether you shorting or longing. We only care about objective analysis and factual claims. True that price movement depends on BBs not retailers, but your flawed arguments can mislead people. Be responsible in what you post!
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