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WBdisciple
Elite |
23-Oct-2020 08:52
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I am not saying NAV cannot drop but it serves as a guide...if a house is recently valued at S$1m...and while there are some issues to resolve, does it warrant a lower valuation of S$0.3m???? Pls do you own DD...
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alleyboy
Veteran |
23-Oct-2020 08:48
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Can u imagine if Trump lost.
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Observers
Elite |
23-Oct-2020 08:33
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How come US stock price can keep rising in a pandemic? same like NAV cannot drop one?
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WBdisciple
Elite |
23-Oct-2020 07:12
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Is CDL oversold following the family disagreements over Sincere and M& C? Kwek Leng Peck, cousin to City Developments&rsquo (CDL) executive chairman Kwek Leng Beng and uncle to its group CEO Sherman Kwek, has resigned as a non-executive director of the property group from Oct 19. The company&rsquo s announcement raised speculations that Leng Peck resigned in protest. He is said to have disagreed with CDL&rsquo s investment in Sincere Property Group, including the continuing of financial support totalling $1.9 billion to the China-based developer. In addition, Leng Peck has &ldquo reservations&rdquo with CDL&rsquo s approach in the management of its hospitality unit, Millennium & Copthorne Hotels (M& C). First appointed to the board in August 1987, Leng Peck holds directorships in M& C, Hong Leong Investment Holdings (HLIH is the major shareholder of CDL) and several related companies under Hong Leong Group such as Hong Leong Asia, Hong Leong Finance, Tasek Corporation and China Yuchai International. According to CDL&rsquo s FY2019 annual report, Leng Peck owns a direct stake of 0.005%, while HLIH is currently CDL&rsquo s largest shareholder with a stake of 48.552%. On Oct 21, CDL disclosed that it has invested a total of $1.9 billion in Sincere, comprising of an equity stake of 51.01% worth RMB4.4 billion ($894.9 million), US$230 million ($311.8 million) in bonds issued by Sincere, a working capital loan of RMB650 million, liquidity support of RMB1.5 billion relating to Sincere&rsquo s bonds maturing on Oct 26 and a corporate guarantee of RMB1.5 billion relating to Sincere&rsquo s external loan. In April 2020, CDL acquired a 51% stake in Sincere for the equivalent of $880 million which was then seen as a 50% discount to Sincere&rsquo s NAV at the time. In August, CDL announced that negative goodwill and fair value of the call option to further acquire 9% in Sincere totalling $50.9 million was recognised in 1H2020. The group also accounted for a post-acquisition share of loss of Sincere due to financing and marketing costs incurred by Sincere, and depreciation of Sincere&rsquo s investment properties due to alignment of accounting policy. &ldquo CDL subsequently wrote down Sincere&rsquo s investment property values in August, resulting in a 42% decline in [the latter&rsquo s] NAV. We believe valuation and execution concerns in Sincere are under the spotlight once again,&rdquo Bank of America says in a recent report. &ldquo We do not think [Kwek Leng Peck&rsquo s] concerns are entirely new and were already well-flagged, particularly regarding M& C (30% of CDL&rsquo s revalued NAV), whereby most hoteliers are facing tough operational issues given Covid-19. We think more assistance to Sincere (7% of RNAV) highlights its liquidity issues,&rdquo the report adds. Also on Oct 21, CDL announced its board of directors is in the process of identifying and appointing an External Financial Advisor to assist with further evaluation and review of the group&rsquo s investment in Sincere including sales of investment properties. During a results briefing in August, CDL CEO Sherman had said: &ldquo [Of] Sincere&rsquo s investment properties a fairly large chunk are in retail and hospitality, and still suffering from the aftermath of Covid. We have more than 10 assets on the list to be divested. It will be something that will likely take time.&rdquo &ldquo Having injected $1.9 billion into Sincere, we doubt it would walk away. Hence the financial advisors&rsquo evaluation, pace of asset sales and residential sales momentum will be pivotal in Sincere&rsquo s refinancing ability. As of end FY2019, we estimate Sincere&rsquo s net debt at $7.3 billion,&rdquo Citi says in a note to clients. &ldquo The question now is whether the board should continue to provide financial support to Sincere under the assumption the market would eventually recover, or push through divestments now and take a haircut on its investment. Either way, in our view, this may lead to a valuation drag,&rdquo says the Bank of America report. For 1HFY2020, CDL reported Patmi of $3.1 million versus Patmi of $362 million in 1HFY2019. The decline in Patmi includes impairments for M& C and allowances for Sincere. &ldquo This event leads us to revisit our assumptions. We lower our price objective by 13% to $8.70 on a 4% reduction to RNAV (on higher debt in Sincere) and a higher valuation discount of 40% (vs 35% previously), in line with historical downturns. A bear case of a complete write-down of its $1.9 billion investment implies an $2.10 per share hit on its valuation,&rdquo Bank of America calculates. CDL last traded at $7, versus its NAV of $11.66 and RNAV of $16.61. CDL&rsquo s NAV is based on the book valuation of its properties where the company uses historical cost accounting. Its RNAV is based on the market valuation of its properties. &ldquo We reiterate buy on valuation as we think the sell-down is overdone. A successful restructuring of Sincere could be a catalyst,&rdquo Bank of America adds. |
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kcowen
Member |
23-Oct-2020 01:36
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if u see their past performance during bad times, also similar, so this is not abnormal. their profits fluctuate a lot
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St.Maximus
Supreme |
22-Oct-2020 23:42
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7 Dollar looks like a steal now. | ||||
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pasttime
Supreme |
22-Oct-2020 23:41
Yells: "gold silver are real money. not others iou." |
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china better to be risk adverse. buying better to leave some for the original seller so that any problem that araise they can help out. some problem like local strong man causing problem cannot be solved by money. | ||||
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Peter88
Senior |
22-Oct-2020 22:45
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HL grp or CDL is considered a very late comer into China property market . The son of KLB , who chose to go in when many big players , like CK Holdings , etc were reducing their assets in China . | ||||
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Jamesbond007
Veteran |
22-Oct-2020 17:07
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In the midst of it all, one ipertinent point has been missed. Reputation at stake. Might then be omitted from the top 10 richest list In S' pore. |
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HB8289
Master |
22-Oct-2020 17:02
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I believe the covid 19 have dampen their oversea markets badly that why they are selling to reduce further lost . I belief more south on the way very soon | ||||
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Oceangrace
Veteran |
22-Oct-2020 16:58
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Obvious shorties had taken over this thread. Just watch....
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St.Maximus
Supreme |
22-Oct-2020 16:57
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Let them come and then one fine day, they will go. NAV is like a illiquid price guide. Fluctuates that is all. | ||||
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WBdisciple
Elite |
22-Oct-2020 16:53
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Who hurts the most from a write-off? I believe it will be the Kwek Family....CDL is their crown jewel among their listed entities. If NAV is just a number...then what' s the point of reporting financials? Again, it is natural for shortlists to leverage on the uncertainties here to create more volatitly. |
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St.Maximus
Supreme |
22-Oct-2020 16:49
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Wait and watch... ...
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Jamesbond007
Veteran |
22-Oct-2020 16:47
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NAV is but a number. It has been trading far way below its NAV even before the board implosion. Once CDL makes a write-off, it is surely going to be substantial. Otherwise, the other Kwek would not have openly disclosed his deep displeasure and resigned. Sit on the fence and watch the show.
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St.Maximus
Supreme |
22-Oct-2020 16:15
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COVID and lockdown mah | ||||
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Hector
Veteran |
22-Oct-2020 16:13
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omg. checked their financial report, Their profit drop so much. even lesser than stock like Medtecs. |
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Starship
Supreme |
22-Oct-2020 15:37
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St.Maximus
Supreme |
22-Oct-2020 15:31
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Just wait on the sidelines and see lah. Now very choppy. Wait tor things to settle down! | ||||
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WBdisciple
Elite |
22-Oct-2020 15:29
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Seems that shortlist have taken over this thread...S$3 lah, S$5 lah... In the short run, the stock is driven by sentiment....hence it is natural for shortlists to leverage on such news to drive prices down... Again...for sellers at current prices...here is some added info: AS at 13 August 2020, CDL revalued net asset value is $16.61 per share. Would Kwek Leng Beng allow a fire sale? i don' t think so.... |
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