| Latest Forum Topics / Seatrium Last:0.091 -- |
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Sembmarine_Green is the new gold_a better future
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better
Elite |
05-Mar-2022 18:25
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Factually wrong. The merger negotiation is between KC and Temasek Holding. Temasek, who owns 55% of SCM will ensure SCM shareholders get a good deal. After the merger terms are tabled, SCM shareholders, excluding Temasek, have to vote for it. Temasek have to abstain from voting because they are an interested party with 20% ownership in KC. So, if KC does not pay SCM enough to take over Keppel OM, I would vote against the merger.
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ckmpd1
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05-Mar-2022 18:18
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SCM SHs were treated like ATMs in 2020 and 2021.  Will it be the same or different this year?
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better
Elite |
05-Mar-2022 18:09
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Based on my estimate and William Goh' s confirmation during the webcast that cash balance is now much higher than end 2021, I expect SCM to end Q1 with around $1.5 to 1.6 billion cash. By end of Q2, Cash balance should exceed $2 billion easily. In term of net profit, I am looking at $400-500 mil in H1 and $500-700 mil by year end as SCM starts to recognise revenue from the new projects. If they can get a good deal for the 2 Setes drillships, profit might exceed $1 billion as they can write back some of the impaired value written off in prior years.  
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lukewong82
Master |
05-Mar-2022 18:04
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Do u think Temasek will propose a merger that make SM share price rocket or make Keppel share price rocket? :) Remember Semb Ind? :) Just for recollection sake.
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vicloo
Supreme |
05-Mar-2022 17:04
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Is not up to us... Is 99% decision by temasek, biggest shareholder who own nearly 50% of scm shares... If temasek vote to merge. We cant do anything to stop it
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PHInsider63
Veteran |
05-Mar-2022 16:20
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May you assist to do an estimated cashflow forecast in lieu of the so many collectibles viz a viz the cash burns.
What will be the cash position by Q2 2022? Also the likely net profit as the main cost was frontloaded in FY2021. Thanks in advance.
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ckmpd1
Supreme |
05-Mar-2022 16:06
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Good points, lukewong82. In 2020, there was nothing to indicate that a SCI/SCM demerger would be beneficial to SCM.  And it turned out that the demerger was bad for SCM In 2021, there was nothing to show that the 2nd RI was beneficial to SCM.  Many SCM SHs were angry abt the RI and they sold their SCM shares.  It turned out they were right So far, there is nothing to show that a KOM/SCM merger would be beneficial to SCM.  Only some die hard investors are applauding it without basis. It is taking longer than anticipated and that is a bad sign for SCM.  But it shd be finalised soon as SCM cant continue to bleed $80m to $100m a month. Let us wait for the announcement and see what are the terms and conditions
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PHInsider63
Veteran |
05-Mar-2022 16:04
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This is a good point
Hence the merger conditions should favour SM this time round.
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lukewong82
Master |
05-Mar-2022 15:36
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that' s i puzzled why still got ppl here still trust SM to deliver good value for SM shareholders with this merger with Keppel after stabbing their backs 2 times already especially the Semb Ind one where Semb Ind shareholders was happy laughing and mocking the SM shareholders in 2020 when share price of Semb Ind rocket while SM tank.  Maybe they think this time will be SM shareholders to laugh and mock at Keppel shareholders with the merger? BUT after kana back stabbed TWICE in 2020 and 2021, I bet Keppel shareholders will be the ones doing the laughing and mocking..  
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ckmpd1
Supreme |
05-Mar-2022 14:37
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Different people have different interpretations from Thursday and Friday' s trading. More important is what do you interprete?
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better
Elite |
05-Mar-2022 14:37
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These are rhetorical questions, so no need to answer: If a yard is negotiating the contract terms for a mega offshore project, does it want to do it when oil is at $60 or $120? Does it want to do it when yard capacity is plentiful or scarce? Best not to take over Keppel OM contracts secured last year after the merger unless KC compensates SCM for the projected losses.
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teeth53
Supreme |
05-Mar-2022 14:19
Yells: "don't learn through life, learn to grow with life " |
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Sembcorp Marine Thursday top vol: 451,800,000 time-5pm. Friday. Open 0.094 last:0.091. -0.003. Vol-193,759,900 (Bid-14,937,000 ,☆ 0.091 v Ask-21, 597,800 ☆ 0.092)
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better
Elite |
05-Mar-2022 14:08
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爆 = GAP UP 😂 😂 😂
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ckmpd1
Supreme |
05-Mar-2022 13:59
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SCM sharteholders: 1. 1st time got whacked by SCI - 2020 2. 2nd time got whacked by Temasek - 2021 3. Will it be 3rd time by Kep Corp in 2022?
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ckmpd1
Supreme |
05-Mar-2022 13:56
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You are very wise, lukewong82.  You can see through the fog and false bravado from the nervous SCM supporters.  You and I are confidently watching for news from SCM/KC.  We have already pocketed our cash.  Let these " brave" SCM shareholders enjoy their own chorus and applause. It wont be long   
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better
Elite |
05-Mar-2022 13:19
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油 价 已 经 很 高 了 。 再 加 就 要 爆 了 !!!
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blackpearl
Member |
05-Mar-2022 13:01
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blackpearl
Member |
05-Mar-2022 12:57
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lukewong82
Master |
05-Mar-2022 11:41
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sorry har.. just wondering why so confident when u all kana one big one from SM before??? What happens if the same thing repeats itself again? The merger benefits Keppel and disadvantage to SM and cause Keppel share price to rocket like Semb Ind and SM share price to tank again 2nd time..?? I tot once bitten twice shy? |
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lukewong82
Master |
05-Mar-2022 11:37
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Sorry .. to all supporters of SM, I see so many of u so confident that SM share price going to chiong and that SM will have a favourable merger with Keppel. Strange leh.. u all so fast forgot what about during the Semb Ind and SM supposely privatisation??? So many of u SM supporters were so cheerful and praising SM and thought that SM going to be privatised by Semb Ind and that Semb Ind will offer good price for SM.  Then in the end kana back stabbed by SM for allowing Semb Ind to kick SM out thus benefitting Semb Ind shareholders and condemned SM shareholders to misery. So fast forget the painful experience liao? Still expected SM shareholders to benefit from this SM and Keppel merger? |
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