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Bull Or Bear Run
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Jandec
Veteran |
15-Mar-2022 02:24
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It also depends on Putin' s grand plan to neutralize the states closest to Russian borders and station missiles and hardware all aimed at Western Europe. The opportunity opens for him because US has a weak President, good people in the US are busy doing something else, Biden is better than the self seeking and liar Trump, but Biden is a weak chap. There are a few suspected reasons why Putin went into war, the Russian economy is not doing so well, unemployment is up, nothing' s moving much. Common Russians must be thinking their President is sleeping on the job. When compared side by side with China, the Russian economy seems to fall further and further behind, even though they have oil and gas but the people are not wealthy, only a few are very wealthy. Another reason is Putin is not happy that Russians are more and more influenced by the Western lifestyle. The Ukraine war puts Putin in the spotlight, the temptation to swallow Ukraine is great because he becomes a national hero overnight. Moreover Europe is still buying his gas and possibly China will want some of the oil that US rejects. So given that Putin can ride out the sanctions, he may decide to stay longer in the war. Let' s just see. Ceasefire would be the best for all of us, stop all that human suffering. Question is if he decides to continue, how to push up the volume? Biological weapons? I think he will use it whether or not the West approves, noone can touch Russia now because a psycho controls the nuclear weapons. Be prepared, if that happens, better have Plan B ready for your stocks. |
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Jandec
Veteran |
15-Mar-2022 01:56
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Hope so, but I a bit skeptical. Putin said he won' t attack Ukraine, and next thing he already rolled in the armour. He' s not only a psycho but an incorrigible liar, exactly like Trump - tells lies. I wonder why half the US likes such a liar, for 1 mistake they brought half the US flag down - now noone respects USA. If Trump back, it will be whole flag down. End of the world.
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risktaker
Supreme |
15-Mar-2022 00:49
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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4th Round Ukraine-Russia Talks "Paused" UN Says Over 2.8 Million People Have Entered Neighboring Countries
Tyler Durden's Photo BY TYLER DURDEN MONDAY, MAR 14, 2022 - 10:45 PM Update(10:45ET): Following what were generally upbeat weekend assessments of how Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks are going, the fourth round of talks have taken a "pause" after a reported more than five hours in negotiations. |
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risktaker
Supreme |
15-Mar-2022 00:48
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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Stocks Extend Losses After Barclays Suspends Sales/Issuance Of Equity, Oil Volatility ETNs
Tyler Durden's Photo BY TYLER DURDEN TUESDAY, MAR 15, 2022 - 12:19 AM Apparently unrelated to any Ukraine issues, Barclays has announced the suspension, until further notice, of any further sales from inventory and any further issuances of iPath Pure Beta Crude Oil ETN (ticker OIL) and iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX) According to a press releases, the suspension is because ?Barclays does not currently have sufficient issuance capacity to support further sales from inventory and any further issuances of the ETNs? US equities were already in freefall but accelerated lower after the headlines hit... |
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L.FATT
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14-Mar-2022 08:26
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Far from it... base on cnn latest news... | ||||
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pikachu
Master |
14-Mar-2022 07:07
Yells: "Holy Cow!" |
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Whoever is right or wrong in Ukraine and Russia conflict, it doesn' t matter. All politics. What matters is that innocent people are dying everyday. | ||||
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kcs1107
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13-Mar-2022 20:07
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Russia has warned that it will fire on western armaments shipments to Kyiv, raising the risk of a direct military confrontation between Moscow and Nato during the war in Ukraine. Deputy foreign minister Sergei Ryabkov said on Saturday that &ldquo pumping up [Ukraine] with weapons from a whole range of countries&rdquo was &ldquo not just a dangerous move &mdash it&rsquo s something that turns these convoys into legitimate military targets&rdquo , according to the Interfax news agency. US president Joe Biden has rejected calls from Kyiv to establish a no-fly zone over Ukraine and said Nato will not be drawn into an all-out conflict with Russia or send troops to defend the country. However, Ukraine&rsquo s western backers have pledged significant military aid to the country. The US has promised $6.5bn in defence spending, with Biden on Saturday authorising $200mn in new security assistance. The UK, meanwhile, has sent 3,615 NLAW anti-tank missiles and Javelin anti-tank weapons while Nordic states have sent more than 10,000 anti-tank weapons. Russian forces continued their assault on Ukraine on Saturday with fierce fighting on the outskirts of Kyiv and reports of a strike on an airfield at Vasylkiv, south of the capital. Ukraine police said that an ammunition depot was damaged, shells detonated and a fire broke out. &ldquo The airport is completely destroyed. An arsenal of weapons exploded,&rdquo said Natalia Balasynovych, Vasylkiv&rsquo s mayor. A food distribution centre to the west of Kyiv was also hit by shelling. Russia pressed on with its aerial bombardment of the besieged city of Mariupol and struck a mosque there, according to Ukrainian authorities. There was no immediate confirmation of casualties. There were street protests in Melitopol where Vladimir Putin&rsquo s forces have detained Ivan Fedorov, the city&rsquo s mayor. Ukraine&rsquo s president Volodymyr Zelensky called upon world leaders to pressure Moscow to release him. &ldquo We appeal to all world leaders who speak to Moscow. France, Germany, Israel and others,&rdquo said Zelensky. The Ukrainian president said Russian losses were &ldquo simply astounding&rdquo , claiming the destruction of more than 360 tanks, 1,205 armoured vehicles, &ldquo almost 60 planes [and] more than 80 helicopters&rdquo . His claims could not be independently verified. He also called for face-to-face peace talks with his Russian counterpart to be held in Jerusalem, adding that Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennett was well positioned to act as a mediator. The Russians can&rsquo t talk to us about the [dangers of the] third world war and also call us legitimate targets.&rdquo French official German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and French President Emmanuel Macron held a &ldquo very frank and very difficult&rdquo joint phone call with Putin on Saturday in which they demanded he stop the war in Ukraine but found him determined to continue, according to senior officials. The Kremlin said Putin claimed that Ukraine&rsquo s armed forces were &ldquo blatantly violating international law&rdquo through &ldquo extrajudicial reprisals against dissidents, taking civilians hostage and using them as human shields, [and] putting heavy armaments in civilian areas near hospitals, schools, kindergartens, and so on.&rdquo A French official rejected the accusations as a &ldquo Russian lie&rdquo and countered that Moscow&rsquo s targeting of civilians and bombardment of cities constituted &ldquo the worst kind of violation of international humanitarian law&rdquo and could be considered war crimes. &ldquo It&rsquo s up to President Putin to stop this war and we are applying the maximum pressure on him,&rdquo the official said, calling the western sanctions already applied against Russia &ldquo historic&rdquo , likening them to the sanctions regimes imposed on North Korea, Syria and Iran and threatening more if the situation worsened. Russia&rsquo s threat to western arms shipments was not raised in the call by either side, the official said, adding: &ldquo The Russians can&rsquo t talk to us about the [dangers of the] third world war and also call us legitimate targets.&rdquo Putin said that Russian and Ukrainian representatives had continued to negotiate via video link after talks earlier this week. The war is now in its third week and the west has stepped up sanctions. On Friday G7 nations said they would end normal trade relations with Moscow. Recommended News in-depthWar in Ukraine &lsquo A serious failure&rsquo : scale of Russia&rsquo s military blunders becomes clear In the latest step against Russia&rsquo s oligarchs, Italian authorities seized a superyacht valued at $530mn owned by Andrey Melnichenko in the port of Trieste. Ryabkov accused the US of further inflaming relations by leading the western sanctions effort. &ldquo It&rsquo s the US that has ramped up tensions to the maximum in international affairs. And that&rsquo s before we get to what they&rsquo re doing in practice by supporting the criminal Kyiv regime,&rdquo Ryabkov said. He added that Russia and the US were in &ldquo constant contact&rdquo and Moscow was still open to a strategic dialogue with Washington on arms control. Putin is demanding that Ukraine recognises its 2014 annexation of the Crimean peninsula and the independence of two separatist statelets in the Donbas region, commits to demilitarisation and declares neutrality in its constitution. Ukraine has said it is open to making some concessions but has described Moscow&rsquo s stance as a demand for &ldquo capitulation&rdquo . |
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TA_Expert
Supreme |
13-Mar-2022 19:35
Yells: "The World has changed" |
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The west keeps supplying Ukarine with ammos, etc. How can Russia finish the war fast? Russia is bounded to lose in this war as the west is pumping billions of ammo into Ukarine. The Russia tank convoy was destroyed by RPG supplied by UK. |
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Leohuat88
Veteran |
13-Mar-2022 19:03
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i am not an ally of anyone...these are trying times. I am just being factual and looking at things with a wider lens unlike someone who doesnt learn a thing but picking sides and uttering rubbish.
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Leohuat88
Veteran |
13-Mar-2022 19:00
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USD will lose dominance in the long run when Mid-east and then EU slowly pivots to Asia. The timing will be from 2028 to 2032 onwards according to model provided by Martin Armstrong. If SG plays her cards right, there is still hope by being a bridge between East and West.
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Leohuat88
Veteran |
13-Mar-2022 18:57
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who said 4 days? Did Putin say 4 days? did i say 4 days or you simply anyhow conjure it up yourself?
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kcs1107
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13-Mar-2022 18:35
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Less than you would think. If China were to sell large amounts of US treasuries, then instead of US treasuries, it would hold US cash. Something like this happened last March. China didnt sell large amounts of treasuries, but there was a massive panic and run on treasuries, and what happened was that the Federal Reserve just printed a massive amount of money to deal with the treasury sales. The result of this is 5 percent inflation. Not the greatest thing, but its not the end of the world.Singapore should not gravely affected cos we have a basket currency including yuan!! ,we r hedging nations .we go with according to the wind direction!! Who ever is stronger ,we support whoeve!! we never the rhetoric ' Do not play with fire " directoed at American!!If leader in singapore dare to defy USA what does that tell u???
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Jandec
Veteran |
13-Mar-2022 18:12
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If the USD fails, there will be a meltdown in financial markets. Without the " QE" , property will all be worth nothing, forget about buying anything, everything will crumble. That' s the scenario, so decide whether you wish USD to fail, because your livelihood will also adversely impacted, all your properties and stocks will be worth nothing. DBS and OCBC will be flooded with bad debts and may even close up because of counterparty exposures in money market, FX, derivatives. There will be untold poverty in the world and here in Singapore, right at your doorstep. | ||||
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kcs1107
Member |
13-Mar-2022 17:29
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Most military observers believe that the greater size of the Russian military will make itself felt and eventually crush the Ukrainians. That would likely lead to a Ukrainian puppet state controlled by Russia. Others have hypothesized an extended insurgency that wears down Russian resolve. Although such an insurgency might succeed in the long run, it would be immensely destructive to the Ukrainian economy and society. , as frustrated military officers, worried oligarchs, and a restive population combine to overthrow the current government. All these outcomes are plausible. Regardless of which outcome occurs, however, Ukrainians will pay a terrible price in death, suffering, and physical destruction.
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kcs1107
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13-Mar-2022 17:01
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Western media is disregarding other rabbits in Putin&rsquo s counter-sanctions hat, which he could choose to use, contrary to the global chorus of Putin looking for an off ramp. Putin controls under half the world&rsquo s palladium, critical for semiconductor chips along with Ukraine he controls a quarter of the world&rsquo s wheat and 15% of EU&rsquo s natural gas is Russian and already at sky-high prices, two times more than those post-pandemic. Smaller issues like manufacture and sale of automobiles in Russia and Ukraine have already hit the industry with a sledge hammer, EU-maker sales expected to drop by 1.5 million units in this year. Serious concerns have been raised by aircraft leasing companies, which have leased out more than 500 aircraft to Russian airlines. Second, Putin is now much more dependent on a resurgent and equally belligerent &ndash though more circumspect &ndash China. With border disputes resolved and a common enemy in sight, closer cooperation on trade, investments and currency can be expected. Several attempts are visible at sowing discord between the two by raising Vladivostok and Chinese superiority as impediments, but there are no such signs in public or private, except for the fact that China too was blindsided by the attack on Ukraine, not having moved its students out before the invasion. Russia will rely more on China for economic partnership, possibly creating more business opportunities for China. Such forced cooperation has the potential to lead to more yuan-rouble trade and an significant energy-metal bubble, with a technological edge in weaponry, cyber-warfare, electronic warfare, bio-warfare, nuclear cooperation and the end of dominance of the US dollar. The possible return of Trump in 2024 could de-globalise the world again, for sure this time, making more way for China-Russia expansionism, economic and otherwise. Third, the US dollar has committed possible harakiri regarding its image as a safe haven. For so many decades, the US Federal Reserve prided itself in stating that every single dollar ever printed is backed by the sovereign and will be honoured. However, &lsquo Bidenism&rsquo killed this promise twice over &ndash by freezing half of Afghanistan&rsquo s seven billion dollar-denominated foreign exchange reserves and all of Russia&rsquo s foreign exchange dollars. Any central bank will now think several times before buying US treasuries and will always look for alternative safe assets, even if they are a shade less safe. In two decades, the Euro has emerged as a safe asset and attracted 30% of Russian foreign exchange reserves, 10% each in Germany and France. With 23% reserves in gold, 13% in yuan and 10% in Germany, Putin seems to have hedged well when he started drawing down reserves in the US from 2016-17, down to almost zero in 2021. Fourthly, China will continue to draw down its US dollar-denominated foreign exchange reserves of about $1 trillion in its war chest of $3.4 trillion. Since 2005, China&rsquo s share of dollar securities has fallen from 80% to just 30%.
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Jandec
Veteran |
13-Mar-2022 16:48
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I hope so too. He seems to be psychotic, just like a serial killer. I don' t think he has given thought to the suffering he has put so many people into - if he gets joy from doing this, then we won' t see Ukraine as the end of his campaign. Serial killers don' t stop until they get caught. This differentiates Putin from Yeltsin and the rest - Putin is a cold blooded murderer. The sanctions are not effective unless Europe joins in to cut off imports of oil and gas. Right now, the countries are just too dependent on Russian oil and gas. So I guess we will have to live with a bolder Putin.
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kcs1107
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13-Mar-2022 16:45
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Possible End to Dollar Dominance?: Permanent Alterations to the World Order Post-UkraineSanctions for years against countries like Cuba, Libya, Iraq, North Korea and so on hurt these economies significantly, but strengthened the regimes and their anti-America discourse, being dislodged only after the use of physical intervention. Time will tell whether Putin wins the sweepstakes of expansionism or the cost of economic distress eventually overwhelms Russia and him. However, some interesting shifts in geo-strategy are discernible and permanent, regardless of whether Putin wins or doesn&rsquo t. First, these sanctions, SWIFT restrictions, collaring at the UN&rsquo s various rights bodies, potential expulsion from Financial Action Task Force (FATF), measures at the World Health Organisation (WHO), World Trade Organization (WTO), and so on, will sustain for long, whether Russian troops stay, return or support a new regime in Kyiv. Putin will have to adjust his economics, exports, imports and travels accordingly. The impact in the immediate run is debilitating, as seen from the crash in the Rouble and stocks, the sudden six-level down junk rating to B and the desperate doubling of the interest rate. However, sanctions for years against Cuba, Libya, Iraq, North Korea (DPRK), Serbia, Venezuela and Iran hurt these economies significantly, but strengthened the regimes and their anti-America discourse, being dislodged only after the use of physical intervention. However, Putin has friends and several inelastic commercial clients for oil and gas. Some oil friends produce a large section of the world&rsquo s oil, namely Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Iran, each of whom would welcome a stronger and more profitable Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Plus cartel. Biden&rsquo s snub to Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud (MBS) and the latter&rsquo s close ties to a resurgent Trump could be a factor in OPEC refusing to raise output immediately, deciding to stick to the already-announced rise of 0.4 MMB/D from April 1. Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed (MBZ) of the UAE, a strong voice in the Middle East and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) matters, has also abstained as at least two times from UN resolutions.
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Jandec
Veteran |
13-Mar-2022 16:38
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If US didn' t take Iraq, the consequences to us will be dire. We can all sit here comfortably discussing and criticizing US for invasion of Iraq, but remember if it wasn' t done, Sadam will get bolder with his Scud missiles supplied by Russia. In the same vein, many buy in to the view that US is the bully, but let' s imagine US is sunk and disappear, let' s say an earthquake buried all of America. China may come into our area, and claim the region, you and I may not even be able to discuss things like this anymore, nor will there be Facebook. We can end up being a region of China.
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Leohuat88
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13-Mar-2022 16:06
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I think Putin will stop at Ukraine... There is no justification to go beyond. If he does that, his close allies will find it hard to support him.
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kcs1107
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13-Mar-2022 16:04
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The costs of sustaining the US' s new ' Empire' will become apparent to its public only when these costs directly accrue to them. This will happen, as this article suggests, only when (i) other nations stop subsidising the US' s imperial adventures by colluding in them and (ii) the dollar loses its role as the world' s reserve currency. Iraq supported tusing oils vias Euro instead of US dollar hegemony ,USA invaded Iraq under the pretext of threnten Guld nation ,while all UN veto USA unilaterally invaded IRAQ I tell u USA dollar hegemony will fall,cos it is on the worong side of history . All Arab nations refused to answer call from Biden,Israel wanted UKraine to fall with history of NAZI connection an drefused to provide iron drome for pretection
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