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Asian Pay Tv Tr
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think2profit
Master |
29-Nov-2018 16:08
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APTT publishes a lot of good information in her quarterly report but seems like shareholders are just not reading them, otherwise they wouldn' t have panicked and sold out at current price. When you look at her operating matrix on subscriber base,                                                                     Jun 2018            Sep 2019        Gain/Loss   Basic cable TV          :      759,000                757,000          -2,000 Premium Digital        :      188,000                194,000            +6,000 Broadbank                        :        205,000                  210,000            +5,000 Total Gain: 9,000 subscriber over last 15 months. How does one conclude that  biz is not good?? |
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think2profit
Master |
29-Nov-2018 15:53
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I didnt say it would close in a single day but it is likely over time. Gap is like a strong magnet that will continue to draw price toward closing it... Who would buy? 1. Existing shareholders who start to gain confidence and want to avg down their cost 2. Shortists who shorted at 30c and above, wanting to close their position 3. New investors who recognise this can be a double bagger 4. Momentum traders who leverage on trend to make money  
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NextEvolution
Elite |
29-Nov-2018 15:45
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You were saying close gap at 30 ct this morning? Who is so crazy to chase up?
This last 1.625 minus current price most already understoooooooooded when price plunge from 31+
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think2profit
Master |
29-Nov-2018 15:44
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The key question is who would be selling and buying from here onward.... I believe weak shareholders who bought high earlier have largely been shaken out at  cheap price...typing this makes me recall of brainfoo. I doubt there are any such shareholders  now that APTT has refinanced its debt and reduced interested  from 2.3% to 1.6%, demonstrating  strong confidence in  her biz by the local banks who  would understand  her biz more. A  stability jab.    
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think2profit
Master |
29-Nov-2018 15:32
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You don' t get me  bro. Short term 1.625c div and therefore your actual cost to buy at 16.5c is only 14.875c. This translate into 8% based on 1.2c div from 2019 onward. Once capex of about $70m starts to wind down, these money can be channlled to raise div and/or repayment of debt.  
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makdatok
Supreme |
29-Nov-2018 15:29
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Not much movement so bull n bear shld keep quiet..Later got movement can sing song again..Hiak | ||||
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think2profit
Master |
29-Nov-2018 15:28
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They are an unique assets in Taiwan which is not easily replicable. U needs tons of money to lay all the fibre network to the 5 counties. Upgrading them will help them to be ready for 5G roll out, which will form their new lucrative biz. Cheers
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think2profit
Master |
29-Nov-2018 15:22
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Agreed that there are many momentum traders. They buy low and sell lower over last 2 weeks and i see once price is established above 17-18c, they will reverse their trade by buy high, sell higher. Huat Arh!
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NextEvolution
Elite |
29-Nov-2018 15:17
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This morning all the cheerleaders like gone missing liao although the pre-market queues then were very very positive, as high as 16.9
16.5 breaking up is not a good sign though |
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NextEvolution
Elite |
29-Nov-2018 13:16
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Last 1 to 2 weeks for play before this APTT become quiet again post ex-Div | ||||
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Qanghoo
Supreme |
29-Nov-2018 11:39
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It starts right at the very top.  Get it?  Hahaha .....
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Starship
Supreme |
29-Nov-2018 11:14
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Most ppl in this counter now are momentum traders who want the share price to rise and fall as much as possible and as often as possible. They are not interested in fundamantals. Traders and investors have different set of criteria. As one trader here in SJ forum posted many times ---- all he cares is that he makes money, he doesnt care whether the company makes money.   
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Starship
Supreme |
29-Nov-2018 11:09
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In this new world of Money Above Everything, most people will choose to keep their jobs rather than to keep their principles and ethics.   
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TA_Expert
Supreme |
29-Nov-2018 10:56
Yells: "The World has changed" |
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Yes, it seems that the Fed has turned very dovish. This is not normal as the Fed is indifference in politics but now it seems that it doesn' t anymore. Secondly, I guess that the Fed also wants the party to continue on. Who doesn' t want low interest rates?
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Qanghoo
Supreme |
29-Nov-2018 10:36
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The most important news today is not US interest rates going up, but what J Powell signalled this morning (maybe bowed to donald duck to save his job?) that FED rate is nearing its neutral stance, meaning that FED might not even up rates by another 75 basis pts next yr.  So, coys with mountains of debt cld be seen as potential benefitiaries.  APPT, if  part of its debt remains floating after the refinancing, cld be one of them.  Other potential beneficiaries are property counters, many of which have huge huge debt mountains (eg, Capitaland has 29 bil).  Perhaps this is why property counters are up today, not to mention that if interest rates come down,sales of proprties are likely to go up.  On the other hand, it cld be negative for bks  
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laksaman57
Supreme |
29-Nov-2018 09:57
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Yes APTT had morphed into real asset owning. No longer reit/trust-like. | ||||
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think2profit
Master |
29-Nov-2018 09:05
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You should review those facts that i stated, not merely looking from shortists' perspective which can cost you dearly.
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makdatok
Supreme |
29-Nov-2018 08:35
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Sorry teddy bears..Looks like rally continue..hiak3 | ||||
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cowabunga
Veteran |
29-Nov-2018 07:56
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I can see the short tits started to panic and throw stones.   Longists Huat ahhhh!!! Short tits die pain pain 
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NextEvolution
Elite |
29-Nov-2018 07:27
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The way he put it as though the dividend will remain 1.625c per Qtr but dividend is slashed to just 1.2c per year, a drop of over 81%. How to close gap? If can go to 18 will be surprising.
Remember US market, the more +ve mood, the more reason for it to plunge and inversely apply.
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